
Torjazz
Feb 11, 2010 Jun 01, 2012 5 63
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Charting the Mariners' Window to Win
Beyond the Boxscore regularly explores new graphics for baseball info. I don't know if staring at this chart is going to grant huge insight into the timing of the glory days ahead, but it captures nicely the team control of the key players already in the fold.
David Pinto on Ichiro's Hitting and Hotspots
David Pinto takes on the question of whether Ichiro should be called a free swinger. Conclusions are not surprising and not unpleasing. It includes nice graphics of his swing %, contact % and BA on contact by location. The last graphic of Ichiro's hot zones leads me to wish more pitchers would try to make him chase the ball low and outside.
about 1 year ago
Torjazz
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Reference table for guiding your umpire frustration this season
A table with umpires ranked on a scale of hitter-pitcher friendliness. I'm resolved to watch for games when the outliers are behind the plate for the M's.
What makes A-Rod such a good hitter?
Perhaps I should go to some Yankee fansite if I really want to find people to examine this question, but I figure there might be lingering interest around here in our pay-ward son. This Hardball Times post on batter selectivity reminded me of a question that came up while looking at the background data on another post about the peak production of hall of fame shortstops: What exactly makes A-Rod such a good hitter? His plate discipline stats on Fangraphs indicate his K% has been better than average since he became a regular, and his BB% increased to better than average during his last year with the M's and has stayed that way. That is despite the fact that his O-Swing and Z-Swing rates fluctuate right around average, and his contact rates are actually consistently below average. His BABIP has fluctuated between average and way above average, and his ISO has, of course, always been quite high. The percentage of pitches he sees in the zone has consistently been below average.
I'm not experienced in interpreting these stats, but as I read it, A-Rod has been an average to above average hitter who generates massive power. His low O-Contact rates may actually help him if he tends to swing and miss when he gets fooled rather than weakly putting the ball in play. Continuing the at-bat may be more likely to lead to a BB than a K since pitchers are dancing around the zone out of respect for his power. I was really surprised that his contact rates are that low.
I'd be interested to hear from anyone who reads the data differently. The big thing I took from this is what can result from being exceptional at one component skill if it comes without sacrificing too much of the other ones. Is it true that average-ish pure hitting plus exceptional power can put you on a HOF path? Attaching that to a shortstop makes it a no-brainer, of course (and it seems like overkill to me, but then I guess some people put sugar on Cookie Crisp cereal, too).
Theo sounds like Jack in a confiding mood
I ran across this link to an interview with Theo Epstein, and I'm still getting used to this strange resulting feeling. Not so long ago I would have been frustrated by the contrast in flexibility and commonsense that it presented with our own asshat operation. Instead, the line of thinking feels vaguely familiar.
The big contrast for me is a surprising level of candor on Epstein's part. Some of the questions try to get at team sore spots or probe relationships with players, and his answers are forthright while still being respectful of everyone who has played for him. The amazing thing is that he's so candid when he has to deal with that breathless pack of Soxnuts.
Jack Z has generally struck me as being pretty careful not to tip his hand too much in operations. I certainly respect that, but I hope over time he grants us a little better window into his mindset. Imagine getting a peek at his thought process in working Yuni out the door!
Added note: I'm curious about the proprietary fielding evaluation system they talk about. I assume it's more than simply handling the public data in a different way. It's conceivable that they'd have dedicated personnel or equipment for recording batted-ball types and zones. It'd be great to be able to compare the systems. Who else besides Ellsbury would turn up contrasting results?
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