Kingkelly

King Kelly

  • joined Oct 17, 2011
  • last login Apr 19, 2014
  • posts 45
  • comments 405

A Fan Of...

  • MLB Toronto Blue Jays
  • NFL Buffalo Bills
  • NHL Montreal Canadiens
User Blog
FanPost

Standing SP-pat: Fair or Folly?

Alex A was recently quoted as saying that, while the Jays could always use another good starter, he would be comfortable going into 2014 with the existing rotation options. Reaction in the...

FanPost

Runs Scored in 2014: The Musings Model

For the last couple of years, I have used the Baseball Musings projection tool and the Steamer projections to project the runs scored by the Jays in the upcoming year. I have tested this tool in...

FanPost

More Unfounded Trade Speculation

In the absence of any *real* trade news, I thought I would provide another instalment in my series of completely unfounded trade speculations. Today’s thought: Edwin Encarnacion + Brett...

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The $80 million dollar question

The Jays are not as bad as their 2013 record would show. Going into 2014 with a top-of-the-order of Reyes, Cabrera, Joey B, EE, and Lawrie (all hopefully healthy!) and Dickey and Buehrle...

FanPost

Tanking and the Draft

With ~40 games left to play, the Jays find themselves in an unusual position. With a poor record in those final games, they could finish as low as 27th in the majors, which would give them the 4th...

Moneyball, eh? The Jays' 2014 Team Payroll

The Jays will be faced with some difficult decisions over the next few weeks and the remainder of the 2013 season. The July 31 trade deadline is fast approaching. Should the Jays seek to improve...

FanPost

Unfounded trade speculation: Buehrle/Kinsler

The trade rumours / speculation have started. Janssen for Castellanos? Jays “bearing down” on Garza? Josh Johnson for the moon? So in the interest of promulgating wildly speculative and...

FanPost

Gaming the System 201

Playing the draft game It is a truism in baseball that teams need to do well in the amateur draft to compete. Even the Yankees, who are often accused of “buying” championships, have...

FanPost

The Game of "What If" - 2013 Version

Last winter I published a fanpost in which I took the Bill James projections for the Blue Jays’ starting lineup and used the Baseball Musing’s Lineup Analysis Tool to project the total runs...

FanPost

2013: The Implications of "Win Now"

The Jays are expected to be serious contenders in 2013 (and, according to Las Vegas, are the early frontrunners to win it all). This should impact on the managing philosophy, in that the good of...

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More Unfounded Trade Speculation - Boni for Uggla

Since it has been soooo long since the Jays have made any major roster moves, here is the next installment in my series of totally unfounded trade rumours: Boni to Atlanta for Uggla + salary...

FanPost

The Art of WAR

There is a strong correlation between cumulative team WAR and games won. So, as an exercise in too-much-time-on-my-hands-in-the-offseason, I did a quick estimate of what cumulative team WAR...

FanPost

Josh Johnson extension?

February 2011. The Jays faced a decision. Jose Bautista was coming off a breakout 2010 season (4th in MVP voting) despite an up-to-that-point unspectacular career. Toronto could offer Jose a...

FanPost

Buehrle: A Cost or a Benefit?

Perhaps the most controversial player acquired by the Jays in Tuesday’s mega-deal is Mark Buehrle. Controversial in that many bloggers see him as adding value to the transaction, while...

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More Unfounded Trade Speculation: Revisiting Jon Niese

Heading into 2013, the Mets are an exercise in good news / bad news. The good news is that they have 11 potential starting pitchers (Niese, Dickey, Santana, Wheeler, Young, Harvey, McHugh,...

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More Unfounded Trade Speculation (a.k.a. Something to Discuss Other Than 2012)

Trade speculation du jour: Yunel Escobar to Cleveland for Asdrubal Cabrera (Totally speculative on my part – just to give us something to discuss other than the Jays’ 2012 season!) The...

FanPost

The Carlos Question

It appears that the Jays will be faced with a decision on Carlos Villanueva this fall. He says that he would like to stay in Toronto, but only as a starter. The Jays are rumoured to still be...

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More fun with numbers - the value of a stolen base

A recent rumour about Toronto being interested in Jose Reyes got me thinking about the things he would bring to the Jays. In particular, the stolen bases. How much would they be worth? Most...

FanPost

Happ-y days?

The Jays acquired J. A. Happ today from Houston as part of a 10-player trade. I like it. Here are seven reasons why. Controllable Happ’s earliest FA year is 2015, so the Jays have him locked...

FanPost

More fun with stats - the value of a draft pick

A perennial discussion among baseball fans (especially Jays fans, it seems!) is the value of a draft pick / prospect. Some impressive research was performed by Sky Andrechek of...

FanPost

Fun with Sickels

I posted earlier that John Sickels of minorleaguebaseball.com had posted his mid-season top 120 prospects list. Just for fun, I took his list and assigned a value to each position. I gave the ...

FanPost

Rumour du jour - Jeremy Guthrie

One of the latest trade rumours – Jeremy Guthrie to the Jays. I know what you are all expecting – I am usually the one who points out the red flags / negatives about a Jays rumouree. So, just...

FanPost

Blue Jays targeting Morneau?

It was reported today that A-squared had made serious enquiries about Justin Morneau. Some random thoughts on JM in a Jays uniform: The Ugly These days, any discussion of Justin has to start with...

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Are the Jays Thin-King?

I would love to see Felix Hernandez in a Jays uniform. That said, I voted “no” to the poll asking if I would trade JPA, Gose, Alvarez, and Noah for Felix. As much as I like The King, I see...

FanPost

Qualifying offer candidates

Under the new CBA, the old “Type A’ and “Type B” free agents no longer exist. Instead, teams making a “qualifying offer” to a player who signs elsewhere get two compensation picks: ...

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Draft 2012 by the numbers

The results of the first day of the 2012 MLB draft for the Jays: Pick # 17 – took D.J. Davis (mlb.com rank #21) Pick # 22 – Marcus Stroman (rank #10) Pick # 50 – Matthew Smoral (rank #28) P...

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Stats tools?

Does anyone know of a website that allows you to search results over user-designed periods? As for example - if I wanted to know who were the best MLB hitters from last year's all-star break to...

FanPost

Kelly Johnson - a "bad" 2011?

I read a lot of how the Jays need players like Lind, Rasmus and Cecil to step up in 2012 and play like they have in the past. For each of these players, 2011 was not a "banner year". Kelly...

FanPost

Pineda in pinstripes

Bad news for the Jays? Yanks go from a rotation-on-the-rocks to possibly one of the best rotations in the AL with the addition of Pineda and Kuroda. Possibly. But – as with any young pitcher...

FanPost

Rumour du Jour: Matt Garza

The latest rumour has the Jays negotiating for Matt Garza. I like the idea of the Jays trading for Garza because … … he is good. His 3.19 FIP in 2011 was 8th best in the majors. ...

Showing 1 - 30 of 45 Older
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