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    <title>SB Nation User Blog:  lightbulb</title>
    <link>http://www.sbnation.com/users/lightbulb</link>
    <description>Posts made by lightbulb on SB Nation</description>
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      <title>Tweeting for Powder Blues (PBs)</title>
      <link>http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2009/8/18/994456/tweeting-for-powder-blues-pbs</link>
      <author>lightbulb</author>
      <pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 03:57:42 -0000</pubDate>
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&lt;h3 class=&quot;link-title&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/#search?q=%23powderblues&quot;&gt;Tweeting for Powder Blues&amp;nbsp;(PBs)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;description&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Our (blue)grassroots campaign for 2010 Powder Blue Saturdays next year begins in earnest.  Origins of it &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2009/8/17/991751/the-october-team#19802465&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;.  I would love to see the Powder Blues back as a 3rd jersey.  We have Sunday hats, why can't we have Saturday jerseys that remind us of how great of a season 1982 was?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I've used the Twitter to the best of my ability - &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/dgoold&quot;&gt;Dgoold&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/BlakeHawksworth&quot;&gt;The Hawk&lt;/a&gt;.  That is the extent of my  knowledge of Cardinal-related tweeters.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Hash-up those &quot;powderblues&quot; if you're down.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
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      <title>1967 Cardinals WAR (from Rally's WAR Index).  A team that went 101-60 with strength at all...</title>
      <link>http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2009/8/1/971922/1967-cardinals-war-from-rallys-war</link>
      <author>lightbulb</author>
      <pubDate>Sat, 01 Aug 2009 15:54:17 -0000</pubDate>
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&lt;img alt=&quot;Pub&quot; src=&quot;http://cdn1.sbnation.com/fan_shot_images/63931/pub.png&quot; /&gt;

&lt;div class=&quot;source source-img&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;1967 Cardinals WAR (&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.baseballprojection.com/war/playerindex.htm&quot; target=&quot;new&quot;&gt;from Rally's WAR Index&lt;/a&gt;).  A team that went 101-60 with strength at all positions.  I wasn't around when this team played, but if you were, I'd love to hear a story or two.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Quick hits:&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Orlando Cepeda's 7.1 and Tim McCarver's 6.0 were both the best of their careers.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Nelson Briles!  Stepped in after Gibby broke his leg.  The two combined to provide over 6 WAR.  &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Roger Maris produced big time for the Birdos in his second-to-last year, putting up 3.3 WAR.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
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      <title>Bill James Bullish on Braden Looper
</title>
      <link>http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2007/12/26/174157/17</link>
      <author>lightbulb</author>
      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Dec 2007 22:41:57 -0000</pubDate>
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&lt;p&gt;I was clicking around on the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.fangraphs.com/winss.aspx?team=Cardinals&quot;&gt;Cards' fangraphs page&lt;/a&gt; to see Bill James' 2008 projections, and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=526&amp;amp;position=P&quot;&gt;Braden Looper's caught my eye&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;For reference, Looper in 2007 (IP / ERA / WHIP / K/BB ratio / K/9 ratio):&lt;br /&gt;
175/4.94/1.34/1.71/4.47&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Bill James Projection fo Braden Looper 2008 (IP / ERA / WHIP / K/BB ratio / K/9 ratio): 183/3.98/1.36/1.75/5.07&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;For reference, here are the 2008 projections from ZIPS and CHONE (this is VEB after all...no way one data point would suffice!).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Stats - IP /ERA /WHIP/K_BB/K_9&lt;br /&gt;
James - 183/3.98/1.36/1.75/5.07&lt;br /&gt;
Chone - 136/4.30/1.40/1.64/4.76&lt;br /&gt;
Zips &amp;nbsp;- 160/4.84/1.42/1.54/4.67&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;So Bill James is the optimist in the group, projecting Looper to be a full run better than last year. Zips is most pessimisitc, while Chone is right in the middle except on innings pitched.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;So..why is Mr. James so optimistic? &amp;nbsp;No doubt that Looper's sinker helped out his GB/FB ratio in 2007, and I suppose that must be playing into the 2008 calculation. But still, a full run lower ERA than 2007? And a healthy increase in the K/9 ratio (13%)? &amp;nbsp;I find it hard to believe that James's projection would entertain intagibles such as &quot;experience as a starter&quot;, but who knows.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Chone and Zips projections seem a little more plausible to me, but hey, I'll happily take James's suggestions. &amp;nbsp;Any thoughts as to why Bill James sees Braden Looper as having such a solid 2008?&lt;/p&gt;



  

  


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