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jessef

  • joined Mar 30, 2008
  • last login Jul 10, 2014
  • posts 181
  • comments 12406
User Blog
GameThread
791

Oooh, It Feels Good to Be Free: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox, 7 Jun 2012, 8:10 PM EDT

After taking the first two games of the series by a combined score of 13-5, the Jays look to sweep the White Sox tonight. Behind the efforts of veteran starters Ricky Romero and Brandon Morrow,...

GameThread
802

I Drove All the Way from Carpentersville to See You Here Tonight: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox 6 June 2012, 8:10 PM EDT

After taking last night's game in decisive fashion, the Jays look to continue their winning ways tonight in Chicago. The Jays will send an (hopefully!) healthy Brandon Morrow to the mound. ...

The Tune Was An Old Rebel One: Has Matt Cain Broken xFIP?

31

A short article looking at how Matt Cain manages to keep the flyballs in the park so well.

GameThread
694

O Rejoice! Because You're Trying Your Best: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays, 23 May 2012, 1:10 PM EDT

After a rotten game yesterday, the Jays look to return to their winning ways and take the series from the Rays this afternoon. Jamie Shields (codename: "Big Game James") takes the hill for Tampa. ...

GameThread
861

Why Make Yourself So Anxious? You Give Yourself an Ulcer: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays, 22 May 2012, 7:10 PM EDT

So, after taking the opening game of a three-game set against the division rival Rays, the Blue Jays look to continue their winning ways tonight. Yesterday's game was a bit of a nail-biter most of...

GameThread
638

Oh, Sweetness, I Was Only Joking When I Said, "By Rights, You Should Be Bludgeoned in Your Bed": GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays, 21 May 2012, 7:10 PM EDT

Fresh off a series win against the New York Mets, the Jays leave home for Florida to take on the division rival Tampa Bay Rays. The Jays will be looking to make up some ground on the second place...

GameThread

Talking About the Greatest Guy to Take on the Cobra Kai: GameThread for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 15 May 2012, 7:07 PM EDT

After last night's loss, the Jays look to split the short series against the Rays tonight by salvaging the second and final game. The less said about that game, perhaps, the better. Brandon had...

GameThread

I Might Need a Sedative But I Hate the Taste of Medicine: GameThread for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 14 May 2012, 7:07 PM EDT

Well, yesterday's game (and the series against the Twins in general) didn't exactly go as planned. Ricky Romero had trouble finding the plate and the Jays were lucky even to be in it towards the...

Having to Hold Back Taught Me a Lot About Control: Blue Jays Hold On to Beat Twins 2-1

69

Recap of the 12 May 2012 baseball contest between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Minnesota Twins. The Jays won 2-1 behind a Jose Bautista homerun.

GameThread
644

High as the Moon: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals, 23 April 2012, 8:10 PM EDT

Okay, everyone, break out the brooms! The Jays look to sweep the four-game set against Kansas City tonight. The Jays got the Royals at the right time, let's just hope they can hold on to finish...

GameThread
805

Pockets Empty, How Can You Tell Me That Everything Will Work Out?: GameThread for Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals, 20 April 2012, 8:10 PM EDT

Well, we've had some bad luck with reggae songs the past couple days so, to shake things up a bit, we've decided to go with some rock & roll. Today's title comes from Kansas City's own Get Up...

GameThread
762

All That You're Doing Is Wrong: GameThread for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 19 April 2012, 7:07 PM EDT

Well, that was a tough game last night. As Toots Hibbert famously said, sometimes the pressure drops on you. The trick is to bounce back and the Jays can still win a series against a division...

GameThread
710

Such a Sign Only You Would Know: GameThread for Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 18 April 2012

Hey everyone. Sorry this is a lame gamethread, forgot all about it and in a rush now. It'll be better tomorrow. Looks like the lineup widget still isn't working. Oh well. TB: Jennings (CF)Z...

The Sickness Howls and I Despair of Any Remedy: Potential Pitfalls and Ladders for the $ / WAR Question

12

Can we use the data at hand to determine whether the dollar-value of WAR scales linearly? A conceptual analysis and a call for relevant methodologies.

That's All You Can Do About Some Things: Do Teams with Better Bullpens Outperform Their Win Expectancies?

25

A short piece analyzing the role of a team's bullpen in allowing it to outperform its Pythagorean win expectation.

FanPost
41

Starry Eyes Forever Shall Be Mine: The Inherent Nonlinearity of the Dollar to WAR Ratio

A piece on why the $ : WAR ratio should not scale linearly for free agents or teams.

Sixteen, Clumsy, and Shy: How Weird Are Knuckleballers' Arsenals?

19

A brief piece discussing (and graphically displaying in multidimensional space!) just how different knuckleball pitcher pitch usage is.

Make No Mistake, They Hate You: Why It's Worse When Better Players Juice

61

A brief discussion regarding the difference in the impacts of steroid usage across different talent levels.

I've Been There and Back to the Place that We Used to Call Home: Strand-Rate and Sequencing Revisited

41

A new look at the factors that influence strand-rate and sequencing

A Waste of Paint, of Tape, of Time: Arsenal Diversity May Not Affect Pitcher BABIP

3

More work on quantification of arsenal diversity and whether it impacts pitcher batting average on balls in play.

The Mixture is All of Us and We're Still Mixing: Do Pitchers with More Diverse Arsenals Outperform their Peripherals?

26

A short article that describes a method of quantifying the diversity of a pitcher's arsenal. The article also investigates whether having a diverse arsenal allows a pitcher to outperform his peripherals.

Baby, There's No Guidance When Random Rules: Autocorrelation in Pitcher BABIP from 2010 to 2011

32

Is there autocorrelation in pitcher BABIP from one year to the next? This study used a linear model to quantify the relationship between a pitcher's BABIP in 2010 and his BABIP in 2011.

If Only Life Were Easy, It'd Be Such Fun: How Much Trade Value Should Ricky Romero Have?

188

A short piece on why Ricky Romero (and other 4 WAR pitchers) should have so much trade value.

He Never Complains When It's Hot: How Much Does Groundball-Rate Affect BABIP?

21

A brief analysis of the effects of increasing pitcher groundball-rate on BABIP.

Hate and War, the Only Things We Got Today: Does Replacement Level Properly Scale to Average?

63

An analysis of the two different methods of calculating WAR (fWAR and rWAR) and why they don't always agree. The analysis also seeks to determine what constitutes "average" performance from position players, starting pitchers, and relief pitchers.

Turn and Face the Strange Changes: Does Throwing Changeups Help Pitchers Sustain Lower BABIP?

48

A statistical analysis of the effects of changeups, strikeouts, and flyball-rate on pitcher babip.

Can You Improve this Place with the Data that You Gather?: Why I Like Sabrmetrics

22

A brief article on why sabrmetrics is an important field

Orlando Hudson on African Americans, Black Canadians, and Latin Americans in Baseball

14

Really insightful stuff from the O-Dog. Not going to get on my soapbox, but definitely worth a read.

Jon Rauch Done for 2011

175

blue jays press release on Jon Rauch's season-ending injury

I'm Waiting For My Man: What Factors into a Pitcher's Strand-Rate?

101

Regression analyses are used to determine how strongly different factors (under pitchers' controls to varying degrees) are correlated with strand-rate.

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