acerimusdux
Mar 20, 2008 Jun 01, 2012 15 2290
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BA: Mets Top 10 Prospects 2012
1. Zack Wheeler, rhp
2. Matt Harvey, rhp
3. Brandon Nimmo, of
4. Jeurys Familia, rhp
5. Cesar Puello, of
6. Jenrry Mejia, rhp
7. Kirk Nieuwenhuis, of
8. Michael Fullmer, rhp
9. Reese Havens, 2b
10. Wilmer Flores, ss
Mets top 15 Prospects & Flores scouting report
Alex Eisenberg at Baseball-Intellect runs down the Mets top 15, with free scouting reports covering Wilmer Flores and Juan Urbina.
Diamond Futures Mets Top Prospects 2011
Mets system ranked at #14.
"Given the state of the franchise, our ranking of the Mets system likely comes as a surprise to some, but it remains fairly consistent with our view of the system from last year ( TEAM #16 – New York Mets )—a year that saw four of our top eight ranked prospects (Ike Davis, Reuben Tejada, Jon Niese and Josh Thole) make significant contributions with the Big League club. It is an interesting organization in the sense that there are few superstars but a substantial number of players that are likely to make Major League contributions—something that would typify last year’s rookie crop."
GCL TOP 20 PROSPECTS
Juan Urbina checks in at #6.
Better Options than Gary Matthews Jr.?
by acerimusdux on Jan 22, 2010 9:19 PM EST
on Amazin' Avenue
In the wake of the Gary Matthews Jr trade, I thought I would take a look at other outfield options that I believe are still available right now. In other words, this is not counting players like Jerry Hairston Jr, who signed a few days ago with the Padres, or players like Reid Gorecki, Mike Restovich, or Darnell McDonald who have already signed minor league deals, or even Matt Murton, who has signed to play in Japan.
Certainly, the Mets have known for some time that Carlos Beltran's knees were an issue and that they needed a back up option for CF. I mean they do read Will Carroll don't they? But just for fun, lets pretend this is something unexpected and the Mets couldn't have addressed it sooner. What would you do if you were GM in this situation?
A look at some of the available options:
Randy Winn - While he's the same age as Matthews, born almost 3 months earlier, Winn remains a productive player and the better athlete, still playing solid defense, and stealing a total of 41 bases over the past 2 seasons with only 4 CS. He did see a sharp drop in his offense last season, posting only a .302 wOBA after being around .350 for the previous two seasons. But, while not too much rebound is expected given his age, he still projects easily to be worth about 1 WAR, even with about a .310 wOBA, as his defense should still be near average in CF and above average in a corner. Reports are he is unlikely to land a starting job this offseason, with San Diego and Arizona the teams who have shown the most interest so far. If he's being signed as a bench guy, it's hard to imagine he would cost more than a few million over what the Mets will be paying the inferior Matthews Jr. CHONE projects .269/.317/.364 and +8.1 RAR
Reed Johnson - The 33 year has been roughly a league average bat, with a .331 career wOBA, and .327 last season. He's a poor defensive CF, just OK in a corner, but not really any worse overall defensively than Matthews is at this stage. The Cubs remain interested, as are the Yankees (per the NY Times), but he's not expected to get more than the $2M 1 year deal Jerry Hairston recently received. Chone projects him for a .320 wOBA, hitting .268/.335/.384, not too far below average, but with his defense bringing him down to about a replacement level overall, for a net +1 RAR. That's essentially a Gary Matthews glove but a better bat.
Rocco Baldelli - The 28 year old outfielder boasts an about average .333 career wOBA, and on top of that plays above average defense in a corner, near average in CF. The catch here is that a rare medical condition, referred to as a channelopathy, which causes slow muscle recovery, and won't permit him to be an everyday player. The condition is non-progressive, though, and he should continue to be able to produce as normal in a bench role, now that the condition is properly diagnosed and can be managed through diet and medication. The Yankees and Cubs are again the teams which have shown interest. CHONE projects .260/.319/.448, for a .334 wOBA, and +9.0 RAR in 364 PA. Even if that playing time estimate is optimistic, Baldelli would be around +5 RAR in even very limited time, as he adds value both offensively and defensively.
Johnny Damon - The 36 year old is the reason the Yankees are shopping for a bench player, as he has already turned down their 2 year $14M offer. This appears to have been a mistake, as he is unlikely to get as much now elsewhere. Damon can still hit though, with his .376 wOBA last year well above his career average of .351. Like Winn, Damon also still has good speed, with 41 SB over the last 2 seasons to only 8 CS. Defensively, he's a bit below average now for CF, but still a bit above average for a corner. Damon is the one guy here who should cost significantly more than Matthews, but would be well worth it.. CHONE projects a .352 wOBA, with his solid defense bringing him to 32.1 RAR total. That's an above average starter, nearly as good as most are expecting from Jason Bay.
Gabe Gross - The 30 year old is another near average bat, with a .325 career wOBA, and a .328 CHONE forecast for next season. On top of that, he's a near average defender in CF, and above average in the corners. Nonetheless, he was non-tendered by the Rays after a career low .306 wOBA last year, and seems to be seeing surprisingly little interest so far in the hot-stove season. Gross is best as a platoon option, you would want a RHB to pair with him, as he struggles vs. LHP. Still, CHONE forecasts a .243/.342/.393 line, with positive defensive value bringing him to +8.6 RAR in just 307 PA.
Marcus Thames - Thames who will be 33 by opening day, is a poor choice if you really need someone to cover CF, as he's strictly a corner OF. But, you still have to wonder how much worse he'd be out there than Matthews at this stage, and he is a younger and better bat. He has a career .336 wOBA, was .329 last year, and CHONE has him forecast for a .238/.307/.467 line, a .334 wOBA, and still a net +1.9 RAR after factoring in his defensive liabilities.
Jeff Fiorentino - Fiorentino, who will be 27 in April, only has 178 big league PA so far in his career. But, he's turned into an outstanding player at the AAA level, and impressed last year in a taste of the big league with Baltimore. His MLE for last season in AAA was .270/.333/.430, and he has played solid defense at all three outfield positions for his career. While he played mostly RF last year, he does have a bit of speed, with 15 steals last season, and his young legs would certainly make him a better choice in CF than Matthews. CHONE forecasts a .269/.344/.409 line, for a .334 wOBA, and adding positive defensive value to bring him to +15.2 RAR.
Alfredo Amezaga - The "Amazing Amezaga" has only a career .289 wOBA, and isn't projected to do much more than that by CHONE. What the 32 year old brings to the table to compensate though, is above average defense at almost any position. Despite the mediocre bat, Amezaga has been worth a cummulative 45.3 RAR for the Marlins over the last 4 seasons. He still plays a solid CF and despite a CHONE offensive projection of only .252/.309/.344, and only a .292 wOBA, he is still projected for +8.1 RAR.
Prentice Redman - The 30 year old former Met farmhand, and brother of Tike Redman, has turned into one of the best outfielders in AAA. While his OPS numbers of .920 in 2008, and .900 in 2009 look intriguing, the bat likely still won't translate that well to MLB, as his MLE line for last year of .268/.313/.465 indicates. But, while the high strikeouts and lack of discipline put some limits on the bat, that's still a respectable line. And while he's not a great defender, he still does play all three OF positions. While giving a big league job to a guy like Redman would seem a poor choice in a market in which there have been superior proven major leaguers available cheaply, like Coco Crisp getting only $5.25M, I think the point is that a realistic projection for Redman is still probably close to what an optimistic one for the 35 year old Matthews might be. CHONE says .250/.321/.430, for a total of +6.5 RAR.
Jerry Mannuel Q & A
Q: I don't know how many days you spent in the Arizona Fall League, but can you give your observations of Davis, or just whoever you saw there?
JERRY MANUEL: I only stayed there for two days, so I can't say that I can give you an evaluation. But I did like the arm strength. Again, if I come in and say, Hey, the emphasis is on throwing strikes and you're a young pitcher, then that's one of the things that obviously you are going to have to prove me or prove to us that you can do.
I'm not interested in 98, 99; I'm interested in strike one and strike two. So with that being said, hopefully he can get his stuff together, because I understand he's got electric stuff. But that doesn't do any good if you're not throwing the strikes. You hate to -- again, we have to be patient with those types of arms and those types of situations, especially where we are now as an organization.
AAOP: What does AAOP stand for anyway?
by acerimusdux on Nov 12, 2009 3:46 PM EST
on Amazin' Avenue
OK, here's my plan:
- Trade Carlos Beltran to the New York Yankees for Brett Gardner
- Trade Brad Holt and Jeurys Familia to the Marlins for Dan Uggla
- Trade John Maine for Kelly Shoppach
- Trade Louis Castillo and $5M to the Cubs for Aaron Heilman
- Trade Bobby Parnell and Brian Stokes to the Reds for Aaron Harang
- Trade Dan Murphy to the Orioles for Felix Pie
- Sign free agents Matt Holliday, Nick Johnson, Jason Marquis, Rafael Betancourt, and Juan Uribe
Lineup: Reyes, Pie, Wright, Holliday, Johnson, Uggla, Pagan, Shoppach
Bench: Francoeur, Gardner, Cora, Carter, Santos, Uribe
Rotation: Santana, Harang, Marquis, Pelfrey, Perez
Pen: K-Rod, Betancourt, Heliman, Feliciano, Misch, Nieve
Eric Niesen highlight video
Mets Draft Suggestions
by acerimusdux on May 30, 2008 12:04 AM EDT
on Amazin' Avenue
I'm the Mets "scouting director" for John Sickels's mock draft over at minorleagueball.com on Saturday. I though I'd post here and ask if anyone has any suggestions about who they'd like the Mets to draft. I'm not necessarily looking to mimic here what the real Mets might actually do, I'm more interested in what would you do if you had those picks.
14 comments
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1 recs |
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MOD: Mets
by acerimusdux on May 12, 2008 8:21 PM EDT
on Minor League Ball
OK Mets fans, here are our picks:
18.
22.
33.
68.
100.
134.
164.
15 comments
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2 recs |
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Minor League Playoffs
by acerimusdux on Sep 11, 2007 12:17 PM EDT
on Minor League Ball
Alot of playoff finals starting today. Discuss. Matchups, schedules, and links below.
Update [2007-9-12 14:31:14 by acerimusdux]: Winners of each game have been bolded
Best Rule 5 Draft Prospects?
by acerimusdux on Dec 4, 2006 5:42 PM EST
on Minor League Ball
Anyone have any ideas about who the best rule 5 draft selections might be this year? First off, please do not post any subsciber info here from sites like baseballamerica.
The following site has a list of possible rule 5 picks:
http://story.scout.com/a.z?s=273&p=2&c=597256
But I thought the community here might be able to produce a better list. Anyone who knows their own favorite team's farm very well can probably figure out the most vulnerable guys in that system.
MOD: Chicago Cubs II
by acerimusdux on Jun 1, 2005 2:00 AM EDT
on Minor League Ball
I'm taking over as Scouting Director, since Phiago can't make it on Sunday. And I really need some help!
I thought I'd start with a poll of some guys who might be available around pick number 20 in round 1. Also, maybe give me a list of your top 5.
I'll post a couple more questions tomorrow, with some guys we should be looking at in the next couple of rounds.
Thanks!
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