I keep hearing different projections about what the computers will think if Florida beats Alabama and whether or not they will get enough love from the geeks to jump Texas or not.  We heard similar speculations about whether an OU victory over OSU would give them enough of a boost to stay ahead of Texas even if the human voters come to their senses.

My question is why can't the geeks run some scenarios on different outcomes and put an end to all the speculation?  These are all computer models right, so they should be able to plug in some likely scenarios (Florida wins by a narrow margin, Florida wins by a huge margin, etc.) and see what happens, right?  I could understand this being difficult on normal college football weekends since they take into consideration all match-ups played in the nation (still possibly though, I think), but this should be especially easy on the last weekend when we only have conference championship games being played and no movement amongst the other college football teams. 

What is the likelihood that Auburn could upset Alabama?  Can anyone link me to some good analysis on this matchup?  If Auburn were to beat Alabama, what might that do to the overall BCS picture? 

Alabama has already clinched a spot in the SEC championship, correct?  That means they'd still play Florida (assuming no upset to an in-state rival, which I think is unlikely given how reliable Urban Meyer has been against Bowden since taking over the Gators).

This could be a real mess if Alabama loses to Auburn, and then Florida loses to Alabama in the SEC championship--I wonder if that would result in two Big 12 teams playing in the BCS championship.