SB Nation User Blog: nkkc

Interesting, from Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus, via SI.com

nkkc — Wed, 31 Oct 2007 20:01:54 -0000

Needs: 1. two or more high-quality starting pitchers; 2. 1B; 3. SS

What They Should Do: Strong Sell. I don't think there's quite enough long-term talent here to make the Royals a legitimate contender in 2009 through 2011. Alex Gordon and Luke Hochevar had disappointing seasons, and a team centered around those two plus Mark Teahen, Billy Butler, Brian Bannister, David DeJesus, Gil Meche, and Joakim Soria is probably going to peak at about 78 wins. So what do you do? You flip Meche, whose contract will now look like an asset to at least 15 or 20 teams, to the losers in the Johan Santana derby (although Meche does have a no-trade clause, unfortunately). You trade Bannister, who isn't all that young and whose low ERA was a DIPS-induced fluke. And you see what you can get for Grudzielanek in a middle infield market that should be fairly fluid this winter.

What They Will Do: Hold. Teams that exceed expectations like the Royals just did tend to be holders, whereas teams that fail to meet expectations are usually either buyers or sellers. I suspect that Dayton Moore fails to see the opportunity he has on his hands with Meche and Bannister.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/baseball/mlb/10/29/bp.alcentral/1.html

While I don't agree with his "What the should do" entry, it's a point of view I haven't seen before. That said, the part that I hate about this sort of thing is this: who are we supposed to get that will improve the team if we trade Meche and Bannister? If the answer is a bunch of prospects, when does he plan on having the Royals actually get better. Shouldn't we try to move other pieces (Teahan, DeJesus, anyone else) and get some more starting pitching rather then trade away the best two pitchers we've had in some time? It's awfully easy to say we should trade these guys to improve, but who are we going to get in return is a little more difficult, and something that many journalists don't seem to want to get into.

I also don't know why he says the team exceeded expectations. The pitched better, batted worse, and overall ended with 90 losses. Is that really exceeding expectations? Most people I talked to believed that they would finish anywhere from 90-99 losses. Done. Expectations: Met.

Future Royals Manager?

nkkc — Thu, 13 Sep 2007 18:24:14 -0000

From Jon Heyman of si.com:

Word going around is that Buck Martinez will probably be considered as a replacement for retiring Royals manager Buddy Bell. Martinez, the former Blue Jays and WBC manager and a longtime Royal, may be interested in a return home, though he's thriving as co-host with Mark Patrick on XM's Baseball This Morning.

Anybody think this would be a good fit. It's the first I've heard of Martinez in quite some time. I don't think I've heard him mentioned for a managing job at all since he left the Blue Jays. And I don't particularly remember how he did with the Blue Jays. All I know is that I used to like listening to him call games for ESPN. Time to do some research.

Press Conference

nkkc — Wed, 01 Aug 2007 20:09:11 -0000

At 4:30 today, there will be a press conference at the Metrodome, and for whatever it is worth, Frank Boal believes that he is going to announce that he is going to step down at the end of the year, in a mutual agreement between Bell and Moore. If that's true, obviously the biggest hire of GMDM short tenure is going to come this winter. Will be interesting to see which way he goes.

Here's wishing Bell the best of luck and health in the future if this is indeed what is going to occur.

Dodger offer

nkkc — Thu, 26 Jul 2007 20:05:51 -0000

According to 810 radio, the Dodgers have offered Hu for Dotel. They credited someone else w/ the info, but I missed who that was. Also don't know if it's 1 for 1 or if others are involved. If it is Hu for Dotel straight up, will Moore make the deal? I don't know much about Hu, other then what I have read from a couple of people here, and that was basically in comparison to other Dodger prospects. So enlighten me, fellow Royals fans: Is this good, bad, not enough, etc., etc.