SB Nation User Blog: oldjacket

Small Sample-Size awesomeness from Romo

oldjacket — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 16:27:19 -0000

Small Sample-Size awesomeness from Romo

Thanks to his 16 K/9 IP and stellar control, Sergio Romo currently has a negative FIP.

The only possible interpretation is that Sergio Romo takes away runs already scored and turns them into outs.

Um, Tim Lincecum

oldjacket — Sun, 07 Jun 2009 17:14:03 -0000

Um, Tim Lincecum

Fangraphs draft review for your San Fracisco Giants.

Dave Roberts to retire?

oldjacket — Mon, 23 Mar 2009 14:52:49 -0000

Dave Roberts to retire?

Contract be damned, Dave Roberts is still at the top of my list of Giants I would like to have a beer with.

Ex-Giant Report

oldjacket — Tue, 17 Mar 2009 13:55:47 -0000

Julian Tavarez thinks that the Nationals are a 600 lb woman at 4 a.m.. Given his looks and pitching abilities, I would say that the Nationals probably also required a few shots of tequila to brace themselves for "The Julian Experience".

Jason Schmidt is not going to be the fifth starter for the Dogs. That should surprise no one. But the guys that he lost the fifth starter job to should make you feel sorry for him: Eric Stultz, Eric Milton, Eric Roberts (okay, not really), Claudio Vargas and Shawn Freakin' Estes are all still in the running for the job. That list reads like like the Jeopardy answer to the question: "Who are four pitchers worse than Barry Zito?"

Community Projection Project for BtBS

oldjacket — Sun, 18 Jan 2009 07:12:26 -0000

I've volunteered to help in a systematic projection of the Giants for Beyond the Boxscore. and I need your help. There are two things we're looking to project: performance and playing time. I've used the CHONES and my own brain to offer you a starting point on the hitters, and then I flat out stole Xanthan's pitching projections for a starting point on those.

Now I need you to rip them apart. Especially the playing time projections, as the estimates of knowledgeable fans are likely to be way better than some dumb ol' algorithm. I will revisit this at least one more time before the season to adjust the estimates based on injuries and (God help us) Spring Training performance.

If you disagree with these projections even a little bit, here's what to do:

1) If it's related to fielding, baserunning, hitting or pitching feel free to comment below.

2) If it's just about hitting, you can go to this application that I stole from The Other Fifteen and make your own projection which I will use to create a mean community projection for each hitter.

General Guidelines-

for playing time I used a hard cap of 695 at bats for each position. It's fine to go over or under that number, but the end result should be in the neighborhood 695 at bats per position.
Not too many players add more than 1 win with baserunning over the season. Not too many cost their team more than a half.
-2 wins to +2 wins is a reasonable range for defense.
For relievers, leverage is a measure of how crucial a game situation is. A closer will generally end up with the highest leverage score in the bullpen, followed by the set-up guys.

Here are the initial projections:

Hitters

Pitchers

Finally here's the link to worksheet that this is all based off of.

Thanks for your help.

BoTB on Verducci Effect candidates for 2009

oldjacket — Mon, 05 Jan 2009 17:16:20 -0000

BoTB on Verducci Effect candidates for 2009

BotB lists out a few Verducci Effect candidates for 2009, Timmy amongst them.

RE: WE NEED A BATZ!

oldjacket — Sun, 28 Dec 2008 20:17:13 -0000

Everybody knows that the offense this year will probably not be that good. We don't really have that much pitching depth. We shouldn't trade Jonathan Sanchez without someone good to replace him in the rotation. Noah Lowry may never pitch again. Other general managers are not willing to unload star players onto us for the hell of it. Defense matters too. Randy Winn is good at baseball.

Is there anything I didn't cover?

Giant Fans Send their Support . . .

oldjacket — Thu, 09 Oct 2008 20:54:29 -0000

Giant Fans Send their Support . . .

to all non-Victorino Phillies.

Send the bums home crying!

Brilliant suggestion for Sandoval nickname

oldjacket — Sun, 24 Aug 2008 04:32:02 -0000

Brilliant suggestion for Sandoval nickname

We're really lucky to have Baggs as a beat writer, no?

Bill Plaschke Eats

oldjacket — Fri, 08 Aug 2008 23:53:24 -0000

Bill Plaschke Eats

"I guess I like penis."