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Jonstupidhead

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Mar 15, 2008 Dec 22, 2009 4 457

Cardinals fan from the Metro-East (O'Fallon) who has relocated to the Roscoe Village neighborhood in Chicago. I've got the 1987 Cardinals lineup memorized by heart...and unfortunately, the 1988 one as well.

a fan of

St. Louis Cardinals Major League Baseball Team

St. Louis Rams National Football League Team

Illinois St. Redbirds NCAA Men's Basketball Division 1 Team

Chicago Fire Soccer Team

St. Louis Blues National Hockey League Team

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Who was the best defensive 1B of the decade? One guess.

Shocker, it's the Mang. MGL over at THE BOOK blog has Pujols as the top 1st baseman in terms of runs saved (UZR).

Pujols #1 - suck it John Olerud.

6 days ago Jonstupidhead_tiny lightbulb 1 comment 0 recs

Tweeting for Powder Blues (PBs)

Our (blue)grassroots campaign for 2010 Powder Blue Saturdays next year begins in earnest. Origins of it here. I would love to see the Powder Blues back as a 3rd jersey. We have Sunday hats, why can't we have Saturday jerseys that remind us of how great of a season 1982 was?

I've used the Twitter to the best of my ability - Dgoold and The Hawk. That is the extent of my knowledge of Cardinal-related tweeters.

Hash-up those "powderblues" if you're down.

4 months ago Jonstupidhead_tiny lightbulb 7 comments 0 recs

Pub

1967 Cardinals WAR (from Rally's WAR Index). A team that went 101-60 with strength at all positions. I wasn't around when this team played, but if you were, I'd love to hear a story or two.

Quick hits:

Orlando Cepeda's 7.1 and Tim McCarver's 6.0 were both the best of their careers.

Nelson Briles! Stepped in after Gibby broke his leg. The two combined to provide over 6 WAR.

Roger Maris produced big time for the Birdos in his second-to-last year, putting up 3.3 WAR.

4 months ago Jonstupidhead_tiny lightbulb 2 comments 1 recs

Bill James Bullish on Braden Looper

Jonstupidhead_tiny by lightbulb on Comment 9 comments

I was clicking around on the Cards' fangraphs page to see Bill James' 2008 projections, and Braden Looper's caught my eye.

For reference, Looper in 2007 (IP / ERA / WHIP / K/BB ratio / K/9 ratio):
175/4.94/1.34/1.71/4.47

Bill James Projection fo Braden Looper 2008 (IP / ERA / WHIP / K/BB ratio / K/9 ratio): 183/3.98/1.36/1.75/5.07

For reference, here are the 2008 projections from ZIPS and CHONE (this is VEB after all...no way one data point would suffice!).

Stats - IP /ERA /WHIP/K_BB/K_9
James - 183/3.98/1.36/1.75/5.07
Chone - 136/4.30/1.40/1.64/4.76
Zips  - 160/4.84/1.42/1.54/4.67

So Bill James is the optimist in the group, projecting Looper to be a full run better than last year. Zips is most pessimisitc, while Chone is right in the middle except on innings pitched.

So..why is Mr. James so optimistic?  No doubt that Looper's sinker helped out his GB/FB ratio in 2007, and I suppose that must be playing into the 2008 calculation. But still, a full run lower ERA than 2007? And a healthy increase in the K/9 ratio (13%)?  I find it hard to believe that James's projection would entertain intagibles such as "experience as a starter", but who knows.

The Chone and Zips projections seem a little more plausible to me, but hey, I'll happily take James's suggestions.  Any thoughts as to why Bill James sees Braden Looper as having such a solid 2008?

9 comments  |  0 recs