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mattwelch

  • joined Mar 11, 2008
  • last login Jul 22, 2014
  • posts 246
  • comments 9909

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  • MLB Los Angeles Angels
  • NBA Los Angeles Lakers
User Blog

There is almost nothing about this April '91 SI article that isn't horribly wrong

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1) "Here Come The Halos" -- nope, they would finish last. 2) "The California Angels are blessed with enough talent to overcome Oakland" -- Note that the author knew that Luis Sojo, Junior Felix, and Dave Parker would be part of the starting lineup. 3) "Four teams—California, Oakland, Kansas City and Chicago—could win 95 games" -- only 1 team did, and it was Minnesota. 4) "Someone must finish sixth. The Texas Rangers will be the best team in the history of division play to finish that low" -- they finished 3rd. 5) " And someone must finish last. That honor will go to the Minnesota Twins, despite their near-.500 finish" -- they won the World Series. 6) "So, here are 10 reasons why the Angels will win the West" -- the Angels came in last. 7) "8. Rader, Winfield and Dave Parker will teach new centerfielder Junior Felix the proper way to play and act" -- I just, I mean, wow. 8) "Dave Gallagher could become the first outfielder in history to play 162 games in a season without starting any of them" -- he played 87, and started 73. 9) "Rader is rid of three guys he absolutely hated to play: centerfielder Devon White, rightfielder Dante Bichette and second baseman Johnny Ray" -- congratulations, Doug Rader, you just traded away 3 future WS wrings and several hundred home runs! 10) "[Dave Parker] will lead. He will hit. 'He's a man,' says Rader" -- Parker hit .232/.279/.358.

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ANGELS Castaways WEEK 4

Sure, Mike Napoli is leading the majors in RBI & is on pace to hit 78 doubles, but even if we hadn't traded the guy for Vernon Wells (6th in the AL in Wins Above Replacement among position...

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Segura Steals First in Week 3 of ANGELS CASTAWAYS

It's time for our third installment of This Week in Angels Castoffs! In which we examine the exploits of players signed and developed by the Angels organization, but then traded, or allowed to...

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Angels Castaways, Week 2

So last week I presented (or at least tried to present, given SB Nation's publishing software), the stats of all MLB players who started their careers with the Angels organization but who now play...

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This Week in Angels That Got Away

How would you like to have a 23-year-old, slick-fielding shortstop who's leading the league in hitting and on-base percentage? Or maybe a highly touted 23-year-old starting pitcher who just...

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Bill Dwyre Advertises Own Willful Ignorance

Bill Dwyre was sports editor of the L.A. Times for a quarter century, between 1981 and 2006. If you enjoyed the trajectory of the Sports section during his tenure, you can thank Dwyre. If you did...

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JCVW: Vernon Wells Has Been a Consistent .222 Hitter Since 2010

Vernon Wells has been a consistent .222 hitter since 2010. So cut him, already!

Eyeballing 2012 Payroll: $151 Million?

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With the news that we avoided arbitration with Alberto Callaspo to the tune of $3.15 million, that leaves just one arb-eligible player left, Erick Aybar. Using Baseball Reference, we can begin to estimate the 2012 payroll now. And for the first time, I see that B-Ref has been overestimating it. BR lists four Angels at being arb-eligible, instead of the two, for a combined estimated total of $18 million (which gets them to a projected 2011 payroll of $159.9 million). But two of those four are Reggie Willits and Jeff Mathis, who will not be offered arbitration by the Angels this year. Now that Callaspo is off the table, we can use the MLB Trade Rumors estimate of Aybar's 2012 salary at $4.7 million to conclude that the arb-total will be around $8 million, not $18. We then adjust the "Additional Players Needed to Fill 25-man" from 5 to 7, and at the estimated rate there of $724,000 per warm body, that gives us $5.07 million instead of the current $3.62. So all in all, let's say the B-Ref estimated of $159.2 million overshoots the mark by around $8.5 million. Or $8.2 million if you prefer nice round numbers. LONG STORY SHORT: We are on the verge of adding Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson, replacing Jeff Mathis with Chris Ianetta, and signing our DP combo to extensions, all while increasing payroll over 2011 by around $8 million. That's astonishing.

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Fleeter Peter Bourjos: The Next Ray Lankford?

Flete Pete Bourjos is a 24-year-old CF whiz with gap power and a poor K/BB ratio. How do players like that age? Surprisingly well!

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Mark Trumbo: The Next Mike Jacobs?

Is Mark Trumbo the next Mike Jacobs? A look at historically walk-averse thumpers is cause for skepticism

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Adding Up the Worst Trade Ever: 5 Fewer Wins for $8.65 Million More in 2011

Now that the numbers are in, we can evaluate the Wells/Napoli trade: 5 fewer wins for $8.65 million more in 2011

Too Much, Too Late: Angels Pound Jays About the Face and Neck, 10-6

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Final Score from the Skanky Old Dome: Angels 10, Blue Jays 6   It's all over but the Great Masshole Implosion of 2011, but surely the Chowdah Choke will have that much more entertainment value if...

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We've Been Playing .500 Ball Since Aug. 19, 2009

The Angels have been playing .500 baseball since Aug. 19, 2009

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Baseball Prospectus Archives Now Free. Let the Anti-Angel Spelunking Begin!

All, a great reference, Baseball Prospectus, which is a paid site, has now freed its whole post-1996 archives older than one year. This is a pretty amazing document dump of original/received...

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Crappy Aprils By Splashy Newcomers

Crappy Aprils By Splashy Angel Newcomers: Putting Vernon Wells in perspective, with Lyman Bostock, Reggie Jackson, and others.

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Mark Saxon Picks MLBTR's Pocket

Mark Saxon wrote a piece on Bobby Abreu's offense that was too similar to one by MLB Trade Rumors. Worse, they're both wrong about Abreu's alleged offensive decline.

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Original Angel Chuck Tanner, RIP

Though most Angel fans probably don't know it, Chuck Tanner was the franchise's minor league manager of the '60s, and the heir apparent to Bill Rigney's job had the organization been run competently.

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Angels Trade for Torii Hunter?

The most similar player to Vernon Wells through his age 31 season? Would you believe Torii Hunter? The Angels obviously do.

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Reggie Willits Reality Check

Before you think of Reggie Willits as a partial solution to the Angels' LF issues, look at his non-2007 career.

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Adrian Beltre's Walk Seasons, and Other Illusions

Is Adrian Beltre a "walk-year" hype monster, or one of the most underrated home-park victims in modern ML history?

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Matt's Comp List Revisited: How Did 2010 Turn Out?

How did the 2010 Angels' offensive players perform compared to their preseason historical comps? About the same, except for the ones who were a LOT worse.

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Dizzy About Mike Trout? Recall the Cautionary Tale of Ed Kirkpatrick

Dizzy About Mike Trout? Recall the Cautionary Angel Tale of Ed Kirkpatrick

Jim Fregosi, NOT Maury Wills, was SS of the 1960s

MLB Network says that Maury Wills was "the shortstop of the '60s." Here's why they're wrong -- it was Jim Fregosi.

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How Bad Has Brandon Wood Been?

How bad has Brandon Wood been? Well, compare 42 similarly awful hitters through age 25, and you'll see that 34 were *pitchers*.

The Punchless Wonders Lineup

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Slugging percentages and Isolated Power of our 1-9 today: 1) .416/.160 Abreu 2) .372/.094 Aybar 3) .403/.123 Callaspo 4) .364/.123 Izturis 5) .432/.169 Rivera 6) .412/.141 Kendrick 7) .313/.032 Willits 8) .333/.108 Mathis 9) .105/.000 Bourjos This is one of the weirdest lineups in modern Angels history.

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A Modern History of All-Star Bias

A Modern History of All-Star Bias: How NY and BOS have towered over worthy AL teams in 21st century selection.

Angels Fail to Heed ELO's Admonition; Let Bruce Bring Them Down, 4-2

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As Bruce Chen -- seriously, Bruce Chen -- walked off the mound in the middle of the 8th inning, a frame he hasn't tasted in any game he's started since April 13, 2006, Victor Rojas put it both best...

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Moneyball Update

Was just checking out team stats and noticed that the Oakland A's offense is: * 1st in the AL in sacrifice bunts * 5th in stolen bases * 3rd to last in walks, and * 2nd to last in home runs I loved...

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What Strasburg has done that C.C., Verlander, and Beckett have not

What Strasburg has already done that C.C., Verlander, Beckett, Lackey, et al never have.

It's official--Aybar demoted from leadoff

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Izzy's hitting leadoff, Erick 9th. Ironically comes at a time when Aybar has reached base 11 times the past 4 games, going 3/3 in stolen bases.

Showing 1 - 30 of 246 Older
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