SB Nation User Blog: killa

Minor's Draft Results- 2 Leagues

killa — Thu, 05 Mar 2009 21:00:19 -0000

For those of you who have upcoming prospect drafts in your fantasy leagues, the following results could be useful in gauging where players can be expected to be selected. These are 12 team 5x5 leagues, with up to 10 minors spots per team.

LEAGUE 1

Round 1
1 Team 1- Justin Smoak, 1B, Tex
2 Team 2 - Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pitt
3 Team 3 - Eric Hosmer, 1B, KC
4 Team 4- Logan Morrison, 1B, Fla
5 Team 5 - Gordon Beckham, SS, ChiSox
6 Team 6 - Buster Posey, C, SF
7 Team 7 - Brett Wallace, 3B, StL
8 Team 8 - Yonder Alonso, 1B, Cin
9 Team 9 - Tim Beckham, SS, TB
10 Team 10 - Mike Stanton, OF, Fla
11 Team 11 - Brian Matusz, SP, Bal
12 Team 9 - Derek Holland, SP, Tex

Round 2
13 Team 4 - Brett Cecil, SP, Toronto
14 Team 12 - Dayan Viciedo, 3B, Chisox
15 Team 8 - Juan Francisco, 3B, Cin
16 Team 10 - Carlos Santana, C, Cle
17 Team 9 - Jeff Samardijza, RP Cub
18 Team 11 - Freddie Freeman, 1stB, Atl
19 Team 8 - Daniel Bard, RP, Bos
20 Team 10 - Chris Carter, 1B, OAK
21 Team 9 - David Huff, SP, Cle
22 Team 8 - Todd Frazier, SS, Cin
23 Team 10 - Daryl Jones, OF, STL
24 Team 1 - Josh Reddick OF Bos

Round 3
25 Team 6 - Aaron Hicks, OF, Minn
26 Team 11 - Jemile Weeks, 2b, Oak
27 Team 6 - Brett Lawrie, 2B, Mil
28 Team 4 - Mat Latos, SP, SD
29 Team 5 - John Raynor, OF, Fla
30 Team 5 - James J. Simmons, P, Oak
31 Team 6 - Kyle Skipworth, C, Fla
32 Team 10 - Dominic Brown, OF, Phi
33 Team 7 - Chris Dickerson, OF, Cin
34 Team 10- Ben Revere, OF, MIN
35 Team 11 - Fautino De Los Santos, RP, Oak
36 Team 6 - David Cooper, 1B, Tor

LEAGUE 2

1.01 - Team 1 ~ Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pittsburgh
1.02 - Team 2 ~ Justin Smoak, 1B, Texas
1.03 - Team 3 ~ Buster Posey, C, San Fran
1.04 - Team 4 ~ Logan Morrison, 1B, Florida
1.05 - Team 5 ~ Yonder Alonso, 1B, Cincinnati
1.06 - Team 5 ~ Gordon Beckham, SS/2B, Chicago WS
1.07 - Team 1 ~ Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City
1.08 - Team 6 ~ Mike Stanton, OF, Florida
1.09 - Team 3 ~ Tim Beckham, SS, Tampa Bay
1.10 - Team 7 ~ Brian Matusz, SP, Baltimore
1.11 - Team 8 ~ Taylor Teagarden, C, Texas
1.12 - Team 2~ Brett Wallace, 3B, St Louis

2.13 - Team 4 ~ Carlos Santana, C, Cleveland
2.14 - Team 7~ Chris Carter, 1B, Oakland
2.15 - Team 7~ Matt Dominquez, 3B, Florida
2.16 - Team 1~ Jesus Montero, C, NY Yankees
2.17 - Team 6 ~ Dayan Viciedo, 3B, Chicago WS
2.18 - Team 9~ Derek Holland, SP, Texas
2.19 - Team 9 ~ Aaron Hicks, OF, Minnesota
2.20 - Team 10 ~ Jose Ceda, RP, Florida
2.21 - Team 8 ~ Brett Cecil, SP, Toronto
2.22 - Team 11 ~ Jake Arrieta, SP, Baltimore
2.23 - Team 2 ~ Wilmer Flores, IF, NY Mets
2.24 - Team 9 ~ Daryl Jones, OF, St.Louis

3.25 - Team 5 ~ Jeff Samardzija, P, Chicago C
3.26 - Team 2 ~ Jason Motte, RP, St.Louis
3.27 -Team 9 ~ Dominic Brown, OF, Philadelphia
3.28 - Team 12~ Kyle Blanks, 1B, San Diego
3.29 - Team 9 ~ Jason Donald, SS, Philadelphia
3.30 - Team 11~ Mat Latos, SP, San Diego
3.31 - Team 12 ~ Kyle Drabek, SP, Philadelphia
3.32 - Team 6 ~ Josh Fields, RP, Seattle
3.33 - Team 10~ Ben Revere, OF, Minnesota
3.34 - Team 7 ~ Troy Patton, SP, Baltimore
3.35 - Team 12 ~ Kila Ka'aihue, 1B, Kansas City
3.36 - Team 12 ~ PASS

Killa's 2009 Movers: Daryl Jones

killa — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 04:19:13 -0000

Daryl Jones-OF-STL-21-AA-5’11”-180-L/L

2008: A+: 307AB-43R-7HR-35RBI-33BB-67K-326/403/476/879

AA: 151-19-6-14-22-30-290/404/500/904

Daryl Jones wasn’t even included on BA’s 2008 Top 30 Cardinals Prospect list, so one could argue that he has already made quite a move (he’s #4 on BP’s 2009 Top 11). Jones, a 3rd Rd HS pick by the Cards in 2005 (who was also a highly recruited as a football WR), has always been a speedy, athletic prospect. In 2007, some scouts likened him to a young Kenny Lofton, citing great speed and range, with a slightly below average arm in the OF. In his 2007 full season debut, Daryl struggled to a .217/.303/.296/.599 line, well deserving of the precipitous drop in his prospect status. However, given his scouting report, perhaps it was a bit premature to forget about him.

In 2008, Jones took a major step into the right direction. His BB% jumped from 8.9% in 2007, to 9.7 and 15.1% in 2008 at High A and AA respectively, with his wOBA improving from .285 to .409 and .410 over the same periods. His ISOp also jumped, from .079 to .150 and .210. While the much improved BB:K (0.73) in AA bears watching, Jones will need to show that over a larger sample size. The negatives from this campaign include a 24.6% strikeout rate at AA, and an unsustainable BABIP in 2008 (.399 and .341 in his two stops).

Given his athleticism and tools, and a comeback 2008 season, Jones is again getting attention from prospectors. I currently have him ranked in the bottom ¼ (#80) of my Top 100. He should start 2009 in AA, as a 21 year old, with a chance to move up one notch with continued success. I envision Jones statistically as a guy who is good for .260/20/20, for the fantasy reader out there. If he can continue the momentum he started in 2008, Jones could jump into the Top 40-50 range for 2010.

Killa's 2009 Movers: Brett Cecil

killa — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 04:17:01 -0000

Brett Cecil-LHP-Toronto-22-AAA-6’3”-220

2008:High A: 10.1IP-6H-2BB-11K-1.74ERA-0.77WHIP-2.91FIP

AA: 77.2-66-23-87-2.55-1.15-2.76

AAA:30.2-28-16-31-4.11-1.43-3.31

Brett Cecil was the 38th overall pick in 2007, signing for $810,000 out of the University of Maryland, where he was the team’s closer. Cecil’s repertoire features a low 90s sinking fastball and a plus slider, while his changeup and curve are still works in progress. His arsenal has generated plenty of groundballs (59% in AA, 69% in AAA) and strikeouts so far in his career. In his 2007 professional debut in Low A, Cecil posted a 2.33 FIP in 49.2 IP with 56 Ks, allowing only 36 hits and 11 walks.

In 2008, Cecil moved through 3 levels, pitching 118.2 innings and amassing 128Ks against 41 BBs and 100 Hits. In his time in AA, Cecil got progressively better as the season wore on:

May: 8%BB/PA, 21.8% K/PA

June: 6.7%/25.8%

July: 4.9%/32.4%

Given his strong statistical performance and two plus pitches, Cecil looks like a decent bet to become a #3SP in the majors, with some more upside if the curve or changeup continues to develop. The main concern most have is durability, as he was a reliever in college and was kept on strict pitch counts in 2008. The Jays have converted Marcum and Bush in recent years however, so they do have experience in this area.

Cecil is already in the top half(#44) of my 2009 Top 100 Prospects, and could move into the Top 20 in 2010. This is probably the last year you can pick him up in fantasy leagues before everyone knows about him. He should need only one more year of success and experience in AAA before a late 2009 callup. For fantasy purposes, Cecil has the potential to post a solid ERA and WHIP with good K numbers in his prime.

Killa's Top 100

killa — Thu, 15 Jan 2009 19:07:37 -0000

Killa's 2009 Top 100 Prospects:
Intro: This is my personal list. I use scouting reports from BP/BA/Sickels/PP etc, as well as stat analysis. I play fantasy and sim baseball, so upside and offense are valued more than defense and safety. Feel free to comment, but I won't get into too much about a guy being ranked a few spots too high or low. I know about all of the other lists and where guys are ranked, but this is my list and represents my personal opinions, even though I try to remain fairly objective. I hope you guys enjoy it and find it helpful.

1-Matt Weiters-C-22-Baltimore-AA- The way things look, Weiters is on the path to rival Mike Piazza as one of the greatest fantasy catchers ever, not to mention his above-average defense. Potential .320-35-110 seasons exist, and he is one of the keystones (with Jones/Markakis/Tillman/Matusz/Arrieta) in what could be an up-and-coming Baltimore team with the work Andy MacPhail has done.
2-David Price-LHP-23-Tampa-MLB- Price has the potential to be a true ace, combined with a relatively good likelihood of achieving it. He dominated college, he dominated the minors, and he dominated the majors. Thinking 15-18W, 3.15ERA, 210K, 1.13WHIP in peak years.
3-Pedro Alvarez-3B-22-Pittsburgh-NCAA- This is higher than you will see Alvarez on most lists. I see a 162 game Aramis Ramirez (84-30-107-2-.284) as a relatively good likelihood, with the potential to be as good as Miguel Cabrera (career 98-32-120-3-.309). If he moves to 1B, his ranking slips a bit here, but the bat will play anywhere.
4-Colby Rasmus-CF-22-St. Louis-AAA- Despite the injuries, I still believe Rasmus can be an elite MLB player, given his well-rounded skills. While the jury is out if he’ll hit for average, a 280/100/25/100/25 projection is not out of the question.
5-Madison Bumgarner-LHP-19-San Francisco-A- I’m not usually so impressed by guys in A ball with still-developing secondary stuff. 7.81 K:BB does that to me though, along with a 0.93 WHIP, .217 BAA, and a 1.71 FIP. As much as I laughed at the Giants about their 2008 team, they keep churning along great arms, and while Madison is still 2-3 years away, he could join Lincecum, Cain, and Alderson to pose a fearsome foursome.
6-Travis Snider-LF-21-Toronto-MLB- Constantly compared to a fire hydrant, Snider continues to hit the ball, and hit it well. The strikeout rate (31.5% career) is the only scare for me. For fantasy purposes, I’m kindof torn about whether he’s a .270/30/90 guy or a 295/35/110 guy. Consider the latter the ceiling, and the former a fair likelihood- draft and be happy.
7-Jason Heyward-OF-Atlanta-A+- Heyward has the tools to make you drool. Add that to the probability of starting in High A at 19 and the impressive 2008 full-season debut, and the potential is there for a superstar.
8-Mike Moustakas-3B-Kansas City-A+- 20YO headed for A+ in 2009, could hit AA ball and see a cup of coffee in 2010. Whenever somebody is described as having Light-Tower Power, I pay attention. He’s young, powerful, and has the profile to emerge as an elite hitter. The defense isn’t bad at 3B; position speculation usually comes into play when projecting the future Royals- who currently have former phenom Alex Gordon at the hot corner.
9-Dexter Fowler-OF-Colorado-MLB- Fowler oozes tools and could be a stud player, not to mention he will play at Coors. While his power is still developing, he has plenty of room to fill out his 6’4” 175lb frame. He is a potential 30-30 guy, who could see significant playing time for the Rockies this year.
10-Cameron Maybin-OF-Florida-MLB- Maybin has loads of tools and should have a full-time job with the Marlins at the age of 22 in 2009. He still strikes out a lot, and his .279 Avg in AA was helped by a .378 BABIP, but he should be a good all-around contributor- with 20/20 seasons and the potential for more.
11-Tommy Hanson-RHP-Atlanta-AA-Hanson’s 2008 season was sensational from start to finish, including an incredible AFL performance. He could stand to get a little more seasoning in the minors, but could be pressed into action in the majors depending on the Braves’ needs. He has the potential to be a true #1 SP, and his stuff and results thus far lead me to think he can reach it.
12-Trevor Cahill-RHP-Oakland-AA- What’s not to like about Cahill? Good GB rates, K/9, only 76 Hits Allowed in 124IP, and a chance to be a part of an exciting future rotation in Oakland, a pitcher’s park. His BB/9 spiked to 4.62 in AA though (although his WHIP was still a good 1.16), so I’d like to see him spend another year in the minors to work on that.
13- Lars Anderson-1B-Boston-AA- Lars is probably higher here than you’ll see in most places, but I absolutely love his bat. Some scouts have said that he could hit major league pitching now, but expect him to play 2009 in AA/AAA for another year of seasoning. After that it will be hard for the Sox to keep his power and average out of the lineup. By the way, at 6’5” 195, and 21 years of age next season, there is room for more power as he fills out.
14- Brett Anderson-LHP-Oakland-AA- Anderson has done nothing but perform well in the minors at every stop. The lefty doesn’t have overwhelming stuff, but he’s only 21 entering 2009: a season that will likely serve as the precursor to joining the Oakland staff at some point in 2009. He’s posted better than 9K/IP at every stop, and a good WHIP in 3 of 4 stops: add to that a high BABIP allowed (his best is only .327) and I see a good bet to be a #2 SP.
15-Justin Smoak-1B-Texas-Low A- Another powerful 1B, Smoak could move quickly and be in Arlington as soon as 2010. His bat could rival that of Pedro Alvarez, but for now the separation in the rankings is due to position.
16-Neftali Feliz-RHP-Texas-AA- Could stand to improve his control a bit, but has a chance to be a dynamic SP with big K numbers.
17-Matt LaPorta-1B/OF-Cleveland-AA-Slumped badly after midseason trade in 2008, but I’m still a believer that his bat can be game-changing. Could see time in Cleveland this season.
18-Tim Alderson-RHP-San Francisco-High A- More refined than Bumgarner, Alderson should move quickly for a HS arm. I see him as more of a #2-3 SP, but with a good likelihood of reaching that level.
19-Fernando Martinez-OF-New York (N)-AA- Still just 20, Fernando gets some flak for his lack of big numbers. The tools are still there though, and he could be a major league regular at 21. He’s ranked here based on potential, and has a chance to be a game-changing player.
20-Derek Holland-LHP-Texas-AA- Holland came out of nowhere last year to dominate 3 levels. Posted 0.81 and 0.77 WHIPs in A+ and AA respectively.
21-Rick Porcello-RHP-Detroit-High A- Performed well at A+ at just 19, but would like to see a few more Ks to move him any higher.
22-Andrew McCutchen-OF-Pittsburgh-AAA- I’m wondering if he’ll have enough power to be an elite fantasy player, but he might not need more than 15 homers if he steals 40+.
23-Chris Tillman-RHP-Baltimore-AA- Has excellent upside and could K 200/yr, but would like to see him get the walks under 4 per 9.
24-Brian Matusz-SP-Baltimore-NCAA- A well-refined college product, Matusz (pronounced Mattis, not Ma-tooz) should move quickly and become a good #2 SP.
25-Tim Beckham-SS-Tampa-Low A- Beckham is a 5 tool player at SS, a rarity. He’s here based on his potential to become an offensive force at a weak position.
26-Logan Morrison-1B-Florida-High A-Morrison’s homers dipped in a pitcher-friendly environment, but I envision him as a .320 guy who hits 25-30 bombs a year.
27-Eric Hosmer-1B-Kansas City-HS-Will probably make his full season debut at Low A, one of few guys with true 40 homer potential.
28-Jhoulys Chacin-RHP-Colorado-High A- Had breakout season with 5.17 K:BB in 66 A+ IP. Deserves this ranking; but, fairly or not, I would not draft him this high because of Coors.
29-Jesus Montero-C-New York (A)-Low A-Big time bat, still just 19, but probably won’t stick at catcher.
30-Mike Stanton-OF-Florida-Low A- Tons of strikeouts, but 39 homers and a .318 ISOp for a guy who was just 18 years old. I will be watching how he adjusts to higher levels of pitching, but for now his 2008 power showing has him here.
31-Jarrod Parker-RHP-Arizona-Low A- Performed very well (3.12 FIP, 3.55 K:BB) and will be just 20 this year. Could see AA in the second half of 2009.
32-Elvis Andrus-SS-Texas-AA- Still just 20, stole 54 bases last season. While compared to Renteria, don’t forget Renteria started as a speedster, who stole 30 or more 4 times and has a career .290 average. Just don’t expect double digit homers for the next few years. Has an outside shot at the starting SS job for the Rangers in 2009.
33- Jeremy Hellickson-RHP-Tampa-AA- While scouts don’t like him as an ace, he’s performed quite well in the minors, with an expected hiccup upon promotion to AA. Silly 16.60 K:BB in High A.
34- Brett Wallace-3B-St Louis-AA- Defense is questionable, bat isn’t. Capped magnificent 2008 by tearing up AFL. If he can stick at 3B, could be Troy Glaus’ replacement in 2010.
35-James McDonald-RHP-Los Angeles (N)-MLB- McDonald should be in the Dodgers rotation this year. Despite not having “plus stuff”, has a nice track record. Is 24, but lost some time due to an experiment in the OF. Should provide all around good numbers, and has struck out more than a batter per inning every season.
36- Buster Posey-C-San Francisco-Low A- Posey looks like a good all around catcher, and will probably make a few all-star teams. He’s been compared to Mauer, but he’ll need to show more power than Mauer to be an elite option.
37-Wilmer Flores-SS-New York (N)-Low A- Tools galore, still just 17, and did well in rookie league (.375 wOBA). Another season like that, and he could vault into the Top 10-15.
38-Carlos Santana-C-Cleveland-AA- What’s not to like? He hits for average and power, with more walks than strikeouts at a thin position. If his 2008 season was for real, we could have a stud catcher on our hands.
39-Angel Villalona-1B/3B-San Francisco-High A- Still just 18, Villalona needs major work on plate discipline. Ranked here based on potential, but could be much higher with a strong 2009.
40- Michael Bowden-RHP-Boston-MLB- Got a cup of coffee in 2008, and toughest thing is to project where he will fit in with the Sox. Probably going back to AAA to start the season. Doesn’t project as an ace, but has been very consistent and limits walks. Probable #3 SP.
41-Mat Gamel-3B-Milwaukee-MLB- Lefty bat looks ready for majors, and can hit for power and average.
42-Wade Davis-RHP-Tampa-AAA- Might not be a strong asset in WHIP (1.30 and 1.36 in two years at AA) and K rate slipped. I like Bowden’s numbers better, but Davis’ stuff is usually rated higher. Maybe #2 SP upside, but I see him settling in as a 3 or 4.
43-Yonder Alonso-1B-Cincinnati-High A- Advanced hitter should provide excellent average and good pop. Only question is what do the Reds do with Alonso v. Votto in 2010?
44-Brett Cecil-LHP-Toronto-AAA- I considered ranking him even higher, but he slots here due to some endurance concerns. Has great stuff and posted an excellent AA campaign, albeit with tight pitch counts. He’ll be featured in my 2009 Movers series.
45-MaxRamirez-C-Texas-MLB- That bat looks great, but Maximiliano looks destined to be a DH, with Davis, Smoak, Salty, and Teagarden clogging up C and 1B.
46-Jordan Zimmerman-RHP-Washington-AA- The Nats could have 2 pretty good Zimmermans in 2010. Jordan doesn’t profile as an ace, but has a heavy FB and a plus curve. Still needs to refine his changeup.
47-Adrian Cardenas-IF-Oakland-AA- Has oodles of talent, but minor league numbers haven’t been eye-popping thus far. Has good plate discipline and speed, with the chance for more power as he continues to develop. If there was one guy who could pull a Hanley and be much better than his minors numbers, my hunch is Cardenas could be that guy. Note: I’m not comparing him to Hanley!
48-Jordan Schafer-CF-Atlanta-AA- I don’t see Schafer as a future stud, but he could be an all-star 20/20 type of guy. If I factored defense more heavily, he would be higher on this list, and I’ve probably subconsciously punished him by a few slots for his suspension.
49-Jake Arrieta-RHP-Baltimore-High A- Blazing fastball is better than Tillman’s or Matusz’, and has good upside, just needs better secondary stuff to move higher.
50-Carlos Triunfel-SS-Seattle-High A- Will still be just 19 in 2009, and the bat has a chance to be special. Chances are good that he is moved off of SS.
51-Freddie Freeman-1B-Atlanta-Low A- If he just continues what he’s doing, could get the call to Atlanta in 2010 for a late-season look. He combines a 6’5” frame, above average power, and smooth stroke with good defense at first.
52-Desmond Jennings-OF-Tampa-High A- If only he could stay healthy! Could be an elite power/speed package, and also has excellent plate discipline. A true 5 tool guy, he’s ranked this high more for his potential. Will be featured in my 2009 Movers Series.
53- Matt Dominguez-3B-Florida-Low A- Before his senior HS season, scouts were looking at Dominguez over teammate Mike Moustakas. Widely lauded for his defense at the hot corner, Dominguez showed he can hit too, posting an .853 OPS in 2008. Has the upside to be an Eric Chavez type with a bit better average (Chavez is .269 career).
54-Jose Tabata-CF-Pittsburgh-AA- Tabata will open next year at the age of just 20, and while he still has some developing to do, his excellent speed and developing power could make him a star player.
55-Michael Saunders-OF-Seattle-AAA- Saunders will be only 22 next year, has great tools, and a decent performance in 2008 going for him. He slugged .859 in AA, and provides some steals as well. He could benefit from one more year in AA/AAA to cut down on the Ks, but will be with the Mariners by 2010 at the latest.
56- Ben Revere-CF-Minnesota-Low A- Compared to Kenny Lofton, Revere has blazing speed, excellent strike zone discipline, and the ability to hit for a high average. Some say he’ll develop more power, but he isn’t exactly a singles hitter now, he does have some gap power.
57-Greg Halman-CF-Seattle-AA- Some will say this is too high, but the guy is a 5 tool talent, who just happened to go 29/31 last year over 2 levels. The big K numbers are obviously a concern, but I’ll take a gamble with his upside over many of the guys ranked below.
58-Josh Vitters-3B-Chicago (N)-Low A-Vitters posted an .863 OPS in short season Boise last year. He still hasn’t made his full season debut, and struck out nearly 4 times as much as he walked. The scouting reports on the bat are still good, and I’ll be watching to see what happens in 2009.
59-Gordon Beckham-SS-Chicago (A)- Low A- Beckham has a chance to provide good offense from the SS position. The U of Georgia product could start 2009 in High A, and possibly reach AA by year’s end.
60-Philippe Aumont-RHP-Seattle-Low A- Aumont has a 6’7” frame, a great fastball and sinker, and a developing changeup to go with a successful 2008 season in Low A. He has more potential than some of the pitchers listed ahead of him, but is also farther away.
61-Tyler Flowers-C-Chicago (A)-High A- Flowers has a great bat, and drew 98 walks last season. The move to Chicago only improves his outlook, both in home park and players ahead of him.
62- Jordan Walden-RHP-Los Angelese (A)- High A- Walden has good stuff and good performances so far. A big year in A+/AA could vault him into the 25-30 range.
63-Alcides Escobar-SS-Milwaukee-MLB-The defensive whiz showed some offensive potential in 2008, posting a .797 OPS to go with 34 steals.
64- Austin Jackson-CF-New York (A)-AA- I’m not convinced Jackson will be a star, but he has the tools to be a solid contributor and possibly make an All-Star team or two.
65-Aaron Hicks-OF-Minnesota-Rk- Hicks is a 5 tools prospect who showed excellent discipline (28:32 BB:K) and posted a 900 OPS in his pro debut. At 6’2”, 170 lbs, he still has some filling out to do. He’ll probably start 2009 in Low A.
66- Reid Brignac-SS-Tampa-MLB- Well, Brignac isn’t a shiny new toy any more, and his offensive performance has dropped over the last couple of seasons. Reports are that he has made some defensive progress, and could be an average SS. I could still see him as a 260-type hitter, with the ability to hit 20 homers.
67- Taylor Teagarden-C-Texas-MLB- I’ll be honest, I’m just not a huge Teagarden fan, possibly for lack of a better reason than just a gut feeling. I think he belongs here regardless of personal bias though, and could be an offensive major league catcher.
68- Carlos Carrasco-RHP-Philadelphia-AAA- Carrasco is a bit of a polarizing prospect, as his results haven’t always matched his stuff. Still, he’s just 22 and could become a fixture in Philly by 2010.
69-Kyle Blanks-1B-San Diego-AA- Blanks is a big hulking hitter with good power and the ability to hit for average (.325 in 2008). While he’s blocked by Gonzalez and faces the ugly notion of hitting in Petco, his bat deservedly lands him here. Another season like last year and he’ll vault up the rankings.
70- Chris Perez-RHP-St Louis-MLB- It’s tough to rank relievers in general, but Perez needs only to cut down on his walks to have a chance to be a good major league closer. He’ll open 2009 with some kind of bullpen role with the Cards.
71- Michael Inoa-SP-Oakland-N/A- Again, tough to rank someone who hasn’t pitched yet, but the scouting reports and projectability have everyone drooling with anticipation.
72- Beau Mills-1B-Cleveland-High A- Mills seems to get overlooked a bit, but the former 1st rd pick can hit for power and average, and should spend 2009 in AA. If he replicates his 2008 success, he should jump into the top half of next year’s list.
73- Kila Ka’aihue-1B-Kansas City-MLB- Yes I am a Royals fan. Now that we got that out of the way, Kila (named after me of course) posted a ridiculous 1.086 OPS last year, which included a 104BB:66K and 37 homers. Those are video game numbers, and are deserving of a higher slot than this. Age and past performance are why he slots here.
74- Jeremy Jeffress-RHP-Milwaukee-AA- Jeffress has elite upside and will contribute plenty of Ks, but is raw and walked 4.98/9 last year. I would expect him to spend 2009 in AA and continue to refine his stuff.
75- Aaron Cunningham-OF-Oakland-MLB- Cunningham is still just 23 and should be in the running for a full-time big league job. He’s a well-rounded player who is not outstanding in a particular aspect of the game. Could become a 280-20-20 guy in time.
76- Chris Carter-1B-Oakland-High A- Carter has already been traded multiple times in his career, has an ugly BB:K ratio, and hit just .259 last year. Why is he here? 39 homers and a .562 slugging percentage. AA will be a big test in 2009.
77- Jeff Samardzija-RHP-Chicago (N)-MLB- While is future role is uncertain, Shark has excellent upside as either a starter or reliever. The Cubs were said to have made some tweaks to his delivery in 2008, and he improved over the 2nd half of the season. Expect him to start in AAA as the Cubs will continue to try him as an SP.
78- Daniel Cortes-RHP-Kansas City-AA- Cortes profiles as a #3SP who will provide decent Ks and a solid but unspectacular WHIP. He could stand to cut down on his walks (4.24/9) and should spend 2009 in the minors at either AA or AAA.
79- Martin Perez-LHP-Texas-SS- Compared to Johan Santana, Perez is still very raw and very far away, but projects to have filthy stuff.
80- Daryl Jones-OF-St Louis-AA- Performance finally caught up with Athleticism in 2008. You can read more in my Movers feature.
81- Chris Marrero-1B- Washington-High A- Marrero started slow, heated up, then broke his leg. I’m writing 2008 off for the most part, and expect him to start 2009 in AA. Don’t get too worried if he starts slow again, as I could see him having an adjustment period. He’s this high because he has game-changing power, and could be a 35-40 HR threat if things go right.
82- Michael Main-RHP-Texas-Low A- Another nice Texas arm, Main has a great fastball and has been on the prospect radar for a while. He still needs to develop his secondary stuff, but his curve could be a plus pitch.
83- JP Arencibia-C-Toronto-AA- Great production, horrid BB:K.
84- Gio Gonzalez-LHP-Oakland-MLB-Will the real Gio Gonzalez please stand up? Outside of a dominating 2007 AA stint with the ChiSox, Gonzalez has been mediocre. He has a nice home park and Oakland’s strong track record for developing pitchers as plusses.
85- Angel Salome-C-Milwaukee-MLB- Salome has an outstanding bat, but still has question marks on defense. Throw in a checkered past (suspended 50 games for PEDs), and I might have him a little lower than others. Note: Fair or not, the PEDs are a stigma in my mind and, all other things being equal, will drop a player a few notches in my eyes.
86- Michael Burgess-OF-Washington-High A- Has massive power upside, with current strikeout problems. Burgess will be just 20 next year and is still very raw.
87- Jacob McGee-LHP-Tampa-AA- McGee had TJ, and while it’s often a relatively good thing (and almost routine it seems), I want to see how he recovers before moving him back up.
88- Julio Borbon-OF-Texas-AA- Borbon has blazing speed and projects to hit for average with some pop (possibly 15-18 homers). He could bump Hamilton out of CF and be a Rangers regular by 2010.
89- Gorkys Hernandez-OF-Atlanta- High A- Gorkys has great speed but it is questionable whether he will develop much power. He should spend 2009 in AA.
90- Nick Weglarz-OF-Cleveland- High A- Weglarz has excellent plate discipline and average pop. He should start 2009 in AA, and could vault up the list if he can put up numbers similar to 2007 (279-23-82).
91- Mat Latos-RHP-San Diego-Low A- Big righty with nasty stuff just needs to stay healthy. Will be featured in Movers Series.
92- Danny Duffy- LHP-Kansas City-Low A- Detractors question his stuff, but he has had nothing but dominance (119 career IP, 165 Ks, 80 hits allowed) in his pro career. He doesn’t have true ace potential, but could develop into a low end #2 or solid #3 SP.
93- James Simmons- RHP-Oakland-AA- Simmons doesn’t have huge upside, but has had good results and projects to be a back of the rotation workhorse.
94- Jon Niese-LHP-New York (N)- MLB- Just 22 years old, Niese will battle for a major league job this year. He’s posted FIPs in the 3-3.50 range over his career, and could be a solid #3-4 SP.
95- Engel Beltre-OF-Texas-Low A- Beltre will be just 19 next year, and has all the tools we look for. He could become an elite OF if everything comes together. He should start 2009 in High A.
96- Juan Francisco-3B-Cincinnati-High A- Francisco has massive power, but poor plate discipline. If he can control the strikeouts even a little bit, he could be a legit 35-40 homer threat in Cincy.
97- Gerardo Parra-OF-Arizona-AA- I’ve always been high on him and still think he’ll develop 15 homer power. Should be good for steals and average.
98- Michael Taylor- OF- Philadelphia-High A- Intriguing Power/Speed combo had breakout 2008 (.969 combined OPS).
99- Andrew Lambo-OF-Los Angelese (N)- AA-He’s been compared to Loney, and hit .389 in a brief audition in AA. He’s not very fleet of foot, and could end up at 1B.
100- Tim Melville-RHP-Kansas City-HS- As always this late in a list, this was a tough decision. Melville was an elite HS arm and would have gone much higher in the draft had it not been for his mother openly making contract demands. He’s polished, and could move quickly for a HSer, with the upside of a #1-2 SP.

Next 15 (in no particular order):
Hank Conger - (Los Angeles-A)
Aaron Poreda - SP (Chicago-A)
Dellin Betances - SP (New York-A)
Matt Moore-SP (Tampa)
Brad Holt-SP (New York-N)
Jeff Niemann-SP (Tampa)
Julio Teheran-SP (Atlanta)
Sean Doolittle-1b (Oakland)
Todd Frazier- SS/3B (Cincinnati)
Nick Adenhart-SP (Los Angeles-A)
Will Inman-SP (San Diego)
Eric Hurley-SP (Texas)
Neftali Soto-3B (Cincinnati)
Chris Valaika-SS (Cincinnati)
Juan Duran-OF (Cincinnati)

Royals acquire Jacobs

killa — Thu, 30 Oct 2008 16:44:44 -0000

The Royals acquired Mike Jacobs from the Marlins for RP Leo Nunez. As a Royals fan, I like the deal. Granted, we have a perceived logjam at 1B, but among Gload/Butler/Shealy/Kila, absolutely ZERO of them have shown the ability to hit consistently at the major league level yet. GMDM has shown the ability to find good RPs on the cheap, so my general thought is any time you can add a guy who can hit 30HRs for a reliever, you have to do it. Jacobs isn't a stud, but he has shown more power than anyone currently on KC's roster has. Hopefully, Gload and Shealy can be moved, and Butler/Kila can fight for 1B/DH time.

Warning: Homer (KC) Post

killa — Sun, 17 Aug 2008 06:33:32 -0000

I don't know about the other Royals fans out there, but I kinda like the Royals top prospects, to the tune of Top 10 in the league....

1. Mike Moustakas-After a slow start, he's showing the bat that everyone expected. While he won't be an elite SS, I'm pretty sure that that's not unexpected.

2 Daniel Cortes- another guy who struggled at first but has quietly (as in he should be a Top 50 prospect), put up good numbers lately.

3. Eric Hosmer-Widely thought of as an elite HS power bat, he gets his first showing in the Top 10- time will tell which way he moves on the list, but the potential is there.

4. Carlos Rosa-Despite a bit of a high ARL, he's shown enough to have the upside of a #3 SP at the major league level. doesn't have incredible velocity, but his secondary pitches give him 3-AVG+ offerings, and the FB has deceptive movement.

5. Tim Melville- The guy wasn't ranked #1 on BA's HS rankings before the season for nothing. I'm willing to chalk his senior season up to extenuating factors, like his mom, who is probably the parent who gets thrown out of the T-Ball game. The skills are there, and he could develop into a #1 SP if everything goes right. If everything doesn't go right, it was a pretty good gamble fr the Round and price(Brett Tomko cost 2.5 times as much).

6. Danny Duffy- Yes, I'm surprised I don't have him higher, 19YO in Low-A, over 11K/9, a 2.35 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. We should see him in High-A with a late call-up to AA next year if things continue to go as incredibly. That said, I have a gut feeling that the callup to AA should be short, as I think rushing him would be bad- again, a gut feeling.

7. Kila Ka'aihue- If you don't know about this guy yet, you haven't been on the internet since April...Big Power, Big BB:K, big long swing and a probability of fizzling quickly. However, he has the best name (stole mine) and has a 1.098 OPS this year...33HR, 90 RBI, 92BB, 50K...The guy is putting up Playstation numbers, let's hope he can at least turn into what we thought Shealy would be....

8. Blake Wood-I've always been a bit of a doubter on Wood. Personally, I don't think his stuff will hold up at the major league level any more than Shawn Estes, Jason Bere, or Aaron Sele's stuff did. I think KC will see a useful year or 2 out of him, and he'll become replacable.

9. Matt Mitchell-This one may be surprising, but I really like the probability of him developing into a #4 SP. Not great upside, but his pitch selection could make him sneaky. If it was up to only my gut, he'd be ranked higher than Wood.

10. Joe Dickerson-31:48 BB;K ratio shows growth, Dickerson could put up Carl Crawford numbers in his prime

Just Missed:

Sam Runion-Youngster has a 11:40 K/IP ratio in Low-A...ouch

Edward Cegarra-Since his promotion, K's cut in 1/2, and everything else to the bad side. Good news is he's 19 and in A+....He should spend at least the first half of next year there as well.

BlakeJohnson- I'm seein' Adam Eaton after surgery as a peak, let's hope I'm wrong.

Adrian Ortiz-21 YO in A+ now, larning the game, but raw speed is there, power will determine success though.

Phillies get Blanton

killa — Thu, 17 Jul 2008 22:55:37 -0000

ESPN just reported on Sportscenter that The Phillies just acquired Joe Blanton from the A's in exchange for 3 minor leaguers. ESPN is now reporting that it's Cardenas, Outman and Spencer

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3494315

Filler Filler Filler a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Project Prospect Top 150

killa — Tue, 19 Feb 2008 15:20:21 -0000

PP has released their Top 150, an interesting read:

http://www.projectprospect.com/2008-top-150-prospect-list/

1 Jay Bruce CF Power hitter who can rope the ball all over the field; potential all-star and a class act 20.8 CIN AAA
2 Colby Rasmus CF Has as much power as Bruce with better BB/K, just not as proven; highly focussed 21.5 STL AA
3 Evan Longoria 3B Good bet to be above-average bat; should hit 30 HR + reach base frequently in prime 22.2 TB AAA
4 Clay Buchholz RHP Overwhelming arsenal paired with finesse mentality could make him a No. 1 starter 23.4 BOS MLB
5 Joba Chamberlain RHP His stuff may be better than Buchholz's; needs to prove himself as full-season starter 22.3 NYY MLB
6 Clayton Kershaw LHP Walk rate is only thing holding him back; strong bet to headline this list entering 2009 19.9 LAD AA
7 David Price LHP Among top college arms in last decade; "wire-to-wire" consensus No. 1 pick for 2007 22.4 TB NCAA
8 Jake McGee LHP One of the top power pitchers in MiLB; his secondary will make him at least a No. 2 21.5 TB AA
9 Cameron Maybin CF Burner had .201 IsoP thanks to some huge power spurts last year; LD% is concerning 20.8 FLA MLB
10 Andy LaRoche 3B Should get chance to exhibit excellent power and patience in '08; Our pick for NL ROY 24.4 LAD MLB
11 Johnny Cueto RHP It's difficult to debate his success; No. 1-2 depending on how often he gives up XBH 21.9 CIN AAA
12 Homer Bailey RHP Supporters point to '07 injuries; doubters question BB% and how hittable he was 21.7 CIN MLB
13 Travis Snider RF Utter hitting prowess is balanced by DH body; powerful lefty could reach AAA in '08 20.0 TOR A
14 Matt Wieters C Top collegiate bat in his class; switch hitter with good power stroke, sound defense 21.7 BAL HWB
15 Rick Porcello RHP Extremely advanced prep arm; top-of-the-rotation talent who figures to move quickly 19.1 DET HS
16 Ian Kennedy RHP Good bet to become a No. 2; induces soft contact; has found success everywhere 23.1 NYY MLB
17 Daric Barton 1B Contact hitter who can draw walks and hit for power; expect smooth transition to bigs 22.4 OAK MLB
18 Chris Marrero 1B The kind of home-run hitter who gets pitched around when he's hot; just a bit streaky 19.6 WAS A+
19 Gio Gonzalez LHP Gets called out for being under 6-foot; has made strides limiting HR; could be a No. 2 22.4 OAK AA
20 Fernando Martinez OF Stayed more than afloat as teen in AA then broke hamate; expect modest improvement 19.3 NYM AA
21 Joey Votto 1B Line-drive machine excels at hitting the ball in the air and drawing BB; some speed, too 24.4 CIN MLB
22 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Unlikely to be above-average hitter; strengths are speed and defense; very polished 24.4 BOS MLB
23 Brandon Wood 3B Questionable contact abilities; but tolerable due to his power; could play SS in a pinch 22.9 LAA MLB
24 Andrew McCutchen CF May take a while for his game to translate to the bigs; plus speed with some power 21.3 PIT AAA
25 Mike Moustakas 3B Elite power hitter; good enough athlete to play SS in pro debut; could reach A+ in '08 19.4 KC R
26 Franklin Morales LHP Was better than ever once he reached the bigs; expect him to get hit a bit harder in '08 22.0 COL MLB
27 Wade Davis RHP Potential No. 2 does a great job limiting hard contact; really tired down the stretch 22.4 TB AA
28 Matt LaPorta LF Awesome power hitter; should ascend through minors quickly; still profiles best at 1B 22.9 MIL A
29 Angel Villalona 3B Fresh off promising debut (.344 wOBA); power's his calling card; lots of uncertainty 17.5 SF SS
30 Matt Antonelli 2B Excellent walk rates, low K, and good power could put him among the game's top 2B 22.8 SD AA
31 Jeff Clement C 2004's 3rd overall pick punishes LHP, solid against RHP; arm strength is questionable 24.4 SEA MLB
32 Josh Vitters 3B Considered top prep hitter in '07 by some; pro debut (55 PA) was uninspiring - 0 XBH 18.4 CHC R
33 Austin Jackson CF 2nd-half surge was no coincidence - learned to pull the ball; expect a breakout year 21.0 NYY A+
34 Reid Brignac SS Line-drive hitter with some pop; bat may only be average in bigs; should stick at SS 23.0 TB AA
35 Jose Tabata RF More consistent but hasn't flashed as much power as Fernando; also broke hamate 19.5 NYY A+
36 Nick Adenhart RHP Standout ability to keep ball in the park; limits hard contact well; good bet to be No. 2-3 21.4 LAA AA
37 Jarrod Parker RHP 2nd-best prep pitcher in his class; could move quickly...maybe surface as a No. 1-2 19.2 ARI HS
38 Carlos Gonzalez RF Good LD hitter; his '06 success came in Lancaster; bat may only be average in bigs 22.3 OAK AAA
39 Fautino de los Santos RHP Winston-Salem is tough to pitch in - he dominated; AA is next step; could be a No. 2 21.9 OAK A+
40 Jordan Schafer CF Broke out in '07 despite rigors of Myrtle Beach; promising power; D praised universally 21.4 ATL A+
41 Desmond Jennings CF Crazy fast contact hitter also drew walks in Low-A; unproven but high-upside talent 21.2 TB A
42 Jason Heyward RF Powerful 6'4'', 220-pounder lasted until the 14th pick of '07; top prep OF in his class 18.5 ATL R
43 Beau Mills 1B WAC star turned NAIA legend; improved K% and wOBA at each of three his pro stops 21.4 CLE A+
44 Aaron Laffey LHP Extreme-ground-ball pitcher is a very safe bet to be a No. 3; that can't be said of many 22.8 CLE MLB
45 Sean Gallagher RHP Matured from 12 rounder ('04) to good bet to be No. 3 starter; solid K%, good HR rates 22.1 CHC MLB
46 Aaron Thompson LHP Amazing GB pitcher; had shoulder tendonitis last year and has been in pitcher's parks 20.9 FLA AA
47 Bill Rowell 3B Just a day older than Moustakas; slowed by oblique injury in '07; cut him some slack 19.4 BAL A
48 Lars Anderson 1B Doubles hitter last year; stock could explode in Lancaster; AA totals will mean more 20.3 BOS A+
49 Trevor Cahill RHP Great at inducing soft contact - should translate well to A+AA; shot at being a No. 2 19.9 OAK A
50 Kevin Mulvey RHP Posted an amazing .076 IsoPA in '07 - 3.16 FIP; a good bet to become a No. 3 starter 22.7 MIN AA
51 Jed Lowrie SS Could easily be a league-average hitter; better fit at second than short - limits upside 23.8 BOS AAA
52 Elvis Andrus SS Myrtle Beach is known for surpressing power; expect breakout offensive year in '08 19.4 TEX A+
53 Brett Anderson LHP Picked apart Low-A hitters; reached A+ in first full season; a chance to be a No. 2-3 20.1 OAK A+
54 Michael Burgess RF Not sure how he slipped to 49th pick in '07; big power potential and he can draw a BB 19.3 WAS SS
55 Jair Jurrjens RHP Knows how to pitch; solid bet to be a No. 3 starter; 18.1% K combined in '07, 7.1% BB 22.0 ATL MLB
56 Geovany Soto C Guys don't accidentally hit like he did in '07; could be a league-average bat this season 25.0 CHC MLB
57 Justin Masterson RHP Sinkerballer has Brandon-Webb upside; still needs to prove durable enough to be a SP 22.8 BOS AA
58 Tyler Robertson LHP Exhibited mastery over 102.1 IP...29.2% K, 2.20 FIP; still far away but a potential No. 2 20.1 MIN A
59 Chase Headley 3B LD approach allows him to lace the ball all over; could become a league-average hitter 23.7 SD MLB
60 Chris Volstad RHP Good command, HR rates, GB tendencies; solid shot at being a No. 3, chance of No. 2 21.3 FLA AA
61 Matt Latos RHP 11th rounder ('06) signed for 1st round money, dominated SS hitters over 56.1 innings 20.1 SD SS
62 Steve Pearce 1B Annihilated A+, AA, and AAA last year; could become a 25+ HR guy in the bigs by '09 24.8 PIT MLB
63 Ross Detwiler RHP 6th pick in '07 has lots of upside; not the safest bet to harness it; high BB% in NCAA 21.9 WAS MLB
64 Greg Reynolds RHP Talented GB pitcher; shoulder injury limited him in '07 (50.0 IP); No. 2 if healthy return? 22.6 COL AA
65 Hank Conger C 25th pick from '06 managed to hit for power in MWL; should devour CAL pitching in '08 20.0 LAA A
66 Matt Dominguez 3B 12th pick in '07; said to be great defender; bat is the question...didn't hit much in debut 18.4 FLA SS
67 Michael Bowden RHP Likely only No. 3-4 but well on his way; K% rose every month from May-August in AA 21.4 BOS AA
68 Nick Weglarz LF Walks a lot, Ks a lot, hits for a lot of power; Totalled 8 HR and .473 wOBA in August 20.1 CLE A
69 Deolis Guerra RHP Made strides in command dept.; was limited then shut down due to shoulder tendonitis 18.8 MIN A+
70 Jesus Montero C $2.0 M Ven. signee was solid in 123 rookie PA; success could translate well to A-ball 18.1 NYY R
71 Madison Bumgarner LHP Young for his draft class (10th pick of '07); raw athlete with potential to be a No. 1-2 18.5 SF HS
72 Ryan Kalish CF Has mastered SS ball - great BB%, low K%, solid power; broke hamate bone in July 19.8 BOS SS
73 Sean O'Sullivan RHP Has allowed just 8 HR in 229.2 pro innings; isn't overpowering; could become a No. 3 20.4 LAA A
74 Cole Rorhbough LHP Signed for 2nd round money in '06; 40.3% K between rookie and A ball shows upside 20.7 ATL A
75 James Simmons RHP 26th pick in '07 was thrusted to AA then AFL in pro debut; command is his strength 21.3 OAK AA
76 Aaron Poreda LHP 25th pick in '07 was held in rookie ball in his debut - thrived there; still has lots to prove 21.5 CHW R
77 Adam Miller RHP His arm is spectacular when it's working; ranks this low because of injury concerns 23.2 CLE AAA
78 Phillippe Aumont RHP 11th pick of '07; raw with high upside; his HS (in Canada) didn't have a baseball team 19.1 SEA HS
79 Wladimir Balentien RF Vastly improved contact abilities ('06 to '07); could be close to a league-average bat 23.6 SEA MLB
80 Carlos Triunfel SS Teen reached A+ in debut; power is lacking, unproven on D, but a good contact hitter 17.9 SEA A+
81 Carlos Gomez CF One of the fastest runners in baseball; breakout season haulted by broken hamate? 22.2 MIN MLB
82 Anthony Swarzak RHP Good bet to be a No. 4; improved his walk rates last year (9.8 to 6.7%); good HR/TBF 22.4 MIN AA
83 Kosuke Fukudome RF We only see him as an average regular for a year or two; then we expect a decline 30.8 CHC INT
84 Will Inman RHP We love 25%+ K rate guys; but this one has had troubles staying strong for a full year 21.0 SD AA
85 Kasey Kiker LHP BB% and HR rate are concerning given he was in Low-A; 27.6% K shows his upside 20.2 TEX A
86 Chris Parmelee RF Showed impressive power (.175 IsoP) in full-season debut; 27.3% K is scary, though 19.9 MIN A
87 Blake Beavan RHP 17th pick of '07; 6'7'', 210-pound power pitcher has a lot of upside but unusual motion 19.0 TEX HS
88 Tim Alderson RHP Dazzled in pro debut: 5.0 IP, 12 K, 0 BB, 0 XBH; 22nd ('07) pick could reach A+ in '08 19.2 SF R
89 Jeffrey Locke LHP Masterful command + overpowering stuff; yet to pitch above rookie; very high upside 20.2 ATL R
90 Jaime Garcia LHP Shut down in mid-July - soreness in pitching elbow; injury may have been slowing him 21.4 STL AA
91 Jordan Walden RHP DNF from '06 signed a hefy bonus; mowed down rookie hitters; at least No. 3 potential 20.2 LAA R
92 Joe Savery LHP Two-way NCAA players can learn quickly; that's what we expect from '07's 19th pick 22.2 PHI SS
93 Esmailyn Gonzalez SS Big INT signee was decent in pro debut; good upside; shows how INT $ is deceiving 18.4 WAS R
94 Collin Balester RHP Improved BB% and K% last season; strong bet to be No. 4; .140 IsoPA is concerning 21.6 WAS AAA
95 Matt Harrison LHP Turf toe ended his '07 early; limits HR and hard contact; a solid bet to become a No. 4 22.4 TEX AA
96 Scott Elbert LHP Had shoulder operation in '07; could reestablish himself in '08; BB% still major concern 22.5 LAD AA
97 Tyler Colvin CF Was very strong in August (.362 wOBA, AA) but had 0 BB that month; 13th pick in '06 22.4 CHC AA
98 Kevin Ahrens 3B High-upside hitter who played SS in pro debut but will likely wind up playing third base 18.8 TOR R
99 Manny Parra LHP Has spent bulk of his career in AA and below; maybe a No. 3-4; durability is a concern 25.2 MIL MLB
100 Cody Johnson RF Another Braves' prospect being brought along carefully; crushed Appy pitchers in '07 19.4 ATL R
101 Chris Nelson SS Heated up in June, caught fire in July; '04's 9th overall pick; breakout coming in 2008? 22.4 COL A+
102 Taylor Teagarden C Glowing defense; bat was great in CAL League (A+) and AA - had lots of Ks, though 24.1 TEX AA
103 Chin-lung Hu SS Bulked up and broke out in '07; good contact hitter w some power; a stellar gloveman 24.0 LAD MLB
104 Chris Mason RHP Succeeds by limiting HRs and throwing strikes (6.6% BB since '05); potential No. 3-4 23.6 TB AA
105 Jeremy Jeffress RHP Partially met high expectations in Low-A - 26.0% K, 12.0% BB, 4.32 FIP; 16th pick ('06) 20.4 MIL A
106 Omar Poveda RHP Maintained a promising 24.9% K as a teen in A/A+; big jump in BB% from MWL to CAL 20.3 TEX A+
107 Steve Evarts LHP Exceptional GB pitcher so far - 80.0 pro innings without a HR; just 2.8% BB in '07, too 20.3 ATL R
108 Michael Main RHP 24th pick in '07 has quick, dangerous arm action - health concern; an amazing athlete 19.1 TEX SS
109 Chris Tillman RHP Good in MWL, not so much in CAL; solid K% poor BB% and HR rate; potential No. 4? 19.8 BAL A+
110 Mat Gamel 3B Strong FSL finish after slow start; amazing in HWB (1.000+ OPS); solid all-around bat 22.5 MIL A+
111 German Duran 2B Huge power jump in '07 (.225 IsoP in AA); but just a average runner and low walk rate 23.5 TEX AA
112 Dexter Fowler CF OBP threat without much power; projectability is a tough subject; eaten alive in AFL 21.9 COL A+
113 J.R. Towles C Only has 95 PA above AA; easy to get too caught up in a C who looks like he can hit 24.0 HOU MLB
114 Eric Hurley RHP Has allowed 42 HR over last 2 seasons; being brought along quickly; potential No. 4-5 22.4 TEX AAA
115 Oscar Tejeda SS Raw, high-upside talent who was solid in rookie-ball and short-season in his US debut 18.1 BOS SS
116 Engle Beltre OF Impressive power for a teenager in his first pro season; contact ability is questionable 18.2 TEX SS
117 Adrian Cardenas 2B Withstood pitcher-friendly Lakewood, FSL is next; OK contact hitter with some power 20.3 PHI A
118 Chris Davis 3B Mashed at home in CAL (.438 wOBA); continued success in AA - amazing 2nd half 21.9 TEX AA
119 Neil Walker 3B Hot Apr., May, June; steep drop in play from then on; enough bat to stick at third base? 22.4 PIT AAA
120 Ian Stewart 3B Great hitter in Colorado Springs but below-average on the road; bat may fit best at 2B 22.8 COL MLB
121 Wilmer Font RHP Excellent strikeout rates considering his age; BB% is a concern; still, a lot of upside 17.7 TEX R
122 James McDonald RHP Excellent K% (30.2 in '07), solid BB rate (6.7%); strong enough to make it as a starter? 23.3 LAD AA
123 Trevor Crowe CF Things may have finally started clicking late last year - hit .314/.384/.428 in the 2nd half 24.2 CLE AA
124 Bryan Anderson C 40.9% of his '07 XBH came in April; has potential to be an average hitter as a catcher 21.1 STL AA
125 Brett Cecil LHP Really limited XBH in R and NCAA - solid BB%, too; K% wasn't overpowering in NCAA 21.6 TOR SS
126 Daniel Cortes RHP May have turned corner in August - BB% way down, K% up; lots of upside (No. 2-3?) 20.9 KC A+
127 Max Sapp C Good contact and BB% in full-season debut - little power; makings to be an average C 19.9 HOU A
128 Carlos Carrasco RHP His success has come in favorable pitcher's environments; could be No. 4-5 or a RP 20.9 PHI AA
129 Gorkys Hernandez CF One of the fastest players in the lower minors; in a pitcher's park and league in '07 20.4 ATL A
130 Brad Lincoln RHP From 4th pick in '06 to TJ patient; little pro history; excellent NCAA arm; potential No. 2 22.7 PIT A
131 Clayton Tanner LHP Good GB pitcher with solid command and K rate; should be tested in CAL this season 20.2 SF A
132 Cedric Hunter CF Didn't power through the MWL by any means - but solid; enough speed to stick in CF? 19.9 SD A
133 Ben Revere CF Speedster was impressive in rookie ball after being selected 28th overall - .369 wOBA 19.7 MIN R
134 Henry Alberto Rodriguez RHP Has makings to be a dominant RP; .056 IsoPA, 25.3% K, 13.8% BB in full-season debut 20.9 OAK A
135 Casey Weathers RHP 07's 8th pick had stellar year as Vandy's closer (2 XBH in 49.1 IP); signed under slot 22.6 COL A
136 Nick Noonan 2B Was pretty solid across the board in debut - poor BB%; selected 32nd overall in '07 18.7 SF R
137 Oswaldo Sosa RHP A lot more dominant in FSL than AA; Ave. BB%, below-ave. K%; good IsoPA (.094) 22.4 MIN AA
138 Andrew Brackman RHP 2nd-highest upside of any NCAA pitcher in '07 draft?; '07 TJ patient and still very raw 22.2 NYY NCAA
139 Tony Thomas 2B Exploded on the scene as a Jr. at Florida; kept it up in the pros; 97th overall pick in '07 21.6 CHC SS
140 Tyler Herron RHP Great BB% and solid IsoPA; may not be more than a No. 5 but good bet to reach that 21.5 STL A
141 Kyle Lotzkar RHP Second-best prep arm out of Canada last year; solid pro debut; 53rd overall pick in '07 18.3 CIN R
142 Jon Niese LHP Substantial BB% improvement from '06 to '07, though he couldn't sustain K%; No. 4-5? 21.3 NYM A+
143 Edwardo Morlan RHP Among the top RP in the minors - 34.3% K, 6.9% BB; gives up a lot of extra-base hits 21.9 TB AA
144 Jeremy Hellickson RHP A potential No. 4-5; solid command (7.6% BB) and stuff (23.8% K) - 3.45 FIP last year 20.8 TB A
145 Alan Horne RHP Durability will decide if he's No. 5 or reliever; BB% rose every month from Apr. to Aug. 25.1 NYY AA
146 Max Ramirez C Had a .396 wOBA in Kinston and Bakersfield; traded in '06 and '07; OK power hitter 23.3 TEX A+
147 Drew Stubbs CF Couldn't get out of Low-A in full-season debut; big 2nd half; OK bet to reach bigs still 23.3 CIN A
148 Max Scherzer RHP Strong chance he's converted to a reliever; 12.5% BB in AA to go along with 23.8% K 23.5 ARI AA
149 Jack Egbert RHP Numbers are better than Horne's; potential No. 4-5 does great job limiting hard contact 24.7 CHW AA
150 Colton Willems RHP Excellent IsoPA (.085) says something about his ability to pitch; 12.3% K in '07, though 19.6 WAS SS

Whither the CP

killa — Sat, 09 Feb 2008 07:37:45 -0000

I'm pretty disappointed at the community's lack of commitment, and the apparent ballot stuffing earlier, of the CP list. Honestly, it was one of my favorite diaries last year. This year, it seemed to degrade into a mess-between bickering, ballot stuffing, and then a waning of interest.
I'm pretty disappointed that it seems this site can't even limp it's way to a finish at 75. What happened to this community? Did we really let a couple of Joba's end us? I've been thinking this for a while, and I know some of the people have bowed out out of disgust/boredom. However, I really think that the CP was a signature of the good voices here. I hope, if nothing else, that we can resurrect this for next year. I would be in favor of running a true list (I'm not much of a poster, and don't have the time) of starting a new list, or scrapping this one. The current 67-68 doesn't represent this community, and even as an infrequent contributor, I'm embarassed by it.
Again, I'm not a big voice here; but, I'm embarassed by the complete meltdown. You guys (I've read your posts for years) and us new guys should be capable of something better, something worthwhile, to contribute positively to this site.
So, that's my 2 cents, I am not a ballot stuffer, I am not an original member, I am just disappinted. Edit: Whence changed to Whither, thanks jpahk

Nationals' New Stadium

killa — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 00:57:53 -0000

I don't write diaries much, so apologize if we all know this, or aren't interested. I've read numerous prospect/major league reviews referring to RFK lately, and it seems some of us don't know about the new stadium, and that the pitcher's heaven and abysmal fan experience known as RFK (I'm fairly local) won't be used any more. In any case, here is the link to the new stadium:

http://www.jdland.com/dc/stadium.cfm Additionally, here is the virtual tour link for the stadium: http://washington.nationals.mlb.com/was/ballpark/virtual_tour.jsp