Hiro

jessef

  • joined Mar 30, 2008
  • last login Jul 13, 2014
  • posts 181
  • comments 12414
User Blog

Are Fundamentals More Important than We Think?

25

A quick and dirty look at whether and how batter profile affects clutch score.

Yuck: Estimating the cost of Josh Johnson

34

Josh Johnson's acquisition set the Jays back. A lot.

Giants Signed Tim Hudson, not Josh Johnson

20

With the Giants' recent signing of Tim Hudson, folks are beginning to clamor that the Jays should have extended a Qualifying Offer to Josh Johnson. This article analyzes how the two pitchers are similar and how they're different.

Ubaldo Jimenez and Predicting K% from whiff%

25

According to Minor Leaguer's article, the Jays should sign Ubaldo Jimenez, who posted the 6th-best K-rates in the AL in 2013. However, Ubaldo's whiff-rates were only average. Is he likely to maintain a high K-rate in spite of middling whiff-rates?

Learning from Our Mistakes

51

While the Jays trade with the Marlins now looks very bad in retrospect, how bad did it look at the time? Still pretty bad.

Is Josh Johnson worth $14 M?

26

Should the Jays extend Josh Johnson a qualifying offer? I propose a less orthodox contract that offers more risk to both sides but also provides more reward to both sides.

Rajai Davis is a good baserunner

28

Ever see Rajai Davis steal third and think it was a stupid move? You were probably wrong.

Extra Extra! Todd (Redmond) smells. So do the Jays

8

Maybe the Jays will be less terrible next year.

There's Panic on the Streets of T Dot

29

A short post looking at how deep the hole the Blue Jays are in now. How good do they have to be to pull themselves out of it?

I'm Weary With Right Angles

10

This post responds to DexFarkin's excellent article "If You're Not Cheating, You're Not Trying", which was published on Bluebird Banter 7 February 2013. The post looks at why some forms of cheating are vilified while others aren't.

Lineup Protection Exists

51

This post analyzes potential impacts of "reverse protection". It essentially asks whether good hitters help the batters in the lineup that hit behind them and how much of an impact this can make on a player's overall offensive productivity.

Does 5/4/3 Weighting Work To Project Performance?

17

This article discusses the importance of considering player type and player valuation method (fWAR vs. rWAR) when deciding how to weight prior performance as an input.

How Good is R.A. Dickey?

243

Can R.A. Dickey continue to be one of the best pitchers in baseball? This post looks at some of the factors underlying his exceptional 2012 season.

Is hit suppression a skill?

14

This article looks at whether pitchers can prevent batted balls from becoming hits. I wouldn't bother reading it if I were you but I won't stop you from reading it if you feel like it.

GameThread
392

Gamethread for Yankees at Blue Jays 9 / 30 / 2012

Gamethread for Yankees at Blue Jays 9 / 30 / 2012

GameThread
267

Gamethread for Yankees at Blue Jays

Gamethread for Yankees at Blue Jays

GameThread
229

Gamethread Yankees @ Jays

Gamethread for Yankees at Jays

GameThread
158

Gamethread, Yankees at Blue Jays

Gamethread, Yankees at Blue Jays

GameThread
131

Once More, Once Again, And Yet Once More: GameThread for Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays, 13 Sept 2012, 7:07 EDT

So after dropping the first two games of the series by one run apiece, the Jays hope to salvage the last game of the set tonight. Given tonight's starting pitchers for Toronto, Henderson Alvarez...

GameThread
219

I Know Sometimes We Disagree, But I Prefer When You Say Yes: GameThread for Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays, 12 Sept. 2012, 7:07 PM EDT

Well, after forgetting yesterday's thread (sorry, guys!), I at least remembered to do tonight's. At a combined 18 games under .500, the Blue Jays (64-76) and the Mariners (68-74) continue to limp...

GameThread
371

I'm Sorry But I'm Not Interested in Gold Mines: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers, 23 August 2012, 1:05 PM EDT

Yuck. Another game last night, another loss. Hopefully the Jays can avoid the sweep in the getaway game this afternoon. J.A. Happ (9-10, 4.88) tries to break the skid. He likely won't have much...

GameThread
460

Ain't Too Proud to Beg: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers, 22 August 2012, 7:05 EDT

Okay, so another loss in the books for the Jays last night. The Jays now stand 10 games under .500 (56-66). They look to get back (?) their winning ways tonight. To do so, they'll have to hit...

Falling Asleep with a Pop Up Video On: Should ERA Estimators Include Popup Rates?

It's often considered that popups are so easy to field that they're essentially in-play strikeouts. This line of reasoning has long been held by both traditionalists and sabrmetricians. ...

Hey, You Should Bring that Louisville, Yeah Man, I'll Know Where: How Much Do Park and League Factors Impact wOBA?

11

About a month ago, we looked at the magnitude of park and league effects on raw pitching statistics, including ERA, FIP, and xFIP. Along the same lines, I was interested in how much context may...

You Shouldn't Make Facts Out of Opinions: How Much Does Run Environment Affect Defence-Independent Pitching Stats?

7

How much does pitching in the American vs. National League affect how many runs a pitcher gives up? What about pitching in a pitcher- or hitter-friendly park? These questions and more are answered based on sound quantitative methods.

GameThread
552

It's More than Rain that Falls On Our Parade Tonight: GameThread for Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays, 15 July 2012, 1:07 PM EDT

Good afternoon Jays fans in eastern North America (and good morning fans out west). After splitting the first two games of the series, there's a rubber match today between our beloved corvids and...

GameThread
679

It's Been a Long Time, Now I'm Coming Back Home: GameThread for Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays, 13 Jul 2012, 7:07 PM EDT

Good news, everyone! After an extended all-star break (it always seems ridiculous to me when teams are off for two days following the All Star game), the Jays are back in action tonight to take on...

GameThread
617

There is a Wait So Long: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox, 26 Jun 2012, 7:10 PM EDT

Well, the Jays did manage to pick up the first game of this three game set at Fenway but at the cost of losing Henderson Alvarez for an (as yet) undetermined amount of time. It looks like Jamie...

GameThread
705

I Walk Through the Fenway, I've Got My Heart in My Hands: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox, 25 Jun 2012, 7:10 PM EDT

After a real shellacking at the hands (rays? fins?) of the Miami Marlins, our beloved corvids look to get back on track tonight in Boston. Henderson Alvarez will be pitching. Alvarez hasn't...

GameThread
596

Love and Hate Tattooed Across the Knuckles of His Hands: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers, 20 Jun 2012, 2:10 PM EDT

Wow. After a thriller yesterday that saw the Jays club six homeruns, including back-to-back-to-back homers by Colby Rasmus, Jose Bautista, and Edwin Encarnacion and another set of back-to-back...

Showing 1 - 30 of 181 Older
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.