Well, the last dominos that could have prevented Boise from getting in the BCS fell. The title game should be Alabama/Cinci, but will be the somewhat inevitable matchup. There will be no 'if the season ended today' post this week, because I don't think the BCS standings will be released before the BCS games will be announced, and certainly won't be with enough time for me to write something up.

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For most of the time BCS rankings have been available this year, we've had a #1 and #2 that are going to meet in their conference championship game, which makes an actual showdown in the BCS title game unlikely. Still the point of these articles is to show the effect of things the way they are now, not how I expect them to be next week. And the talk going around the media in the last few days about a rematch being quite possible if Texas loses is probably just intended as a warning to poll voters that no matter what happens next week, they really have to vote the SEC title game loser #4 or worse to make sure the computers don't produce a rematch.

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Oklahoma State lost, and made projecting the final at-large BCS spot somewhat difficult, because I still can't see a BCS bowl taking Boise unless they have no other good options.

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Kind of a dull week of actual football involving highly ranked teams outside of the Pac 10 (fortunately, like our host, I live out west and could actually see the Pac 10 games, but I don't get ESPN360 where I'm at right now, so I couldn't see us beat Rutgers). Still, LSU's loss did move Virginia Tech into the top 14, which might affect things a bit down the road, but no changes in how things would play out if the season ended today.

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Not a lot of change from last week, as the only top-14 team to lose was LSU, which wasn't going to get a BCS bid anyway (barring a crazy upset of the eventual SEC title game loser, which seems extremely unlikely at this point).

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We've still got the implausible title game with this week's BCS rankings, but at least impossible or highly implausible conference champs are no longer projected by taking the highest-ranked team this week. It seems like barring an upset, Floribama is 1/2 until the SEC title game.

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Five top-14 teams lost this week, and LSU is SEC Iowa. In any case, little beyond the title game is as it would have been projected at the start of the year, or even last week.

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This week's BCS standings re-introduce the implausible title game that we've had for most of the season, and right now the highest-ranked teams in some conferences seem unlikely to win them. But that's where we are.

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I was hoping to leave the crazy projections behind with last week, but we got so many crazy actual results on the field this week that I'm not sure how to project things. Still, I'm going to try.

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A few small shifts in the standings make the 'if the season ended today' for this week a lot more plausible.

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