
dblplay
Jul 26, 2009 Apr 14, 2012 10 50
RSSUser Blog
Should Hendry be Allowed to Sell?
MLB Trade Rumors goes over the options if the Cubs become sellers. It's well researched and most of what has been mentioned in the article has also been mentioned in threads on this site.
However it does ask the question: Should Hendry be in charge of dissolving the team this season, or should another GM step in?
The Arizona Diamondbacks replaced their GM in the middle of the season last year and are currently at the top of the division. You can easily make the case that dissolving a team under a new GM gives the team a head start and removes the relationship factor between the GM and player. I think the relations factor is a big concern because Hendry's relationships with players may make him less likely to deal them.
IMO, Hendry's best trait as a GM is his ability to get players in trades. He's had success with Aramis and D-Lee. However, he has failed miserably in shipping off players like Maddux and Lilly netting almost nothing in return. This situation falls in the latter and I personally believe he should not be allowed to sell off the team.
My question to you is: "Should Hendry be allowed to sell off this team?"
Garza Scratched With Elbow Tightness
Let's hope this isn't too serious, otherwise we may have more of The James Russell Experiment.
The Rebirth of Matt Garza
Matt Garza has been known as a predominately fastball pitcher, with over 70% of his pitches last year being fastballs. This year he is throwing twice as many sliders and change-ups, reducing his fastball percentage to below league average of 53%.
This different repertoire has been effective for Garza as he leagues the league with xFIP of 1.93 and much of his ERA and hits against him are the result of bad luck. Garza has complained about pitching coach Mark Riggins wanting him to throw less fastballs, but in the end it can make him a better pitcher who can rack up some serious strikeouts.
Looking back, he was a dominant pitcher in the AL East only using one pitch, imagine what he can do with three solid pitches. If he can effectively continue to use his slider and changeup, we may be looking at the ace pitcher Jim Hendry envisioned this past offseason.
Fangraphs Examines Sam Fuld
Fangraphs takes a look at Sam Fuld and whether he'd be a useful starter for the Rays. They enjoy his plate discipline, speed and defense, even though sabermetrics doesn't have reliable stats for fielding. All said, he's worth 2.0 WAR, which is average for an MLB starter. There's also some good humor on how he loves flying all over the place for fly balls.
I know Fuld never really had a spot on this team, but it's frustrating the Cubs never can find a use for these type of players. They always significantly undervalue the importance of OBP, speed and defense. Instead, they end up with players who have mediocre defense, power and high stikeout totals (AKA Soriano, Ramirez, Colvin). We can continue to enjoy our current product on the field, with only 1 stolen base and mediocre defense (14/16 in total errors).
Another Cubs Prospect List
Again this prospect list has the Cubs system tabbed with a lot of MoR and bullpen pitchers. They seem to be higher on Jae-Hoon Ha than most rankings.
They were against the Garza trade, but brought up a good point that the Cubs could easily replenish the farm system by trading off A-Ram, Fuko, Pena and Silva if we have a poor first have performance.
Zachary Rosscup is the 3rd Piece
Decent numbers in lo-ball. Low walk ratio, average strike out ratio. Good WHIP and ERA. The Baseball Cube has him scouted as a really good control pitcher with average strikeout ability.
Also noted is that he is a left handed pitcher, which benefits a weakness in the Cubs system.
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/R/Zach-Rosscup.shtml
http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=rosscu001zac
Fourth of July Weekend, Let's go Red White & Boom
Well as all of you know, this team plays like crap and the trading deadline is around the corner. We're 10.5 games back and management will have to decide if we're buyers or sellers. I know management doesn't want to become sellers too soon because of the prospect of a serious decrease of attendance and loss of fan support. But the way I look at it, I think attendance would actually get a boost and fans morale would increase if we introduce some new prospects like Brett Jackson, Jay Jackson and Darwin Barney. Not to mention, with this losing record new prospects would get some "low pressure" major league playing time.
Our current lineup right now doesn't produce and is laden with putrid contracts put forward by Jim Hendry. He's horrible at signing free agents, but I do give him credit for his trades. He's made some really damn good moves, like acquiring Aramis Ramirez and Kenny Lofton for nothing, D-Lee for Hee Sop Choi, Rich Harden for three players who've been DFA'd the past month (Patterson, Gallagher & Murton) and Carlos Silva for Milton Bradley. Other than the Juane Pierre trade, Hendry is a stud at trading.
If he expects to keep his job at the end of the year, he better clean up this mess that he created. Hopefully the Cubs roster will go Red, White and BOOM, with a selloff of some of our veterans (I had to do a patriotic pun somewhere) and potentially freeing up some room to bring in fresh faces.
I think a selloff would be beneficial for this organization in the longrun. Below is my ranking of our veteran's trade values based off of the quality of prospects we can get in return. Also posted is a couple comments about each player. I'm leaving our younger players, Ryan Dempster and immovable contracts (Ramierez and Soriano) off the list.
1) Ted Lilly- Lilly has been a stud since joining the Cubs and has to be Hendry's best FA signing. He posted a 3.10 ERA last season and is currently sporting a 3.12 ERA. Being a left hander also increases his value, and I could see him as being the second best SP on the trade market, behind Cliff Lee. I also think Lee's steep asking price could help draw some significant attention to Lilly because teams don't want to sell off the farm to meet the Mariners' demands.
We do have an in-house replacement of Lilly with Gorzelanny doing a solid job as a left handed SP. Lilly could also command a large FA signing at the end of the season, which the Cubs cannot afford.
2) Carlos Silva- I'm sure there's plenty of skeptics out there on whether or not he can perform, but when it's all said and done, he throws strikes, eats up innings and wins ballgames. He's not an ace, but a SP with 1.050 WHIP this season and one year left on his contract would be a good pickup for any contender.
He's had a great season thus far, but "Buy low, sell high."
3) Derrek Lee - He may be difficult to deal because of his NTC, but given the chance to play with a contender he would probably accept a trade. His .708 OPS this season has hurt his trade value, but he has plenty of experience and plenty of pop to potentially turn it around.
I think trading Lee could give the chance for Colvin to possibly get some playing time at first without significantly hurting the team during the learning process. I think Colvin is our replacement for 1B, with Soriano in LF, Jackson in CF and Byrd/Fukodome in RF for next year.
4) Marlon Byrd- Byrd's been all of we can ask for. He's hit for average (.311), had decent power (9 HR), but most importantly has been the person who has gone to work day in and day out with 110% effort. That alone should make him a valuable commodity.
If there's any person on this team who I would hate to see go, it is Byrd. He would be a key veteran to help any potential rookies learn the game the way it should be played.
5) Ryan Theriot - Theriot is your typical average player, but does has some valuable qualities. He leads the team in SB with 15 and has always put up some solid contact. Some teams like the Red Sox could use an infielder to put up some consistent numbers, which Theriot could provide.
Let Darwin Barney get some playing time, he deserves it after performing well at AAA. Also, we have Hak Ju Lee in the system who can arrive in 1-2 years.
This is where trade values go down significantly.
6) Kosukue Fukodome - This guy just can't handle being away from home. He starts off well in the spring each year and declines as the season goes along. Baseball is a game of focus and concentration and Fukodome just can't concentrate while being away from his family for an entire MLB season. However, he only has one year left on his contract after this year and is one of the best defensive RF in the game. He does have some value.
If the Cubs eat at least half his contract, they could possibly move him. But the way I see it, he's a permanent $12 million bench player for the Cubs from the here on out with Byrd, Colvin and Soriano, Nady in front of Fukodome. Even if they eat up 2/3 of his contract, I still think the Cubs could gain from trading him because they NEED TRADE AN OUTFIELDER to make room out there.
7) Carlos Zambrano - He's pitched like shit this year, he can't hit 90 MPH on his fastball, he's a headcase and he's making 18 million a year... He came close to being on the list of untouchable contracts like Soriano or Ramirez, but the Cubs would be willing to trade him at almost any cost. People forget that before 2010, his ERA has been under 4.00 in every season of his career and I think the suspension could actually help his value. He's cooled off, arm is rested and wants to prove himself again. Z is emotional, for good and bad... and I could envision Z coming back with some fire, especially if the Cubs trade him.
The Cubs would most likely have to do a contract swap or eat up half of his contract to trade him. I'd love to see Z go... as it would be the best for both parties.
Let me know what you think...
Should we sell or stay pat?
Who can we trade?
Who could we get in return?
Where's the future of the team?
Youngest Player on Cubs almost 26 Years Old
The best major league teams have a great combination of youth and veteran support that mutually feed each other. The veterans provide guidance for the youngsters and the yougsters give energy that the veterans can feed off of. It was highly evident with Blanco and Soto last year, Maddux with Dempster/Zambrano and went the other way with Karros in '03 or Edmonds last year.
With that being said, the youngest player on the roster is Esmailin Caridad who is 25 years of age born 10/28/83. Soto is next behind being born January of that year. Everyone else is well over 26 years of age.
As aformentioned, the veteran/youngster support goes both ways and needs to be balanced. It's safe to say that the balance is way too far tilted towards the veterans. Ramirez, Bradley, Soriano, Lee, Dempster and Lilly are all over 30 and there's a huge group of players that are either 28 or 29. I'd like to create an anology and compare all these veterans to gasoline, but with no youth to provide a spark and fully expose their potential.
So what do we need... We need more of Sam Fuld playing his heart out, diving face first into fences. We need Gorzo out there challenging a strong Dodgers lineup and prevailing. If these youngsters show they mean business and want a starting spot on the roster, its going to force the veterans to be accountable for their actions.
When September 1st comes around, I'd like to see some callups of true youngsters like Stevens, Gaub or possibly even some AA guys. I think these callups could help us with a spark in the final stretch.
To conclude our situation: We've got a bunch of veterans with locked up contracts with management giving no interest in giving youngsters a shot. Forget playing Soriano or Miles, and let the best players compete for their spot in the lineup. Until then, I think Jim Hendry's best acquistions this offseason may be at the Scooter Store.
Jake Fox a future all star?
Here's an interesting article on ESPN.com that makes the argument that Fox could be an all star one day.
It's a shame that our outfield and our corners are locked up with contracts for awhile that are going to limit his playing time, but I agree that Fox is the real deal.
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