SB Nation User Blog: brickell

Fredi or Valentin

brickell — Mon, 05 Oct 2009 14:24:48 -0000

Well the season only ended yesterday, but the rumors are swirling. Doesn't sound like much of anything, but I wouldn't put anything past Samson and Loria.

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/nationworld/wire/sns-ap-bbn-marlins-gonzalez,0,5068695.story

...manager Fredi Gonzalez will be evaluated at the end of the season, leaving the winningest manager in team history with no guarantee he'll return for 2010.

Gonzalez signed a two-year extension in spring training, putting him under contract through 2011. He also led the thrifty Marlins to an 87-75 record with the lowest payroll in baseball ($37 million) and passed Jack McKeon for most wins by a manager in team history with his 242nd on Saturday.

"As we looked at the performance at things that happened, games that went one way, games that went another way, there is no question we felt we should have been a playoff team," Samson said during Sunday's Marlins-Phillies game.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=AmYsv0Iw6GRUL2ywtSPQWXQRvLYF?slug=ge-marlinsmanager100409&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

Samson appeared in the press box during Sunday’s regular-season finale between the Marlins and Phillies to address reports that former big league manager Bobby Valentine had spoken with Loria about managing the club.

“Not that I’m aware of,” Samson replied when asked if Valentine had been in contact with the club, but later said he wouldn’t “rule out” the possibility that Loria may have spoken with Valentine, who has managed in Japan for the last six seasons and recently rejoined ESPN as an analyst.

Season so far

brickell — Mon, 12 May 2008 03:55:01 -0000

With the 7th win in a row and the best record in baseball, they're finally getting noticed. A commentator on ESPN admitted that it was a good team, but claims they have been "lucky in close games" and "have played an easy schedule". With close to a quarter of the season on the books let's take a look at if that's true. I know some of you are much better at the stats, so feel free to contribute.

Luck:

May be some merrit to this.

They are 7-3 in 1-run games and 3-0 in extra innings. Let's call it 10-3 in close games. That's the best record in the league. Compare to 1-13 for Atlanta, 10-11 for Philadelphia and 7-4 for New York. A few pitches here and there and it could still be a logjam at the top of the division. But a stellar bullpen has to account for some of this luck. They have the 3rd best bullpen ERA in the majors and have given up the 2nd fewest HRs. The Marlins power has also enabled them to get runs in bunches but there may be some luck here ("clutch"?) or could it be the bench?

Late innings of close games v regular season

AVG - .299 v .265

SLG - .504 v .456

HR/AB - .06 v .04

Schedule:

According to ESPN - http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

The Marlins have the 2nd highest RPI and are 14th in strength of schedule. Hardly a cakewalk. Lucky or not, the team record is legit in my opinion.

2 other things stand out - Atlanta, probably the unluckiest team has had the easiest schedule so far. The expected W-L formula has the Marlins tied with Philadelphia and New York, 3.5 games behind Atlanta. Good thing the play the games on the field and not on paper.

It reminds me of another lucky team, the 2003 Marlins. They didn't always have it together, but they found ways to win close games, to win series, to grind it out. Let's hope this year's team keeps it up and follows them all the way to the World Series.

Opening day opening swing

brickell — Wed, 02 Apr 2008 13:49:38 -0000

Opening day opening swing

Opening Day opening pitch

brickell — Wed, 02 Apr 2008 13:48:33 -0000

Opening Day opening pitch

Charting the NL East

brickell — Thu, 21 Jun 2007 00:18:18 -0000

Here's a little project I did at work today. If everyone likes it, I'll try to update it every week. edit: updated to July 14th.

The NL East measured by games ahead or behind. The Marlins are the baseline and always 0. Measured on the Sunday of each week.