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Around SBN: Jim Irsay: We Can Make It Work With Peyton Manning

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aNdrOss

Mar 17, 2008 Nov 11, 2010 9 66

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St. Louis Cardinals Major League Baseball Team

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I don't place much stock in 100 IP samples myself, and I don't like the first time around the order methodology, but this was kind of interesting Perhaps everyone's favorite knuckleballer would be a decent reliever.

about 2 years ago Tiny aNdrOss 8 comments

516718117

Hm. For really good players (10 years playing, 5000 PAs), it seems the peak is approximately from ages 30-33, exactly the ages we'll be getting Holliday (assuming we do...). Something to think about.
Link: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/how-do-baseball-players-age-part-2/

about 2 years ago Tiny aNdrOss 6 comments

This may have been brought up already, but if not, here it is. Don't know what KC would want or expect in return, though.

over 2 years ago Tiny aNdrOss 7 comments 3 recs

It's cool that the compensation pick for the Braves that allowed the D'Backs to sign Springer in 2000 was Wainwright, also worth noting that when Renteria left for that extra million dollars or whatever he allowed the Cardinals to sign Colby Rasmus. Looks like a great deal (for us), in retrospect.

over 3 years ago Tiny aNdrOss 1 comment

Viva El Birdos SimBaseball

I really enjoyed last offseason when there was that Cardinal's all-time playoff team tournament. It was a lot of fun.

I know that it was a lot of work, and I don't know if I'm suggesting this in the right place, but I had an interesting idea for another similar tournament.

What if each of the SB Nation blogs put together an all-time All-Star roster, using the best players that each team has ever had in their best years. Then there could be a tournament between all of the different teams, eventually crowning the best organization in baseball history!

Would this be even a feasible idea? Has this been done before (I'm sure something like this has been at least considered at one point or another on some forum)?

Admittedly, there would be some issues, expansion teams being one of them (Cards get 100+ years of players to choose from, D'backs get ~15), although setting a definite timeframe (i.e. 1990 onward, initial expansion onward, etc.) could help even things out, at the expense of not being able to use guys like the Babe.

Anyway, feel free to discuss or shoot my idea down, whichever is more appropriate.

16 comments  | 

This system makes no sense.
Anyway, does this change anything in the way the Cards deal with Izzy this offseason? Does offering arbitration to him make any sense? I really don't know very much about how this stuff works.

over 3 years ago Tiny aNdrOss 0 comments

Viva El Birdos LH Free Agent Relievers

Name (Age) Option FA type    IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 SV FIP
Damaso Marte (34) 6/.25 A 167.0 9.97 3.99 0.65 5 3.23
Brian Fuentes (33) A 185.3 9.86 3.30 0.73 77 3.29
Darren Oliver (38) A 210.0 6.47 2.57 0.99 0 4.07
Alan Embree (39) 3 B 176.7 7.95 3.11 0.76 17 3.42
Dennys Reyes (32) B 121.0 7.51 3.64 0.52 0 3.50
Joe Beimel (32) B 181.0 4.77 3.23 0.40 3 3.64
Brian Shouse (40) B 136.3 5.81 3.04 0.59 5 3.65
Jeremy Affeldt (30) B 229.3 6.63 4.36 0.98 1 4.53
Arthur Rhodes (39) NA 122.3 9.49 4.19 0.29 6 2.69
Will Ohman (31) NA 158.3 9.09 4.09 0.68 2 3.47
Trever Miller (36) 2/.4 NA 136.0 9.26 3.71 0.99 3 3.85
Scott Eyre (37) NA 136.0 9.66 4.76 0.99 0 3.90
Mark Hendrickson (35) NA 417.7 5.84 2.97 1.06 0 4.41
Eddie Guardado (38) NA 104.3 6.73 3.02 1.29 17 4.52
Ron Villone (39) NA 170.3 7.61 5.44 0.95 1 4.63
Horacio Ramirez (29) NA 209.0 3.88 3.44 0.86 0 4.79
Casey Fossum (31) NA 243.7 6.17 3.84 1.33 0 5.23

List courtesy mlbtraderumors.com, stats from fangraphs.com (with some rough calculations by yours truly) (current as of 9/15/08) Special Note: These are Three Year totals and averages.

It seems to be a general consensus that the Cardinals need a left-handed reliever this offseason. I thought I'd list what was available.

If Marte's option is declined, he would certainly be the best "impact" option for next year (although we lose draft picks and he would cost lots of money/years). He would probably be cheaper than Fuentes, because Fuentes is a "closer."

Out of the type B guys, I kind of like Beimel. Seems to be a Duncan-esque pitcher.

And, if Ohman does continue to stay out of the type B range, he does seem to be the best option, though. Solid strikeouts, kind of young. He'll probably cost some money, but we do have some to play with this year.

What does everyone think? Was this post helpful? I was thinking of doing something similar with the MI and SP holes (though it would have to include trade options as well, which would get confusing).

15 comments  | 

Viva El Birdos Apparently, the pitcher hitting 8th works.

Using the Lineup Analysis tool found at the below link, I put in the Cardinals actual production from each spot in the lineup, and then switched the 8th and 9th hitters to see if there was a significant difference:

http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/LineupAnalysis.py?Player0=Leadoff+Hitter&OBA0=+0.348&Slug0=+0.396&Player1=Number+2+Guy&OBA1=+0.355&Slug1=+0.477&Player2=AP&OBA2=+0.441&Slug2=+0.611&Player3=Cleanup+Hitter&OBA3=+0.345&Slug3=+0.502&Player4=5&OBA4=+0.368&Slug4=+0.475&Player5=6&OBA5=+0.345&Slug5=+0.385&Player6=7&OBA6=+0.354&Slug6=+0.400&Player7=Pitcher&OBA7=+0.247&Slug7=+0.292&Player8=Our+worst+hitter&OBA8=+0.322&Slug8=+0.323&Model=0

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggregate?sort=OPS&split=109&group=8&season=2008&seasonType=2&statType=batting&type=reg

The results showed that the Cards should have scored 5.249 runs/game with the lineups they put out there, and would have scored 5.156 runs/game with the pitcher hitting 9th. That works out to about 15 runs over the season, or 1.5 wins! I guess this proves Tony right?

Anyway, the other interesting thing I noticed was that our 7th hitter has significantly outperformed out 6th hitter (.354 OBP/.400 SLG vs. .345/.385). Also, all of the best possible lineups include our #3 hitter (Albert) hitting leadoff, with the best one scoring 5.335 runs/game.

Feel free to discuss! Go Cards! Play on until we're mathematically eliminated!

9 comments  | 

Viva El Birdos 2 Pitchers, 1 Game

Admittedly, this idea has little to or nothing to do with the Cardinal's current situation. And there is absolutely no way the Cardinals would pursue this option, especially not with Albert at first. However, it is an intriguing idea nonetheless...

Let's assume a hypothetical team which features a below average offensive first baseman (say Todd Helton this year) and also a couple of starters (hypothetically Micah Owings and Dontrelle Willis) who are mediocre on the pitching side but outstanding on the hitting side while also being of different handedness.

My idea is this: the team would run 4 ordinary starters for the first 4 spots, but in the 5th spot they would run a tandem of Owings and Willis. One would pitch, the other would play 1st. Whenever a righty came up to bat, Owings would pitch to him, and whenever a lefty came up, Willis would pitch to him. Switch hitters could be put on their weaker side or flip-flopped to confuse them.

Has this idea been suggested at other places? Is it a good idea? I'd like to see what the community thinks.

21 comments  |