
hans
Mar 27, 2008 Feb 15, 2012 117 6073
website: Distance. Music. Almost There
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Q&A: Justin Masterson, Rhapsodic Masterpiece
An interview with Justin Masterson over at Fangraphs. Masterson is mainly asked about pitching as an art form. Some interesting information about his approach to hitters and confidence in self.
Astros approached Indians on Carlos Lee, but too rich for Cle even with Houston paying half of contract
The Cleveland Indians saw the largest increase in attendance. Their 1.84 million tickets sold were 449,151 more then last years 1.39 million.
Jerad Head up, Michael Brantley done for year
per Hoynes.
press release from the tribe here
Cabrera, Santana have words in Indians dugout
I was at the game, but didn't see any of this from where I sat.
Rockies GM says pitching Ubaldo Jimenez Saturday 'a tough situation': Indians Chatter
Anyone else pissed off about this? The fact that their GM even acknowledged some doubt about why Jimenez was still in the game after the deal was completed kind of upsets me.
Antonetti on The Really Big Show
Currently available in their audio vault. Not much revealed as per usual. It's good that he's going on local media shows to maintain the a connection between the front office and the fans (via the media).
Manny Acta: Bunts, Steals, 'n IBBs
This won't be the most scientific analysis of Manny Acta's managerial influence, but hey it's at least a talking point. The three categories listed in the title, "bunts", "steals", and "intentional base on balls" are chosen as the elements to be assessed in my attempt to quantify Acta's role. I'm choosing these categories because of the available data on baseball-reference.com, and because these three categories seem to have the most managerial influence. I'm mostly interested in the number of attempts made by Manny Acta's teams with regards to the two first categories, bunts and steals, which also happen to be both offensive categories. While the intentional base on balls (IBB) category is on the pitching side of things, and is unlike the other two, is exclusively a managerial decision. This last point is an important caveat to this "analysis". There's no way to tell if the decision to attempt a stolen base is ordered by the manager or simply made by the player on the fly. We can probably assume that players will rarely attempt a stolen base when a sign to not steal is given, there isn't much of a problem here. But, we don't know how often the permission to attempt a stolen base is given by the manager, but never acted upon by the player due to any number of factors. So although I'm using data like stolen base attempts to gage Manny Acta's tendencies, the data is incomplete and leaves the analysis open to invalidation.
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Indians Starting Pitching Thus Far
I'm grasping at straws here trying to prepare myself for what the next few months of baseball in Cleveland will have in store. The horrors of the past few weeks have given me pause with regards to how to brace my emotions as I follow this team. It's maybe because of these past few weeks that like a shrunken-within-it's-shell turtle I start my sense making with the starting pitching of this terribly euphoric and heart-wrenching team. I don't have the heart to delve into the offense at this moment. Its mix of shameful performances and bad luck over the past few weeks has me flumaxed and without the energy to attempt to peek underneath the ugly surface to see if the currents are indicating a promise of change (or in other words, a team BA with RISP over .300). So it is the safer route, but one that is also important if things are to brighten....or worsen over the remainder of the season.
HR/OFFB Park Factors
An look at homeruns by outfield fly-ball instead of using just "fly-ball" data that includes infield fly-balls. Progressive Field ranks as one of the lowest with regards to inflating homeruns per outflield fly-ball. Interestingly, Petco isn't the lowest, though it is second lowest. New Yankee Stadium has the highest park factor for homeruns per outfield fly-ball.
There's also a little unrelated tidbit in the beginning of the article that I didn't know. The author writes that Fangraphs is inconsistent in their K% and BB% metrics, as they use K/AB for the K%, but BB/PA in the BB%.
Hello, Alex White
From Beyond the Boxscore, a pitch f/x based look at Alex White's first career major league start against Detroit this past Saturday.
Matt Laporta, First Baseman?
Tipping my hat to notthatnoise from the Game 26 post-game wrap up where he posted about Matt Laporta quietly having a solid year thus far. notthatnoise mentioned Laporta's .818 OPS (135 OPS+) and particularly his GO/FO ratio that may be a key to the overall success thus far. I wanted to see how Laporta is doing compared to the other first baseman in the league because when I first saw the OPS, my thought was that it wasn't that good for a first baseman. Then quickly considered the 135 OPS+ and remembered that my mind has been trained to think that an .800 OPS was league average, which of course is nowhere near the truth these days. So optimistic about Laporta all of the sudden, I wanted to see where he stacked up against the rest of the American League's first baseman.
Baseball Prospectus doesn't yet have their 2011 individual player valuations up yet, so my original plan on including multiple points of reference went by the wayside there. Instead I just scanned Fangraphs wRC+ leaderboard for qualified AL first baseman and discovered the following:
|
17.60% |
13.50% |
0.302 |
0.325 |
0.333 |
0.454 |
0.635 |
0.454 |
194 |
||
|
15.70% |
26.80% |
0.293 |
0.273 |
0.256 |
0.392 |
0.549 |
0.408 |
161 |
||
|
15.70% |
24.30% |
0.243 |
0.321 |
0.284 |
0.393 |
0.527 |
0.397 |
160 |
||
|
11.60% |
17.30% |
0.253 |
0.305 |
0.280 |
0.372 |
0.533 |
0.394 |
150 |
||
|
16.40% |
13.50% |
0.167 |
0.338 |
0.313 |
0.431 |
0.479 |
0.390 |
149 |
||
|
11.20% |
19.50% |
0.234 |
0.254 |
0.247 |
0.337 |
0.481 |
0.359 |
131 |
||
|
8.60% |
16.20% |
0.143 |
0.368 |
0.314 |
0.379 |
0.457 |
0.367 |
131 |
||
|
7.70% |
15.20% |
0.200 |
0.286 |
0.286 |
0.350 |
0.486 |
0.362 |
128 |
||
|
5.10% |
18.90% |
0.160 |
0.291 |
0.274 |
0.308 |
0.434 |
0.323 |
105 |
||
|
2.20% |
26.10% |
0.193 |
0.279 |
0.239 |
0.264 |
0.432 |
0.305 |
93 |
||
|
16.20% |
22.00% |
0.088 |
0.264 |
0.209 |
0.342 |
0.297 |
0.296 |
89 |
||
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6.90% |
16.10% |
0.129 |
0.240 |
0.226 |
0.287 |
0.355 |
0.293 |
85 |
||
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Royals |
13.60% |
32.40% |
0.135 |
0.265 |
0.203 |
0.310 |
0.338 |
0.295 |
83 |
|
|
10.20% |
23.70% |
0.062 |
0.301 |
0.237 |
0.315 |
0.299 |
0.285 |
76 |
||
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Twins |
7.20% |
14.50% |
0.079 |
0.262 |
0.224 |
0.289 |
0.303 |
0.270 |
68 |
Laporta's 131 wRC+ ties him for sixth in the AL for first baseman with Adrian Gonzalez of Boston, who has gotten off to a slow start himself. I think if anyone would have told the majority of us here at LGT that Laporta would be the sixth best offensive first baseman in the the AL and carrying a 131 wRC+ or 138 OPS+, we would be ecstatic. If Laporta can maintain his presence in the top 8 of first baseman in the AL for the rest of the season, would you still be satisfied with him or would some of that previous prospect projectionism come back into play and raise expectations that he moves up the list?
notthatnoise made this point, but check out the baBIP, Laporta is at .254 coming into today. Both his BB% and K% are adequate when compared to his peers at the position, and there is a more than .100 point spread between his AVG. and OBP. indicating that low OBP is likely mostly the function of his poor baBIP than poor plate discipline (I will mention this caveat that his O-Swing % is 32.1, one of the poorer percentages at the position thus far and certainly a sign of caution about his prospects). As things normalize, and he can keep his approach consistent, we could see Laporta climbing these rankings. For some reason I was surprised by his ISO being near the top grouping of players at the position as well. I guess with all of the bombs Carlos Santana, Grady Sizemore, and Shin-Shoo Choo have hit recently Laporta's hits are going under the radar for me. Though once again, this might just be a function of the baBIP. I would love to see that SLG. climb into the .500 territory and stay there. At that point we could be talking a near .900 OPS and in this age, that would be something.
As briefly noted above, Laporta has some points of caution in his plate discipline percentages. In addition to his out of zone swing percentage, he has the third highest swinging strike percentage of the group (12.2%) and overall has the contact percentage on his swings (76.5%). These can be troubling signs that he is struggling with pitch recognition and adjusting to major league quality off-speed pitches. I would be interested in what those who have been able to watch him (I mostly listen to the games on the radio as I don't have cable and am blacked out of mlb.com because I live in Cleveland zone) what you think of his plate discipline and ability to recognize and lay off of breaking balls out-of-the zone is thus far.
Finally, what's the consensus feeling on Laporta at this point, are you still in "wait and see" mode or have you moved past worrying about him and now see him as a legitimate answer for the position through the near future.
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Profiling Masterson
An article over at THT mostly about the Jamaican born starting pitcher of the Tribe who has a knack for producing groundballs in the bushel full. There's a conclusion that he has the tools to be an "ace" of the staff.
Indians Sign Closer Perez to One Year Deal
A day after Asdrubal signing, the Indians have avoided arbitration with Chris Perez as well for $2.25 million.
BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 10, 2010)
The Cavs are currently the worst team in the NBA in combined offensive and defensive ratings (as used by basketball-reference). Not the the single worst offensive team, that would be the Milwaukee Bucks, and not the single worst defensive team, that being the Washington Wizards, but when taken together both offensively and defensively, the worst team in the league providing neutral opponent.
This is very good news actually as it will give the team a chance to hit the lottery and hopefully be a top 5 drafting team.
Welp, Here You Go.
Finally Steve Phillips solves all of our Cleveland Indians problems from the comfort of his den.
Prospectus Q&A with Jordan Brown
I think this might be pay content. In any case Brown call's out Brick. And also discusses how he asked the Indians director of minor league development (Rusty Watson or something) what he needed to work on to make it to the bigs.
Acta added that Nick Weglarz, another Columbus outfielder, could get a call as well if he keeps performing well. Weglarz is hitting .286 with 17 doubles, six homers, 20 RBI and an .889 OPS through 50 games.
Sizemore's Knee Surgery Set For Friday
Grady is going to Vail. He'll be getting an arthroscopic surgery by Dr. Richard Steadman, with the potential for microfracture surgery to stimulate cartilage growth if need be.
Come Get Your Stats
Your Cleveland Indians:
The Good:
#1 in Pitcher Ground Ball to Fly Ball Ratio (1.00 GB/FB)
The Bad:
#14 in Pitcher Strike Out % (13.4 SO%)
#14 in Pitcher Base-on-Balls % (11.3 BB%)
I think you can all figure out where we are ranked in strike out to base-on-balls ratio.
The Better Than Last Year:
#8 (and very close to League Avg.) in Total Zone Runs Above Average (1.7 Rtot).
Some More Good:
#4 in Batter Base-on-Balls % (10.3%)
Some more Yuck:
#13 in Batter Home Run % (1.4%).... Only the Milton Bradely Apologists are worse.
#13 in Batter Strike Out % (21.0%).
So in summation....I got nothing. Maybe our groundballer staff can't strike out guys, but what if they at least focused on not walking batters? The hitting is definetly set up to work the count, but are we simply unlucky with our Balls-In-Play, or is it a lack of punch? (Linedrive % is around 20% so there's that.)
Noah Disses on Cleveland
You know I was actually starting to come around for the guy then he goes and spouts off some gems about the city of Cleveland. The Cavs can do Noah a favor by making the next game his last game playing in Cleveland for this season.
almost 2 years ago
hans
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Five Questions: Cleveland Indians
Ryan's take on the Tribe for The Hardball Times.
Old Timey Baseball Photographs
I stumbled upon this collection of early 1900 and before baseball photographs that The Cleveland Public Library has in their collection, but also present online. Here's the link to the archived photographs, its a good way to kill some time on a weekend day.
Here's a few examples of the collection:
Tris Speaker - 1915
Ty Cobb - Prior to 1926
All Americans - 1901
Nap Lajoie is second from the left on the top row. The caption for the picture simply states that the All Americans played in California in 1901
Bill Wambsganss - 1920
In his Cleveland uniform. Taken the same season he completed an unassisted triple play against the Brooklyn Dodgers in the World Series.
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Cavs enjoy homecourt advantage over the Lakers in race for the NBA's best record
From the PD, a short article outlining the remaining schedules for the Cavs, Lakers, and Magic. Home court advantage is in favor of the Cavs during the stretch, strength of schedule fairly even for all three teams, though the Cavs have the most difficult.
Justin Masterson's Value
This is from the Fangraphs roto analysis, but there's some interesting information regarding Masterson's numbers through the minors and particularly his splits. Of promise, it looks as though his slider is developing into a secondary pitch for him. He still lacks a good pitch to use against LHB, and rarely uses his changeup. I wonder what the pitching staff has in mind to address this (add another pitch? perhaps a cutter), or if anything can really be done considering his arm slot/angle seems to be the underlying issue to his poor performance vs. LHB.
Not a Rookie: Luis Valbuena
John Sickels did an article recently on Luis Valbuena in Sickels' "Not a Rookie" series. Talks about Valbuena's development through the Seattle Mariners minor league system and how both Sickels and Baseball America missed out on him during much of that time.
Predicts that he will be an average second baseman, good pop, solid defense but with limited range that may detract from him being able to put up even average defensive numbers.
One of the posters makes a point about Valbuena's ability to adjust when repeating levels, all at young ages, and the concensus seems to be that his BB% will rise this year as he's always had good BB/K rates in the minors, but didn't have it translate in his exposure at the major league level.
Lost Child
Hi, I'm stopping in from Fear The Sword (Cleveland Cavs blog) to see if the parents of one of your posters, atlantalove want to pick him up as he apparently got lost (maybe ran away?) and wondered over to our blog and posted this (the post has been removed, thankfully)....(oh, wait here, apparently atlantalove has returned and posted this over at Fear The Sword). And removed once again). Please see for his well being as he was quite angry in his posting.
Now since I'm here and now done with the unfortunate trolling. I wanted to ask what kind of response Atlanta fans would have if a spot opens up on the All Star roster (maybe Paul Pierce will be out) and Josh Smith wasn't added? He's been a 8.9 WARP player thus far...that's pretty damn good. Where as if another Cleveland player was added neither Mo Williams or Shaquille O'Neal (the most likely two players) have a WARP above 4. I think Smith should be in instead of Paul Pierce anyways, he's simply played better thus far.
One last question, the way things are shaping up the second seed is completely up for grabs (Orlando is down 15 pts at home vs. New Orleans as I write this), what I'm wondering is of the potential first round match ups, which team (if any) would Atlanta want to avoid, not necessarily that they would lose/be upset by this team, but that would be a bad match up and push the series longer than you'd like. Charlotte, Chicago, Miami, Milwaukee, Toronto, Boston (hey, its possible that they slip right!). I know for the Cavs it would be Charlotte due to the frustration they cause for our offense and their solid home record. Miami or Milwaukee would be preferable as they are both weak teams that look like they'd fold after going down two games in a series.
No Foul Play
More on Lebron's foul rate, from Basketball Prospectus. Basically its been blown out of the water, that or Luol Deng is more of a superstar than James.
Cleveland Indians' Manny Acta makes a winning impression on fans at town hall meeting
halfway down the article there are some responses Acta makes regarding Choo being in the process of gaining his U.S. citizenship, Raffy Perez possibly being used as a starter, and Travis Hafner playing regularly as opposed to taking off every third game.
John's Farm System Rankings
This is an interesting post that was made by a regular poster over on John Sickels minor league baseball SBN site. He uses Victor Wang's system of valuing prospects applied to Sickels' rankings and guess which organization comes on top...
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