Tex costing us come off-season?

ghost of tom thobe — Tue, 17 Jun 2008 16:27:46 -0000

After last night's 0-5 4k performance, I started wondering about Tex's season stats, particular in relation to his free agency class this off-season. Could he be possibly be headed towards an Andruw-esque dive from Class A free agent to Class B? I took a look at the stats to find out. According to here, the highest Elias ranked class B players last year for outfielders and first basemen were Eric Byrnes and Frenchy (of all people). Here is how some of their stats from the last two years compares to Tex's of last year and his projected final numbers for this year:

	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SLG	BA
Byrnes	1188	329	67	11	47	168	0.471	0.277
Frenchy	1293	357	64	6	48	208	0.446	0.277

Tex '07	494	151	33	2	30	105	0.562	0.306
Tex PJ '08	617	167	35	0	23	114	0.439	0.271
Tex Total	1111	318	68	2	53	219	0.494	0.286

Now I'm assuming that the rankings probably take in other factors (defense? if so, him and Frency are comparable; probably other stats like BBs, Ks, and runs), but I don't think Tex is greater than those two in any of the other categories, save for walks. So far, Tex's stats are slightly better than those two, but the rankings are always relative (so better seasons by 1B/OF players could make the cutoff higher). Still, it's pretty close, and if Tex struggles in the second half, we could miss out on a first round bonus pick.

I definitely think that Tex is worth more than a supplemental pick, so trading him is not an option. We have no other first basemen. And I do believe he will pick it up soon and end up with better stats (23 HR? really?). But it's surprising how his struggles have dropped him to a comparable level with Eric Byrnes.

SB Nation User Blog: ghost of tom thobe

Tex costing us come off-season?