Predictions from Week Fourteen can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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Its a sad state of affairs when you are looking forward to the Cleveland Browns coming to town, but there it is. This importance of this game for the Chiefs and their fans can't be stressed enough. There is a lot on the line.

This franchise needs to find some pride. Beating the Browns won't restore it. Losing to them will crush what little remains.

In my mind this game is also important for draft position. KC has been hanging out in the top 5 picks for two years now. There are great players there, but they are overpriced and kill you if you miss. Picking in the top five has the added onus of severely curtailing a team's ability to move around in the 1st round. The current draft system rewards teams 6 through 10 and punishes teams 1 through 5. If KC wants to see Pioli wheel and deal like he did in New England, they need to win this game.

The truth is that these two teams could switch uniforms and there's a good chance no one would notice. The defensive stats for the Chiefs and the Browns are almost identical.

There is only 13 total yards allowed separating the 30th ranked Kansas City defense from the 31st ranked Cleveland defense. The numbers across the defensive board are so close as to be sickening. But I'll let you decide:

• Total yards allowed: KC 5008 yds, Cle 5021 yds (KC -13 yards)
• Passing yards allowed: KC 3083 yds, Cle 3094 yds (KC -11 yards)
• Passing yards per game: KC 237.2, Cle 238.0
• Rush yards allowed: KC 1925 yds, Cle 1927 yds (KC -2yards)
• Rush yards per game: KC 148.1, Cle 148.2

Scary.

The only difference between the Browns and the Chiefs is that KC seems to score more points (KC: 15.8 per game, CLE 12.2 per game) and the Browns sack the QB more often (CLE: 31 sacks, KC 19 sacks)

Yes this weekend is the clash of the titans at Arrowhead. Don't let that throw you off your fantasy game. Bad teams facing each other can make for monster fantasy days.The last time two bottom feeder teams met this season was when Cleveland went to Detroit. There was an offensive explosion from both teams.

Just look at it this way. How many times have you wished that your fantasy Chiefs got to face the Chiefs defense? This week, they do.

Three Chiefs and Sleeper after the break

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Predictions from Week Twelve can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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What a debacle. The fantasy Chiefs have been playing with fire for the last few weeks, and last week they got burned. Chris Chambers was non-existent in the game. WR's dropped balls all over the place. Charles got banged up and dropped the ball. What the frito my friends. What the frito.

Buffalo's record of 4-8 would seem to indicate that the Chiefs have a favorable fantasy matchup this week. But, a review of Buffalo's stats show that they have a surprisingly good pass defense. The Bills come in with the number 4 ranked pass defense in the NFL. In week 5 they held the hapless Browns to 23 yards total passing. I don't care if it was the Browns, that's ridiculous.

But as the Bills taketh, so they giveth away.

The Buffalo rush defense is ranked dead last in the league giving up an average of 172.1 yards per game. They have shown themselves to be susceptible to the big runs. The Jets last week had 4 rushers with at least one rush over 15 yards. Charles should be licking his chops.

From a fantasy perspective, KC needs someone to step it up in the run game and help Charles to carry  the load. I don't see anyone on the bench that can provide that jab to Jamaal's uppercut. I hope you see something I don't. Here's to hoping.

3 Chiefs and a Sleeper after the break.

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Predictions from Week Twelve can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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If football is going to light speed, then fantasy football is going straight to plaid. The Chiefs were destroyed last week. It was one of the darkest days I've seen in 20 years of being a Chiefs fan. How many of you remember when the only thing better than having the Seahawks in the division was having the hapless Chargers too. Those days are gone my friends.

As dark as the day was for the Chiefs on the field, a couple of Chiefs actually shone as fantasy diamonds.

I have been down on Chris Chambers as a fantasy player since he was signed. In true Missouri style Chambers "Showed Me" and now he's become a must add on any fantasy roster.

Jamaal Charles may have fumbled (SON OF A $%#@#, GOAT LICKIN $%^*$#,!!!!) but he also racked up 147 total yards and a TD. That's a good day for any RB to have, fumble or no.

Now the Denver "Bananas" come to town. (I hope the people of Denver tarred and feathered whoever came up with that color scheme back in the day) They started off strong with 6 straight wins, then turned into the team we all thought they would be dropping 4 straight.

Don't let last week's win against the Giants fool you. The Bronco win was a lot like the KC win against the Raiders. The Giants were a mess. KC has a chance, right?

At this point I should probably mention that the Denver defense looks like it was built to wail on the Chiefs.

The Broncos have an undersized defense that played out of its mind early in the season. They have been pushed around recently. Physical teams have shown that the Broncos are susceptable to having the living bejesus pounded out of them. But there is no one on the KC roster that has shown they can provide the pounding.

KC has become a perimeter running team. This plays into Denver's strength. The small Bronco LB's excel at moving sideline to sideline, and their sole purpose in life will be tracking Charles comes Sunday. The Denver secondary does not appear to be any better of a match up for KC.

The Denver secondary is an all world team from 5 years ago. You may know the names Bailey, Dawkins and Law, but so does the local AARP rep. Its getting late in the season and KC has to hope that all that age is starting to catch up with them.

Denver has not allowed a WR to eclipse 100 yards all season.  They only gave up 3 receiving TD's in the fist six games.

A glimmer of hope can be found in the fact that they have given up 6 receiving TD's in the last 5 games. Could be signs of the wheel rusting off. We can hope.

Denver at KC has traditionally been a great game for the Chiefs. Hell, last year's  team got half of their wins for the season when Denver came to town.

Here's to watching that trend continue.

Three Chiefs and a sleeper after the break

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Happy Thanksgiving Chiefs Fans.

Predictions from Week Eleven can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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It's amazing what a win can do for a fan's outlook on the world. Last week it was doom and gloom. This week there is a sense of hope. "What if the Chiefs go 3-0?" Bring on the Kool Aid, I'm ready for a glass.

But that's on the football field. In the world of statistics the, Chiefs vs Pittsburgh game showed KC to be the fantasy disappointment fantasy players have come to expect. The Steelers limited the KC offense all day. The KC Defense and Special Teams stepped up, but over 500 yards total offense and 24 points from Pittsburgh offset any positive points that were gained from a return TD and 3 turnovers.

The Chiefs did do better on 1st down against the Steelers. Contrary to popular prognostication, this did not vastly improve KC's 3rd down conversion percentage. The Chiefs were 6-15 on 3rd down, or 40% for those of you without a calculator handy.

Fantasy value, or lack thereof, is directly proportional to an offense's ability to maintain possession of the ball. Long grinding drives are what you want to see for your fantasy players. Big plays will give you flashy numbers,  but any owner of an Indianapolis WR over the last few years will tell you just how frustrating a player can be whose points are tied to that one play per game.

Big plays happen when their is a defensive break down. There's no way to predict, especially in the passing game, which offensive player will be the beneficiary. How many of you started Leonard Pope last week?

An offense needs to sustain drives to increase the chances of your fantasy player racking up the points. The increase in touches in turn increases the chance your player will be in a position to take advantage of a defensive breakdown. It's why running backs have such value. They simply touch the ball more.

KC's offense has shown that it has players who can turn in big weeks. But, the offense has not shown itself to be effiicent enough to create a solid fantasy atmosphere week in and week out for any Chief you feel can contribute to your team. Live by the fantasy big play, die by the fantasy big play.

Now KC travels to San Diego. The first matchup KC had with the Chargers was arguably the worst game the Chiefs played all season. Cassel threw 3 picks, the RB trio of Larry Johnson, Jamaal Charles and Dantrell Savage were held to under 100 yards and the WR corp had a total of 100 yards receiving.

The Chief fan in me believes that this time it will be different. KC is going to rise up and be the team that no contender wants to play down the stretch. KC is going to give San Diego all they can handle and more.

The fantasy owner in me is a bit more cautious.

Three Chiefs and a Sleeper after the break

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Predictions from Week Ten can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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In a word, the outlook is bleak. No D-Bowe. Improving but sub-standard O-line. #4 defense in the league. Not good. If the Chiefs explode on the fantasy scene it will be a shock.

The Steelers have yet to allow a 100 yard rusher all year.  The highest single game rushing  total was 76 yards by Cedric Benson in week 3. Pittsburgh has even held the mighty Adrian Peterson to 69 yards, albeit with one touchdown. 

If dreams of no Troy Polamalu have you itching to try your fantasy luck, keep in mind that Polamalu has only played in 6 of the Pittsburgh's 10 games this season. He's been hobbled to boot. The Pittsburgh D is incredible with Polamalu. They are merely great without him.

Bleak.

There were a lot of of injuries last week in the NFL that may force you to consider a Chief. Especially at running back. Ronnie Brown, Cedric Benson, Brian Westbrook and Michael Turner all went down last week. Placing a Chief in any injury roster holes on your starting lineup will probably bring you nothing but heartbreak, but stranger things have happened.

Three Chiefs and a sleeper after the break.

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Predictions from Week Ten can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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Reminder to all Fantasy Junkies. Thursday games have started. Be sure to get your lineups set early.

And then there was one. Brian Waters is the last surviving KC Chief from the 2003 fantasy juggernaut that lived in Arrowhead stadium. Holmes, Hall, Green, Johnson, Gonzalez, Kennison and Morton have all faded into KC fantasy lore. This new KC team is filled with fantasy back-ups and headaches.

Not that LJ was worth a damn in fantasy football this year, but the days of the Red and Gold carrying you to a fantasy championship seem gone for good. Or are they..

In week 2 KC dominated the Raiders. It was the game that got away from them. Since that game KC has been irrelevant to fantasy football. Oakland has managed to be less than that.

Pound for pound, Oakland is probably a more talented football team. The showed it against the Eagles. They have a veteran defensive line that can get pressure. Their secondary has arguably the best CB in the game. McFadden, Bush or Fargas could all start for half the teams in the league. The talent in Oakland, as always, is overshadowed by inconsistent play and a total lack of cohesiveness.

KC has been more consistent this year than the silver and black. They have kept playing hard. This is a good sign for fantasy owners. 75% of KC's fantasy output came in the 4th quarter last week.

The Chiefs still come up short. Big plays to the second and third passing options are finding seams in the KC D. A bad KC offense is being put behind the 8 ball. And unheralded WR's are having breakout games.  Fortunately for KC, Jamarcus Russell's play progression seems to be: #1 option, Girl with tight shirt in 3rd row, #1 option, hot dog vendor.

If KC can contain the running game of Oakland and Zach Taylor this week, the Chiefs could provide some vital fantasy depth to your team.

Three Chiefs and a sleeper after the break.

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From the FanPosts. -Chris

Predictions from Week Seven can be found here.  The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.

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Week seven? What happened in week seven? I remember sitting down to watch the game next thing I know it's Monday morning. I seem to remember something about tequila and a Kansas City Chiefs' induced heartbreak. I'll just leave it at that.

The last two weeks have seen a complete shake up of Chief fantasy player values.  Johnson twittered his way out of at least one start. This may turn out being a blessing in disguise for LJ owners. Just do what I did. Drop him and feel better about your day.

Charles, Savage and Smith create a RB quandary that has me itching to jump, but unsure which way to go. (Thought I'm pretty sure Savage is a non-fantasy factor...pretty sure....)

And yet another veteran WR shows up in town with the potential to steal some of the few receptions going around. Or just warm a bench.

Starting KC players not named Succop is looking more and more like playing Russian Roulette with 5 bullets loaded. And even Succop is boom or bust. Consistency does not seem to be a KC virtue right now.

So here we go into week 9. A struggling KC offense against a Jacksonville team that just got TORCHED by Chris Johnson for 228 yards and 2 TD's. Maybe with a bye week to prepare Jacksonville will be just what KC needs to get their offense on track. Don't bet the farm on it though.

Three Chiefs and a sleeper after the break...

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