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shuppatsu

Oct 22, 2008 Dec 21, 2009 2 56

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2009 Trailblazers: Easiest schedule in the NBA

I generate the numbers I use for Strength of Schedule off of my own spreadsheet. They are just slightly different than Hollinger's. I calculate the SoS for a given team my looking at the winning percentage of the opponents when they DON'T play that given team. I don't know if Hollinger does that, but it might explain the slight discrepancy. Anyway, by my numbers, Portland has had the toughest SoS in the Western Conference (fifth overall, as the Eastern Conference is stronger overall this year--fewer outright dogs). More importantly for us hoping for the Blazers continued success, we have the easiest remaining SoS for the 2009 year.

 

Team W L % SoS Sos so far Remaining SoS
Portland 20 12 .625 .496 .535 .472
Phoenix 18 12 .600 .493 .524 .476
Chicago 14 18 .438 .507 .555 .477
Denver 21 12 .636 .497 .519 .482
Sacramento 8 24 .250 .501 .526 .485
Indiana 10 21 .323 .516 .559 .491
Washington 6 24 .200 .512 .548 .491
L.A. Lakers 25 5 .833 .494 .493 .494
Toronto 12 20 .375 .510 .536 .494
Golden State 10 24 .294 .496 .497 .495
Minnesota 6 25 .194 .499 .507 .495
New Orleans 19 9 .679 .498 .504 .495
Milwaukee 15 18 .455 .510 .533 .495
Oklahoma City 4 29 .121 .496 .496 .496
Charlotte 11 21 .344 .502 .508 .498
San Antonio 20 11 .645 .490 .470 .502
Utah 19 14 .576 .492 .473 .504
Dallas 19 12 .613 .495 .477 .506
Houston 21 12 .636 .499 .484 .509
L.A. Clippers 8 23 .258 .502 .489 .509
New York 12 18 .400 .510 .507 .512
Philadelphia 13 18 .419 .502 .485 .512
Atlanta 21 9 .700 .507 .496 .513
Memphis 10 22 .313 .503 .482 .516
Cleveland 26 5 .839 .504 .479 .519
Detroit 19 11 .633 .503 .470 .522
Boston 28 5 .848 .514 .495 .527
New Jersey 15 17 .469 .504 .462 .530
Orlando 25 7 .781 .499 .449 .530
Miami 17 13 .567 .513 .466 .539

39 comments  |  7 recs

Some SoS numbers.

I had a little fun with Excel today, and calculated the Strength of Schedule for the three Northwest contenders, based on current records and subtracting out the games played by that team. The numbers echo what Dave and others have been saying. One thing to note is, that in terms of difficulty of opponents, the Nuggets season closely mirrors our own. One big caveat is that I did not factor in the effect of home vs. away, and the effect of back-to-back games.

SoS for the season--

Portland: .491

Utah: .484

Denver: .491

SoS so far--

Portland: .532

Utah: .412

Denver: .516

Yeah, I know these numbers are different from what Hollinger gives. I don't know his methodology. But my numbers do match up with the numbers at playoffstatus.com.

SoS for the remainder--

Portland: .479

Utah: .504

Denver: .484

SoS for December--

Portland: .547

Utah: .535

Denver: .524

SoS after December--

Portland: .460

Utah: .495

Denver: .472

5 comments  |  0 recs