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Jul 15, 2010 Dec 22, 2011 77 31
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Fantasy Football Week 16 Start' Em Sit 'Em
Start Em
Tim Tebow QB – Maybe this is obvious, but Tebow has a matchup that a only takes place during the holiday season. Buffalo has the 29th ranked rushing defense in the league, so we can expect Tebow to lead the Broncos to victory on the ground. I understand that he is a QB, but there is no way John Fox doesn’t design at the minimum five run plays for Tebow against this defense. Not only are the Bills awful against the run, but Tebow should torch them through the air as the Bills are last in the league with 21 sacks so you can expect him to pick apart this Buffalo secondary. Like any QB in the league, when you have to set your feet you can do damage and with the emergence of Demariyus Thomas, Tebow has a legitimate number one weapon. We are looking at 20 plus fantasy points from a QB that wasn’t drafted to start the year.
Donald Brown RB – Many believe that if you don’t arrive by the third year, you are likely to be a bust. Brown is changing that late in the season as he’s posted double digit fantasy points in three of the last four weeks. Brown has become the goal line back scoring touchdowns and for the first time since 2009 Indianapolis has established a run game. There are many skeptics of Brown but his 5.1 YPC is impressive and while the Texans defense is great against the run, Brown has become the most integral part of the Colts offense. In 2009 Brown was suppose to be the lead back for the Peyton Manning led Colts but instead he can be the running back that gets you over the top in your fantasy championship.
More of Evan's Start and Sit Decisions after the jump:
Fantasy Football Week 15 Start' Em Sit 'Em
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TJ Yates QB – With Ben Roethlisberger and Matt Moore questionable for Sunday a lot people are running with their heads off looking for a QB. While this isn’t the ideal situation to be in, when looking around for available quarterbacks the name that appears to be the safest is TJ Yates. Yates, unlike Carson Palmer, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Rex Grossman isn’t an interception machine who could do more damage than good. Also, Yates is playing against a Carolina defense that has scored double digit points once this season. After watching him lead a game winning drive in Cincinnati, I bet the coaching staff in Houston was impressed and will let the rookie air it out. Far from sexy, if you’re in a QB conundrum go with the QB who ended the Bengals playoff chances.
Felix Jones RB – To be honest, I am not the biggest Jones fan. I thought he was vastly overrated coming into the season and his play on the field early on as well as an injury out him to a third down role where truly belongs. But for running backs most of the time it’s not about how talented the guy is but the opportunity and the opponent. On Saturday night Jones gets a shot at the Buccaneers run defense that has given up the most fantasy points to running backs this season. Jones should see anywhere from 20-25 through the air and on the ground in what should be a high scoring affair.
More Start em Sit em after the jump:
Fantasy Football Week 13: Start' Em Sit 'Em
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Vince Young QB – Coming off a performance where he threw for 400 yards, it’s hard not to like Young as he heads to Seattle. Yes, 100 of those yards were thrown down by 25 but that means he aired it out for 300 yards while the Eagles were still in contention. Young was robbed by his receivers dropped passes, so his stat line could have been better. It’s obvious from his last two performances that Young is having no problem connecting with Riley Cooper as well as DeSean Jackson, someone Michael Vick was not getting the ball to before he went down with an injury. Young has his flaws but against a secondary that has given up the 20th most passing yards in the league I see Young going for 200-225 with 2TD’s with a banged up LeSean McCoy in the backfield.
C.J. Spiller RB – For the last two seasons I have focused way too much of my attention to Spiller. Like many fantasy owners, you were enamored with what he did at Clemson and are sitting patiently waiting for him to demonstrate that skill set in the NFL. Last week in his first career start he was average at best getting 19 carries for 55 yards. To be fair to Spiller the Jets do have a good run defense, and it was obvious in their game plan that they thought the way to win this game was to make Ryan Fitzpatrick win through the air. That plan almost backfired and I don’t think the Titans will be as focused on stopping Spiller since he has yet to prove he is a feature back. While he has yet to earn our trust, Head Coach Chan Gailey continues to rave about Spiller so we can expect a heavy dose of the Bills first round draft pick from 2010. The Titans give up 4.3 YPC on the ground so look for the Buffalo to exploit that weak run defense.
The rest of Evan's Start/Sit selections after the jump:
Fantasy Football Week 12: Start' Em Sit' Em
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Andy Dalton QB – Has anyone been in the league been as impressive in back to back losses as Dalton? In games against the Steelers and Ravens Dalton put up double digit fantasy points including over 20 in Baltimore. The Browns have the number one pass defense in the league but those numbers are skewed. There last two games have been at home vs. the Rams and Jaguars offenses which to say the least are the worst in the NFL. With or without A.J. Green, Dalton should continue his campaign for Rookie of the Year in an easy victory over a division rival. Anything less than 200 yards and two TD’s would be a disappointment.
Beanie Wells RB – Can’t say I am surprised about Wells being inconsistent. He’s been hampered by injuries all season long while playing behind one of the league’s worst offensive lines in the league. While it’s hard to smile about Wells erratic play, you can’t deny the man a matchup that he can take advantage of. The Cardinals are in St Louis on Sunday and while the Rams are solid against the pass, they have been overmatched against the run all season. St Louis is last in the league against the run giving up just fewer than 150 ypg. Beanie should get going in what could be his best fantasy game of the season.
Read more of Evan's Start'em Sit'em after the jump"
2011 Fantasy Football Week 11: Start’ Em Sit ‘Em
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Alex Smith QB – After watching Smith come away clean against the dreaded Giants defense, I think it’s safe to say that Smith is not who we thought he was. He was always be remembered as the guy who was the number one pick overall who didn’t pan out, but in 2011 Smith is erasing the past with a fairy tale season. It’s easy to look at Smith’s numbers and see game manager (averaging a touchdown per game over his last four contests) but with Frank Gore banged up, I expect Smith to air it out 25-30 times. With healthy receivers and Vernon Davis showing life a week ago, we could be staring at a 250 yard two TD performance as San Francisco faces Arizona on Sunday.
Reggie Bush RB – From the former first overall pick to the second overall pick, Bush is finally getting the job done on the ground. With an increase in workload Bush has averaged 5.8 yards per carry over his last three games leading the Dolphins to two victories. What’s been key is Bush is getting the goal line carries, something he was never given the opportunity to do in New Orleans. Buffalo is giving up over 125 yards per game on the ground, making Bush a low tier number one running back on Sunday
Jason Avant WR – Last week Avant was a last minute add with news that DeSean Jackson would be benched for missing a meeting. The veteran disappointed, but with Jeremy Maclin likely out I am willing to give Avant another chance. Far from a deep threat, Avant runs great intermediate routes and whether it’s Vince Young or Michael Vick under center, against the Giants defense I don’t see big plays over the top to Jackson happening. In ppr leagues, Avant has a chance for a big day especially if New York is blowing out the Eagles by the time it’s the second half.
More of Evan's Start em Sit em after the jump:
2011 Fantasy Football Week 10: Start' Em Sit ‘Em
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Matt Hasselbeck QB - In the Panthers two games before the bye week they gave up 515 yards in the air to John Beck and Christian Ponder. That was Ponders second career start but Beck who eased his way to 279 yards at Carolina has since thrown for 462 yards to go along with three interceptions.
Knowing what Beck and Ponder accomplished against Carolina, gives me the feeling that Hasselbeck will shred this Carolina secondary apart. Hasselbeck has struggled recently but the Texans and Bengals defenses were a huge upgrade from what the Panthers will be presenting. A 200-225 yard passing game with 2 touchdowns should be expected as the veteran holds back Jake Locker from seeing any action.
Chris Johnson RB – When I started this column I never thought Johnson would be here, my thought process being it was a given you are starting the best running back in the NFL. But with a horrendous start, Johnson has been delegated to a flex play in most leagues. This week, just like his QB, I see Johnson making a fantasy impact. Carolina is giving up 133.3 YPG so Johnson should find some lanes to break through in what should be a high scoring affair. The Titans need this game if they hope to contend for the playoffs, so expect Johnson to touch the ball 25-30 between the running and passing game. I’m calling Johnson’s breakout game of the year on Sunday, as his team is close to getting desperate.
More of Evan's Start'Em Sit'Em after the jump:
2011 Fantasy Football Week 9: Start' Em Sit 'Em
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Ryan Fitzpatrick QB – It’s not often that a quarterback not named Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers is a top 10 QB when going against the Jets, but Fitzpatrick has been sneaky good. Fitzpatrick is not an elite QB, but unlike the average to mediocre quarterbacks in this league, Fitzpatrick won’t force the ball to receivers that aren’t open. So if Darelle Revis is glued to Steve Johnson, look for Donald Jones (should be back for Sunday’s game), Namman Roosevelt and David Nelson to breakout. Currently the 10th ranked QB in standard fantasy leagues, Fitzpatrick should throw for another 250 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday’s AFC East showdown.
Jackie Battle RB – Since getting into the Chiefs running back rotation, Battle has clearly become Todd Hailey’s go to guy. In his last three games Battle has received 16 -19 carries while averaging 88.3 rushing yards and touching paint dirt twice. Thomas Jones and Dexter McCluster continue to stall the offense, so Sunday Battle should receive 20 plus carries in a game Kansas City must look at as a must win. Battle is not elusive, but he’s strong, and he’s far and away the best option for goal line carries. Team’s can rack it up vs. Miami, so stick with Battle as he has yet to let you down.
Check out more of Evan's Start and Sit selections after the jump:
2011 Fantasy Football Week 8: Start' Em Sit 'Em
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Joe Flacco QB – In his 4th season the assumption was Flacco would take the next step. Unfortunately Flacco has disappointed while the Ravens despite him look Super Bowl bound. People look at Baltimore and believe Flacco is the weak spot of this perennial powerhouse, but this team has only played six games so I would calm down as a Ravens fan or a Flacco fantasy owner. Coming off back to back seasons where he threw for over 3,600 yards, the Delaware graduate has 10 more games to prove he’s worthy of starting in your lineup every Sunday. He’s fortunate to go against Arizona this weekend, and a pass defense that is giving up 274 yards per game. He won’t be perfect but Flacco will gain some confidence back in a route over the Cardinals.
Roy Helu RB – Their hasn’t been an announcement on who will be the lead back when the Redskins face the Bills in Toronto, but Helu looks to be the guy. When Tim Hightower left the game against Carolina due to an ACL injury, Helu got 33 snaps while the veteran Ryan Torain only took three. Fantasy owners should be giddy as Helu was handed the ball on first and second downs against the Panthers, as many expected him to only be used as a third down back. Buffalo struggles against the run and they will be without their best run stuffer Kyle Williams as well as Shawne Merriman who was placed on injured reserve. With the Bills giving up over 135 yards on the ground per game, Helu is a high end number two back for this match up.
More of Evan's Start and Sit selections after the jump:
2011 Fantasy Football Week 7: Start’ Em Sit ‘Em
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Curtis Painter QB - In a week with Tom Brady, Michael Vick and Eli Manning on a bye, there is slim pickings at QB. While Painter has been far from impressive in the win department, his match up with New Orleans on Sunday night is favorable in the fantasy department. New Orleans should be up from opening kickoff, forcing the Colts to pass the ball early in the first quarter. The Colts might be winless but the problem for Indianapolis has been defense, as Pierre Garcon and Reggie Wayne have played well, even if they haven't met your expectations. Last Sunday in Tampa, the Saints defense got torched by Josh Freeman and the trend of getting torched through the air continued (ranked 23rd against the pass). Painter is far from a sexy play, but 200-225 yards and two touchdowns against a soft secondary is more than sufficient with your starters on a bye.
Daniel Thomas RB - Last week vs. the Jets, many thought Thomas would break out, but people must have forgotten how stout the New York run defense can be. On the other hand, the Broncos defense even with a week off to prepare is borderline pathetic. Denver is giving up over 123 yards per game on the ground, making Tomas and Reggie Bush both solid starts fun Sunday’s game. Thomas has run well behind the young Dolphins offensive line and is averaging 4.4 ypc. This game should get ugly, but Miami’s ability to run the ball should be the bright spot that makes it worth watching. Thomas is a top 12 running back this week, and Bush makes for a nice flex play.
More of Evan's Start'em Sit'em after the jump:
2011 Fantasy Football Week 6: Start’ Em Sit ‘Em
2011 Fantasy Football Week 6: Start’ Em Sit ‘Em
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Matt Ryan QB – Maybe it’s the expectations that are getting to Ryan, but through five games the number three pick of the 2008 draft has been shaky. The Falcons are 2-3 and Ryan’s seven touchdowns and six interceptions have disappointed owners who thought this was the breakout season. Ryan will never be a Drew Brees or Philip Rivers type of passer, but that doesn’t mean he can’t be you’re fantasy QB on a bye week against a dreadful Carolina defense. Ryan is dedicated to his craft so don’t be thrown off by the previous games as he should bounce back even with Julio Jones out of the lineup. Look for Ryan and Roddy White to reconnect like it was 2010, as a high scoring affair takes place in the Georgia Dome.
Earnest Graham RB – Sometimes it’s not about skill but the opportunity a running back is given. On Sunday, Graham will be the feature back for Tampa Bay as LeGarrette Blount will likely sit out as they host the Saints. Graham has been involved in the passing and running game this season and is extremely familiar with the Buccaneers playbook. A veteran who manned the backfield once upon a time for Tampa Bay, Graham is a powerful running back whose best when near the goal line. With 20 touches coming his way, start Graham as a flex against a Saints defense that surrenders a lot of points.
More of Fake Teams Week 6 Start' em and Sit' em after the jump:
2011 Fantasy Football Week 5: Start’ Em Sit ‘Em
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Eli Manning QB – While Manning will never be his brother Peyton, it’s hard to argue with how consistent Eli brother has been in terms of fantasy over the years. Once again Manning is on pace to throw for over 4,000 yards making this the third season in a row. This week the youngest Manning has a dream matchup at home vs. the Seahawks. Seattle was 27th against the pass in 2010, so don’t look too much into their current ranking of 16. New York has struggled running the ball, so look for Manning to air it out in what should be a blow out. Eli is a top 10 QB in all formats for Sunday’s massacre at the new Giants Stadium.
Darren Sproles RB – Sproles was brought into New Orleans to be a Reggie Bush replacement, but through four games he’s been the feature back. Even with six or seven touches out of the backfield, he’s third in the league with 26 receptions and has been a dominant force in ppr leagues. After watching Matt Forte whose skill set is similar to Sproles run all over the Panthers, expect a heavy dose of Sproles on Sunday. Unfortunately for Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas owners, Sproles is the back to own in New Orleans.
Reggie Wayne WR – For the first time in his career Wayne isn’t an automatic start. With Curtis Painter under center, Wayne won’t put up his usual numbers but on Monday night in Tampa he was targeted eight times. With the inexperienced Painter slinging the rock, Wayne should continue to be relied on in what will be miss match against Brandon Flowers. Owners of Wayne are in the dumps, but believe in the Hall of Famer who still has a green light at the end of the tunnel.
More Start Em and Sit Em after the jump:
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Marco Scutaro- While everyone has watched the Red Sox crap the bed in the month of September, their quiet shortstop has held down the fort in Beantown. The veteran has a .386BA, 18RBI and 8 doubles this month and has become extremely valuable while the rest of the offense slumps. Many thought this was the season where Jew Lowrie would become the full time shortstop in Boston, but with Scutaros production of late, don’t be surprised to see the Red Sox commit to him with a contract in the offseason. With seven hits in last five games, this is a bat you want to ride into hitter friendly Yankee Stadium where C.C. Sabathia won’t be taking the mound. An AL Only play for the majority of the season, Scutaro with his hot finish should be starting for everyone this weekend.
Aaron Harang - When Harang signed with the Padres, fantasy owners targeted him in the later rounds hoping he could rejuvenate his career. In his short stint in beautiful San Diego, Harang has once again become fantasy relevant behind a 3.82ERA and a 13-7 record. The 33 year old is having a stellar September posting a 3.24 ERA through four starts. Like most starters Harang has been excellent at Petco PARK with a 3.29ERA while holding batters to a .249BA. In his last start of the season Harang takes the mound at home vs. the anemic Dodgers offense. If there was ever a time to spot start the veteran, this is the Saturday to do so.
Kyle Lohse – Lohse is far from sexy but as long as he’s in the Cardinals starting rotation under Dave Duncan you can expect solid numbers. Lohse’s best month has been September, improving his ERA from 3.72 to 3.47 while racking up three wins as St Louis crawls their way back into the Wild Card race. With a 1.85 Era in his last four outings it’s hard not to pickup Loshe as he faces the Cubs right handed lineup on Saturday. Expect tons of run support against Rodrigo Lopez, as Lohse gets his fourth win of the month.
2011 Fantasy Football Week 3: Start'Em/Sit'Em
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Matt Hasselbeck QB – Coming off a 358 yard performance, Hasselbeck was a popular add this week. No, I don’t believe Hasselbeck is the savior to your fantasy team, but I do believe his match up against the Broncos Sunday makes him relevant. The Denver defense allowed over 330 passing yards to rookie QB Andy Dalton last week, so Hasselbeck should be licking his chops knowing that he is capable of putting up those numbers. After handing it to the Ravens, don’t be surprised to see the veteran be a hot topic of conversation on Monday morning.
Willis McGahee RB – Head Coach John Fox said he’s going with the hot hand, and its obvious Knowshon Moreno has cooled down. Moreno sat out last week, while McGahee carried the ball 28 times rushing for over 100 yards while getting in the end zone. Talent wise McGahee never lived up to the hype out of Miami, but his nose for the end zone has never left him. Monitor Moreno heading into the week, but even if he plays McGahee is the Broncos running back you want to start because of his touchdown prowess. Expect a minimum of 10-15 carries and score in what could be a high scoring affair in Tennessee.
David Nelson WR – Nelson came on strong at the end of 2010 and he’s picked it up to begin 2011. The undrafted rookie out of Florida is not your normal slot receiver; at 6’5 he’s playing that Wes Welker role in the Bills offense. He’s a crisp and sound route runner who’s a nightmare for the linebackers who get stuck guarding him. Last week he caught the game winning touchdown defeating the Raiders, and while he won’t always be a hero, he’s an integral part to the Bills pass happy offense. Lots of receivers became hot commodities after last week, but receiving options such as Denarious Moore and Eric Decker don’t have a pass happy Head Coach in Chan Gailey. Nelson should be a third receiver option going forward as he’s will have a stellar season particularly in ppr leagues.
Evan Moore TE – Moore was a sleeper coming into the season with the idea that a young QB relies heavily on his TE. Through the first two games it’s been true as Moore has scored in both games and is Colt McCoy’s favorite red zone target. While many would point to his number of receptions on the season as a recommendation as putting on the breaks, you don’t need your TE to be Antonio Gates or Jason Witten. Moore is playing like Mercedes Lewis from a season ago, in what became a top 5 TE season. Go ahead and start Moore for his match up with Miami as he could be the fourth TE this year to score against the Dolphins defense.
Oakland Raiders DEF – Yes, the Raiders gave up 38 points last week and 35 in the second half to Buffalo but that offense is completely different then the Jets. If Oakland loses the field position battle in this game then I do apologize, but after watching Mark Sanchez throw two picks last week and the running game struggle against the Jaguars, I have a hard time believing this offense can’t be contained. The Bills spread offense put the Oakland secondary on their heels, and that won’t happen on Sunday as New York’s offense is conservative in comparison. Expect a lot of blitz packages as Richard Seymour and Tommy Kelly should be able to take advantage of the depleted Jets offensive line.
The Sit Em selections are after the jump:
Fantasy Baseball 2011: Weekend Warriors
Drew Pomeranz – The casual baseball fan has no clue that Pomeranz is alive, but when the Rockies moved Ubaldo Jimenez, Pomeranz was an integral part of that package. In his major league debut last Sunday, the rookie tossed five innings of shutout ball in a victory over the Reds. Pomeranz has the ability to be a dominant strikeout pitcher, as the 22 year averaged 10.63 K/9 while in the Indians Double A system this season. Pomeranz will likely be the number four starter in the Colorado rotation next season so it’s a name fantasy owners should get use to. For those in need of a win this weekend I recommend Pomeranz against the Giants on Saturday night and their pathetic .239 BA.
Rick Porcello - A trendy sleeper in the beginning of the season, Porcello hasn’t turned the page in 2011. While expectations haven’t been met for the 22 year old, he’s in the midst of a strong stretch that could be positive for the postseason as well as the 2012 season. In the month of September Porcello is 2-0 with a 2.77ERA and has become an essential part of the Tigers making the playoffs. While the Tigers are set for the post season, Porcello is still fighting to see if he gets a starts in the ALDS, so every start he makes is important. In h2h leagues in need of a W, add Porcello who is getting hot at the right time of and has the lousy Athletics lineup in front of him.
David Murphy – Earlier this season Murphy was a must add when Josh Hamilton got hurt and once again with Nelson Cruz out of the lineup Murphy has stepped it up. Through 13 games in the month of September Murphy has a .407BA, 4HR, and 2SB. Yes, its possible Murphy will cool down soon, but he’s a legitimate fourth outfielder, who is hot at the right time of the year. Even headed to Seattle where the ball dies, Murphy is a solid option spot because of the potent Texas offense. With so many injuries at this time of the season, it’s a player like Murphy who is fantasy gold this late into September.
Fantasy Football Week 2: Start'Em/Sit'Em
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Mark Sanchez QB –There was one thing that was apparent to me after watching the Jets vs. the Cowboys on Sunday night; New York is going to let Sanchez air it out. Sanchez threw the ball 44 times in week one and it won’t surprise to me to see the Jets to rely heavier on the passing game than in years past. With Santonio Holmes here for 16 games, with the wide receiver upgrades of Plaxico Burress and Derrick Mason, Sanchez could be steallar. The Jaguars have a laughable secondary that allowed the second highest QB Rating at 98.5 from a season ago. Look for Sanchez to have his best statistical game of the season on Sunday as the Jets blowout Jacksonville.
Fred Jackson RB – After watching the Bills trounce the Chiefs, Jackson is officially the lead back in Buffalo. On 20 carries Jackson rushed for 112 yards, while being taken out in the 4th quarter because the Bills benched their starters. Jackson is arguably the most underrated player in the entire NFL, and this includes fantasy football fans because of his lack of touchdown production. Every week Jackson puts up eight points and while that doesn’t seem like a lot, he’s a safer bet then Joseph Addai and Cedric Benson who are touchdown dependant. The Raiders defense did a solid job against the Broncos run game but let’s not forget they allowed 133.6YPG on the ground last year. Start the Coe College graduate with confidence as the Bills improve to 2-0 on Sunday.
Nate Burleson WR – Matthew Stafford is still healthy, therefore Burleson is a solid flex or third receiver play for Sunday’s game against the Chiefs. Burleson was solid in his season debut grabbing five balls for 60 yards as the Lions defeated the Buccaneers. With Calvin Johnson likely to see double teams, Burleson should see lots of single coverage vs. a depleted Kansas City secondary that lost Eric Berry for the year.
More Start/Sit after the jump:
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Henderson Alvarez - It’s one thing to dominate the free swinging Orioles, but Alvarez’s performance vs. the Red Sox was impressive. The rookie allowed three hits while striking out four, over six innings without allowing a run. In his last four starts Alvarez has gone the minimum of six innings and in that span he’s allowed five earned runs over four starts. Alvarez is the opposite of teammate Brandon Morrow, he is a control/ground ball monster, with an improving fastball that gets just below 94MPH. Alvarez’s walk rate of 1.74 in AA has transitioned to the majors, so the Blue Jays are looking at a viable starter for the future. Going against a Baltimore team he shutout less than two weeks ago, Alvarez gets the green light on Saturday.
John Lannan – When it comes to fantasy starters, Lannan isn’t a popular name for his lack of strikeouts. While the Ks don’t pile up, he’s been a quality starter at home this season with a 2.94 ERA. This weekend Lannan is at home vs. a sub-par Astros lineup so for fantasy owners in h2h leagues in need of a win, Lannan is worth taking a flier on. Houston has 85 HRs which is second fewest in the majors, so expect a lot of ground-balls as Lannan will utilize his circle changeup. Lannan is far from sexy, but it’s the playoffs in h2h leagues, and sexy doesn’t always get it done.
Alex Rios – A fourth round pick to start the season, Rios has been a top 10 fantasy disappointment in 2011. Playing on a team full of wasted draft picks (Adam Dunn, Matt Thornton), Rios has finally started to turn it around as the White Sox are on their last leg for a playoff push. In the month of September, Rios has a .375BA, 500SLG and 846OPS, making him an interesting play going forward. The damage has been done with what Rios did to you the first five months of the season, but he’s a five tool player who is looking to finish strong. Rios is owned in fewer than 50% of leagues, so adding him against the Indians as you’re fourth outfielder would be a stealthy move.
Doug Fister – It would have been improbable to imagine this before April, but Fister was the missing piece to get the Tigers a top the AL Central. Since getting traded to the motor city, Fister has impressed with a 2.64ERA and a 1.03WHIP. Like the previously above mentioned Lannan, Fister isn’t a hot commodity in rotisserie leagues, but in h2h he’s a solid bet for three categories. Now in Detroit, Fister has a swagger about him that I don’t think they make in Seattle. Add Fister for his start against the Twins, as the Tigers look to go back to the playoffs.
Fantasy Football 2011: Week 1 Start'Em/Sit'Em
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Kerry Collins QB - With Peyton Manning likely out for the season, Collins will be under center for the AFC South Champion Colts. While Collins won't duplicate Manning numbers for the season, going against the Texans defense that gave up 26.7 points per game a season ago, Collins is a sneaky play to start 2011. Indianapolis will still be a pass first offense that should have no problems putting points on the board with Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, and Austin Collie as weapons. Yes, Manning is a superior talent to Collins, but o assume Wayne and Clark were made by Manning is naive. In 2QB leagues, Collins is an underrated option, who I prefer to Alex Smith, Jason Campbell and Matt Cassel for Sunday.
Mike Tolbert RB - When drafting this season, Tolbert was someone I had my eye on in every draft because of his nose for the end zone. Ryan Mathews will be the lead back, but on 3rd down and in the red zone Tolbert will be the guy. Coming off an 11TD season with a new contract up in the air, you could see Tolbert finish as a top 15 running back by the end of the season. The Vikings finished 24th against the run last season, and with the loss of Ray Edwards there isn't a lot of optimism on that front seven.
Percy Harvin WR - Season three is usually the make or break year for a receiver so there is a lot of pressure on Harvin. Coming off another year of migraines, Harvin finished strong with 20 receptions in his last three games for a total of 241 yards. Adrian Peterson is the workhorse that gets the Vikings offense going, but Harvin is the dynamic play-maker who will need to step up if they have a chance of beating San Diego. In ppr leagues Harvin could be a 100 reception guy this season and it all starts on Sunday at the Chargers.
Aaron Hernandez TE - The popular tight end option amongst fantasy owners seems to be Rob Gronkowski, but it's my belief Hernandez is the guy to own. Gronkowski was drafted to be a blocking tight end, and if you watched the Patriots pre season you know it's true. Hernandez should be the team's leading red zone option, as Chad Ochocinco has yet to receive the Patriots playbook and Deion Branch saw one target in all of the pre season. Hernandez is a superb route runner with excellent hands and is a linebacker's worst nightmare over the middle of the field. The Dolphins defense will be in trouble on Monday Night if Hernandez is getting single coverage.
Cleveland Browns D/ST- The Browns finished strong in 2010, so for the first time in a long time this team has expectations. In week one the Cleveland hosts the Bengals and rookie QB Any Dalton, and like any rookie QB I expect Dalton to struggle. The Bengals coincidentally struggled moving the ball on the ground with Cedric Benson. A rookie QB, plus a team that can't run the ball makes the Browns a top 10 D/ST to open up the season. Cleveland gave up the sixth fewest rushing yards on the in 2010, so look for Dalton to have to throw to win the game.
Sit em after the jump:
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Brandon McCarthy – The Athletics staff was hyped up heading into 2011 with Trevor Cahill, Gio Gonzalez and Brett Anderson at the front of the rotation. Here we are in September, and the most reliable pitcher since July has been McCarthy. In four of his last five starts McCarthy has gone six innings plus including a win at the Yankee Stadium. McCarthy isn’t a strikeout machine, but as an end of the rotation starter on your fantasy team with a 3.64ERA, he’s been an excellent spot starter all season. On Saturday McCarthy has a juicy matchup as Oakland heads to Safeco Field for the weekend. The Mariners and their American League low 90HR as well as their 30th ranked BA makes McCarthy worth starting. Owned in 14% of ESPN standard leagues, take a flier on the veteran righty if you are in need of a win in your h2h matchup.
Mike Trout - While the hype on Trout was extreme, it’s hard to argue with the results of late as he’s been the Angels best hitter of late. The rookie started slow in August, but finished the month with a .400BA, 4HR and 7RBI. Trout is clearly the future of Anaheim baseball but with the Angels in the thick of the pennant race, Manager Mike Scioscia sees the writing on the wall and it involves Trout being a regular in the lineup. With the injuries piling on at the end of the season, taking a flier on Trout for a fourth outfield spot or a utility spot is harmless, especially with the reward being so high.
Jesus Montero – Before the season I was convinced that Montero would start the season on the Yankees roster. While I was wrong on Montero’s debut, New York’s top prospect should become a regular splitting time between DH and CA for the rest of the season. Montero wasn’t called up to sit on the bench, so expect to see him in lineup six out every seven games. Montero’s, bat has been compared to Miguel Cabrera, as he tore it up throughout his Minor League career. He finished the minors with a .308BA, .501SLG% and an impressive .867OPS. For teams in need of a catcher, Montero is worth taking a flier on as he could finish in the top 10 at his position from this day going forward. Pounce on Montero for the weekend as he faces two lefties in Ricky Romero and Brett Cecil.
2011 Fantasy Football: Updated Wide Receiver Rankings
Look, you don’t have to have Roddy White as your number one receiver but there is no doubt in my mind the top wide receiver is between him, Calvin Johnson, Andre Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald. White has the least concerns between all four, and don’t tell me Julio Jones is a concern as White should see less double coverage in what will be a pass friendly offense.
What’s noticeably different from my rankings from just over a month ago is how much Reggie Wayne and Jeremy Maclin have dropped. Until Peyton Manning is on the field and I see can see that he is healthy I will be scared to draft all of the Colts receivers. With Maclin, it’s about being in game shape, and I just can’t spend a top 40-50 pick with him not being physically there.
Ladies and Gentleman, my rankings are here, tear me apart but please be gentle.
1. Roddy White – Yep, he’s still number one on my board. No receiver is safer for guaranteed numbers at the end of the season without worrying about injuries or quarterback concerns.
2. Calvin Johnson – Megatron is the real deal and it was proved last season with Shaun Hill under center. If Matthew Stafford can stay healthy for 12 game, Johnson should improve on his 1,120 receiving yard and 12 TDs.
3. Andre Johnson – Johnson was an elite receiver in 2010, but with 353 less receiving yards then the year before and three games on the sideline, some fantasy owners are wary of Johnson. Owners who skip over Johnson because of what was considered to be a down year are crazy, and if you see have fall any pick past 12 he should be pounced on immediately.
4. Larry Fitzgerald – Max Hall, John Skelton and Derek Anderson were the quarterbacks for Fitzgerald in a season where he hauled in 6 TDs and just over 1,100 yards. If Kevin Kolb is worth half the hype, Fitzgerald is good for 1,300 and 10.
5. Mike Wallace - In his first season he averaged 19.4 yards per reception and in season two he followed it up with a ridiculous 21 yards per reception. Now with Ben Roethlisberger back for a full season, Wallace in season is primed for a career year.
More Wide Receiver rankings after the jump:
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Ivan Nova – Nova started the season in the Yankees rotation as a question mark and will finish the year as New York’s second best starter. This past Sunday Nova earned his 13th win on the season lowering his to ERA to 3.97 on the season. Over his last 10 starts Nova is 9-0 with a 3.48 ERA, while allowing three earned runs or less in that same time frame. The New York media talks about Nova’s job not being safe, but the truth is, he’s going to start every fifth day going forward With Brian Matusz opposing Nova on Sunday amd his 8.92 ERA, even a shaky performance by Nova will likely result in a win with the star studded Yankees offense. Owned in fewer than 65% of ESPN leagues, Nova against Baltimore is as good as automatic.
John Danks - A slow start to the season left Danks on the waiver wire early in May, and while he isn’t the top 20 starter that many projected, Danks should not be available in 45% of leagues. Over his last six starts Danks has a 3.05 ERA, and has been the ace type pitcher the White Sox have needed all season long. His low 90s fastball and his changeup have picked up as the season has gone on, so all fantasy players should expect a strong finish. On Saturday evening Danks duels with the Mariners lackluster offense that is consistently bad at the plate. Seattle’s .235 BA and .348 SLG% is the worst in the majors making Danks a safe bet at Safeco Field.
Juan Pierre – Staying with the theme of disappointing White Sox, Pierre has helped Chicago get back in the A.L. Central race. Pierre through the month of August has a .326 BA, 5 SB, and 14 RBI and has been the leadoff hitter we have known and loved in previous seasons. Like his teammate Danks, the expectations on the season were high for Pierre, but letting the past go is what a smart fantasy owner would do. Owners in needs of runs and steals should scoop up Pierre immediately as we could be looking at a top five stolen base option for the remainder of 2011.
Kyle Blanks – A sleeper in 2010, Blanks disappointed in San Diego, demoted to the minors rather quickly and started this season playing with the kiddies. Called up to the show towards the end of July, Blanks has contributed with a .260 BA, 6 HR and 18 RBI. With eligibility at 1B and OF, Blanks is a legitimate power threat every time he comes up to the plate, but like Adam Dunn he swings and misses a lot. Unlike Dunn, Blanks is athletic and at the young age of 24 the future is still bright. The Padres head to a homerun haven in Chase Field this weekend making Blanks utility or fourth outfielder option
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Delmon Young – The biggest waiver wire pick up this week was by the Tigers when they swooped in and grabbed Delmon Young. Coming off a season where he had a 298. BA, 21HR and 112RBI, the argument could be made that the Twins sold low on Young in what has been a disappointing 2011 campaign. Now hitting in front of Miguel Cabrera as opposed to seventh in the Minnesota lineup, Young should get pitches to hit and owners who bought into his 2010 season should start seeing results. Owned in fewer than 50% of ESPN leagues, my recommendation is to pickup Young for a start Saturday vs. David Huff and plan on using him as a 4th outfielder going forward. With a .297 BA since the all star break and with a position to drive in runners, Young could be a waiver wire steal in real life as well as fantasy.
Randy Wolf – While Yovanni Gallardo and Zach Greinke get the press in Milwaukee, Wolf’s season has been as valuable as any Brewers starter. Since the midsummer classic Wolf is 4-2 with a 2.65 ERA and has now won four straight. With back to back eight inning performances, Wolf is mimicking the dominant pitchers of the game today, proving to be a workhorse. With the injury plagues Mets on deck for Saturday at Citi Field, Wolf owners should be enthusiastic about Wolf going for his fifth in a row. Scoop up the veteran as he’s leading the Brewers to a division title.
Justin Morneau – In what has been another injury plagues season, Justin Morneau has been the whipping boy of fantasy owners everywhere. Even when healthy Morneau has not produced on the field, leading him to be short of 80% owned in both Yahoo and ESPN leagues. While just short of 80% isn’t a knock on a regular player, Morneau before his concussion a year ago was a candidate for MVP. My recommendation is to get him in your lineup as he faces two similar pitchers in A.J. Burnett and Ivan Nova this weekend. Both of these starters are erratic and are prone to giving up the long ball so Morneau should be able to take advantage. While the Twins will fall short of the post season, Morneau can help you reach yours in what could be a dominating month in a half of baseball.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Hideki Matsui – After his 15 game hitting streak was snapped on Tuesday, Matsui bounced back Thursday with a four hit afternoon. Since the all star break Matsui has a .432 BA, 5HR and 24RBI. The 2009 World Series MVP has regained relevancy in fantasy circles as his short swing approach to the ball has rejuvenated the Athletics offense. In deeper mixed leagues as well as AL Only Matsui has tons of value for this weekend with favorable matchups against Colby Lewis and Matt Harrison. For those worried about the lefty Harrison, Matsui is hitting .288/.339/.558 against lefties
Jake Peavy – Call me a sucker for Peavy, but coming off his two most impressive starts of the season the season there could be a light at the end of the tunnel for this former stud. In his last two outings Peavy has tossed 15 innings while giving up three runs including a win over the Twins. While his transition to the American league has requested patience, Peavy looks to have finally adjusted. What’s been key is his ability to stay strong as the game goes on in particular the 100 pitch mark of a game. With a 3.33 ERA since the all star break, I am buying Peavy in 12 team mixed leagues going forward. Peavy won’t turn into the 2007 National League CY Young winner, but he could be a nice replacement for those relying on Scott Baker and Jair Jurrgens.
Jesus Guzman – Guzman could be the poster boy for what this column is about. In h2h leagues picking up a player when he’s rolling can be the difference in a victory or a loss, so Guzman is a must own at the current moment. The 1B is riding a 12 game hitting streak and has been the number one ranked player in Yahoo over the last 14 days. His 15RBI and 5SB has made him a hot commodity in NL Only Leagues, as his ownership has risen to 30% in mixed leagues with 52 major league at bats. Guzman won’t be the difference between you winning a fantasy championship and coming in second place, but he could be the difference in h2h leagues for this weekend and the following week.
Dontrelle Willis – In a season where Bartolo Colon has pitched like an all-star, seeing the 29 year old Willis can’t be considered shocking. Willis has now gone four straight starts going six plus innings and while solidifying himself in the Reds rotation. The difference in the veteran when compared to his most recent stint in Detroit is his ability to get batters out swinging. His 6.57 K/9 is his best since 2008 and his 2.92 BB/9 is the second best of his nine year career. Coming off a 10 strikeout performance against the Rockies, it’s hard not to be optimistic spot starting Willis this weekend when he goes against the offensively challenged Padres. Start Willis at home vs. San Diego and their league worst 64 homeruns.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Eric Chavez – When I mentioned Chavez last week readers had concern for my thought process, but a week later I will mention the Yankees starting 3rd baseman once again. Now batting .429 in August, Chavez fits the New York mold of taking pitches and pushing the runner over. In last night’s game vs. the White Sox Chavez added another two hits while just coming short of his second homerun of the week. Alex Rodriguez resumed baseball activities yesterday, so Chavez will be in the starting lineup for another weekend, this time at Fenway Park. With John Lackey on the mound Saturday and Josh Beckett Sunday, my recommendation is to start Chavez at 3B or your corner spot in 12 team mixed leagues and deeper. With ownership growing to a full one percent, Chavez is more than a fill in with Rodriguez on the way back.
Joe Saunders – The name Joe Saunders and fantasy stud don’t go hand and hand, but the crafty lefty has been great this summer. Since June 10th Saunders has lowered his ERA a full run from 4.56 to 3.56 while keeping the Diamondbacks in the playoff chase. In his last 14 starts Saunders is 8-3 with a 2.63 ERA while throwing seven plus innings in his last three starts. On Saturday Saunders goes against the Dodgers who he defeated in his last start giving up eight hits and two runs going just short of eight innings. The Dodgers anemic offense vs. one of the hottest lefties in baseball makes Saunders a must start at Chase Field.
Desmond Jennings – All fantasy owners were more than thrilled when Jennings got called up, and while Anthony Rizzo, Brandon Belt and Mike Moustakas have disappointed, Jennings has delivered. In 12 games his .354 BA, 3HR and 5 SB, has made him a top 10 outfielder since entering the show. At 24 years old it’s hard to consider Jennings a prospect, but with his hot start out of the gate, it’s more than likely the Rays had the right idea keeping him in the minors as long as they did. While his BA is likely to drop it’s not out of the question for Jennings to steal anywhere from 10-15 bases while scoring a healthy amount of runs. For owners in h2h leagues Jennings speed is equal to Raji Davis and surpasses Juan Pierre going forward. Jennings is the Rays future, but adding him for the present is what you need to do.
Alex Cobb – Sticking with the theme of young and exciting players out of the Rays organization, Cobb is making a name for himself in the show. After allowing only six earned runs in his previous four starts Cobb has turned himself into a must own in AL only league, and a solid play in deeper mixed leagues. With a 33 to 17 strikeout to walk ratio through 48 and third innings, Cobb might not win rookie of the year, but he’s someone who can help you push for your championship title as regular season comes to an end. With Oakland on deck for Saturday start Cobb with confidence as Oakland manages a measly 3.8 runs per game.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Alex Cobb – The Rays Minor League system is clearly the best in baseball, and Cobb is another product of Major League ready talent. The 23 year old in seven starts this season is 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA and has helped keep Tampa alive in the playoff hunt. Cobb dominated Kansas City on Sunday allowing blanking the Royals over seven innings on 81 pitches before being removed with a blister on his finger. Cobb’s 0.21 HR/9 has been impressive, showing that he’s not making mistakes when it tough situations against baseballs best hitters. His next start is Saturday against the Mariners and their 64 homeruns on the season as a team Cobb can lower that number. A viable spot starter in mixed leagues, keep an eye on the rookie as he solidified himself in the Rays rotation.
Eric Chavez – Not that he’s the savior to get the Yankees ahead of Red Sox, but Chavez has been more than adequate while in the lineup for the Bronx Bombers. Chavez came back from the disabled list earlier this week and in his return to the lineup had two hits and an rbi hitting eighth in the lineup. While Eduardo Nunez has played well in the absence of Alex Rodriguez, Chavez has a superior bat and glove and will likely see the majority of time at third base. With such a scarcity of dominant third baseman this season, Chavez is a nice play while waiting or Rodriguez for Placido Polanco to return back to action. Owned in 0.3 percent of ESPN standard leagues, scoop up Chavez for this weekend’s battle with the pedestrian Orioles rotation and bullpen.
R.A. Dickey - Last season Dickey was considered a fluke, but as we approach the last two months of the season Dickey has proved to be worthy in fantasy circuits. Through the month of July Dickey’s 1.16 WHIP has been one of the best in the National League, as his knuckleball continues to devastate batters. While Dickey is unpredictable when it comes to strikeouts, the Nationals are predictable when it comes to hitting (.234 BA, 28TH in MLB) and striking out (842 2nd worst in MLB). In need of a win in your head to head matchup, scoop up Dickey as eases his way through the Washington lineup.
Freddy Garcia – Who need’s Cliff Lee when you can sign Garcia to a minor league contract and get the same results. After barely making the Yankees opening day rotation, Garcia has been more then valuable with his 3.23 ERA, ranking him 15th amongst American League starters. With 17 strikeouts in his last three starts, there is no reason to expect Garcia to slow down even at his age of 34. Now three wins away from matching his total of last season (12) Garcia duels with the division rival Orioles who he shutout over six innings when they met earlier this season. With tons of run support from the New York offense, look for Garcia to notch double digit wins on Sunday.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Ted Lilly – Lilly finished strong in Los Angeles in 2010, and while 2011 has been dismal thus far, I foresee a turn around. Since the midsummer classic Lilly has become fantasy relevant again throwing 16 strikeouts in two games. Throughout his career Lilly has been dominant second half pitcher, posting a 3.17 ERA from 2008-2010. For this weekend specifically, I like Lilly in his match up with the Nationals as he’s 4-3 with a 2.49 ERA in eight career starts. While Lilly has broken your heart this season, I would recommend scooping up the veteran before he goes on his second half tare.
Josh Collmenter - Coming into the season the Diamonbacks rotation outside of Daniel Hudson and Ian Kennedy was questionable/pathetic. To the surprise of many, Collmenter has solidified that 3rd spot in the rotation while making a case for National League Rookie of the Year. Making his first start since the all-star break on 12 days rest, Collmenter dominated Milwaukee tossing eight innings of three hit seven strikeout ball. The Detroit native now has 12 starts under his belt to o with a 2.65ERA and 0.94WHIP making him a must own in 12 team Mixed Leagues as well as NL Only Leagues. Owned in less than 40% of standard leagues, scoop up Collmenter for his duel with the Rockies Saturday evening.
Kyle Kendrick – It’s easy to get overlooked in the Phillies rotation with Cliff Lee, Roy Halladay and Cole Hamels pitching every fifth day, but Kendrick has been a solid contributor all season. Kendrick is currently sporting a 3.34 ERA and has now allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. Fortunately for Kendrick the Padres and their .233 BA come to Citizens Bank Park this weekend in what should be a low scoring affair. Spot start Kendrick in head to head leagues as he looks to improve on his 2.89 ERA at home.
Michael Martinez – While Martinez isn’t your average rookie (28 years old), he is clearly impacting the pennant race in the National League East. With 12 RBI in the month of July, Martinez ranks second amongst rookies sitting behind Braves standout 1B Freddie Freeman. Over the past 14 days Martinez has a .379BA, six runs scored and three SB’s, as he’s filled in nicely for injured Placido Polanco. With eligibility in Yahoo at 2B, 3B, SS and OF, Martinez is an asset to any team with players who could have long DL stints. Between AA and AAA in 2010 Martinez hit 11HR and 56RBI, so it’s possible the Phillies found a diamond in the ruff at an older age. Play Martinez this weekend against Padres this weekend as me makes a play for rookie of the month.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Javier Vazquez – With a 5.23 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP, Vazquez’s shift back to the National League has been a bumpy ride. The move to Florida made me believe Vazquez could be a sleeper in deep mixed leagues, and while he disappointed early, the Vazquez of 2009 is starting to show signs. Vazquez has lowered his ERA over a run in a half over his last three starts, throwing 20 innings and allowing two earned runs. Now with a 1.19 ERA in his last five outings, Vazquez should be owned in all NL-Only Leagues and highly considered in 12 team mixers. Start him Saturday vs. the Cubs and their predominately right hand lineup.
Brandon Allen – While 1B is always deep, when a young power hitter comes up from the minors into a hitter’s park it’s time to pay attention. Allen was called up on Thursday and will be batting right in the middle of the Diamondbacks lineup. The heavy hitting lefty should be an upgrade over the combination of Juan Miranda and Xavier Nady, so fantasy owners and Diamondbacks fans should be excited. Allen batted .306/.427/.579 with 18 homers and 1.006 OPS Triple-A level this season. In NL Only leagues as well as Keeper Leagues, Allen is a must add. For the rest of the season I like Allen better then Anthony Rizzo if you need a first baseman, and if you’re looking for a corner, I prefer Allen to Kansas City rookie Mike Moustakas. Based on power and the park, Allen could have a solid finish as Arizona makes the playoff push.
Paul Maholm – I mentioned Maholm a week ago, and it’s apparent no one is listening as he’s still available in just fewer than 80% of leagues. Maholm has been one of baseball’s best surprises, sporting a 2.96 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP as the Pirates ace in 2011. While fantasy players are still skeptical of Maholm, pitching in the NL Central in a pitchers park, I see no reason not to ride Maholm until he explodes. This Saturday he duels with the Astros who he’s 1-0 against with a 1.38 ERA in two starts this season.
Cory Luebke – From reliever to dominant starter, Leubke is making the transition look easy. Out of the bullpen he struck out 43 batters in 39 innings pitched, and as a starter he’s allowed two earned runs in three starts. So 2011 has clearly been Leubke’s season, and while we still have a second half to go, Leubke has the opportunity to be a star for the remainder of the year. Pitching in the NL West with his home starts at Petco Park, Leubke is worth a flier as the 26 year old has tons of upside. Grab Leubke for Saturdays start vs. the Giants as he looks to continue his dominant rookie season.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Rubby De La Rosa – While it would seem De La Rosa would be the perfect fit as the Dodgers closer, he’s the replacement for Jon Garland as the
Rajai Davis – A hot bat is a hot bat, so it’s hard to ignore what
Kyle Seager – The Mariners are doing the unthinkable in 2011, staying competitive while bringing in a youth movement. After calling up Dustin Ackley,
Paul Maholm – I am not sure if it’s harder to believe the Pirates are playoff bound or that Maholm is the real deal? While the book is still out on both, Maholm’s 3.08 ERA and 1.22 WHIP has been extremely impressive as we reach the midway point of 2011. While many are quick to criticize Maholm because of his low strikeout rate, Maholm has been unlucky with the Pirates offense taking a breather when he takes the mound. In his second start of the week, Maholm duels with the Cubs who have yet to score a run against the south paw in two starts this season.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
John Lannan – When the name John Lannan comes up in a baseball conversation the word sexy doesn’t come to mind. On the other hand, the word consistency should come up as Lannan has been a top of the Nationals rotation for the last three seasons. Before his last outing at Anaheim, Lannan was 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA and a 1.3 K: BB ratio. Lannan, is clearly a match up play so you can lower your team ERA and WHIP, so starting him at home vs. the Pirates is in your best interest. Pittsburgh has a .241 BA against lefties through three months, so expect a heavy dose of the circle change against the young and inexperienced Pirates lineup. With a 1.81 ERA at Nationals Park this season, scoop up Lannan who is owned in fewer than 10% of ESPN standard leagues.
Laynce Nix – Sticking with theme of Nationals, Nix is having an excellent season when the expectations were to be the fourth outfielder in Washington. Now three homeruns shy of his career high of 15, Nix should easily surpass 20. Nix is similar to a Matt Joyce where he is a platoon play as he dominates righties and is pedestrian against southpaws. Against right handed pitching Nix has a .306 BA, 12 HR and 29 RBI, making him a solid 4th outfielder or a nice utility player on your team. Nix has favorable matchups with James McDonald and Kevin Correia this weekend so making him a must start. He was out the previous two games with an Achilles injury but he should be good to go to contribute for your roster this weekend.
Derek Holland – A rough couple of starts of what Holland is currently going through, but his talents equate elite starter in this league. Holland is far from polished, but with the big strikeout ability he can take over a game. Going against a bottom tier offense that has the seventh most strikeouts in the Marlins, this is the perfect opponent for Holland. A free swinging Marlins team is what Holland needs to get back on track and improve on his 4.68 ERA. It was just a season ago where Holland had an 8.48 K/9 so Holland can take over a game easily. In keeper leagues, owners should pay close attention to Holland as a couple of great starts will have his ownership on the rise.
Jake Arrieta – With so many young starters in the Orioles rotation, Arrieta is having the most success between him Brian Matusz and Zach Britton. He upped his K/9 to 7.26 from 4.66 a season ago while compiling nine wins for the last place Orioles. The 25 year starter has improved from month to month and finished June with a 3.28 ERA and is looking like a number two starter for Baltimore going forward. While most fantasy owners would be hesitant to start Arrieta on the road in Atlanta, going against a team that is 4th in baseball in strikeouts (621) makes this a favorable match up. The Braves lineup is better on paper then on the field so the young right hander should be successful this weekend. Like Holland, monitor Arrieta in keeper leagues as we are looking at a 15 game winner for the future.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
J.J. Hardy – With Derek Jeter and Darwin Barney on the dl, fantasy owners are scrambling for shortstop help. To the rescue is J.J. Hardy who’s thriving in the lead-off role atop the Orioles offense. In the month of June Hardy has a .404BA, 5HR, 9RBI and 12 Runs scored. Hardy has now been on base in 22 of the last 23 games and currently has a career high .365OBP. Playing the majority of his games in Camden Yards, Hardy now plays in a park which favors his strengths (hitting the ball in the air), so he should hit 20-25 HRs by the time the season is over. Power hitting shortstops are hard to come by with the exception of Hanley Ramirez and Troy Tulowitzki so Hardy is a must add for this weekend’s battles with the Nationals and for the rest of 2011. With the ability to hit for power and score runs, Hardy should be owned the shallowest of leagues, as he could produce top five numbers from the shallowest of positions for the rest of the year.
Carlos Carrasco - After back to back starts of shutout ball, it's easy to see why Carrasco was a significant piece in the Cliff Lee deal of 2009. The 24 year old is currently the only Indian starter worth starting as he’s won 5 of 6 and has a 3.03 ERA over that stretch. Coming into the season many were concerned with Carrasco's ability to give up the long ball, but his last three outings the ball has stayed in play and that included games vs. the Rangers and the Yankees. Carrasco is a must add in 12 team mixed leagues and is someone you should be monitoring in keeper leagues. With so much hype of young pitchers, it’s refreshing to see the Indians might have snagged one along the way. Start him against the Pirates on Saturday, because this could be the last time you see on waivers if he dominates Pittsburgh in interleague play.
Scott Baker - The veteran right hander just completed his best start of the season with a complete game, one run five hit victory over the Rangers. Now riding a two game winning streak, Baker is healthy and is in command with his fastball. His 8.39 K/9 says it all, making him a viable starter while playing in the pitchers friendly Target Field. With a mid 90s fastball, Baker is utilizing it just fewer than 70% of the time, leading to his highest K rate and his best ERA since 2008 (3.55). This Saturday, Baker faces an anemic Padres offense which is 28th in HR, 29th in BA and 30th in Runs scored. Owned in fewer than 40% of Yahoo standard leagues, add Baker immediately as this matchup is like stealing candy from a baby.
Jeff Karstens - Three starts in June and 0.44 ERA aren't the numbers of Felix Hernandez or David Price, but the Pirates Jeff Karstens. Through 71 innings pitched, Karsetens has walked 12 batters and in his last six appearances has allowed one walk, contributing to his minuscule 1.08WHIP. While I understand the pessimism with the lack of strikeouts (47), Karstens hasn't given up more than three run since April 17th, so it's conceivable to believe Karstens is the real deal. Add Karstens to your lineup for Sunday’s game vs. the reeling Indians offense which is batting .221 in June.
Fantasy Baseball: Weekend Warriors
Jorge Posada – Getting past a .200 BA shouldn’t be a cause for a celebration, but 2011 has been difficult for Posada. With a new full time DH role Posada is slowly adjusting, but in the month of June with rumors of being cut, the veteran backstop is starting to produce. In his last 11 at bats Posada has 7 hits adding to his impressive .462 BA this month. Is this the turning point in Posadas’s miserable season? While, it’s hard to be incredibly optimistic, it’s not farfetched for Posada to be a top 12 CA going forward. He posses 20 HR power while playing in a lineup/stadium that is made for inflating offensive numbers. With the news of Chris Snyder’s season being over and Russell Martin day to day, scoop up Posada and hope he has a David Ortiz surge from the previous two seasons.
R.A. Dickey – Last season the knuckleballer turned his career around as he rejuvenated Mets fans everywhere as Dickey turned in a stellar 2010 campaign. The beginning of 2011 resembled the rest of his career, but Dickey has put a stop the bleeding of late. Since returning from injury, Dickey has lowered his ERA from 5.08 to 4.04 as he starts to turn his season around. With 13 K’s in his last two outings and the ability to go deep into games, Dickey makes for a solid option in h2h leagues if you need a win this weekend. While Dickey may be unpredictable, the Pirates offense doesn’t scream juggernaut, so if a win is what you need, scoop up Dickey who’s owned in 4# of ESPN leagues.
Philip Humber - The White Sox starting staff has been a mess in 2011, but Humber has been the lone bright spot of a veteran group. In seven of his last eight starts Humber has pitched into the seventh inning, help preserving a bullpen which has needed rest with John Danks and Edwin Jackson as part of the rotation. After his last start vs. Seattle, Humber lowered his ERA to 2.87 and his WHIP to 0.98 getting the attention amongst the fantasy circuits jumping to 33% owned in ESPN leagues.
After slicing and dicing the Mariners in his last start, I would say he’s a safe bet with the Athletics on deck. Oakland as a team has a .239 BA and a major league low 35 HR, and have surpassed Seattle as baseball’s worst lineup. I fully endorse Humber on Sunday as he’s a must start in all mixed leagues no matter the size.
Rick Porcello – After holding the Rangers to one run on six hits over six innings pitched, I fully endorse Porcello as a must start unless it’s the Red Sox or Yankees. If you take away his disaster against Boston two weeks ago, Porcello since the second week of the season has not allowed more than two runs in a game. Porcello has now won six of seven games, and has solidified the Tigers staff giving them a solid 1-3 in the chance for a playoff berth. Like Humber, Porcello has a pedestrian offense in the Mariners coming to Comerica Park, making his matchup even sweeter. Even with his ground ball tendencies, give me an offense that has a .336 SLG% and I will take that starter any day of the week. Continue to watch Porcello bloom into one of baseball’s best young starters and add him to fantasy your squad for Sunday.
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