
pjdonald
Sep 22, 2009 Feb 01, 2012 4 23
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Rotation the rest of the way
For the rest of the season, it seems like a few juggles are in order. We know the following:
at Pit: Lowe
StL: Jurrjens, Minor, Hanson, Hudson
After that it could get interesting. I think there are a few things to consider.
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The Decade of Excellence
After the game on Sunday, I heard PM talking about "all the guys who are no longer here" who were part of the decade of excellence. It got me all nostalgic, so I compiled a list of all the players who've played for the Colts since 1/1/2000.
Obviously, Peyton is at the top of the list with now 115 wins in that span. Before I put the data together, I made a guess at who #2-10 would be. I did reasonably well, but I missed a few.
Have a little fun and make your own guesses before you scroll down and see who they are.
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The Rating Classes, Week 8
It wasn't a great week for my rating classes, with higher class teams only going 6-3. Granted the Titans' and Ravens' wins weren't all that shocking, though perhaps their margins of victory were.
I'm pulling 2 teams up out of the mire to Class 3: Carolina confidently and Tennessee somewhat skeptically.
Elite (6): Colts, Patriots, Steelers, Broncos, Saints, Vikings
Contenders (9): Giants, Packers, Cowboys, Bengals, Ravens, Falcons, Eagles, Cardinals, Chargers
The Fringe (10): Jets, Bears, Texans, Jaguars, Bills, Dolphins, Seahawks, 49ers, Panthers, Titans
The Awful (7): Redskins, Browns, Rams, Raiders, Buccaneers, Chiefs, Lions
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A different approach to power Rankings
While I enjoy keeping up with the myriad of Power Rankings out there as much as the next guy, I also realize they're somewhat silly and irrelevant.
What I thought might have more meaning relevance is to make categories of teams. Just off the top of my head, I put the teams into the following 4 tiers:
Elite (6): Colts, Patriots, Steelers, Broncos, Saints, Vikings
Contenders (9): Giants, Packers, Cowboys, Bengals, Ravens, Falcons, Eagles, Cardinals, Chargers
The Fringe (8): Jets, Bears, Texans, Jags, Bills, Dolphins, Seahawks, 49ers
The Awful (9): Titans, Panthers, Redskins, Browns, Rams, Raiders, Bucs, Chiefs, Lions
Obviously that doesn't settle all the quibbling - I'm sure you might want to move a team like the Eagles, Chargers, 49ers, Steelers, etc, etc - but I do think this approach is useful, particularly this year, when the spread between teams seems to be growing.
What I then did was to look at the game results thus far this year. Now obviously this is a little bit of a chicken and the egg problem, since a large input to my putting teams into tiers was those very results, but the results were nonetheless striking.
Tier 1 vs Tier 4: 13-0
Tier 1 vs Tier 3: 8-2 (Bears over Steelers, Jets over Patriots)
Tier 2 vs Tier 4: 20-1 (Raiders over Eagles)
Tier 1 vs Tier 2: 11-1 (Bengals over Steelers)
Tier 2 vs Tier 3: 9-2 (49ers over Cardinals, Texans over Bengals)
Tier 3 vs Tier 4: 11-1 (Browns over Bills)
(1 vs 1 = 2 games, 2 vs 2 = 6 games, 3 vs 3 = 9 games, 4 vs 4 = 7 games)
So in 79 games involving teams on different tiers, there have only been 7 upsets!
Full stats after the jump.
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