danh
Feb 12, 2008 Feb 15, 2012 4 866
RSSUser Blog
Maybe this is a stupid stats question
Think about the most average player, and whatever you think the best hitting summary statistic is, which i'll call 'H'. now think about whatever pitching stat you value the most, and let's call that 'P'. You can sort the league's pitchers from low P to high P values, and look at the hitter's H stats in that way (ie. his H value for the bottom 10% of the pitchers, then the next 10%, etc). Obviously there will be a tendency for reduced H values as the P group becomes more difficult. Over the population of a league, you can get a measure of what that relationship looks like.
The goal is find out whether a hitter does better than expected given his overall stats against either strong pitching or weak pitching. (ie., if his overall stats indicate a H value of 5, you might expect that he will bat like a 7 against the bottom 10% of pitchers in his league, and a 3 against the top 10%. )
For minor leaguers, would you think that a player that outperforms his overall stats against the better pitchers be a better prospect than a batter who outperforms his overall stats against the weaker pitchers?
I think maybe so, because the better pitchers on a given minor league level are the ones who the minor league batter will face when he gets to the next level.
For major leaguers, are there really some hitters who succeed more than expected against better pitchers and suck more than expected against weaker pitchers? If you could quantify this, would it be useful on either the major or minor league level? And even if it would be useful, is there enough data to evaluate and get significance in your answers?
(and if it would be of use, it could be turned around to evaluate a given pitcher and his performance against better and worse hitters vs. expected results)
I was just trying to think of a way to better predict future performance. I picture 2 AAA hitters with identical overall stats -- but one doing better than expected against the best AAA pitchers but not as good as you would think against the weak AAA pitchers.
This question written by someone (me) who knows little about baseball stats, and I'm sorry if it is, indeed, stupid. It's a long off-season.
Ways to get cheap A's tickets?
Ways to get cheap A's tickets? $2 Wednesday tickets AAA discount: Receive $5 off Field Level (regular price $26) and $4 off Plaza Level (regular price $24) seating for A's regular season home games. stubhub.com craigslist.com Chevron used to offer 2 for 1 tickets; do they still do that? What other deals are out there?
Question about rainout
I admit that i very rarely attend games, but i bought tickets (a while ago) for tonight's game. Is it too late to get anything for a game that's gonna either have crap weather or be rained out. If it is rained out, any ideas of when the make up game would be? If i go and have extra tickets, what are my chances of selling them for a loss outside of the ballpark?
Would you welcome Giambi back to the A's?
Let's fantasize for a moment that the Yankees have to eat the rest of his contract or are able to work out a buyout with him that gets approved... and that the A's could get him for very little money.. Would you welcome him back?
This question has at least two components. The first is whether you could forgive him for leaving the A's for the Yank-me's, and forgive him for his steroid past. The second, and i think more interesting part, is how do you view his future as a baseball player? Do you believe his past success was primarily due to steroids, that his body is too damaged from years of steroids and living hard, etc.? Or do you think/hope that he is capable of being someone that can hit for power and average again?
Would you enjoy watching him play?
Of course, there's also the dimension of where would he fit in -- in the past, he's injured too often to count on for an everyday first baseman, and we've got durazo for DH, and hatty already at first.
My own answers: I can forgive him and would enjoy watching him as an A again. I think he can get healthy and succeed without steroids. A recovered Giambi would be a great presence in the lineup.
(and a side question: how long are steroids detectable; how often would you have to test someone to know that they're not taking any?)
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