TheGreatMon
Apr 13, 2009 Jun 01, 2012 12 1551
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Great Roy Eulogy
Great write up on Roy courtesy of GothicGinobili
Of course, it's just posturing, like Artest saying Brandon Roy was the hardest guy to defend two years ago in the playoffs, but funny to hear nonetheless.
12 months ago
TheGreatMon
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Larger image, just basketball reference stats anyway:
http://www.freeimagehosting.net/uploads/70956bb63b.jpg
I hadn't thought of this, but Wes compares fairly nicely to Ray Allen of all people. Look at their numbers and be shocked! Allen obviously shoots much better, but he also shoots much better than almost everyone in the NBA anyway. Wes makes up points by driving and getting to the line more than Allen. Their usage rates are close, and while ultimately Allen trumps him in a few areas...they are shockingly close in most. Who would have thought that in giving that second year undrafted player we would end up with a Mini-Ray Ray?
A post I made over at BlazersEdge about FTA vs Points in the Paint
I was just curious about ya'll, 76ers fans. I didn't watch the series vs the Heat but I noticed as I was tracking this info that the 76ers have a ridiculous number. It seems that for whatever reason, despite a very high amount of points in the paint, Philly has shot nearly the fewest free throws in the first round. Updated for the final game, it looks like
Philadelphia: 87 FTA, 180 PITP (0.48 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.56)
Now the average ratio for all teams in the playoffs increased by quite a bit over the regular season average, but the 76ers have not only decreased, but plummeted to a level only one team saw during the regular season.
Do you guys have a reason for this? Is it a style of play? Did you feel the refs were being unfair to you at all? I'm just curious here since, as I mentioned, I didn't get a chance to watch the series.
A look at, through tonight, the FTA vs PITP of all the teams in the playoffs so far. I'm not going to draw any conclusions from it as, at it's core, it is still a flawed stat, but it is interesting to look at. The mean ratio during the regular season was 0.60 FTA/Point in the paint.
Perhaps completely unsurprisingly, the top 3 teams in the playoffs were the top 3 during the regular season, and the bottom of the list is populated with teams that did not have a very good ratio during the regular season too.
With the playoff mean ratio of 0.77, Dallas went from slightly above average ratio during the regular season to...a slightly above average ratio during the playoffs.
OKC: 130 FTA, 116 PITP (1.21 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.69)
Denver: 159 FTA, 136 PITP (1.17 ratio vs regular season ratio of of 0.68)
Miami: 119 FTA, 134 PITP (0.89 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.76)
Chicago: 144 FTA, 172 PITP (0.84 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.59)
Dallas: 123 FTA, 150 PITP (0.82 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.62)
San Antonio: 125 FTA, 156 PITP (0.80 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.58)
New York: 99 FTA, 130 PITP (0.76 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.60)
Atlanta: 117 FTA, 154 PITP (0.76 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.56)
Orlando: 145 FTA, 194 PITP (0.75 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.68)
Indiana: 122 FTA, 170 PITP (0.72 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.65)
New Orleans: 138 FTA, 194 PITP (0.71 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.62)
Los Angeles: 139 FTA, 214 PITP (0.65 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.54)
Memphis: 103 FTA, 166 PITP (0.62 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.48)
Boston: 75 FTA, 136 PITP (0.55 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.55)
Portland: 103 FTA, 198 PITP (0.52 vs regular season ratio of 0.55)
Philadelphia: 70 FTA, 136 PITP (0.51 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.56)
Decided to look at the fouls and free throws for the series so far to see how the reffing has been, at least in consistency.
Obviously this isn’t a complete look and is fairly flawed; You can be in foul trouble early on with less than 5 fouls, free throws vs points in the paint isn’t actually a very vetted statistic, I’ve been messing around with it myself during this regular season but besides a pretty high correlation, I’m not confident in stats to say much about it. Free throws and fouls committed is also, inherently, not a complete picture of the whistle situation. The regular season mean for all teams of free throws shot per point in the paint was 0.6. here we go.
Blazers –
Game 1: 26 fouls committed, 13 FT (2 players with 5 fouls), 46 PITP
Game 2: 22 fouls committed, 27 FT (1 player with 5 fouls), 38 PITP
Game 3: 20 fouls committed, 21 FT (0 players with 5 fouls), 34 PITP
Game 4: 15 fouls committed, 23 FT (0 players with 5 fouls), 34 PITPCalled for 83 fouls
Shot 84 free throws
3 players with foul trouble
152 PITP (0.553 vs regular season ratio of 0.55)Mavericks –
Game 1: 16 fouls, 29 FT (0 players with 5 fouls), 18 PITP
Game 2: 20 fouls, 26 FT (0 players with 5 fouls), 36 PITP
Game 3: 22 fouls, 23 FT (0 players with 5 fouls, 1 fouled out), 32 PITP
Game 4: 21 fouls, 10 FT (1 player with 5 fouls), 24 PITPCalled for 79 fouls
Shot 88 free throws
2 players with foul trouble
110 PITP (0.8 ratio vs regular season ratio of 0.62)Ultimately, the one thing I think can be said is that the refs are, predictably I suppose, calling better for the home team (Which benefits the mavs with 2 games left, if needed, at home). Games 2 and 3 were relatively balanced in fouls and free throws, while games 1 and 4 were very unbalanced. The mavs come out slightly ahead because game 1 was more unbalanced than game 4, but…I am actually pretty shocked at how close the totals over the entire series have been, in sum. The only real unbalanced stat is the Mav’s FT/PITP but Dirk Nowitzki IS the biggest star in the series and this is the playoffs.
Here is a little thing I was curious about so I decided to plug in the numbers. Everyone talks about the relationship between points in the paint and free throws, so here it is in data form. Don't ask me if there is such a thing as favoritism, but I did smile at Miami being first by a mile.
Guys! We could dump Oden's Salary for Toronto's Trade Exception!
Yeah, I know brainstorming a list of players that you want to target with your trade exception is totally fair, but dropping Oden's name on a list of "a starter on a team that’s looking to dump salary" with a "criteria to get on the list is to make a high enough salary and not be a total lock on that team for next year".
We could totally be rid of Oden's 6.8 million of salary!
My favorite stat of the season:
Oden has limited opposing Centers to just 0.352 eFG% so far this season.
That's absolutely insane. 5s easily get over 0.5 eFG%, but Greg is such a beast that he is forcing them into Eddie House like numbers.
The 24th pick is actually pretty good historically
"24. Sam Cassell, 1993, Rockets: Talk about a steal: As a late-pick rookie, Cassell helped lead the Rockets to their first NBA championship. It was no fluke, as his 16-year career would attest. A lot of long-term value has been unearthed at No. 24, including Arvydas Sabonis, Andrei Kirilenko and Latrell Sprewell, as well as Lakers champions Rick Fox, Brian Shaw and Derek Fisher.
Remember, we were the comingest behindest team there was in the regular season.
by TheGreatMon on Apr 19, 2009 3:44 AM EDT
on Blazer's Edge
18 wins from double digits, like, what, 4 from 20 points or more? It always seemed to me that we had to be threatened to actually play our A game. When we hold the lead, we just seem to slip into complacency very quickly, and it takes a large run on us to get us back in gear.
Perhaps this will translate into the series at large? Perhaps we NEEDED to lose at home to finally get in shape and be ready to kick ass.
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