Team Needs

More Resiliency- players to respond better to unfavorable circumstances, consistency and inspiring/captavative leadership

Spark- One of the biggest needs I feel is 'spark'.  What I'm calling for play-making ability or the ability to create a play from nothing.  Kick start a drive, some emotion in our team.  They only problem I have with Orton is the lack of spark.  He can barley run and consistently 'sacks himself'.  I'm not advocating a change of qb, just observing.  He does make good decisions and throws and is great for what we are doing.

depth- well we need depth at certain positions, like CB, OL

TRADES

Trade Tony Scheffler and a 4th  to Browns for Josh Cribbs and a future 6th

FREE AGENTS

sign Orton

tender and keep Marshall

sign Prater

tender Kuper for a third and don't match offer -receive a third from Green Bay pick 86

Rex Hadnot, Cleveland Browns (28) 320

OG

Scouting Report

Assets	An instinctive reactor, he has the athleticism and strength to run forward to create room on running plays. A very solid and versatile anchor.
Flaws	Could be a much better pass protector. Doesn't read blitzes at all and can't seem to adjust on audibles. Can wear down at times.
Career Potential	Above-average starter.

by Fantasy Sports Services

Hadnot is a backup guard for the Browns.  Who have a very good line.  If we offer him a chance to start I believe he will take it, rather than sit behind the starters in Cleveland (steinbach and fraley).

sign to a 3 year 9 million dollar deal

Chester Pitts, Houston Texans (31) 321

OG

Scouting Report

Assets	Excellent size and very quick feet. Quick off the ball and tenacious. Plays with good leverage and has become smarter in pass protection. Is hard to move around.
Flaws	Lacks solid technique. Doesn't always play to his size because he doesn't get low when he blocks. Can be beaten to the inside.
Career Potential	Adequate starter.

by Fantasy Sports Services

A little under the radar because he was injured last year.  The Texans have a lot of UFAs this year and young upcoming guards on their team so it seems likely Pitts will be out there in free agency.

sign to a 4 year 15 million dollar deal

Ken Lucas, Seattle Seahawks (31)

CB

Scouting Report

Assets	Solid, well built and reliable. Jams well and covers short zones well in two-deep coverage. Has sound technique and doesn't make foolish mistakes.
Flaws	Can be outrun by speedsters. Doesn't cut as smoothly as a top corner. Inconsistent run defender who misses some tackles. Has lost a step in picking off passes.
Career Potential	Solid starter.

by Fantasy Sports Services

Not a starter in Seattle but still good for nickel or dime packages

sign to a 4 year 11 million dollar deal

Travis Kirschke, Pittsburgh Steelers (35) 6'3" 300

DE

Scouting Report

Assets	A very experienced lineman that doesn't make many mistakes. Has good initial first step and is solid on his feet. Can generate some quarterback hurries and get the occasional sack.
Flaws	Doesn't have the footwork of a pass-rusher. Isn't a pure tackler. Doesn't explode off the line or have the shifty moves to fool opposition.
Career Potential	Valuable backup lineman / reliable starter.

by Fantasy Sports Services

Good value as a rotating player on our team

sign to a 4 year 10 million dollar deal

Michael Koenen, Atlanta Falcons (28)

P

Scouting Report

Assets	Gives up almost nothing as a punter thanks to good placement and hangtime. Has a powerful leg, which helps him be very versatile if need be: he can handle place-kicking, punting, and kickoff duties.
Flaws	Not reliable when forced into regular field-goal duties.
Career Potential	Quality punter.

by Fantasy Sports Services

I think He has potential to be a free agent on the market, he was franchised last year and the year before signed a one year contract.

Sign to a 2 year 6.5 million dollar deal

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Resign

Orton Kuper Doom Prater

Trade

Broncos send Peyton Hillis to Washington for a 5th

Broncos send Scheffler and a 6th to Bengals for a 3rd

Broncos send Marshall to Miami for a 1st and 3rd

UFA's I would think about right now (not included in mock)

**NOT ACQUISITIONS**  Aubrayo Franklin ,Ryan Pickett, Chester Taylor, Vince Wilfork, Richard Seymour

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I tried to make this as awesome as possible while still financially plausible. imo

so take a look-

Resign

Orton, doom, kuper

Trade

Trade Scheffler to Bengals for a 3rd

Trade Marshall to Miami for 1 and 3rd

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Here's What I'd do If the offseason happened in one day and I was in charge....

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Alright, welcome to the Denver Bronco's Playoff Guide

Lets jump to it-

Denver Broncos we are 8-4

The best record we can get is 12-4 the worst is 8-8, but lets assume it's 10-6 with wins at least against KC and OAK

Broncos remaining schedule

AFC PLAYOFF PICTURE

AFC
Seed	Team	Division	Record
1	Indianapolis (y)	South	12-0-0
2	San Diego	West	9-3-0
3	Cincinnati	North	9-3-0
4	New England	East	7-5-0
5	Denver	West	8-4-0
6	Jacksonville	South	7-5-0
Still alive (below)
7	Baltimore	North	6-5-0
8	Miami	East	6-6-0
9	N.Y. Jets	East	6-6-0
10	Pittsburgh	North	6-6-0
11	Tennessee	South	5-7-0
12	Houston	South	5-7-0
13	Oakland	West	4-8-0
14	Buffalo	East	4-8-0
Eliminated
15	Kansas City	West	3-9-0
16	Cleveland	North	1-11-0

crossed out those who cant beat us to playoff spot(assuming 10-6 at worst) *EDIT* I tried to cross them out, it didn't work imagine everyone from Tennessee down crossed out.

So first lets look at Pittsburg:

PITTSBURGH 

6-6

If they win out, we tie at worst. But a win against Indy or Philly kills them as well as a loss on their part.  But they win a tiebreaker.

We should beat them 

JETS

6-6

They are not a problem, if they win out, unlikley, and we go 10-6 we beat them on the tie breaker.  Dont worry about them.

Eliminated (from our POV)

MIAMI

6-6

Same as Jets, I believe we have the tie breaker, pose no threat

Eliminated

BALTIMORE

6-5

If they win out were in trouble, they'd be 11-5 at most likely and likely above us.  Hopefully they drop one to 10-6 or more.  Balt is probably a wildcard

JACKSONVILLE

7-5

If they win out like the Ravens, were in trouble, they'd be 11-5, but most likely they'll be possibly 10-6 or most likley  9-7, lets say 10-6 to be safe.  Not all too much to worry about, we'll most likely have the tie break

Should be OK

SAN DIEGO

9-3

Anything could happen here, they could get sloppy and drop them all, unlikely.  In order for us to overtake them, they need to drop 2 games, between DALLAS, CINCY, and REDSKINS.  If they do we need to beat Philly.  In that case we are both 11-5 and the broncos have more victories against common opponents any way you cook it if they lose 2 of those 3.  or we win out and they lose 2. I think they have tiebreak if we tie 12-4 and they lose 1 of those 3

POSSIBLE (not all that far out)

ANALYSIS

We should get in at 10-6, we beat out Jacksonville, Miami, Jets.  But not in worst case scenarios although very unlikley.  Jacksonville, Baltimore and Pitt could still beat us out at that record.  Although Jacksonville will almost certainly drop one vs. Miami, Ne and Indy.  and Pitt should drop one vs. Green Bay and Balt.  Balt will probably also drop one game bringin them to 10-6....So at 10-6 the wildcard should be us and Balt 

At 11-5 assuming one win v Indy or Philly we'd be 11-5, at that record only Balt and Jacksonville can catch us.

PREDICTION

My prediction is that we go 11-5 (I want to say 12-4 but I won't) and we are in as a 1st place wildcard, and play New England in the first round of the playoffs.  Baltimore comes in behind us at 10-6 and plays San Diego.

FRINDLIES

Green Bay, Cleavland, New England, Miami, as well as everyone playing SD

There are others, but these should be our 2nd fav teams.  Root for them after you push Denver to victory, we will be better if these teams win out.

Thats all, thanks for reading, what do you think?

Picks below...

If you are interested in playing around with sports betting check out CentSports.  They give you a dime and you can place a bet with it.  If you lose it you get another, if you win, well good for you.  Once you make 10 bucks you can cash out or keep betting.  Check it out its lots of fun, better than fantasy sports or pickems!

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Okay so I got my picks and stuff below

If you are interested in playing around with sports betting check out CentSports.  They give you a dime and you can place a bet with it.  If you lose it you get another, if you win, well good for you.  Once you make 10 bucks you can cash out or keep betting.  Check it out its lots of fun, better than fantasy sports or pickems!

Picks

Week 6,  -3.5 units

Week 7,  +1 unit

Week 8, ?

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Hello, So i got my picks below and stats from last week.  Please comment on my picks, the more discussion the more learned and revealed. I don't care if you disagree or agree I just wanna hear what you think, even if its just 'yea, I like indy to cover too' or 'I think cinncy will win'

If you've ever been interested in sport betting in the slightest you should check out CentSports (click here, link).  Only difference is its completely legal just like Football Pick'em and Fantasy Football.  You'll get 10 cents to bet with and can cash out when your over $10.  Its all paid for by their ads

Last week my picks lost a little money.  I laid my money in some of the wrong spots and won't make the same mistake.  I actually was a little disappointed in my picks and put a lot more on the broncos monday night then posted and came up with a positive 5 units for the week end. yay! but it wasn't  good idea...

Picks

Week 6,  -3.5 units

Week 7, ?

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Alright I researched all the teams and posted up my picks.  Ive done more research than it looks like.  I'm just not that good at explaining why I pick who I picked.  

If you've ever been interested in sport betting in the slightest you should check out CentSports.  Only difference is its completely legal just like Football Pick'em and Fantasy Football.  You'll get 10 cents to bet with and can cash out when your over $10.  Its all paid for by their ads

PICKS

 1:00 ET At Washington -6.5 Kansas City 37.5

I'm not going to bet on this game but my pick would  Washington -6.5 +0 units

 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -5 Houston 45

I think this has the makings of a trap game and don't want to get caught in it.  I'm going to stay away but would take the bengals if need be.

 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh -14 Cleveland 38 +1.5 units

I like pitt here.  Tomlin will prepare them well and they'll easily squash clevland by 14

 1:00 ET At Minnesota -3 Baltimore, over 43.5 +0,2 units

I like over 43.5 here; think they both can score over 20

1:00 ET At Jacksonville -9.5 St. Louis 42.5 +1.5 units

 1:00 ET At New Orleans -3 NY Giants over 47.5 +.5 units

 1:00 ET Carolina -3.5 At Tampa Bay under 40 +.5 units

 1:00 ET At Green Bay -13.5 Detroit 48.5 +1 unit

Detriot has been very competitive

 4:05 ET Philadelphia -14 At Oakland 40.5 +3 units

I think this game will be on the verge of a shut out

 4:05 ET At Seattle -3 Arizona 47 +1.5 units

Hassel is back, 3 points should be nothing in this kind of game

 4:15 ET At NY Jets -9.5 Buffalo 38 +.5 units

Both of these teams seem to be collapsing, but the Jets are defiantly better. 9 and half better? -you'd better bet.

 4:15 ET At New England -9.5 Tennessee 43.5 +2 units

Maybe this week tennesse comes back? NO. NE is mad/ has something to prove. Tenn is used up

 8:20 ET At Atlanta -3 Chicago over 46 +.5 units

tough to pick, probably Chicago with the points

 8:35 ET At San Diego -4 Denver 44 +2 units

I'd say under too, but denver may score too much :)  We show em who's boss of the AFC (west)

Alright next week Ill add up how I did to see how much money you'd woulda won had you believed me

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Ok so here are some picks.  This week I feel I took a better approach researching the games and hope for improved results.  After my picks I have some 'assessments' on things.

If your interested in betting even in the slightest you should check out CentSports.   What happens is you get 10 cents of 'playmoney' to use and grow and cash out once you have over $10.  Its paid for completely by ads.  I'd say its Great fun, better than any Fantasy Sports or Pickem challenge I've ever done. and easier to sign up

PICKS

I think the Atlanta Falcons will get it done in San Fransisco.  They've just got a bye week and playing against a Gore-less 49ers team.  Researching both of them my final conclusion agrees with my original pick.

I like the Vikings to cover 10 points at the rams.  I think the spread should be much larger here and like the pick here and defintly to win straight up.

I also think the radiers can cover 16 points, even if they are pity points.

Dallas over Kansas City

Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns

I like Houston Texans to beat Arizona Cardinals although its very hard to call.  But the more I look the more I like it.

Carolina Panthers over Washington Redskins

Bengals to cover +8.5 @ the ravens

Denver +3.5 to win over the visiting Patriots

Colts to win -4 @ Titans

Jets to cover -2 @ Miami

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Week 4 Picks & Predictions against the spread, straight up & over under

Ok. so I got my scouting done a day early and decided to make a post out of it.  Next week I'll take a look at it and see how well I did for the games and for against my Confidence Rating, which is a 1-4 scale [higher better] for how much I like a matchup, with 5 being sure locks.

If anyone is slightly interested in betting check out CentSports.  What happens is you get 10 cents of 'playmoney' to use and grow and cash out once you have over $10.  Its paid for completely by ads.  I'd say its Great fun, better than any Fantasy Sports or Pickem challenge I've ever done.  just saying

without further ado...

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So the site gives you a free 10 cents that you can bet on any sporting event.  And if you lose it they give you another 10 cents.  If you can manage to grow 20 buck you can cash it out- into cold hard cash!  My friends already cashed out 30 bucks twice!!

If your interested sign up here at Centsports.com

Please use the link Ill get 5% of your winnings, No hurt to you!!

Best of all NO PERSONAL info is required only name, password, email

The site is completely ad-supported which pays for your 10 cents and completely Legal since the 10 cents is considered play money and because you cannot deposit any of your own money into the site.

Go check it out and sign up under my link!!

You're my second favorite team.  I actually own a viking horn.  Do any of you?

OK so I'm more of a NFL fan (go broncos!) but I have always loved salary cap stuff.  Just recently I have been studying the NBA's 'soft' cap and its rules -which I find very interesting.  But one thing I can't  find any information on by googling is trading cash.

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Ok so here is my ultimate dream mock.  I was just at some site where 'experts' had us taking Aaron Curry so it inspired this all.

12  Aaron Curry

18  trade back with philly for 5-21 6-21 7-21 to 1-21

21 trade 21st  and 5-21 with st louis for 2 -3 and 3-2

2-3 Draft Sean Smith 

2-16  Draft Connor Barwin

2-20  trade 3-15, 4-14, 5-13, 6-12 to the Jets for 2-20  then Draft Ziggy Hood

3-2 Paul Kruger

3-20 Mitch King

6-21 Antonio Appleby

7-16 Daryl Richard DL

7-21  Graham Harell QB

7-26  Roger Allen C/G

Alright this is my final draft board including 7 rounds and a CFA section. 

• All the rounds are ranked  & every player is put where we should start looking at them.  So that could be a little early or a few rounds late.

• Players that I escpecially like or 'have a feeling for' (like with eddie last year) I highlighted in blue.  -Darker the better.  BTW, Ziggy Hood is my Eddie Royal of 2009.
  

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I think that  come draft day we're going to trade down in the first but for the purpose of this draft and getting the most stuff right I'm not doing any trades.

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I've tried to compile a broncos draft board.  This one is a rough draft, a Final draft will come later.  But I want to hear the community's take on it.  So please help!  Name any prospecsts you think I missed and should be on the board. or vica-versa  oh & the rank of the players

I tried to keep it to players who I believe the broncos will target -character/versatility etc.  The players aren't neccasarily in any particular order although they are somewhat.  And I tried to put them in the round we would start looking at them.

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Alright this is my mock Offseason so far, I still need some better draft analysis but nevertheless....

TARGETED FREE AGENTS

DEFENSIVE LINEMEN

Chris Canty, Cowboys. Age: 26.
Though he had somewhat of a down year in 2008, Chris Canty is still a decent defensive end in the 3-4.

Gabe Watson (RFA), Cardinals. Age: 25.
One of the many reasons Arizona was able to improve so much on defense throughout the year. The Cardinals can't afford to let Giant Gabe go anywhere.

Igor Olshansky, Chargers. Age: 27.
Igor Olshansky was an effective end in the 3-4 until this season. He performed poorly in 2008 and will need to reestablish himself next year.

^^^Im not 100 % sure of what they're talking about.  He lost playing time, which the chargers like to do when they are not going to resign  a guy.  He is known his rute strength and is the 1st nfl player from the former Soviet Union. He is 6-6 and 309 pounds.  His motor runs hot and cold.  But he has a good relationship with Wayne Nunnly.  Good at eating up two blockers.  Cheap for what he is.

Mike Wright, Patriots. Age: 27.
Another young, reliable depth player in the 3-4. Mike Wright is versatile to play end and nose tackle.

Undrafted. tendered for 2nd round last year.  On injured reserve 2 years ago after 7 games and oce a year or two before that.

LINEBACKERS

OLB

Marques Harris, Chargers. Age: 27.
A solid reserve in the 3-4, Marques Harris managed 2.5 sacks in just a handful of starts.

He seems like a good football player capable of making plays, causing sacks and forcing 2 fumbles in 08. played in 15 games the last three years.

If he comes cheap I could see getting him, but I think we should build through the draft and not dig in SD's trash.

ILB

Bart Scott, Ravens. Age: 29.
A really good linebacker or the product of a great Ravens system? No one can really be certain, but one thing's for sure - Bart Scott is really entertaining. Asked to compare Chris Johnson and LenDale White, Scott said, "Let's see: a fat guy and the fastest guy in the 40... Not fat. I'm sorry. Plump."

Im just saying if hes cheaper than expected or if we could get a good deal...

Channing Crowder, Dolphins. Age: 25.
Channing Crowder is coming off a great season in which he recorded 113 tackles. However, he has bad knee history, and it's a bit concerning that his best year came in his contract season. Someone will likely overpay for him.

I'm not sure with him.  He seems pretty good and is known for stopping the run.  Capable of plugging holes for rbs

Andra Davis, Browns. Age: 30.
Andra Davis' days as a starting inside linebacker are probably over, but he'll be a valuable backup somewhere.

Another 3-4 ILB. If he comes at a back up price think we buy/sign him.

I think before we load up o ILBs and OLBs we have to look at our draft strategy then come back an sign free agents.

SAFTEYS

James Sanders, Patriots. Age: 25.
James Sanders has become a pretty reliable player in New England's secondary. At just 25 years old, Sanders looks like he has a bright future ahead of him.

Sean Jones, Browns. Age: 27.
Normally, strong safety is one of the few positions that's not a weakness on Cleveland's defense. However, Jones was banged up all year despite never missing a start prior to the 2008 campaign.

Jim Leonhard, Ravens. Age: 26.
Jim Leonhard stepped in for an injured Dawan Landry and played remarkably well. Look for him to follow Rex Ryan to New York.

Mike Brown, Bears. Age: 31.
It's a shame, but it looks like Mike Brown's career is winding down. He was an incredible player when healthy, but he spent far too many weeks on injury reports.

Mike brown would only be if he came heap to be used as a backup starter

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Hello and Welcome to Consistency of the yards

(note: from now on I might abbreviate these post editions as COY or C.O.Y. or I might use it for stats, example his 3 yard COY for the game was 85% !!)

In this post You will find a breakdown for just aboot every Ball carrier we've had, except for WRs(TEs) of course.  We will start off with the two backs that don't have enough carries for real consideration and then move on from there.

NEW from last time

I have developed a formula/algorithm that takes a lot of my info into account and in the end produces a single number which can be compared against others.  This post will be in ascending order using this RB #.  I'm still working on improvements, such as taking short yardage situations, 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th down, how far is left to first down, score, goaline, recent tendencies into account but for the time being we will have to take for granted they average out.

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It seems with all this Drama, we forget we[not us] are in the midst of the playoffs!!  Fear not, i have created a poll.  Go ahead, pick your pick.. only one can be right.

I got Cardinals & Ravens. just my gut ,i was 3/4 last weekend - thanks to the cardinals but now they have earned my trust.  But you never know, the steelers look ok as well as the Eagles who i hope to see more passing out of without the swirling winds at the Meadowlands.  Well I hope that 75 words because I can't think of any more gibberish (which I just learned is spelled with g not J) for this poll

This is my Second Edition of Consistency of the Yards.  Im working on a new formula to take everything into account and provide one resulting Number but its not quite ready-

This Post is focused on Bell and includes all his stats from the KC game until present

Bell has improved since last time, but not by too much.  Last time he had 36% consistency running for 3 yards..... NOW he has 43% consistency running for 3 yards compared to Hillis's limited sample size who had 75% consistency for 3 yards.

95% of the time Bell will at least get back to the line of scrimmage

85% of the time Bell will at least get a yard

1 in every 3 times Bell will gain 5 yards... But that means the other 2 times will be less than 3 yard gains...(since hes never rushed for 4 yards)

1 in every 5 times Bell will get just enough to move the chains on first down

1 in every 20 times Bell will be lucky enough to find around 30 yards of turf to strut his stuff on

3 in every 20 times Bell will fail to make a yard

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