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Phillies have agreement with Báez?
Jim Salisbury of CSNPhilly.com reports that the Phillies "have an agreement in place" with a reliever, noting that speculation points to erstwhile Oriole Danys Báez. The Phillies' focus has apparently been on Baez since Fernando Rodney's asking price (2 years, $11 million) proved to be too high.
If true, we'll have to wait to see what the dollar figures look like, but hopefully it's no more than what Darren Oliver agreed to with the Rangers (1 year, $3.5 million with a vesting option for a second year). Báez returned from 2008 elbow surgery last year to post a 4.02 ERA, 40 K, 22 BBs, and a 1.13 WHIP in 71 innings with the Orioles. The lack of strikeouts (5.0 K/9) is a bit concerning, but the control (2.8 BB/9) and heavy sinker (60.9% GB) comprise the positive side of the ledger.
Salisbury notes that the agreement is contingent on the player passing a physical, which probably won't take place until next month.
John Sickels: Phillies Top 20 Prospects for 2010
Writes Sickels: "The Halladay/Lee trade is a strong blow; losing Drabek, Taylor, and D'Arnaud rips the guts out of the system. Getting Aumont, Gillies, and Ramirez in return helps some but none of them are as good as the three they lost."
His rankings back that up, as he notes that Drabek and Taylor would have received B+ grades, and d'Arnaud a B- or possibly even a straight B. As it stands now, the club boasts just 4 prospects above the C+ range.
Well worth a read, so go support our fellow SBN blog.
5 days ago
PhillyFriar
4 comments
0 recs
Phuture Phillies Reader Top 30: Take 2!
I know, I'm posting this again, but the process has obviously taken on new meaning with the Halladay deal (perhaps you heard of this?). Domonic Brown was the shoe-in candidate at #1, but #2 is open for debate today, and it should be interesting to see how the "wisdom of the crowd" shakes out. Feel free to jump in and voice your opinion.
5 days ago
PhillyFriar
0 comments
0 recs
(Offseason) Prospect Roundup: The Post-Halladay Edition
After much consternation, Roy Halladay is finally a Philadelphia Phillie. Many, including myself, would have thought that flipping Cliff Lee would provide the necessary prospects for Ruben Amaro to get his man, but that would have been too easy, right? Thus ensued the construction of a complicated four-team deal (or, really, a series of three two-team deals), and while it felt like it dragged on for weeks, it was suddenly done on Wednesday afternoon. When the dust had settled, the 2009 playoff hero was gone, along with 3 of the organization's top 4 prospects, and in their place was a new #34, and a new trio of prospects.
I'm not here to debate the merits of what Amaro did, not right now anyway. What I'm more interested in is assessing how those moves have impacted the Phillies' collection of minor league talent. The long and short of it is that the good Doc came at a heavy price: the Phillies surrendered 2 prospects that are probably among the Top 25 in all of baseball, and a third who I'd rate more highly than anyone received from the Mariners. Still, even after dealing away 7 prospects in a span of 5 months, the system is far from barren -- even if it's not the juggernaut it appeared to be a half-year ago.
Without further ado, then, check below the jump as I give my take on the new (if not exactly improved) list of Top 10 prospects in the Phillies system, with a particular emphasis on the new additions...
161 comments | 0 recs
Condrey non-tendered
Shane Victorino, Joe Blanton, and Carlos Ruiz were always certain to be tendered contracts, so the only question revolved around a pair of right-handed relievers: Clay Condrey and Chad Durbin. The Phillies ultimately decided to hang on to the latter, but Clay is now officially out of work. To quote Scott Lauber...
"The decision to cut ties with Condrey comes as a surprise, especially given Condrey’s $650,000 salary in 2009... Clearly, though, the Phillies believe they can better allocate the approximately $850,000 that they would’ve had to pay Condrey in 2010."
Meanwhile, the club decided that it's worth it to pay what will likely be in the neighborhood of $2 million to Durbin so he can walk 6.1 batters per 9 innings again next year (as he did in 2009). Have to admit I don't quite see the logic here.
Anyway, best of luck to Clay wherever he winds up.
11 days ago
PhillyFriar
7 comments
0 recs
Phillies Hot Stove: Low-risk, high-reward free agents?
This is too big for a comment but doesn't merit its own story, so I thought I'd toss it up as a FanPost. Editor's Note: I disagree. Front page ahoy! - WC. Ruben Amaro has made noises about signing some low-risk, high-reward type free agents, which is a great way to maximize available payroll. So I've gone ahead and done the work for Ruben: here's a list of low-cost free agents that should be of interest to the Phils.
Kelvim Escobar, RHP
Apparently he's in demand, but he shouldn't command much money coming off a lost 2008 and 2009. But even in very limited action last year, Escobar got his fastball up to 96, and he'd be a good gamble to improve the back of the rotation at the right price.
Chien-Ming Wang, RHP
Wang isn't technically a free agent yet, but the Yankees aren't going to tender him a contract by tomorrow night, so he'll be one very soon. Note: He was officially non-tendered Saturday night. Wang got hit around (1-6 with a 9.64 ERA) in limited action this year and underwent shoulder surgery on July 30. I'd prioritize him if I were Amaro -- effective starters with a career 60.1% ground ball rate don't come available very often.
Randy Johnson, LHP
No, you read that right. The Big Unit may decide to hang 'em up, but if he wants to return to the bigs, I'd be all for him signing with the reigning NL champs. He's almost certain to break down at some point, but he'd be helpful whenever he pitches, whether it be from the rotation or the bullpen (imagine the Big Unit as a lefty specialist... <shudders>). He still posted excellent peripherals last year en route to a 3.74 xFIP, and he's got a slider that simply doesn't age.
Brendan Donnelly, RHP
I liked Donnelly going into last year, when he was even more of a reclamation project, and he repaid the Marlins' faith in him by posting a 1.78 ERA over 30 appearances. He's effective against both lefties and righties, and he's posted good peripherals throughout his career (8.7 K/9, 3.3 BB/9). He apparently wants a major league deal, and with the Phillies' bullpen in flux, I'd be fine with giving it to him.
Joaquin Benoit, RHP
Benoit missed the 2009 season after having rotator cuff surgery in January, so he'd certainly be a roll of the dice. But he's a guy who misses bats (career 8.2 K/9) whose control had improved in recent years, and his 3-pitch mix, including an effective change up, actually gives him a reverse platoon split for his career. I'd venture to guess he'd only want an invite to big league camp, and I'd go ahead and give it to him.
Will Ohman, LHP
Ohman was a somewhat coveted free agent last offseason, but he waited around too long and only wound up signing a minor league deal with the Dodgers. His 2009 campaign wasn't so successful, but his struggles came in a 12.1 inning sample size, and he had been an effective LOOGY the 4 years before that. He's held lefties to a .204/.293/.355 mark in his career, so he'd be more than worth giving a shot to as a non-roster invitee.
Ron Mahay, LHP
Another potential LOOGY, only this time, the Phils are rumored to have some interest. Mahay isn't all that different form Ohman except he's older and pitched effectively last year; he's held lefties to a .233/.308/.395 mark over the course of his career. Ohman and Mahay seem pretty fungible to me, so I'd see which would have some interest in a non-guaranteed deal, and then go ahead and invite them to spring training -- with J.C. Romero still something of a question mark, it would be wise to include a veteran among the Antonio Bastardo and Sergio Escalona types who will be competing for a spot in the bullpen.
Russ Springer, RHP
Sure, he'll be 41 last year, but he's still getting his fastball up to 93, and he's coming off a 2009 in which he posted solid peripherals (9.2 K/9, 2.7 BB/9). His extreme fly ball tendencies last year (only 19.2% grounders) are a worry, but he's the kind of guy you give a shot to in spring training, and if he doesn't have it, no harm, no foul -- and if he does have it, then he's a better option than Chad Durbin, and at a lower price.
I'd use the rest of this space to give a mention to guys like Eric Hinske, Jerry Hairston Jr., Ryan Church, and even Fernando Tatis, but the Phillies' bench seems to be all set. Hairston would be a massive upgrade over Juan Castro (a 34-year old with a .259/.328/.373 career line > a 37-year old with a .230/.270/.332 career line), and Hinske is essentially a better fielding version of Gload with more power and patience (see my rant here), but that ship has -- quite unfortunately -- sailed.
The bottom line, though, is that signing as many of the above guys as is affordable is far more preferable than signing Brandon Lyon to a 3 year, $15 million deal (that "Ed stole him from us" quote from Amaro still scares the bejesus out of me). So please, Rube: don't offer a similar deal to Fernando Rodney and his career 4.64 BB/9. Take a gamble on some of the above guys, and you'll be rewarded.
8 comments | 0 recs
2010 Phuture Phillies Reader Top 30
Here's your chance to weigh in with your own opinions on Phillies prospects. Phuture Phillies is back with its Reader Top 30 for another year, where the "wisdom of the masses" determines who the top dogs are in the organization's minor league system.
It's generally one vote per day, and a lively discussion always sparks up in the comments, so feel free to jump in.
12 days ago
PhillyFriar
0 comments
0 recs
Phillies select Angels RHP Kenneth Herndon in Rule 5 Draft
Just when you thought the winter meetings couldn't get any more exciting...
With the 26th selection in the 2009 Rule 5 Draft, the Phillies nabbed Angels righty Kenneth Herndon off their Double-A Arkansas club (who also, for whatever reason, goes by David Herndon in some places, including MiLB.com and Fangraphs).
The good news is that Herndon is an extreme ground ball pitcher -- inducing 58.5% worm burners last year, and 60.4% for his career -- and pounds the strike zone, surrendering only 1.4 BB/9 throughout 4 minor league seasons. The bad news is that he doesn't miss many bats, posting a paltry 4.8 K/9 last year, which is right in line with his career 5.2 K/9. If you're wondering how this makes him any different from Bobby Mosebach... well, I haven't the foggiest. In fact, they seem like the exact same player to me.
Whatever the case, it's another arm to throw into the spring training mix. Herndon's sinker/slider mix resembles that of current Phils reliever Clay Condrey, and Condrey probably represents Herndon's best case scenario: a serviceable front end bullpen guy.
In other Rule 5 news, the Mets selected Phils farmhand Carlos Monasterios, perhaps best known to the Philly faithful as one of the pieces the organization received in the infamous Bobby Abreu debacle deal. Both Herndon and Monasterios will have to make the 25-man rosters of the teams that selected them, or be offered back to their original clubs.
EDIT: Dylan Hernandez reports that the Mets have already shipped Monasterios to the Dodgers in exchange for cash. LA's bullpen looks pretty deep right now -- unless they decide to move guys like James McDonald and Scott Elbert to the rotation -- so I'd venture to guess that the odds of Carlos sticking there aren't great.
10 comments | 0 recs
Phillies sign Brian Schneider
Right on the heels of the Mets signing Chris Coste, too... let the conspiracy theories of sign stealing and catcher espionage begin!
Schneider is a career .251/.292/.335 hitter, but has hit at least .417/.528/.837 against the Phillies in his career (don't bother looking it up, it's just a guesstimate). He's agreed to back up Carlos Ruiz because he grew up a Phillies fan, and as a left-handed hitter, he should provide a nice complement to Chooch. No word on money yet, but he'll obviously be taking a substantial pay cut from the $4.9 million he made last year.
[EDIT from David S. Cohen: And our own dajafi nailed this one a few weeks ago. Now if only he could tell us the lottery numbers this coming week . . . . ]
22 days ago
PhillyFriar
23 comments
0 recs
Analyzing the Third Base Candidates: Trade Targets
On Friday, we tackled the free agent possibilities at the hot corner. Ruben Amaro is said to be leaning toward signing a free agent, but due diligence dictates a look at potential trade targets as well. I've tried to limit the discussion to third basemen who might actually be available (so you won't see Ryan Zimmerman listed below, sorry).
Without further ado, here's a look at how the trade market for third basemen shapes up: Brandon Wood, Kevin Kouzmanoff, Garrett Atkins, Andy LaRoche, Dan Uggla, and Alex Gordon.
30 comments | 0 recs
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