
StatRaven
Nov 15, 2008 May 28, 2012 4 214
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What if the union is decertified?
I haven't really seen a detailed examination of what the impact of such a completed action would be. Perhaps A WLC writer can pursue it further, perhaps with industry contacts for expert opinion (Larry Coon or others).
Here are my guesses & questions on the topic:
If the union is de-certified, the lockout would end. The league would probably have to pay on exisitng contracts (they have argued that all contracts would be null and void but I just don't see the court agreeing with them).The league wouldn't have to play but they probably would try to.Any attempt to enforce league rules (old or new) on max salaries, restricted free agency, team caps, luxury taxes, contract lengths, raise limits would be immediately challenged by players in court seeking an injunction for anti-competitive (monopoly) behavior. I don't know how or when the court would rule. It would seem like players would also challenge in court the draft (in the future and even the validity of the last one and for all players still affected by past ones), minimum age, draft salaries and maybe trade rules. it is possible that a renegade owner could challenge the league on things like minimum salary expenditure. they could try to set-up a revenue sharing plan but the players could challenge that if they wanted to. It is not clear if the league could enforce things like charity work, the dress code, drug testing and conduct penalties. They might be able to since these are not economic factors but there would a chance some player could challenge something.
The players would not have any guarantee of how much they would get of BRI. They would probably sue for collusion and seek triple damages however if the legue offered less or much less in salaries in future years compared to the past but they would have to prove collusion to the court. League attempts to set a spending limit would seem to invite anti-trust action and a verdict in the player's favor but maybe there is some way they can try to finesse it and gain the court's protection. Awfully risky though for them. Really both of them. The rank 'n file players might lose as the free market gave more money to the best players.
Decertification is mainly spoken of as a negotiating threat now or as a weapon to get a new round of negotiations in the future on different terms more favorable to the players but it could simply mean the end of such party to party negotiations if the league decide to roll that way. A new union could be formed at some point but I am not sure the league could be compelled to recognize it.
Things probably won't go this far, but I wanted to put this much out and see if maybe somebody wanted to look into it further.
Thunder Playoff Stats vs Everybody
Thru 2 games:
#1 on offensive efficiency of all playoff teams.
2nd fastest series. The pace the Nuggets like, the Thunder apparently like too.
#1 eFG%.
In a big reversal from the past, the Thunder lead everyone on 3 point attempts. Just barely above average on 3 pt FG% as there have been a lot of hot 3 point shooting teams.
#5 on offensive rebounding.
A bit below average on assists and just average on blocks so far.
Just about average on own turnovers and getting to the line.
The last item being a bit of a surprise. Overall the league is getting about 13% more free throws per FGA than they did in the regular season. The Thunder so far have gotten about 3% less than they did in the regular season. The Nuggets have gotten a playoff season FTA frequency boost similar to the average boost, enough to move them ahead of the Thunder in this category. They are 3rd highest in the playoffs after finishing 2nd to the Thunder in the regular season..
On defensive efficiency, the Thunder currently ranks just 8th of 16. #1 on defensive rebounding but clearly below average on all the other defensive Factors. Somewhat troubling but wait for more games before getting too excited or concerned about any of these rankings. Will check back on it later.
Dallas's stats are overall the best in the west so far, with the Thunder a very close 2nd.
Bag of recent stats
Reading the numbers
So far Rudy is doing quite well at the 2, terrible at PG.
Roy surprising rough start at SG but boffo at SF.
Outlaw better at PF.
Aldridge better at C.
Mattchups matter and can't up=shift against all opponents but I'd shift these guys up to the higher more often and see if the early numbers hold.
Blake-Fernandez-Roy-Outlaw-Aldridge is the 2nd best of top 10 most used lineups so far and Blake-Fernandez-Roy-Aldridge-Frye is best though of course very small samples. Too small- use them more.
Blake is stable but I wonder what woiuld happen if Sergio got a start (and didn't shoot) and Blake anchored the second unit. Might not work but I'd take an early look just to see sometime,
Defense is very weak right now. A lot of fouling, not many forced turnovers and allowing fabulous outside shooting. Opponent inside game pretty well under control compared to league average on % of inside shots and inside FG%.
What does more Oden do to team defense? Does it take opponent inside game to league worst- by far? If it did that would be something but it would be even more helpful if that also allowed perimeter defenders to clamp down on outside shots and / or not foul as much. Is Oden quick enough to help defend on perimeter penetration effectively? Time will tell.
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