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nickbradley

  • joined Oct 01, 2009
  • last login Jul 11, 2014
  • posts 126
  • comments 3251
User Blog
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7

Post-Senior Bowl 7-Round 49ers Mock Draft

Two compensatory picks – one in the 4th and one in the 7th. Losses: WR Randy Moss (retired), CB Tramaine Brock, G Leonard Davis, WR Ted Ginn, LB Larry Grant, DL Isaac Sopoaga, S Darcel McBath, QB...

FanPost
39

Rent-a-Revis

with rumors going around that the 49ers could be a tram that might be interested in Jets CB Darelle Revis, I'll make the case for why the 49ers should pick him up. First off, I believe that the...

FanPost
5

Finally - Empirical evidence that Michael Crabtree is an elite Wide Receiver

The good people at Pro Football Focus have introduced a new measure of just how good a receiver is: yards per route run (YPRR). YPRR measures the number of yards a receiver gas gained per ROUTE...

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2

On 'Elite Quarterback Fetishism'

Why are pundits picking the packers to win?All evidence points to a comfortable victory by SF. AdvancedNFLStats.com published their game probabilities this morning in the New York Times, and they...

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7

'The Search for Vernon Davis' is No Mystery

Yesterday, Mike Sando posted a couple articles that discussed Vernon Davis' Lack of production. And the findings are no mystery. Simply put, Kaepernick relies on Vernon Davis far less than Alex...

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11

Top 20 Mock Draft (Bye Week Hot Stove)

The lack of elite talent is quite alarming... Order Team Player Position School Reason 1 Kansas City Geno Smith QB West Virginia Chiefs need a...

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6

2013 talk: Replace Randy Moss with Mike Wallace?

Assuming the Trade/Release of Alex Smith and some expected cuts (below), the 49ers should have about $12m - $14m left in salary cap space for 2013 (assuming a $121m cap). With that, we probably...

FanPost
36

Is Colin Kaepernick the most Clutch quarterback in the NFL?

Yes, according to AdvancedNFLstats.com. I determined this by looking at Win Probability Added (WPA) and Expected Points Added (EPA). For Reference from AdvancedNFLstats.com: Win...

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46

Nick's Early Offseason Projections and Mock Draft

Here we go: Compensatory picks at the end of the 3rd and end of the 7th. Losses/(*)non-guaranteed contract for training camp: Smith, Alex Goodwin, Jonathan Sopoaga, Isaac Akers,...

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11

Week 13 DVOA Roundup

New DVOA numbers are out from Footballoutsiders.com - I wanted to give a run-down to generate dicussion. Lessons: 1. The loss of hunter is more damaging than many realize. We need to...

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9

Third Down Passing, by the numbers

Third Down Passing, by the numbers This isn't really a contest on third down. Both faced an average of 3rd an 8 when they got a touch (non-handoff): - Alex Smith had a 32.8% conversion % - C...

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444

Case Closed - Kaepernick had a QBR of 82.4 yesterday

As I've been trying to tell everyone, Kaepernick had a very, very good game yesterday and Harbaugh is 100% correct to keep him starting for next week. According to ESPN, Colin Kaepernick had a QBR...

FanPost
5

Anyone care to discuss that the running game produced 2.3 yards per carry today (excl. QB runs)?

Anyone care to discuss that the running game produced 2.3 yards per carry today (excl. QB runs)?Frank gore and Brandon Jacobs combined for 64 yards on 27 carries. That is abysmal. That is awful....

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21

Quantifying the Explosive Play

Quantifying the Explosive Play We've heard a lot of analysts talk about 'the explosive play', and why its so important to the NFL these days, and how Colin Kaepernick has far more of them...

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15

Would it be crazy to trade Novarro Bowman?

I know it may sound crazy, but I think that trading Novarro Bowman after the season would be a wise move for Baalke. I say this for two reasons: 1. Bowman will demand all-pro ILB money,...

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17

Dink and Dunk? Ridiculous

Mike Freeman of CBSSports made the un-backed assertion that Alex Smith is a dink-and-dunk quarterback, wearing his captain checkdown cape on Monday night. Had he actually looked at the data, he...

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5

Alex Smith does *better* against better defenses.

I'd like to post Alex Smith's performance against defenses vs. what those defense allowed against all the other teams they played. Data displayed as % above what defense allowed vs. everyone...

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11

Week 7 DVOA Ratings: 49ers back at #1 (but we're inconsistent)

Yeah, that's not a Typo. According to footballoutsiders.com, the San Francisco 49ers are #1 in overall team efficiency (35%) again after dropping 3 spots last week. 5th on offense, 4th on defense,...

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44

How good does your QB have to be to win a super bowl w/ a great defense and running game?

How good does your QB have to be to win a super bowl w/ a great defense and running game? Not that great, apparently. From 1992 - 1995, Troy Aikman had an average (between games)...

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19

* Our Offensive Line is Not Responsible for Alex Smith's High Sack Rate

Footballoutsiders.com did an analysis or 'short sacks' vs 'long sacks'. 'short sacks' are those that occur in under 2.4 seconds, while long sacks are those that are 3+ seconds. Based on the data,...

FanPost
19

Who is More Consistent: Frank Gore or Kendall Hunter?

Who is More Consistent: Frank Gore or Kendall Hunter? Based on popular perceptions, more observers would say that Frank Gore is a more 'consistent' running back. 'Consistent' here is defined as...

FanPost
6

Is it time to reduce Frank Gore's Carries?

Frank Gore is getting 16.5 carries per game and gaining 4.9 yards per carry, with an additional 2.25 passing targets per game, 4.33 yards per target. This is out of a total of about 24 RB carries...

FanPost
6

All is well in DVOALand (except for pass-blocking, apparently)

Well, Footballoutsiders.com is now eating crow, citing the 49ers' 'unexpected lack of decline'. We basically need to improve pass-blocking, that's it. Through 4 weeks, we are now 2nd in total...

FanPost
11

FootballOutsiders: Dewey Defeats DVOA! (Vikings Didn't really outplay 49ers)

Acording to FootballOutsiders.com, the 49ers had a better VOA score than the Vikings on Friday, yet lost...the third "Dewey Defeats DVOA" this year. The Vikings won because they were able to make...

FanPost
65

Calm Down People - We lost on 3rd Down, and its unlikely to happen again

OK - I got fired up to write this after reading a PFT article stating that the 49ers struggle against teams that run well -- we don't...the Vikings RBs got a measly 3.3 yards per carry (league avg....

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14

Nick's Picks, Week 2

Picks for the week, setting aside whether teams cover or not. Bears win tonight to start things off - matchup nightmare for the Packers. Most uncertain pick I made: Carolina over New Orleans. -...

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31

#ModelFail - FootallOutsiders is going to discredit themselves

According to Football Outsiders.com, we're the 12th best team. not because of on the field performance, but because of a proprietary formula where they weight prior season(s) performance for future...

FanPost
64

Final NFL Season Predictions

I went through all 267 games this year (11 playoff) and picked a winner -- the google docs link at the bottom has all the results...you're free to use my template to make your own. Based on how...

FanPost
28

Is it me, or does AJ Jenkins getting better by the series?

His improvement is rapid - its crazy. He looks like a first round pick. After the jump I've posted every play Jenkins was targeted on and the result of the play. “I guess besides me actually being...

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7

It looks Like Boobie Dixon is going to make the cut

Based on all the comments I've read coming out of camp, it looks like Boobie Dixon is going to be a 49er in 2012: "I think we can look to 'Dix' to have his most productive season as a Niner. He's...

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