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ncgostl

  • joined Mar 20, 2008
  • last login Aug 17, 2014
  • posts 18
  • comments 320

If you're in the Triangle area, look for a Toyota Matrix with a North Carolina (NC) license plate that reads GO STL ....

NCGOSTL

A Fan Of...

  • MLB St. Louis Cardinals
User Blog

Yadi, contract, and defensive value

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From fangraphs, a new way to measure catcher value. Yadi leads the way on pitch blocking value. Here's the short article: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/catcher-pitch-blocking-war-update/ Here's the list of leaders for 2008 to 2011 If Yadi did prevent 20 runs in 4 years, that's half a win per year right there. Matheny would be proud. Yadi learned from the best in 2004.

Back Office Lost A Good One

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Luhnow has hired away Sig Mejdal to the Astros. See this post for a connection to the book Fantasyland: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/offseason-notes-houston-gets-its-nerd-on/ I've seen Sig give two talks in the last couple of years (at the Society for Judgment and Decision Making Conference in 2010, and the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science in 2011). He is a very entertaining speaker. He has great stories about how to mix the sabermetric approach with the old school culture. His role for the Cardinals seemed to include, among other things, evaluating college players for the draft by creating a systems that would allow the team to compare performances across different colleges/conferences/divisions--essentially adjusting for a "strength of competition" effect akin to ball park effects. He also focused on assessing and blending scouting reports with standard sabermetric models. Sorry to lose him. The loss of Luhnow and some his staff is the real management story for 2012 and beyond...

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Albert and Doubles

 Albert Pujols would be the first to say that tonight is about making the playoffs and not individual streaks and statistics.  But I wanted to point out one other thing to watch. Cardinals fans all...

Izzy's 300th Save

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Even if saves and round numbers are overvalued, good for Izzy. His teammates were happy, too.

The worst relief outings, WPA style

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Franklin racked up a -.99 win probability Tues night, but things can be worse. Check it out. Oh the humanity.

Phillies GM explains the use of sabermetrics in the Howard Contract

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"The sabermetricians are welcome to have their opinions about our business; however, I choose to ignore their opinions," Amaro said. Let's hope this is their long term philosophy.....

A History of Goats

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This article helps provide perspective. Even the Babe:: "Holliday, however unfortunate to have missed the ball due to glare or the white hankies being waved by the fans at Dodger Stadium, is on both sides now. He joins a fraternity that includes the likes of Smith, Bill Buckner, Mickey Owen, Fred Merkle, Willie Davis, Justin Verlander, Fred Snodgrass, Herb Washington and Babe Ruth. Yes, even The Bambino was a goat once. You have to have goats if you have heroes. The decisive Game 7 of the 1926 World Series ended with Ruth trying unsuccessfully to steal second, leaving the capable Bob Meusel in the batter's box unable to swing away with the score 3-2, St. Louis."

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Clinched: Team of the Aughts

With tonight's win and the Braves' loss, the Cardinals have clinched the most NL wins of the 2000s. It's been a great decade. Competitive nearly every year and averaging over 90 wins a season.

Tonight's win is #900 for the decade of the 2000s

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Tonight's win is #900 for the decade of the 2000s

Halladay vs Pujols

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In anticipation of seeing this match-up in the first inning tomorrow night, check out this link (originally posted by CGSing 20 days ago).

Silver Sluggers

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Pujols and Ludwick win. Cardinals are the only team with two winners. http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20081113&content_id=3678086&vkey=news_mlb&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb

Experience at THT

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When the Cardinals won the WS in 2006 after barely squeaking into the playoffs, I speculated to a friend that maybe their playoff experience in the previous years had been helpful. As we all saw, the Cardinals seemed much more poised than the Tigers (see "pitcher fielding"). The Cardinals had been in the playoffs in 5 of the 6 previous years and had gone to the NLCS 4 of those years. This was much more experience than the Padres, Mets, or Tigers. Of course, it's the kind of anecdotal, "soft," non-sabermetric thought that I usually do not allow myself to entertain. But it seemed plausible. My statistically-minded friend pointed out that "it's testable." Well, David Gassko at THT has done the test. He doesn't report a lot of detail, but does run a logistic regression that includes both pythagorean wins and average team experience to predict playoff outcomes over . Here's the link (or click on the title above): http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/does-experience-matter-in-the-postseason/ My guess is that there was enough roster stability for the Cardinals in the mid 2000s (Pujols, Edmonds, Suppan, plus imports like Eckstein) that it would score pretty high on the average experience score that Gassko calculates.

posts at beyond the boxscore

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Sky Kalkman has a nice post on Pujols at Beyond the Boxscore--no surprises to those who follow Albert and are sabermetrically minded, but nice summaries. He's also posting similar analyses for other positions. Also, see http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/9/24/620979/the-eight-most-underrated

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John Patterson released by Nationals

This is a surprising cut.  Should the Cardinals be interested? Washington Post article here.  

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Low Nielsen Ratings

I'm tired of hearing about this being the lowest rated world series.  So was last year's.  And the 2000s have been lower than the 1990s.  That's not news.  But, to show this, I did a quick analysis...

FanPost
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Albert at Baseball - Reference

If you're not familiar with baseball-reference.com, you should check it out.  It has an amazing collection of historical statistics.  The 2006 season has been added.  And it is now time to admire...

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Masochists only

Each week, Michael Lazarus at Foxsports ranks starting pitchers using stats such as WHIP, K/BB, etc.  Guess who cracked the top 20 in the majors this week, sandwiched between Scott Kazmir (20) and...

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Duncan and Rodriguez

I remember how excited I was by John Rodriguez's fast start when he came up to the majors mid-summer.  But then I remember being disappointed by his power fade later in the season.   After that...

Showing 1 - 18 of 18
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