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Pomeranian_of_war

Richard

Mar 26, 2008 Jan 07, 2009 133 4699

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Bloody Elbow January MMA Meta-Rankings:  Lightweight

Fighter PointsPromotionLast Rank
1. B.J. Penn 695 UFC 1
2. Shinya Aoki 629
DREAM 3
3. Eddie Alvarez 595
DREAM/Bellator 2
5. Gesias Cavalcante 549
DREAM
6
5. Joachim Hansen 549
DREAM 5
6. Sean Sherk 545
UFC 4
7. Kenny Florian 520
UFC 8
8. Takanori Gomi 514
WVR 7
9. Josh Thomson 404
Strikeforce 9
10. Tatsuya Kawajiri 305
DREAM 10
11. Gilbert Melendez 206
Strikeforce 11
12. Mitsuhiro Ishida 187
DREAM/Strikeforce 14
13. Gray Maynard 172
UFC 21
14. Satoru Kitaoka 164 WVR
19
15. Joe Stevenson 160 UFC 14
16. Frank Edgar 151 UFC 18
17. Caol Uno 148 DREAM 17
18. Jamie Varner 148 WEC 19
19. Vitor Ribeiro 137 Unsigned
20
20. Roger Huerta 137 UFC 15
21. Nathan Diaz 137 UFC 22
22. Tyson Griffin 126 UFC 13
23. Jim Miller 120
UFC 24
24. Hermes Franca 113
UFC 27
25. Eiji Mitsuoka 110
WVR 29

Commentary by Kid Nate (with a few small edits by Richard): We opted to skip the December Meta-Rankings because all the sites pretty much waited until after the big events UFC on December 27th, Dynamite! on the 31st and some even waited for Sengoku on January 4th.

Obviously the big news was #2 Shinya Aoki submitting #3 Eddie Alvarez on New Year's Eve. Had Aoki not lost to alternate #5 Joachim Hansen at the DREAM tourney finals, he'd have a strong case to be considered the best in the world. As is, the situation in Japan is cloudy as ever. Hansen was supposed to fight #5 Gesias "JZ" Cavalcante on the same card but had to drop out of the fight with a concussion.

That wraps up a hard luck year for JZ. He started the year as a consensus #2 or #3 but after a no contest followed by a loss to Aoki, he was out with an injured knee for most of the year. Hansen's injury canceled what might have been his redemption fight for 2008.

Alvarez is jumping right back on the horse with a match against UFC washout Naoyuki Kotani at Extreme Challenge in New Jersey on January 23rd. He'll also be fighting in the Bellator tournament on ESPN Deportes in April. Interesting how Monte Cox can keep his fighters busy and outside the UFC.

#1 B. J. Penn will obviously be moving up to welterweight to fight #1 meta-ranked Georges St. Pierre at UFC 94 on January 31. That leaves #7 Kenny Florian waiting for his title shot. #6 Sean Sherk wanted to welcome #6 meta-ranked welterweight Diego Sanchez to the division, but Sanchez will face #15 Joe Stevenson at UFC 95.

The other big fight since the last rankings was #14 Satoru Kitaoka's submission over #8 Takanori Gomi at Sengoku 7.  The impact of that fight is only beginning to be felt on the meta-rankings, most of the sites updated before the 1/4 event.

NOTE: The Meta-Rankings are not the subjective opinion of the BloodyElbow team, but rather a compilation of the rankings of over twenty leading MMA web sites. It is our opinion that these are the most informative MMA rankings anywhere.

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Chargers' Sproles barely eludes infamy

Fumbling inside the one yard line is really bad.

comment 2 days ago Pomeranian_of_war_tiny Richard comment 0 comments 0 recs

Chargers-Colts Success & Stop Rates

There were three parts to the San Diego victory on Sunday: Defense, Special Teams and Darren Sproles.  The stats verify the first, don't touch on the second and seem to disagree with the third.  I'd like to start by explaining why the stats are "wrong" about Darren Sproles.

Sproles ran the ball 23 times on Saturday night for 105 yards (4.6 ypc).  The problem was that he was stopped for gains of three yards or fewer on 14 of those carries and not one of those was in a short yardage situation.  He was stuffed* on eight of his attempts.  Stuffs are almost entirely the fault of the offensive line and to a lesser degree, so are carries of 1-3 yards.  If we remove the stuffs from his line (a reasonable action), Sproles' success rate jumps almost 20% from 34.8% to 53.3% (a most respectable rate and more representative of his play on Saturday).  Also his yards per carry balloons from 4.6 to 6.5.

Sproles' 20% success rate in the passing game is also weighed down by factors outside of his control.  Of his eight failures, five incomplete passes that were thrown at his feet and not actually at him.  If you remove those from his line (a reasonable action), his success rate doubles to a still less than stellar 40%.  Still, his two successes are a big 17 yarder on first down and a huge 13 yarder on third and long which the success rate system doesn't effectively reward.  However, that is balanced out by his goal line fumble which the system doesn't effectively punish.

There is also Sproles' stellar night returning punts and kicks that isn't included at the numbers at all, but that I'm certain you're all aware of.

The defense was excellent.  58.5% is damn good against an average offense.  Against the Colts, is downright incredible.  Things didn't look good early.  On the Colts' second drive of the game they went 85 yards on nine plays (seven of them successful).  Once they hit the red zone, it took the Colts only three plays (all three successful) to punch it into the end zone.  Outside of that second drive of the game, the Chargers' defense had a stop rate of 64.3%.

That drive would be the last time the Colts ran a play in the red zone.

Jamal Williams, Jyles Tucker and Stephen Cooper tied for the team lead in Stops with five.  Igor Olshansky and Eric Weddle tied for fourth with three apiece.  Antoine Cason had two.  Luis Castillo, Tim Dobbins, Jacques Cesaire, Matt Wilhelm, Antonio Cromartie and Quentin Jammer also picked up a Stop.  One really can't say enough about the play of the San Diego defense on Saturday.

We already touched on Special Teams in discussing Sproles' night, but the other star of that unit was Mike Scifres.  I might have to get a Scifres jersey.  He punted six times.  His net average was 51.7.  Tony Dungy called him "the difference in the game."  I have asserted to anyone who would listen that Scifres is the best player on the team and after Saturday, I feel a lot better about that.

And one more stat real quick: the Chargers under Norv Turner are 3-1 in the playoffs.

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Audibles at the Line: AFC Wild Card Games

Good stuff if you ignore the continued mindless Norv-bashing and Carroll's odd insistence that LT isn't that hurt. Also worth checking out for the whiny Colts fans in the comments.

comment 2 days ago Pomeranian_of_war_tiny Richard comment 0 comments 0 recs

Football Outsiders: AFC Wild Card Preview

Bill Barnwell breaks down the AFC Wild Card round of the playoffs.

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Rivers outshines Manning in key areas

"Peyton Manning may have won the NFL MVP award Friday, but Philip Rivers, who finished in sixth place in the voting, has been better than Manning in several key areas."

comment 4 days ago Pomeranian_of_war_tiny Richard comment 0 comments 0 recs

Chargers-Broncos Success & Stop Rates

Sorry this took so long to go up this week.  Between the holiday, computer troubles and then not being able to get on the internet most of today, this has been a pain in the ass.  I'd also like to apologize for not getting particularly in-depth today because my first draft got wiped out when I lost power to my computer.

On offense, the 54% doesn't tell the whole story because big plays get no extra weigh and the Charger offense hit on several.  Also, they were successful on 62% of plays in the red zone (67% on running plays in the red zone).  Jackson had a great game as did pretty much every Charger who ran with the ball.  It's hard to find much fault when the team scores on almost every possession and the credit can be spread rather evenly.

On defense, the 43% makes it look like they were worked over, but a lot of the Broncos' successes came after the game was out of reach and success rate doesn't fully capture the importance of turnovers.  Weddle and Cason led the team in stops with two each.  Applewhite, Bingham, Cooper, Cromartie, Olshansky, Phillips and Williams also had a stop.

It was a dominant performance, but the Broncos made it look closer by only quitting on the defensive side of the ball.

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RealGM Staff Report - Mike Shanahan and his staff have been fired by the Denver Broncos, according to a report from NationalFootballPost.com.

Shanhan has been the head coach of the Broncos since the 1995 season and won Super Bowls in 1997 and 1998.

This season the Broncos were 8-5 in and on the doorstep of winning the AFC West, but lost their final three games, including a 52-21 loss at San Diego in Week 17.

Shanahan has compiled a 136-86 record while head coach of Denver.

comment 7 days ago Pomeranian_of_war_tiny Richard comment 15 comments 0 recs

Heaven help us, because Ed Hochuli couldn't have saved the Broncos this night if he had been here and made a dozen wrong calls. The Broncos were offensive on offense, defenseless on defense, pathetic as players, contemptible as coaches and grotesque as a group.

Performance just pitiful
By Woody Paige

I'm not a fan of Paige, but this article was a fun read.

comment 8 days ago Pomeranian_of_war_tiny Richard comment 0 comments 0 recs

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