dat cubfan daver
Mar 17, 2008 Dec 22, 2009 91 31747
Fourth-generation, lifelong Cubs fan. Raised on WGN. Lapsed in college. Back with a vengeance thanks to '03. Go Cubs!
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We don't run away from our problems. The fact it's painful doesn't change anything.
Matt Murton is going to Japan! He's going to Japan!
Fangraphs hasn't given up on Geo, should you?
Disclaimer: This article was written for fantasy baseball purposes. Nonetheless, there's plenty of statistical support for the notion that we haven't seen the last of the good player named Geovany Soto.
How 'bout we put the kibosh on the weight and weed jokes for a while and get behind Geo for the 2010 season, hmm?
WAR: What is it NOT good for?
I'm still a WAR novice myself, but I thought this Hardball Times article was an interesting look at what the oft-cited stat may NOT be good for. Sabermagicians, please weigh in.
A deal like that? For a player like that? No. Is that succinct enough? I don't know that addition by subtraction would work. Smarter people than us have tried that.
San Francisco Giants general manager Brian Sabean quoted in today's Chicago Tribune re: a bad contract swap for Milton Bradley. LINKY
SC takes some BP before this past weekend's AFL RSG.
The latest on Rich Hill
In 2007, Rich threw 195 innings for the Cubs and led the starting staff in strikeouts. He's now a free agent seeking a minor league deal.
If the poll included in the article above is any indication, Orioles fans don't want him re-signed. So should Jim Hendry welcome him back into the fold with a minor league contract?
I see one year, $7-8 mil guaranteed with incentives to reach maybe $12-13 mil. Seems like something the Red Sox would entertain. I wonder if Harden would take less, try to rebuild value in San Diego.
This was the response of Tim Dierkes of mlbtraderumors.com to my question: "What kind of deal will Rich Harden get this off-season? And who will give it to him?" in today's live chat.
Astros hire former Cubs minor league manager, scout Brad Mills as new manager
Honestly? I'd never heard of him either.
Did the Cubs win more games than they should have in 2009?
I came across this rather fascinating blogpost today written by a Tampa Bay Rays blogger whom I follow on Twitter (@RaysIndex). He's trying to determine whether Rays manager Joe Maddon, who I happen to think is a pretty cool guy, was the worst skipper in baseball this season.
To do so, he's used each MLB club's team WAR to calculate its expected wins and then compared those results to its actual wins. As you can see, according to this method, our 2009 Cubs won almost six games more than they should have, based on their statistical results.
So, assuming you buy into this blogger's methods, were the Cubs somehow both unlucky (in the context of their preseason projections) and lucky (when viewed in the context of their actual play) this season? Or was Sweet Lou better than many of us thought?
I'm curious to hear your thoughts - especially any sabermagicians out there.
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