Jonah-hill-moneyball

jksnake99

  • joined Apr 02, 2008
  • last login Aug 19, 2014
  • posts 225
  • comments 59344

jksnake99 is a 28 year old Portland native in grad school in the Bay Area.

A Fan Of...

  • MLB San Francisco Giants
  • NBA Portland Trail Blazers
  • NCAAF Stanford Cardinal
  • NCAAB Cornell Big Red
  • MLS Portland Timbers
  • Soccer USMNT/USWNT
User Blog

Ouch-- Dwight Jaynes with some harsh words

31

Dwight discusses how scouts feel Portland is easy to prepare for. It almost looks like this post is written by Blazin'. Very interesting. Dwight also has a brief post up about Greg Oden.

Terry is the 6th Man of the Year; Outlaw finishes 5th

9

No votes for Rudy, who I suspect many Blazer fans consider the team's best reserve on the season.

Hollinger Likes Houston's Chances

20
"The road teams that were ahead in point differential after two games went on to win the series 11 of 20 times, and in only two of the 20 cases were they eliminated before Game 7; in both of those cases, they were playing against Michael Jordan. So good news, Rockets fans: Based on NBA history, there's about a 90 percent chance that, at worst, your team will be playing a seventh game in Portland, and there's a better-than-even chance that Houston will win the series." In short, few road teams have accumulated as good a point differential in games 1 and 2 as Houston has. While this series remains wide open (witness that 9 of the 20 home teams outscored in the 1st two games went on to win the series-- Portland will try to be the 10th), the odds are strongly against Portland winning the series before 7 games. If it ends in 5 or 6, Houston is almost certain to be on top. Also, in his Insider gems today, Hollinger gave a few thoughts on the kid, Jeremy Tyler, skipping his Senior year of HS to play professionally-- and reminds us that Ricky Rubio has been a pro since age 14.
FanPost
207

Denver/New Orleans Game 2 Open Thread

Orlando evened the series against Philly 1-1. D. Wade just banked in an absurd 3 to give Miami a late 10 point lead and it appears the Heat will square their series against Atlanta. So far, only...

New Blazer Blog-- "Beyond Bowie" joins the TrueHoop Network

33

Looks like another good addition to the Blazer blog-o-sphere.

Hollinger's Thoughts

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Portland gets two "awards" from Hollinger for their game 1 performance-- "Worst Defensive Strategy" for the "defense" on Yao and, individually, LMA for "Worst Performance in a Matchup He's Supposed to Dominate." Ouch. In his "Insider Gems," Hollinger does have some words on the encouraging play from Oden.

FanPost
57

A Statistical Breakdown of the Upcoming Series

Pace Houston plays at roughly an average pace, 90.3 possessions/game (19th most) according to basketball-reference.com.  Portland plays at the league's slowest pace, averaging just 86.6...

FanPost
38

An Interesting Sidenote to this Series That I Have Not Seen Mentioned Yet...

Nate McMillan last coached a playoff series in 2005.  McMillan was the coach of the Seattle Supersonics, who came in with a record of 52-30 (a bit of a lucky mark as their point differential was...

FanPost
26

8 Games Left: Playoff Race Update

I know Dave did a playoff race post recently, but I thought I'd still update my analysis on where the Blazers stand. In this post, I'm making use of work by John Hollinger, Justin Kubatko (who...

During the month of March, the Blazers have beaten the Lakers, San Antonio, Phoenix, and Utah, at...

7

During the month of March, the Blazers have beaten the Lakers, San Antonio, Phoenix, and Utah, at the Rose Garden. In each of these wins, the Blazers held leads, at some point during each game, of 29 points or more.

Mike Barrett

Kelly Dwyer hates on LMA's defense and has love for BRoy

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For purposes of full disclosure, KD is a Bulls fan and calls out LMA often. He's also a pretty great NBA blogger.

FanPost
31

16 games left: A Playoff Positioning Update

I know I'm infringing on jscot's territory to some degree here, but I thought I'd bring in some more analysis on where the Blazers stand. In this post, I'm making use of work by John Hollinger, J...

The Hot Hand: Myth or Reality?

2

The slides presented at the MIT stat geek conference are here-- click the link to the right of the page to get to the slides.

Some good news from Quick's morning update

6

Rudy will not play tonight, but Bayless will. Oden is getting closer-- had much better workouts Tuesday and Wednesday-- and is likely to return sometime during the road trip (the team has already committed to bringing him along).

FanPost
62

3/7-3/8 Weekend Junk- Championship Week in College Hoops

My alma mater, Cornell, locked up the first automatic bid to the NCAA Men's Basketball tournament for the 2nd consecutive year, blowing out Penn by 24.   Every year between 1988 and 2007, the Ivy...

FanPost
7

21 games to go: The Blazers Position Re: Playoffs (Update)

I know I'm infringing on jscot's territory to some degree here, but I thought I'd bring in some more analysis on where the Blazers stand. In this post, I'm making use of work by John Hollinger, J...

FanPost
33

24 Games Left: An assessment of Portland's Position Re: the Playoffs

I know I'm infringing on jscot's territory to some degree here, but I thought I'd bring in some more analysis on where the Blazers stand. In this post, I'm making use of work by John Hollinger, J...

Keep an eye on the Jazz: Boozer may return tonight

25

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=3928825 The Jazz have won 4 straight (including Boston-- without KG-- LAL and NOLA--though NOLA had played @ LAL the night before) and are getting Boozer back. I said early in the year that I thought a healthy Jazz team was the 2nd best in the West, but I've been surprised how bad they've been on the road this year-- injuries are only a partial excuse for that. They are finally healthy now, and their schedule is friendly for the next week or so. After that, it starts to get very road heavy. Should be interesting.

Shavlik article from the O

7

Nice piece on Shavlik going back to his days as a highly sought after HS player.

Pritchard: "We were close, really close" to an Amare deal (Quick article)

45

Wow. Amare's hurt now so maybe we dodged a bullet, but I'd give a lot to know how much the Suns were asking... would they have done LMA/RLEC or would they have demanded Rudy or Bayless as well?

Adande Chat: Numerous Blazer Questions Addressed

4

I didn't expect to be posting 3 fanshots today, but Adande took no fewer than 5 Blazer questions.

Another Playoff Probability Forecast

2

Sorry for posting 2 straight fanshots, but I felt this was worth it. Via TrueHoop, Justin Kubatko's playoff probabilities. Kubatko won both of Henry's stat geek smackdown playoff prediction contests. This is just another data point to go along with the Coolstandings and Hollinger predictions.

Wages of Wins Journal Re: Bargnani

+

Our friends at the Wages of Wins Journal (ie the guys who crunch the numbers which LOVE Joel and hate LMA's game even more than I do) have a post about the 2006 #1 pick that makes their criticism of Aldridge seem like glowing praise.

FanPost
25

Reason For Concern: The Last 7 Games

2/2: Porland 97 @ New Orleans 89 Offensive Efficiency: 114.1 (teams average 106.4 against NO) Defensive Efficiency: 104.7 (NO averages 108.9) This was a loss until Chris Paul went down.  The...

FanPost
38

All-Star Break Stat Geek Update

This will follow the same format as my last update, drawing heavily on the work of John Hollinger. Pace Portland continues to plod along, playing the fewest possessions per game in the league,...

Blazers-Grizz in Ball Don't Lie's 2 on 2 tournament

4

Help Roy and LMA advance through their tough opening round matchup against Mayo and Gay. I have to say, I don't know if Portland would win this. Gay is a tough matchup for LMA. I'm still voting for the Blazers, of course. Gay and Mayo would settle for some dumb shots and they can't stop the Blazers' 2 man game.

I'm taking a 1 month leave of absence from BlazersEdge

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  1. I've been spending way too much time here.
  2. I keep making the same arguments over and over, failing to persuade anybody but the already convinced and succeeding only in pissing a bunch of people off.
  3. I don't enjoy constantly writing negative posts about Blazer players, but have felt in the past that its necessary to keep the homers in check.
  4. I'm tired of doing it, so I'll lurk but not comment for the next month
  5. Talk to you in late February. Go Blazers.
FanPost
20

Midseason Stat Geek Update

This will follow the same format as my last update, drawing heavily on the work of John Hollinger. Pace Portland continues to plod along, playing the fewest possessions per game in the league,...

FanPost
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How LaMarcus Aldridge is like Derek Jeter (and not in a good way)

Derek Jeter is widely viewed as one of the best players in baseball.  He's paid like it (one of the 4 Yankees who make up the 4 highest paid players in the game) and is always voted into the...

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