LoneStranger
Feb 12, 2008 Dec 10, 2009 10 2746
website: The Lone Stranger Network
a fan of
Oakland Athletics
Golden State Warriors
San Francisco 49ers
Mark Martin
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Sharks
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Rajai Davis - Fun with Projecting Year-End Batting Avg
I was reading the Sweeney post which started talking about Rajai Davis and A's .300 hitters. This got me looking at the numbers and wondering what Rajai could possibly hit by the end of the year.
At this moment, he has played in 106 games with 95 hits and has a .308 batting average in 308 at bats and 344 plate appearances. If you go back to July 22nd (when Rajai started playing almost every day) he's hitting .340 in 191 AB and 213 PA over 50 games. If he keeps up this pace, what will he hit at the end of the year?
In those last 50 A's games Rajai's started 45 of them and hit .340 in 213PA and 191AB. He's had 4.26 PA/G and 3.82 AB/G.
Let's say he sustains a .340 AVG, 4.26 PA/G and 3.82 AB/G over the next 19 games. I don't think that's unreasonable (and it's my playground so I say it's ok). That would be about 73 more ABs and 81 more PAs, giving him a total of 381 AB and 425 PA. This would also give him about 25 more hits for 120 H on the year. He would then hit about .315 AVG (120 H/381AB) for the year. Pretty nice.
Let's take this further.
5 comments | 1 recs
Verizon Coliseum?
Rumor is that Verizon is discussing five year naming rights for the Oakland-Alameda Coliseum.
The article says that the last deal ran out in 2007, but I'm pretty sure it ran out in September of 2008.
4 months ago
LoneStranger
16 comments
0 recs
BART and Unions Reach Tentative Agreement
For those of you who BART to work and to games, they have reached an agreement with the unions in the labor dispute. It still needs to be ratified by the members of the Unions before it becomes official.
4 months ago
LoneStranger
2 comments
0 recs
Mind Wanderings 5/13/09 - KC @ OAK
I went to the game tonight, sans wife and 10 month old. Bought a ticket for the bleachers and sat in the third row, all the way to the left in right field. Instead of just sitting there and listening to the radio, I thought it might be neat if I took a small page from emperor nobody's book and wrote some thoughts down. It looks partially like a play-by-play, but mostly it's just things I thought about. Nowhere near as poetic as EN, but his is not my style.
5 comments | 1 recs
Spring Training 2009 Meet-ups
I'm going to be heading down to Phoenix for Spring Training next week. I know I'm not the only one so I'm putting this shot together to see who is going to be where and for what games. It would be great to meet up with other ANers and put faces to names. And to get out from behind this protective thing called internet anonymity. I'll be attending the Monday (vs Dodgers), Tuesday (vs Diamondbacks) and Saturday (vs Giants) games at Phoenix Muni, and the Thursday (at Rangers) game in Surprise. As a bonus, I'll be watching the Sharks play the Coyotes. What are your plans?
9 months ago
LoneStranger
9 comments
1 recs
Sharks Expected W/L using Poisson Numbers
I follow a great NFL stats blog called Advanced NFL Stats, that uses live win-probability modeling to determine which of the two teams is most likely to win. This football off-season the author of that blog has started looking at other sports, hockey being one of them. The post on March 9th was his first about modeling hockey games. In the post, he describes the Poisson equation and how to determine the probability of a team scoring or allowing a certain amount of goals, and through that, the possibility of them winning games. Go ahead and read his post. I'll wait..... OK! So I thought it might be neat to see what the Sharks numbers were...
9 comments | 0 recs
MLBTradeRumors Poll: Which Team Will Sign Rafael Furcal?
A poll by MLB trade rumors to see where their readers think Furcal is going to go. Guess who is leading?
Team dollars-per-win for 2008
I originally posted this on my blog, but I figured I'd get better readership here. Oh, and probably more people poking holes in my thoughts. ;) Be gentle! I am by no means close to the skills of grover or salb918 or the other Staturday folks!
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A recent post on the Beyond the Boxscore blog pointed me to another blog entry on Statspeak called Building a sabermatrician's workbench. And as the web will do, I was then pointed to Baseball-Databank.org.
I'm not new to MySQL databases or SQL queries, but the existence of a free baseball database was news to me, so I downloaded and imported the beast. It's quite an interesting blob of data and you can use it to analyize and discover tidbits about your favorite teams and players.
25 comments | 0 recs
OH GOD NO! Nick Swisher a Yankee
Nick Swisher traded from the White Sox to the Yankees for Jeff Marquez.
Lodging recommendations for Anaheim?
I'm going to San Diego at the end of the month, and since the A's will be in Anaheim that week, I'm going to make the drive up there on Thursday (May 1st) to watch the game. I have to be in Escondido for Friday night, however, and I don't want to drive back down there after the game.
Anyone have any recommendations for places near the ballpark to stay? How about places to stay away from?
There are a few near within walking distance. I would probably prefer to be able to walk. Ayers, TownePlace Suites, Hilton and Doubletree. Are those any good? Bad?
Thanks in advance!
12 comments | 0 recs
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