Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Johan Santana Throws Mets' First No-Hitter

19910911a_thumb

kenarneson

Feb 11, 2008 May 30, 2012 2 125

a fan of

Oakland Athletics Major League Baseball Team

Golden State Warriors National Basketball Association Team

California Golden Bears NCAA Men's Football Division 1A Team

California Golden Bears NCAA Men's Basketball Division 1 Team

San Jose Sharks National Hockey League Team

rss icon RSSUser Blog

Athletics Nation The Least Important Batting Order Ever?

MLB.com's new A's beat writer Jane Lee tweeted her suggested A's lineup today. I found it hard to argue for or against her suggested order. It seems like every player in the lineup is roughly a .280/.335/.410 player, so it didn't seem to matter much to me what order you put them in.

To test my hypothesis, I ran the 2010 Marcel Projections through David Pinto's Lineup Analysis Tool. I don't think the tool produces particularly realistic or accurate results, even though I had a little hand in developing it. But if it's useful for something, it's getting an estimate on the theoretical size difference between the best and worst possible lineups.

When I've run this before on potential A's lineups, the difference between the best and worst lineups has been about 45 runs per year. For the projected 2010 lineup, the difference is 29 runs. And since no one is going to bat Coco Crisp cleanup with Jack Cust and Kevin Kouzmanoff eighth and ninth, you can probably say that any reasonable batting order Bob Geren decides to run out there this year will be about as good as any other.

I'm too lazy/busy to run the numbers, but it makes you wonder, how many teams in baseball history have had a lineup where the batting order mattered less than the 2010 A's?

55 comments  |  1 recs | 

Athletics Nation Happy Bat Day

We have guests arriving at our house tomorrow for Christmas, plus we're going to start a big remodeling project right after New Year's Day. So I've been clearing out a lot closets lately. Here's something I dug out this afternoon:

The bats were from various Bat Days at the Oakland Coliseum over the years. The top one is from 1999 or 2000 and "autographed" by John Jaha. The middle one is from 1976 and has Don Baylor's signature. Not sure when I got the third one without a signature, but it was either late 70s or early 80s.

Missing is my childhood favorite bat, which was from 1975 and autographed by Bert Campaneris. I played with that bat out on the asphalt of the cul-de-sac I grew up on every day, to the point where nearly all the green paint had been chipped off. Somehow that bat got lost in dozen or so times I've moved since then. I don't have much sentimental attachment to these three bats, but I miss my Campy bat.

I remember when I got the bat. Back in those days, the A's didn't just hand the same bat to everybody. There were bats from nearly every starting player in the lineup, and every kid was randomly handed one when you went through the turnstiles. I went with two of my best friends.

"I got Reggie Jackson!" said my first friend.

"Oh, you lucky dog! I got Campy Campaneris. That's cool." I said. Then I turned to my other friend. "Who'd you get, Wayne?"

Wayne frowned. He looked at his bat again, to make sure he hadn't seen incorrectly. Quietly, he read the words to us. "I got...Ray Fosse."

"Oh." Pause. "Sorry, man."

49 comments  |  4 recs |