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TuckNole

  • joined Mar 23, 2010
  • last login Jul 10, 2014
  • posts 10
  • comments 3837

A Fan Of...

  • NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • NCAAF Florida St. Seminoles
User Blog
FanPost
210

Los Angeles Primer for Florida State Fans

Now that Florida State is beating a 28 point underdog away from Pasadena, I thought I’d make a post for the Florida State fans who don’t know much about Los Angeles. "Los Angeles may be the most...

FanPost
155

How many win shares is the IPF worth?

I’ve been looking at college football spending data and am going to be writing a few fan pieces on some things I’ve dug up. First however, I wanted to ask a question that arose when I was thinking...

FanPost
13

Who to root for: Week 6

College football is more fun if you have more at stake in the games on a given day. And for Florida State fans, this might be the year where what is happening in the rest of college football...

FanPost
7

Who to root for: Week 5

I think college football is more fun when you have more stakes in more games and care about the outcomes. Some do this by betting and making or losing money on the result. For those that don't bet...

FanPost
9

Butch Davis the program builder

I know this isn’t directly FSU related, but it involves the career of a man who was the head coach of two of our rivals at different times, so it’s a historical perspective post, so to speak. How...

Preseason Win Shares Poll

22

Perspective Shot. I may take some heat for this but I'll post it anyway. Let me preface by saying that I am completely disappointed in the way the season went. However, those of you who think this was some disappointing meltdown compared to expectations? It wasn't. This team finished the season only 1 game worse than we all predicted collectively at TN. Disappointing season? Yes. Meltdown? No. We only missed expectations by 1 game.

Just a little grid to see the possibilities for FSU's final record in January. The peach color...

4
Seasonoutlook

Just a little grid to see the possibilities for FSU's final record in January. The peach color indicates finishing with a higher win percentage than 2010, the blue indicates finishing with the same win percentage. Green, indicates finishing with lower. I didn't consider anything below 8-4 for the regular season as I believe it is too unlikely. Where do you think we end up?

Chick-Fil-A Bowl: No. 23 Florida State 26, No. 20 South Carolina 17 EqPts: Florida State 18.9,...

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Chick-Fil-A Bowl: No. 23 Florida State 26, No. 20 South Carolina 17 EqPts: Florida State 18.9, South Carolina 14.5 T/O Pts: Florida State +19.7 Florida State > South Carolina +24.1 Congratulations, Florida State! This bowl win (which the stats thought should have resulted in much larger than a nine-point margin) all but solidified your status, along with Texas A&M, as Next Year's Nebraska, the team every analyst picks as their "dark horse" title contender ... making you no longer a dark horse. Nebraska took the honors in 2010, Ole Miss and Oklahoma State in 2009, and Clemson and Texas Tech in 2008. Almost every one of those teams failed to live up to expectations, of course, but Florida State should be well-stocked with both experience and improved recruiting. Between the 'Noles and Texas A&M, Florida State will likely find itself on much more solid footing in 2011, and with a much less difficult conference schedule (though they do have to deal with both Oklahoma and Florida in non-conference play). http://www.footballoutsiders.com/varsity-numbers/2011/varsity-numbers-auf-wiedersehen-2010
FanPost
27

Decision Trees as the Best way to Predict Wins

Here at TN we pride ourselves on rational approaches to predicting wins. Much criticism has been showered upon those who simply count up all the games FSU will be favored in and predict that as the...

FanPost
36

Yards per Play is only half the story

We talk a lot about yards per play here at TN, but I wanted to chime in to explain why that measure of an offense is only half complete. Just as importantly as expected/average yards per play is...

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