gadogry
Jun 03, 2008 Dec 17, 2009 4 568
a fan of
Phoenix Suns
RSSUser Blog
Look what we did!!
Hornets fire Bryon Scott on the day after getting smoked by the Suns.
about 1 month ago
gadogry
0 comments
0 recs
Hypothetical 3-team trade (Hinrich-JRich-Boozer)
by gadogry on Aug 11, 2009 6:21 PM EDT
61 comments
Ok, the offseason is long and even I'm falling for this. My proposed trade involves Suns sending JRich to the Jazz, Boozer going to the Bulls and us getting Kirk Hinrich and Tyrus Thomas.
Here's how that trade looks on ESPN's Trade Machine:
I'll explain this trade in more detail after the jump.
61 comments | 0 recs
The Suns' (slim) draft lottery odds
by gadogry on May 13, 2009 9:44 AM EDT
21 comments
The last time the Suns had anything to do with the draft lottery was in 2007, when we had Atlanta's top-3 protected first round pick. Being a math geek myself, I needed to know the exact chance of us keeping their pick. Then I realized that to do that one actually has to calculate ALL chances of which team is picking at which positions, since these odds are all interconnected with each other. Then after some crunching, I came up with a table of all the odds and sent it to Henry Abbott at Truehoop (I wasn't aware of the existence of BSotS back then), who encouraged me to publish it on the web myself. So I started a little blog, and Truehoop ended up linking to it a few times.
Long story short (I can say that even if I've told you the long story already), I now have a program that, given the teams' records and tiebreakers, can figure out the chances of which team is picking where in no time.
Anyways, here are the numbers for 2009. They are all percentages. For example, The Clippers (LAC) have a 19.53% chance of picking 4th.
| Pick# |
Teams |
|||||||||||||
| SAC | WAS | LAC | OKC | MIN | MEM | GST | NYK | TOR | MIL | NJ | CHA | IND | PHO | |
| 1 | 25.0 | 17.8 | 17.7 | 11.9 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 21.46 | 17.36 | 17.29 | 12.57 | 8.43 | 8.33 | 4.93 | 3.26 | 2.0 | 1.18 | 1.06 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| 3 | 17.72 | 16.45 | 16.41 | 13.24 | 9.46 | 9.36 | 5.76 | 3.87 | 2.4 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.01 | 0.87 | 0.72 |
| 4 | 35.82 | 34.67 | 19.53 | 9.98 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 5 | -- | 13.73 | 25.02 | 34.99 | 26.27 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 6 | -- | -- | 4.05 | 16.05 | 38.5 | 41.4 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 7 | -- | -- | -- | 1.26 | 9.32 | 29.4 | 60.01 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 8 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.42 | 3.9 | 23.17 | 72.5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 9 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.1 | 1.79 | 16.76 | 81.35 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 10 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.03 | 0.8 | 12.17 | 86.99 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 11 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.01 | 0.38 | 9.2 | 90.41 | -- | -- | -- |
| 12 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.19 | 6.26 | 93.55 | -- | -- |
| 13 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.08 | 3.89 | 96.03 | -- |
| 14 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.02 | 1.79 | 98.18 |
So as everyone around here probably knows already, we have a 0.5% chance of hitting the jackpot and picking 1st. What you may not have known is that we also have a 0.59% chance of getting the 2nd pick, and a 0.72% chance of getting the 3rd pick. That's about a 1-in-55 chance of lucking out (and 54-in-55 chance of picking 14th).
The last time we had ATL's pick, we had a 62.22% chance of keeping it, and we all know how that went down. The Hawks drafted Al Horford and we instead got their pick the following year, which turned out to be Fropez.
The odds for us are much longer this time, and we really shouldn't be getting our hopes up. But hey, anything's possible!
The lottery is taking place next Tuesday (May 19th).
21 comments | 0 recs
Breaking news: Lakers disqualified, Suns in playoffs.
by gadogry on May 7, 2009 3:38 PM EDT
12 comments
The Associated Press -- Kobe Bryant must not have imagined this when he elbowed Ron Artest in the throat last night.
The NBA has taken drastic measures today, disqualifying the Los Angeles Lakers from the NBA playoffs for "unsportsmanship actions and behaviours detrimental to the NBA".
"By disqualifying the Lakers from the playoffs, we hope to send the message that any act of violence in an NBA game will not be tolerated", David Stern said in a statement. "Behaviours such as bodyslamming another player, flinging high elbows and messing with Ron Artest are certainly not acceptable".
To maintain the continuity of the playoffs, the NBA has decided that the Phoenix Suns, owner of the best record among non-playoff teams, will take the Lakers' place in the playoff bracket. They will play a best-of-five series with the Houston Rockets, with the winner advancing to the Western Conference Finals.
The sudden arrangement certainly took many Suns players by surprise. Steve Nash who is in Hawaii and had been doing nothing but updating his Facebook group, said that he is scrambling to book flight tickets to Houston and is doubtful for Game 1. Jason Richardson is in Michigan and had told the team that he would "drive as fast as I can" to Houston after dealing with an emergency in his family.
Despite the long layoff and a lack of preparation, some of the Suns players still appear confident going into the series. Amar'e Stoudamire, who missed the last 7 weeks of the regular season due to an eye injury, said that he has recovered and could give the Suns' already-potent offense a big boost. Center Shaquille O'Neal, who recently announced on Twitter that he cheated on his diet and ate the Jolly Green Giant for supper, posted another Tweet today comparing Houston center Yao Ming to General Tso's chicken.
Although it was unprecedented for the NBA to disqualify a team during the playoffs, the move was not unexpected. TV ratings of Lakers games had been dipping faster than Sasha Vuijvicivicicjvic reacts to foul calls, and there were rumours that the league wanted to win back its audiences by replacing the unpopular Lakers with the Suns, which plays an up-tempo style that's friendly to the casual fans.
Game 1 is in Friday night in Houston
12 comments | 1 recs
Certain photos copyright © 2009 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
