SB Nation User Blog: Steve (Grey Suit)

Predicting the Score By the Numbers

Steve (Grey Suit) — Thu, 10 Dec 2009 18:16:35 -0000

Are the Bolts projected to beat America's team? Click Below to see!

So far this season the Cowboys have score on average 23.2 points per game and have allowed an average of 17.8 points per game. The Cowboys opponents have scored 20.5 points and allowed 22.4 points per game on average thus far this season. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Cowboys have scored 0.8 points per game over their opponent's average and have allowed 2.7 fewer points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Cowboys	23.2	17.8
Buccaneers	15.6	27.5
Giants	25.2	23.8
Panthers	17.9	21.8
Broncos	20.0	16.8
Chiefs	16.3	27.2
Falcons	23.2	23.2
Seahawks	20.2	22.2
Eagles	27.2	19.6
Packers	26.9	19.1
Redskins	16.7	19.8
Raiders	11.8	23.5
Giants	25.2	23.8
Average	20.5	22.4
Adjustment	0.8	-2.7

The Chargers have scored 28.5 points per game and allowed 20.2 points per game on average so far this season, while their opponents have scored an average of 19.1 points per game and allowed 22.2 points per game on average thus far in the season. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 6.3 more points per game than their opponent's average and are giving up 1.1 more points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	28.5	20.2
Raiders	11.8	23.5
Ravens	22.6	17.9
Dolphins	23.2	24.7
Steelers	22.7	19.2
Broncos	20.0	16.8
Chiefs	16.3	27.2
Raiders	11.8	23.5
Giants	25.2	23.8
Eagles	27.2	19.6
Broncos	20.0	16.8
Chiefs	16.3	27.2
Browns	12.1	25.8
Average	19.1	22.2
Adjustment	6.3	1.1

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:

Cowboys

The Cowboys score on average 23.2 points, the Chargers allow 1.1 points more than average, the Cowboys should score 24.3 points.

The Cowboys allow on average 17.8 points, the Chargers score on average 6.3 points higher than average, the Cowboys should allow 24.1 points.

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 28.5 points, the Cowboys allow 2.7 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 25.8 points

The Chargers allow on average 20.2 points, the Cowboys score on average 0.8 more points than their opponents average, Chargers should allow 21. points.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	25.8	21.0
Cowboys	24.3	24.1

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 25

Cowboys 23

Go Bolts!

Predicting the Score by the Numbers

Steve (Grey Suit) — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 16:57:45 -0000

It seems like each week the prediction is getting a little closer to the actual score. To see what I came up with this week click below.

So far this season the Browns have score on average 11.1 points per game and have allowed an average of 25.4 points per game. The Browns opponents have scored 21.9 points and allowed 19.6 points per game on average thus far this season. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Browns have scored 8.5 fewer points per game than their opponent's average and have allowed 3.5 more points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Browns	11.1	25.4
Vikings	31.1	18.5
Broncos	17.8	17.2
Ravens	23.4	17.1
Bengals	21.0	15.8
Bills	16.9	22.0
Steelers	22.5	18.5
Packers	26.9	19.5
Bears	19.6	23.7
Ravens	23.4	17.1
Lions	17.5	30.5
Bengals	21.0	15.8
Average	21.9	19.6
Adjustment	-8.5	3.5

The Chargers have scored 28.4 points per game and allowed 19.9 points per game on average so far this season, while their opponents have scored an average of 19.1 points per game and allowed 21.6 points per game on average thus far in the season. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 6.8 more points per game than their opponent's average and are giving up 0.8 more points per game than their opponent's average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	28.4	19.9
Raiders	10.5	23.5
Ravens	23.4	17.1
Dolphins	23.3	25.0
Steelers	22.5	18.5
Broncos	17.8	17.2
Chiefs	16.6	25.6
Raiders	10.5	23.5
Giants	24.7	23.7
Eagles	26.6	20.7
Broncos	17.8	17.2
Chiefs	16.6	25.6
Average	19.1	21.6
Adjustment	6.8	0.8

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:

Browns

The Browns score on average 11.1 points, the Chargers allow 0.8 points more than average, the Browns should score 11.9 points.

The Browns allow on average 25.4 points, the Chargers score on average 6.8 points higher than average, the Browns should allow 32.2 points.

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 28.4 points, the Browns allow 3.5 more points than average, Chargers should score 31.9 points

The Chargers allow on average 19.9 points, the Browns score on average 8.5 fewer points than their opponents average, Chargers should allow 11.4 points.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	31.9	11.4
Browns	11.9	32.2

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 32

Browns 12

Go Bolts!

Predicting the Score by the Numbers

Steve (Grey Suit) — Wed, 25 Nov 2009 15:50:42 -0000

Well my predicted score was a bit off last week but at least I got the winner right this time, yay improvement! I think this week’s prediction looks a little more realistic. Happy Turkeyday everyone!

So far this season the Chiefs have scored 16.9 points per game and allowed 23.9 points per game thus far. The Chiefs opponents have scored 20.6 points and allowed 20.6 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chiefs have scored 3.7 fewer points per game than the average and have allowed 3.3 more points per game than the average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chiefs	16.9	23.9
Ravens	23.7	17.1
Raiders	10.8	23.4
Eagles	26.6	20.4
Giants	26.6	23.5
Cowboys	23.1	17.5
Redskins	14.6	17.8
Chargers	26.9	20.5
Jaguars	19.9	23.5
Raiders	10.8	23.4
Steelers	23.1	18.4
Average	20.6	20.6
Adjustment	-3.7	3.3

The Chargers have scored 26.9 points per game and allowed 20.5 points per game on average thus far, while their opponents up until this point have scored an average of 19.7points per game and allowed 21.1 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 5.8 more points per game than the average and are giving up 0.8 more points per game than the average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	26.9	20.5
Raiders	10.8	23.4
Ravens	23.7	17.1
Dolphins	24.2	24.4
Steelers	23.1	18.4
Broncos	17	18.3
Chiefs	16.9	23.9
Raiders	10.8	23.4
Giants	26.6	23.5
Eagles	26.6	20.4
Broncos	17	18.3
Average	19.7	21.1
Adjustment	5.8	0.8

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week's game you get the following:

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 26.9 points, the Chiefs allow 3.3 more points than average, Chargers should score 30.2 points

The Chargers allow on average 20.5 points, the Chiefs score on average 3.7 points less than average, Chargers should allow 16.8 points.

Chiefs

The Chiefs score on average 16.9 points, the Chargers allow 0.8 points more than average, the Chiefs should score 17.7 points.

The Chiefs allow on average 23.9 points , the Chargers score on average 5.8 points higher than average, the Chiefs should allow 29.7 points.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	30.2	16.9
Chiefs	17.7	29.7

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 30
Chiefs 17

Hmmm this prediction actually looks like it could be a bit closer than the last two I guess we shall see. Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Predicting the Score by the Numbers

Steve (Grey Suit) — Thu, 19 Nov 2009 16:07:47 -0000

Well there is good news and there is bad news, the bad news is my prediction didn't do so well last week but since the Chargers won the good news is that my prediction didn't do so well last week. Click below to see what I came up with this week against the Broncos.

Major Stat Geek Warning Below!!!

So far this season the Broncos have scored 18.6 points per game and allowed 16.8 points per game thus far. The Broncos opponents have scored 20.4 points and allowed 19.6 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Broncos have scored 1 fewer point per game than the average and have allowed 3.6 points fewer per game than the average.

	Points For	Points Against
Broncos	18.6	16.8
Bengals	22	16.3
Browns	8.7	25
Raiders	9.8	24.1
Cowboys	24.9	18.8
Patriots	28.8	16.7
Chargers	26.3	22.4
Ravens	24.7	17.1
Steelers	23	17.4
Redskins	15.6	19
Average	20.4	19.6
Adjustment	-1.0	-3.6

The Chargers have scored 26.3 points per game and allowed 22.4 points per game on average thus far, while their opponents up until this point have scored an average of 19.8 points per game and allowed 21.3 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 5 more points per game than the average and are giving up 2.6 points per game than the average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	26.3	22.4
Raiders	9.8	24.1
Ravens	24.7	17.1
Dolphins	24.2	25.2
Steelers	23	17.4
Broncos	18.6	16.8
Chiefs	15.8	23.9
Raiders	9.8	24.1
Giants	25.8	22.7
Eagles	26.9	20.4
Average	19.8	21.3
Adjustment	5.0	2.6

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week’s game you get the following:

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 26.3 points, the Broncos allow 3.6 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 22.7 points

The Chargers allow on average 22.4 points, the Broncos score on average 1 point less than average, Chargers should allow 21.3 points.

Broncos

The Broncos score on average 18.6 points, the Chargers allow 2.5 points more than average, the Broncos should score 21.1 points.

The Broncos allow on average 16.8 points , the Chargers score on average 5 points higher than average, the Broncos should allow 21.8 points.

Team            Pts For     Pts Against
Chargers       22.7             21.3
Broncos         21.2             21.8

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 22
Broncos 21

Predicting the Score by the Numbers

Steve (Grey Suit) — Thu, 12 Nov 2009 16:18:24 -0000

I wanted to create an unbiased prediction of the score for this week’s game, but being a lifelong Charger fan I found that to be rather though. My solution was to turn to stats, if I could look at and compare each team’s average points for and against points per game totals I thought might somehow be able to predict the score without bias. Click below to see what I came up with.

Major Stat Geek Warning Below!!!

So far this season the Eagles have scored 27.4 points per game and allowed 19.1 points per game thus far. The Eagles opponents have scored 20.7 points and allowed 23.4 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Eagles have scored 4.1 points per game than the average and have allowed 1.6 points fewer per game than the average.

	Points For	Points Against
Eagles	27.4	19.1
Panthers	18.5	24.5
Saints	37.9	21.8
Chiefs	15.8	25.6
Bucs	16.8	28.9
Raiders	9.8	25.1
Redskins	14.1	19.2
Giants	25.8	22.7
Cowboys	27.1	19
Average	20.725	23.35
Adjustment	4.05	-1.625

The Chargers have scored 25.8 points per game and allowed 22.4 points per game on average thus far, while their opponents up until this point have scored an average of 19.4 points per game and allowed 21.9 points per game on average thus far. If you compare these two sets of numbers you can see that the Chargers are scoring 3.9 more points per game than the average and are giving up 3 points per game than the average.

	Points For	Points Against
Chargers	25.8	22.4
Raiders	9.8	25.1
Ravens	25.8	19.2
Dolphins	24.1	25.5
Steelers	23.9	18.4
Broncos	20	13.7
Chiefs	15.8	25.6
Raiders	9.8	25.1
Giants	25.8	22.7
Average	19.375	21.9125
Adjustment	3.8875	3.025

If you take the numbers from above and apply them to this week’s game you get the following:

Chargers

The Chargers score on average 25.8 points, the Eagles allow 1.6 fewer points than average, Chargers should score 24.2 points
The Chargers allow on average 22.4 points, the Eagles score on average 4.1 points higher than average, Chargers should allow 26.5 points.

Eagles

The Eagles score on average 27.4 points, the Chargers allow 3 points more than average, the Eagles should score 30.4 points.
The Eagles allow on average 19.1 points , the Chargers score on average 3.9 points higher than average, the eagles should allow 23 points.

Team For Against
Chargers 24.2 26.5
Eagles 30.4 23.0

If we average the points scored and against together for each team you get the following score:

Chargers 24
Eagles 28

Man this unbiased thing sucks!

Power Rankings from Around the Web (Week 8)

Steve (Grey Suit) — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 21:56:30 -0000

After two straight wins Chargers have squeaked back into the top half of the experts rankings at number 16. The Eagles look to be the big winners this week moving up four sports and getting back in the top ten while the Giants look to be the big losers falling all the way down to number 12. For the rest of the power rankings please click below.

Sources:
ESPN
Fox
CBS
USA Today
Football Outsiders
SI
Pro-Football Talk
NFL.com
Sporting News
Vegas Insider
SB Nation

Power Rankings from Around the Web (Week 7)

Steve (Grey Suit) — Wed, 28 Oct 2009 15:48:30 -0000

The Chargers only jump up one spot to number 17 this week, which I guess is understandable after beating the mighty Chiefs. The Cowboys seem to be the big winners this week moving up 5 spots to crack the top 10, while the Falcons seem to be the big losers dropping 7 spots to number 14. To see the full power rankings please click below.

Sources:
ESPN
Fox
CBS
USA Today
Football Outsiders
SI
Pro-Football Talk
NFL.com
Sporting News
Vegas Insider
SB Nation

Power Rankings from Around the Web (Week 6)

Steve (Grey Suit) — Wed, 21 Oct 2009 17:46:07 -0000

Almost all of the experts agree that the Saints are the best team in the NFL, while no experts can agree on where to rank the Chargers. The Chargers moved up 2 spots to number 14 in the ESPN power rankings and fell all the way down to number 21 in the pro football talk power rankings, in the end they average out to number 18 overall. To see the complete week 6 rankings please click below:

Sources:
ESPN
Fox
CBS
USA Today
Football Outsiders
SI
Pro-Football Talk
NFL.com
Sporting News
Vegas Insider
SB Nation

Power Rankings from Around the Web (Week 5)

Steve (Grey Suit) — Thu, 15 Oct 2009 14:27:19 -0000

As would be expected the Chargers stayed stagnate at number 16 during their bye week. The Broncos however have shot up to number 5 after their win over the Patriots. If the Chargers take care of business Monday night they may be able to crack the top ten again. Click below to see the full power rankings.

Sources:
ESPN
Fox
CBS
USA Today
Football Outsiders
SI
Pro-Football Talk
NFL.com
Sporting News
Vegas Insider
SB Nation

Power Rankings from Around the Web (Week 4)

Steve (Grey Suit) — Wed, 07 Oct 2009 22:34:37 -0000

Rough week for the Chargers dropping all the way down to #16 before they go into the bye week, I guess the experts only watched the first half o the Steelers game. See the full rankings below:

Sources:
ESPN
Fox
CBS
Football Outsiders
NFL.com
Sporting News
Vegas Insider
SI
USA Today
Pro-Football Talk
SB Nation