Upon looking at our holes as a team there are a couple glaring needs.  Firstly we need a SF of the future and we need frontcourt depth, which SF's are a part of. In this specific Fanpost I will be addressing our need for a SF of the future, as I am currently not comforted with Donte Greene as our savior at the position.  Our current SF's consist of Cisco, Nocioni, and Donte Greene; Cisco has always been more productive coming off the bench and can play any guard position for us and Nocioni albeit gritty is slow, inconsistent, and getting old (thus not a part of our long term solution).  He is also saddled with a long contract, three years plus a team option for a fourth, thus I will target a possible replacement.  There are plenty of free agent SFs in this free agent class with many all star caliber players available: Shawn Marion, Ron Artest, Trevor Ariza,  Lamar Odom, Grant Hill and many others.  The problem with all these players is that they will command too high of a price tag for a rebuilding team like the Kings.

Enter my solution!  Linas Kleiza.

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As StR's resident mathematician, I have put it upon myself to give everyone the real draft odds.  The main problem with the percentages given for the second and third picks is that they don't take into account the loss of combinations from the team that won the first pick and second pick.

Firstly, the 1st overall pick odds are correct as no team has been eliminated we have an exactly 25.0% chance of landing the first pick.

The second pick is where it gets slightly more complicated, here are all the different odds we have of winning the second pick determined by who took the first pick: 31.2%, 29.6%, 28.4%, 27.4%, 26.7%, 26.1%, 25.7%, 25.4%, 25.3%, 25.2%, 25.18%, 25.15%, 25.13%.  The percentages are ordered by the biggest losers, thus 31.2% coincides with the Wizards, 29.6% with the Clippers, and so on down the line.  Obviously, you want a team as close to your lottery combinations as possible to get lucky.  Eliminating a hundred plus combinations greatly enhances the Kings possibility of winning the second pick.

The third pick percentages are again determined by the winners of the first two picks.  There are 91 different combinations and even though I am bored at work, I am not quite that bored.  The range in %'s go from 38.8% (Was/Lac) to 25.3% (Indy/Phx) again like the second pick you want the highest possible amount of combinations to be eliminated in order to insure the greatest % of landing the third pick.

The moral of all this math is pretty straight forward, if on lottery day one of the teams from the back jumps into the lottery, our chances drop immensely of getting a top 3 pick. Conversely, if a team near us gets lucky, we have a better chance of moving out of the 4th pick.

It's a number game, but shit don't add up somehow
Like I got, sixteen to thirty-two bars to rock it
but only 15% of profits, ever see my pockets like
sixty-nine billion in the last twenty years
spent on national defense but folks still live in fear