Jae Crowder was one of the participants and the Nets combine this weekend. His name has been brought up as a possible draft pick for the Wolves. I have been one of the people who wanted (wants) Crowder; however, his measurements leave a lot to be desired.

Crowder is 6’3.75" with a 6’5.5" wingspan and 8’6.75" reach. He is also a fairly avg athlete.

Iggy is is 6’5.75" with a 6’11" wingspan and 8’9.5" reach. He is a little more athletic (see draftexpress).

I still like Crowder, but after seeing his measurements I know longer think his college stats can justify a first round pick. A SF/ PF in college who wants to play SG/SF in the pros who is probably not big enough or athletic enough to guard SF should probably not be drafted in the first round. I still like him though and wouldn’t mind us taking him in the second if available but would rather see us trade it and other assets for a good vet (Iggy?) or maybe take Barton or Ross with the 18th pick. For our late 2nd round pick I would like us to take a chance on William Mosley out of Northwestern St. Good WS/40 throughout college, good rebounder and shot blocker. A bit undersized, but it is almost the last pick in the draft.

Looking at our next "window of opportunity", I wanted to see what kind of player we might be able to get who are less likely to "bust" mainly with an eye on the easiest targets-free agents. With the premise that we are not extending qualifying offers and waiving players so that we only have to keep: Love, Williams, Pek, JJ, Johnson, Luke, Ricky, Ellington, & Lee (I believe those are the players we are most likely to keep for various reasons.) The two biggest needs that have been discussed are wing(s) & backup 4/5.

The list of free agents players below are an attempt at identifying players to target. These are the players who are above average in WP48 (above .1 from nerdnumbers), who have a positive 1 yr unadjusted overall rating when compared to their team's rating (from basketballvalue.com), and have a positive O-D rating compared to their team rating (from basketball reference). Some of the players who are mentioned such as: Arron Afflalo, Bismack Biyombo, Avery Bradley, Josh Childress, Wilson Chandler, Jamal Crawford, Monta Ellis, Rudy Fernandez, Eric Gordan, Kevin Martin, George Hill, Iggy, Gerald Green, Delonte West, Courtney Lee, Greg Steimsma, Nick Young did NOT qualify (I can email the spread sheet to anyone who wants to see it as I have no idea how to get it to post-I tried several times and it looks awful). To be honest I have no interest in any of them as starters except Iggy or if they can be gotten cheap as backups.

The 4/5 I would like to sign and who should be cheap is Sean Williams. He is a young, athletic shotblocker who seems to have turned things around in the Dleague. My top wing targets would be Derrick Brown, Goran Dragic & Gerald Wallace. My preference would be get Dragic and draft Crowder with the pick and I don’t care between Wallace and Brown. This would put us at 13 players unless we trade D Williams and ? for ?...Iggy

Thoughts? (Sorry for the appearance-I suck at getting spreadsheet data on here to look good. I can email the spread sheet with all the data-to include guys who are not free agents- if you want to see it).

*I applogize for any typos or errors.

Team Player Pos WP48

BOS Sean Williams 4.5 0.429

HOU Marcus Camby 5 0.276

POR Marcus Camby 5 0.246

MIL Ersan Ilyasova 4 0.244

ORL Ryan Anderson 4.1 0.219

GSW Brandon Rush 2.1 0.209

TOR Solomon Alabi 5 0.171

HOU Goran Dragic 1.2 0.165

NYN Steve Novak 3.7 0.16

POR Gerald Wallace 3.4 0.159

CHA Derrick Brown 3.1 0.158

NYN Jeremy Lin 1 0.151

SAC Jason Thompson 4.5 0.137

NYN J.R. Smith 2.6 0.115

NJN Gerald Wallace 3.6 0.114

TOR Jerryd Bayless 1.4 0.114

DAL Sean Williams 5 0.106

 

Why the sudden interest in Monta Ellis? I was under the impression that most stat people and Canis Hoopus members thought he wasn’t worth the money. At least that is the impression I always got until recently. I like him fine, but I don’t think he gives us anything special, especially at his price. He is a short SG, who takes a lot of shots, and isn’t known as any kind of defensive wiz. Yes he can get his own shot, but our perimeter D is already bad so I don’t really see his value when we have a guy like Beas who is not short and can get his own O and is still cheaper and younger (I know they play different positions).  My personal preference for a target is Iggy. I am throwing JR Smith out there as a guy who I think could be better for our team than Monta (and cheaper too) not necessarily as the guy we should get. JR isn’t undersized for SG and he plays better D. The guys I would like us to target for SG are Iggy, JR Smith, Afflalo, Thabo, and James Hardin. I think we could get one of them…maybe even 2 of them. Here are some stats to compare.

Ellis	PER	TS%	eFG%	DRB%	TRB%	AST%	STL%	BLK%	TOV%	USG%	ORtg	DRtg	WP/48
20	11.1	0.486	0.459	10.7	6.6	14.9	1.9	0.9	14.4	20.2	95	107	0.022
21	15	0.545	0.495	7.7	5.1	18.8	2.4	0.6	15.9	22.4	104	109	0.041
22	19	0.58	0.536	9.8	7	15.8	2	0.6	10.9	21.7	117	111	0.177
23	14.5	0.503	0.46	11.5	6.6	17.5	2.1	0.6	12.4	25.8	99	114	-0.006
24	16.7	0.517	0.476	9	5.4	21.2	2.6	0.7	13.4	29.4	99	112	0.021
25	19.2	0.542	0.498	8	4.8	22.9	2.8	0.5	12.4	28.6	108	112	0.068
Career	16.8	0.539	0.495	9.1	5.8	18.9	2.3	0.6	13.1	24.9	105	0.075	0.0538
Beas	PER	TS%	eFG%	DRB%	TRB%	AST%	STL%	BLK%	TOV%	USG%	ORtg	DRtg	WP/48
20	17.2	0.528	0.49	19.8	13.1	7.7	1.1	1.5	10.2	27.7	103	108	0.053
21	16.1	0.505	0.463	18.8	12.6	7.8	1.8	1.7	10.3	25.8	101	103	0.041
22	16.6	0.521	0.487	14.2	9.5	12.2	1.1	1.9	11.5	27.9	103	112	0.018
Career	16.6	0.517	0.479	17.9	11.9	8.9	1.4	1.7	10.6	27	103	0.08	0.0373
Iggy	PER	TS%	eFG%	DRB%	TRB%	AST%	STL%	BLK%	TOV%	USG%	ORtg	DRtg	WP/48
21	13.5	0.58	0.536	15.9	9.7	14.3	2.6	1.4	17.9	12.8	110	102	0.236
22	14.8	0.598	0.541	13.8	9.1	12.9	2.3	0.5	15.4	14.7	115	108	0.184
23	18.1	0.562	0.471	14	8.5	23.8	2.6	0.8	17.5	22.6	107	105	0.171
24	19	0.543	0.495	13.4	8.2	20.3	2.8	1.2	12.5	23.8	110	105	0.173
25	18.4	0.56	0.507	14	8.6	22.4	2.1	0.9	13.9	22.3	112	108	0.202
26	17.8	0.535	0.485	16.8	9.8	23.7	2.3	1.4	14.3	21.8	108	109	0.21
27	18.2	0.546	0.504	15	8.9	25.8	2.2	1.2	11.6	18.7	113	104	0.266
Career	17.1	0.558	0.501	14.6	9	20.2	2.4	1	14.7	19.8	111	0.124	0.206
JR Smith	PER	TS%	eFG%	DRB%	TRB%	AST%	STL%	BLK%	TOV%	USG%	ORtg	DRtg	WP/48
19	10.9	0.478	0.449	7.5	4.8	14.6	1.6	0.5	11.7	23.2	95	110	-0.051
20	12.7	0.515	0.464	11.3	6.6	10.3	2	0.3	11.6	21.9	101	108	0.013
21	15.6	0.585	0.557	8.5	5.5	10.2	1.6	0.4	10.8	22.8	112	109	0.043
22	18.1	0.603	0.578	8.1	5.8	14.7	2.1	0.6	13	25.8	111	109	0.082
23	16.8	0.576	0.541	12.8	7.7	17.3	1.8	0.5	12.3	24.2	111	109	0.142
24	15.1	0.515	0.491	11.3	6.5	15.1	2.4	0.7	11	26.9	101	108	0.033
25	15.7	0.533	0.49	15.7	9.5	14	2.5	0.5	10.3	21.9	107	107	0.143
Career	15	0.545	0.513	10.7	6.6	14.2	2	0.5	11.6	24.1	105	0.085	0.0579