# ThePowerRank

• joined Jan 13, 2010
• last login Aug 20, 2013
• posts 19

Ed Feng loves college football and basketball. He is pursuing a life long dream to use this sports to teach people about math and statistics.

### A Fan Of...

• mlb Oakland Athletics
• ncaaf Stanford Cardinal
• ncaab Utah State Aggies

### The problem with Yards Per Point

A guest post from The Power Rank's Ed Feng.

### How To Win Your Pool

A guest post by The Power Rank's Ed Feng. It is not football, but it is, to say the least, topical.

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### Should Saban have gone for it on 4th down against LSU?

An analysis of the Nov 5 Game of the Century using Brian Burke's analysis of 4th down decision making.

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### LSU has a 59% chance of beating Alabama

But if we had a plus one, the odds for the Tigers go down but not by much. Check out the link for those numbers. Incredible respect for this team and what it has accomplished.

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### LSU #1 in The Power Rank...

...or we would throw out our algorithm and start over. We calculate the likelihood of your opponent in the national championship game.

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### Alabama and LSU have a 30.4% chance to both lose at least one game

No undefeated teams from the SEC would help the Broncos make the national championship game. Also, we have odds that Boise State is the only undefeated team at the end of the season.

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### LSU and Bama have a 4.9% chance of a rematch in January

That's not a very high likelihood. Beating Bama in the Tuscaloosa Tussle means not having to play them again.

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### Boise State's effect on an Alabama, LSU rematch in the championship game

The ultimate BCS chaos scenario is an undefeated Alabama/LSU, a strong one loss LSU/Alabama and the undefeated Broncos. We put some numbers behind this situation.

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### How likely is it that Boise State ends up as the only undefeated team?

Larger than you might think. The Power Rank calculates the probability that each of 10 teams remains undefeated and more important questions about a national championship game for the Broncos.

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### Oregon 2nd in The Power Rank

The real polls are too much about "what have you done for me lately". Our rankings use a one year window of games and weight this year's games twice as much. The rankings beat the line in 55% of last year's bowl games. A ranking of 12 is not acceptable for the Ducks.

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### Boise State tops The Power Rank

Our rankings beat the line in 55% of bowl games last season. The Broncos earn the top spot based on all games over the last calendar year.

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### A visual look at how Oregon and LSU have evolved over the last 6 years. The attached prose reminds...

A visual look at how Oregon and LSU have evolved over the last 6 years. The attached prose reminds us that Darron Thomas almost became a Tiger: http://thepowerrank.com/blog/?p=687 For more about our analytics and rankings, check out http://thepowerrank.com/

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### A visual of how Boise State and Georgia have changed since that game in 2005 according to The Power...

A visual of how Boise State and Georgia have changed since that game in 2005 according to The Power Rank. For more info on our analytics and the prose associated with this figure, check out http://thepowerrank.com/blog/?p=681

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### The Power Rank predicts Green Bay by 2.6

Our ranking system is based on years of physics and math research and has gone 6 for 8 against the line in the NFL playoffs and 55% against the line in college football bowl games this year. We predict a lot of happy Packers fans on Sunday.

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### I bet we can find a million people who want a College Football Playoff

A fantastic TCU team is getting screwed out of a chance to play for the national championship. A 16 team playoff solves this problem. Join our Facebook campaign. It features contact information for all presidents of BCS schools, in case you want to make a polite phone call.

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### I bet we can find a million people who want a college football playoff

As much as I'll enjoy watching the Broncos tomorrow night, I'd rather have them travel to Norman and knock off Oklahoma in the first round of a 16 team playoff. It makes that missed kick a little less important.

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### Boise State 3rd in The Power Rank

With some prompting from obnug, the Power Rank now accounts for all games played by Division 1A, Football Bowl Championship teams. Accounting for Virginia Tech's loss to James Madison actually hurts the Broncos a little, but it won't matter much by the end of the season.

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### Real Computer Rankings

Hey Bronco fans, sick of computer rankings that don't account for margin of victory? Rankings make a lot more sense when they consider margin of victory.

### The Power Rank

This is not John Kruk on ESPN. The Power Rank algorithm uses the score and location of all Major League Baseball games this season to rank all 30 teams.  The algorithm not only gives rankings but...

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### Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.