
mickeyg13
Apr 22, 2009 Jun 01, 2012 14 159
website: Sabermetrica
a fan of
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Steelers
RSSUser Blog
FanGraphs on Randomness
There are some subtleties in the article I might take issue with, but overall I think it does well to highlight how many sabermetricians (including myself) have an understanding of randomness that differs from mainstream, and consequently why many are reluctant to accept some sabermetric principles. And no, sabermetricians (well good ones at least) don't just chalk everything up to randomness without looking for special-cause. It's just that sometimes there's nothing there to see, but many people hate to accept that.
Morneau Already Matched MVP Season
According to FanGraphs, Justin Morneau has already accrued 4.3 WAR in 2010. Aside from being ridiculously high at this point of the season, you might wonder why that is significant. Well when he won the MVP in 2006, Morneau put up the same WAR total (4.3) in 157 games. So in some sense he has already matched his MVP season in just 54 games.
UZR and +/- Discrepancies
FanGraphs recently started listing John Dewan's +/- fielding metric. Many feel this metric is comparable to (or better than) UZR, so I thought it would be an interesting exercise to explore the players on which there were the largest discrepancies in 2009.
FanGraphs Now Carries +/-
Although many consider UZR the best available defensive metric, many others thinks +/- is deserving of this title. Well it's now on FanGraphs so you can check it out for yourself. A quick note is that +/- is scaled to plays, not runs, so if you want a direct comparison to UZR I think you want to look at the derivation of +/- that is rPM.
wOBA in Wikipedia
Continuing with the them of more sabermetrics in Wikipedia, I created an entry for wOBA. It's just a stub for now, but hopefully we can build it into something decent. Feel free to edit the article, as that's what Wikipedia is all about.
BP Attacks OPS
OPS is much better than things like BA and RBI, but that doesn't mean we have to stop there. In a bind where you don't have access to better stats it does a decent job, but at least for MLB there are superior, freely available metrics out there like wOBA or BP's TAv (formerly EqA).
Greatest Defenders of All-Time...
...according to Total Zone. Rally did the hard part in calculating TZ, so I just had to do some accounting on his WAR database.
over 2 years ago
mickeyg13
1 comment
1 recs
Historical WAR by Team
I recently downloaded Rally's Historical WAR database, so I thought I'd share some results I derived from it. First I thought I would add the WAR for each player on each team to find WAR for each team in each season. This approach is one way to determine the greatest teams of all-time. Typically in such discussions the 1927 "Murderers' Row" Yankees or 1998 Yankees lead the discussion. Among teams that did not win the World Series, the 1906 Cubs and 2001 Mariners both get a lot of attention as both won a record 116 regular season games. Perhaps unsurprisingly then all four of those teams are among the top 5 in WAR, but none are #1 on the list. That honor belongs to the 1939 Yankees at 70.1 WAR. That comes as a bit of a surprise to me, as Babe Ruth was long gone by that point and Lou Gehrig was a non-factor (he played in only 8 games and retired in the middle of the season due to his illness). The top Pirates squad (from 1902) came in at #7 overall, but that season came before the World Series (the Pirates played in the first World Series in 1903). The World Series Champion Pittsburgh Pirates of 1909 appear on the list at #20 overall.
2010 CHONE Standings
He has the Pirates winning 73 games.
2010 Marcel Projections
Not surprisingly, McCutchen was projected to lead the team in wOBA at .363.
Pirates Draft Review from FanGraphs
They also discuss top 10 prospects.
2010 CHONE Projections
Here are the hitters, I imagine the pitchers will be coming soon. At a glance I notice Iwamura is still included as a Ray. Not much to be excited about, but I guess that's to be expected.
2010 UZR Projections
You can't group by team currently, but a quick glance didn't reveal any particularly noteworthy Pirates. I did notice that Nyjer Morgan is projected to come down quite a bit from his super-human UZR performance in 2009.
2009 Pirate Pitching
For years pitchers have been evaluated based upon their win-loss record. More advanced mainstream metrics include ERA and WHIP. None of those tell the whole story about a pitcher though; win-loss record relies upon a team's offense, bullpen, and defense. ERA at least removes offense from the equation, and WHIP takes out the bullpen. None of these stats attempt to remove defense though. When evaluating pitchers, we should be interested in their ability independent of defense. I'd like to use a variety of defense-independent pitching stats to evaluate the 2009 Pirates.
11 comments
|
1 recs |
Tweet
Showing 1 - 14 of 14