SB Nation User Blog: Royals Nation

Greg Schaum has found out from a viable source that 6 or 7 teams have told people close to Luke...

Royals Nation — Thu, 10 Sep 2009 04:42:31 -0000

Greg Schaum has found out from a viable source that 6 or 7 teams have told people close to Luke Hochevar that he has been tipping his pitches since the beginning of his rookie season. He is twitching his wrist; this is allowing teams to tell which pitches are coming. Luke Hochevar is looking forward to fixing this problem.

Facebook! Yes, this actually happened.

Royals Nation — Sat, 05 Sep 2009 06:43:23 -0000

Facebook! Yes, this actually happened.

According to Daniel Gutierrez's Facebook, he is in the process of being traded to the Texas Rangers...

Royals Nation — Thu, 03 Sep 2009 19:48:12 -0000

According to Daniel Gutierrez's Facebook, he is in the process of being traded to the Texas Rangers (2:47 p.m. CT). It's drawn several comments and sounds legitimate. Stay tuned.

Draft Review Part II

Royals Nation — Fri, 19 Jun 2009 02:48:38 -0000

Draft Review Part II

Part 2 of my player-by-player review of the draft is up on Left of the Foul Pole. (Draft picks 26-50 were reviewed).

My 2009 Royals Draft Review

Royals Nation — Sun, 14 Jun 2009 19:54:40 -0000

I wrote a fairly extensive review of our draft for 2009. I actually highlighted each individual selection/player, giving some background info. on that player. I also tried to find which affiliate they will join. #s 1-25 are this week; #26-50 will be given next week. Enjoy!

Trip to Northwest Arkansas, Part One

Royals Nation — Sun, 03 May 2009 06:32:22 -0000

I traveled to AA Northwest Arkansas this weekend, and caught Saturday's contest against the Arkansas Travelers (Angels' affiliate) on Saturday. I will travel out to the ballpark for Sunday's game (4:00 p.m.).

Several notes from Saturday's game:

- Daniel Cortes demonstrated some composure problems (which he had had in the past), shouting and hurling his glove against the bench following a frustrating performance. Cortes allowed three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings....not a bad performance but a particularly frustrating one given walks and defense. It was probably a 'B' or 'B-' performance, overall. His velocity appeared to taper off as the game progressed, and he did not consistently throw strikes, especially early.... It was a cold evening at the ballyard, for the record. Nonetheless, he'll need to improve to advance to AAA and eventually K.C. (hopefully, he'll get a cup of coffee in September).

- '09 Spring Training invitee and third baseman Corey Smith committed two errors, both of which were obvious routine plays. He missed a towering popup and then later let a ball go between his legs.

- The offense looked stale. They drew six walks but struck out ten times, stranded ten runners, and only scored two runs.

- Relievers Victor Marte - a hard-thrower who I thought resembled Octavio Dotel - and Kyle Crist looked good, pitching 1-2-3 eighth and ninth innings.

- The crowd was rather prolific and into the game despite the fact that there were northerly winds blowing, and it was in the mid 50's, overall.

- Tonight was Kila Ka'aihue bobblehead night. Unfortunately, though, I had to blow quite a bit of money on a Naturals hoodie sweatshirt. It was coooold, and I only brought short-sleeve shirts, thinking that Mays in Arkansas were a little more "Sling Blade"-like and a little less "Fargo"-like. (Two good 90's movies).

- Arvest Ballpark is beautiful, although it's seemingly in the middle of nowhere. I encourage everyone with spare time and money to visit the yard.

RR Community Project: Calculating Defense

Royals Nation — Sun, 12 Apr 2009 23:03:58 -0000

I embarked upon an intriguing idea but several minutes ago. Because many defensive statistics are highly debated among the sabermetric and scouting communities alike, and many statistics have been proven to be some degree of inaccurate or faulty, I would like to begin a season-long community project where we estimate - "scientifically" - exactly how many runs Royals defenders cost or help the team for this year. I would like to see how these statistics compare to the various metrics out there (UZR, +/- system, and more). This system would be a rough estimate, basically.

It might require some effort and debating on our parts - but it's an interesting idea, nonetheless. Does someone who has watched every game, or at least paid close attention to them in some form, want to volunteer to begin our contest, calculating +/- totals for the first six games? In other words, for example, Bloomquist's gaffe yesterday cost the Royals....how many runs, total? Who has helped save a run - in estimation - on defense?

Food for thought. Unfortunately, I won't be able to watch every inning of every Royals game this year, so let's make this a 'community' effort.

Rick Porcello Earns Spot In Tigers' Rotation

Royals Nation — Thu, 02 Apr 2009 00:27:10 -0000

Rick Porcello Earns Spot In Tigers' Rotation

3-year forecast predictions?

Mine:

2009: 5.69 ERA, 103.1 IP, 52 BB, 65 K (1/2 year in AAA)
2010: 6.20 ERA, 106.0 IP, 55 BB, 51 K (arm injury, back injury, leg injury)
2011: 7.17 ERA, 36.2 IP, 44 BB, 29 K (arm injury, back injury, annnnnnndd boom goes the dynamite)

The Pre-Arbitration Eligible Position Player Roster

Royals Nation — Wed, 25 Mar 2009 03:32:27 -0000

The Pre-Arbitration Eligible Position Player Roster

I post this not as a shameless blog entry, but I've been really looking forward to posting this at RR and (hopefully) generating some discussion. What are the chances a hypothetical position-player element of the roster actually *outperforms* our current position players? In other words, how many wins and losses would the current 13 men produce over our *actual* likely 13 men to make up the position player element of our Opening Day 2009 25-man roster? (Assume we have Greinke, Meche, etc. etc. on the pitching staff).

Lineup:
C - Brayan Pena
1B - Ryan Shealy
2B - Alberto Callaspo
SS - Mike Aviles
3B - Alex Gordon
LF - Chris Lubanski
CF - Mitch Maier
RF - Shane Costa
DH - Billy Butler

Bench:
C - J.R. House
1B/DH - Kila Ka'aihue
2B - Tug Hulett
UT - Tommy Murphy

I didn't include bench players in my original post, so I may modify it upon later notice. I really feel this is an extremely relevant topic for RR. We all know Moore hasn't exactly done an exemplary job implementing payroll efficiency with keen understanding in what constitutes 'replacement' value. CHONE and PECOTA project 71 and 76 wins, respectively, for the "actual" roster. Is this roster really much, much worse?

Spring Training Trip: Day Five

Royals Nation — Sat, 14 Mar 2009 06:09:03 -0000

Unfortunately, the second consecutive Friday the 13th marked an overnight (roughly 12 a.m. until 10 p.m.) of tumultuosity between being awake, being pseudo-asleep, and being involved in an extremely deep sleep. I slept in the same room as my father, who somehow obtained ridiculous nasal-related problems which forced him to snore incessantly most of the overnight. I *loathe* the idea of snoring, as I never sleep. Anyway, push came to shove, and I did not sleep soundly until roughly 8:30 in the morning. I finally woke up around 10:30, and scrambled to get everything ready in order to take an appropriate amount of pictures at Minor League practice fields before they departed, which ultimately was approximately 11:45.

Anyway, I ended up snapping six or seven dozen photographs throughout the day - at the practice fields and game alike - so it was work well done. Sometimes, I feel that when conversating with my father about the particular Minor League players of choice, I'm yaking at thin air - or a wall which either stares at me blankly or ignores me entirely. My uncle and father are dedicated Royals fans, to be sure, but I doubt my father could tell you first hand who pitcher Tim Melville is. Neither could tell you who David Lough is. Certainly, neither one of them would devote their fanhood to snapping pictures of practices, or for that matter - even calling into radio programs more than once a week. However, both of them share a profound interest in the game, and probably know more about historical aspects of the game - especially, analytically, as they obviously attended games from as early as the 1960s - than I do.

As a side note, sometimes I feel that the verbage that gets circulated routinely throughout the blogosphere sounds awkward in real life. In other words, I often stumble when saying 'VORP' when describing a particular player. At first, I stumbled when using the "trio" (as I call it) of a particular player. When I'm reading blogs aloud, reading the batting average, followed by the on-base percentage, followed by the slugging percentage, sounds awkward to me. Does the 6 belong in the previous percentage or the next percentage? Where do the numbers end and begin? And trying to ignore the 'RBI' chatter....I'm sorry, but it is very well possible for a 90-RBI guy to have a subpar year, as Guillen did last year. Anyway, I digress.

Fortunately, despite my late arrival, I captured a couple dozen pictures of Minor Leaguers in action. I found that mostly batting practice - with sets of fielders standing at their respective positions - was taking place. The players walked by me at an amazingly close level. Anyway, I've been sent on a particular assignment for Saturday's morning practice field excursion, so at least I'll have one purpose (I crave these, by the way).

I caught the catchers - notably, Salvador Perez, Sean McCauley, Josh Vittek, and Jose Bonilla - hitting in the cages. I wouldn't say any particular catcher dazzled, but the sample size is (as always) extremely limited. I was impressed with Perez' ability to hit in the gaps and Bonilla snapped a few long gap hits, as well.

In one of the photos at the bottom, you'll see the several hundred minor leaguers filing off to the Surprise Stadium clubhouse. To see the players' mass exodus - so soon - took me by surprise, no pun intended.

Here are several notes from the Major League game. By the way, we attended the Surprise, AZ 4-1 victory today. Not the 5-1 beatdown over in Phoenix, where the Milwaukee Brew Crew call home.

- My father noted that the dominant aspect of every game we have seen thus far, including the game that I witnessed on Tuesday, has been fantastic pitching, notably the starting pitching. Meche, HoRam, Davies, Hochevar, Tejeda each surrendered three earned runs or less in multiple innings. (I feel that HoRam's earned run in the first inning of Thursday's game should have been unearned - Teahen completely botched that play).

- Another aspect of the game was that even I'll admit that Ross Gload looks thoroughly fantastic at the plate, in this limited playing time. I believe Gload is a near-lock to make the final roster cut. Tony Pena will likely end up in AAA, with Buck, Bloomquist, and Teahen making those final three bench roster slots. Again, that's just my opinion and gut feeling. For the record, Bill James projects a .294/.340/.423/.763 line for Gload this year, which isn't entirely awful for a backup.

- Luis Hernandez looks slick around the bag at shortstop. I forsee a Tony Pena, Jr. lookalike playing at Omaha virtually the entire season (sans, possibly, September). His career .245/.289/.316/.605 line in the Minor Leagues looks positively TPJ-like. I hope the organization doesn't make the mistake of running him out there for a -1.2 WAR for two consecutive seasons.

- Covelli Crisp continues to work the count well. He covers quite a spell of ground in center field, as does DeJesus in left (although he lost a ball in the air today). I predict very good things defensively for the left side of the diamond in '09 (i.e. Gordon, Aviles, Crisp, and DeJesus).

- John Buck hit a towering 2-run opposite field shot. Essentially a no-doubter.

- Billy Butler looked fooled on breaking pitches. He has looked fooled on these in games prior.

- Robinson Tejeda's stuff looked thoroughly dominant. Unfortunately, he worked himself in a few strong hitters' counts - and issued a few walks - but he struck out seven. The heat - and slider - was clearly functioning today.

- I captured several photographs of the Royals management team, including "interim" manager Mullet.

(*Editor's Note* TRT is my blog. Sorry for the confusion). My uncle noted yesterday that at certain times, a player's contributions on the field transcended numbers or statistical data. He emphasized that at certain times, a player's willingness to work or hustle hard, or have positive personality attributes that can rub off on teammates well, the team could be considered better. He said that Gload and Bloomquist's reputation as "winners" in the clubhouse helped - and could help - their respective teams perform better on the field. He said their situations mirrored those of average people, who can use personality and hard work to achieve what they want and rub off positively on everyone around them, making everyone around them better. In baseball terms, I won't delve into my opinions - but it's food for thought. He basically insinuated that the Royals are modeling themselves under this philosophy - that "clubhouse" men can help. What does the TRT audience think about said scenario? Should we now ignore the statbook? (TRT says "NO!") (TRT also says, "but paying those guys millions and overplaying them over more deserving cost-controlled youngsters is an anti-progressive move for a low-budget organization nowhere close to contention!") The rest of the majority of the blogosphere agrees, while Hapless Royals probably wants to shoot me right now.

Unfortunately, we had to leave at approximately 3:10 p.m. - or the beginning of the Seventh Inning Stretch - to go hot air ballooning. I say 'unfortunately', although this activity also would have been fun. Because of a looming storm and some high wind gusts, the adventure was cancelled. We essentially drove one hour and then drove in a van for thirty extra minutes, and waited another twenty minutes, to get let down, but que sara, sara. And, yes, I probably mispelled that grossly.

via photos-c.ak.fbcdn.net

via photos-h.ak.fbcdn.net

via photos-d.ak.fbcdn.net

via photos-d.ak.fbcdn.net

More photos can be found via Facebook.