
kanka
Mar 22, 2009 May 10, 2011 8 21
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Mike Chernoff's SABR Day Thoughts on the Tribe
This past Saturdelqanday was SABR Day, and Cleveland's Jack Graney Chapter celebrated with a meeting in the press room of Progressive Field. One of the star guest speakers was Mike Chernoff, the new Indians Assistant General Manager. Chernoff is a 2003 Princeton graduate, where he studied economics and played baseball.
Chernoff's dad was in the back of the room; father and son have played a game of catch monthly for as long as the two remember. The elder Chernoff works in the Mets radio team, and the younger's career began as an intern with that very same team. Since then, Mike has worked his way up from Indians intern to Indians AGM. Here are his thoughts on this year's team.
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2011 Indians Lineups by The Book
Using The Book and Cairo projections to construct ideal lineups for the Indians against lefties and righties. Spoiler Alert: the Indians should hit fairly well against lefties, even if they sit Grady Sizemore.
2011 Cleveland Indians Lineup by The Book
Using The Book and Cairo projections to construct ideal lineups for the Indians against lefties and righties. Spoiler Alert: the Indians should hit fairly well against lefties, even if they sit Grady Sizemore.
Jhonny Peralta is Cold Like the Weather
Following up on my earlier Fanshot, here's a look at the temperature's affect on Jhonny Peralta vs. the rest of the AL. At Jay's request, I looked at batting average, BB/K, and OPS.
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Castrovince's latest mailbag asked whether Peralta's batting average was affected by the temperature. According to data I pulled from Retrosheet, it sure looks like it.
I'd be interested to see if other hitters have similar performances, given the way the season normally goes.
The latest Indians.com mailbag asked if Jhonny Peralta's batting average was affected by the temperature. This graph seems to say it does.
I'd be interested a) to see if this is true for all (or most) hitters, and b) whether BABIP, OPS, and more advanced stats follow similar trends.
Sabermetric Bracketology
Being a sabermetrician by trade, I tried to apply some statistical reasoning to one of the pools I participate in. This particular pool uses upset bonus points, so I applied expected values to determine which underdogs to pick. The main link is my introductory post from last year, and here's this year's follow-up.
Using Expected Values in an NCAA Bracket with Upset Points
Call it "Sabermetric Bracketology": I'm in an NCAA pool that awards bonus points for correctly picking underdogs. So, being the good little sabermetrician that I am, I applied expected values in attempt to game the system. It's worked well so far, too: I won my pool last year, and I'm out to a solid lead this year. The main link is to last year's introductory post, and here's this year's follow-up.
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kanka
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