
tedfordfan
Mar 14, 2008 May 29, 2012 27 1810
Cal grad & Giants fan, living outside DC. The Nats are kinda growing on me, like my friend's goofy but nice younger brother.
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Tommy Joseph, Ehire Adrianza make BA's Hot Sheet
Plus some Joe Panik love in the chat.
No. 4 TOMMY JOSEPH, C
GIANTS
Team: high Class A San Jose (California)
Age: 20Why He's Here: .483/.500/1.207 (14-for-29), 6 HR, 3 2B, 12 RBIs, 10 R, 1 BB, 5 SO
The Scoop: Joseph occasionally played first base early in the season, but he's played catcher exclusively since June 25, while also getting in the lineup as DH here and there. The 2009 second-round pick has been up to the task, batting .319/.354/.670 with 16 homers and 16 doubles in 46 games since the last time he took the field anywhere but catcher. Joseph's recent performance, which encompasses road trips through Lancaster and Lake Elsinore, is even more impressive if you backdate his performance one day to include his 2-for-4 game with a homer and four RBIs on Aug. 11. That means that Joseph has batted 16-for-33 (.485) with seven homers (including two-homer games in Lancaster on Aug. 12-13), three doubles and 16 RBIs in his past seven games. He raised his batting average 17 points in little more than a week.
No. 9 EHIRE ADRIANZA, SS
GIANTS
Team: high Class A San Jose (California)
Age: 21Why He's Here: .357.419/.714 (10-for-28), 2 HR, 4 2B, 7 RBIs, 7 R, 2 BB, 5 SO
The Scoop: Adrianza hit .256 with a bit of plate discipline (.333 on-base) and little power (.348 slugging) for San Jose a year ago. The slick-fielding shortstop didn't get a chance to build on his Cal League performance until the tail end of June this season, however, because he missed the first month with a hand injury and then rounded into form with a pedestrian .692 OPS for low Class A Augusta. Adrianza has enjoyed a fine second half for San Jose, whether by dint of real improvement or a fluky small sample. He's batting .294/.376/.460 with 21 extra-base hits in 41 games since his promotion to the Cal League, swatting both of his home runs in Lancaster last week.
Chat quote on Panik:
mick (cali): Did Panik receive any consideration? He has actually had a number of good weeks and is at or near the top in many offensive categories in the NWL. Not bad for a pick that was widely panned, don't you think?
Ben Badler: Love Joe Panik, loved the pick at the time, like it even more now. Great swing, great plate discipline and you've got yourself a middle infielder who's going to get on base a ton and hit with a little bit of power as well. I'm a fan.
Unequivocal proof that the Pirates can win the WS by 2013
Just look at that lineup. Just look at it with awe, wonder, trembling and fear. Then throw up in your mouth a little or laugh uncontrollably. Either reaction is appropriate.
Go Buckos!
Baseball America's SF Giants Top-10 Prospects
1. Brandon Belt, 1b
2. Zack Wheeler, rhp
3. Gary Brown, of
4. Francisco Peguero, of
5. Ehire Adrianza, ss
6. Brandon Crawford, ss
7. Thomas Neal, of
8. Charlie Culberson, 2b
9. Eric Surkamp, lhp
10. Tommy Joseph, c/1b
Where's Dan Runzler?
over 1 year ago
tedfordfan
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Where's Waldis?
Apparently, Chicago.
"The White Sox claimed releiver Waldis Joaquin off of waivers from the Giants, according to Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune. The 23-year-old made the Giants' Opening Day roster, but allowed six earned runs and seven walks in 4 2/3 innings, so he was demoted to the minors. He posted a 4.43 ERA with 8.9 K/9 and 5.5 BB/9 in 40 2/3 innings split between Rookie ball and Triple-A."
Jarrett Parker to sign next week?
Andy Seiler over at MLB Bonus Baby is predicting that several smaller over-slot deals will start being made public next week. He predicts, among others, that Jarrett Parker will sign a contract with the Giants.
Wagner Mateo to the Snakes
Hopefully the $3M we wanted to give him and the $1.5M we wanted to give Duanel Jones puts us in the running for overslot signings in June and premier Latin American talent this summer.
"I was, 'No, I'll play. There are people here,' " DeRosa said. "The next time the manager gives you an opportunity to take a breather, take the goddamn breather."
If Mark DeRosa says this to Rowand and Renterria with a few more explatives, he might become one of my favorite Giants.
John Barr - best Scouting Director in the biz
From Andy Seiler's blog, MLB Bonus Baby:
"Since I’m without baseball once again today, here’s a fun look at where I rank the scouting departments, taking into consideration the fact that a few scouting directors haven’t even had a draft yet. These rankings are based on the entire drafting process, including the resources and effective use of resources of each department. Departments don’t have to be given a large amount of resources, but effectively using what you’re given should be priority number one.
Here are the rankings with their scouting director listed and small writeups on each:
1. San Francisco Giants, John Barr: I couldn’t be more impressed with what Barr and company have done in their two years in office. They’ve been given their fair share of money to spend, but they put on a show with the 15th-largest budget in the 2009 draft, getting four players that were considered first round talents at one point or another. It was an easy decision to put them at the top."
Sigh... Oh, Hector, Hector, Hector
"Tim Lincecum was scheduled to work with catcher Buster Posey. Instead, Lincecum got his work by throwing four simulated innings to catching prospect Hector Sanchez in an indoor cage. Coaches stood in the batter's box. Sanchez let out a laugh when Bochy bailed on a Lincecum curve."
So much for you ever getting called up for the Giants while TBH is managing...
Baggs
"In terms of intelligent conversation, though, right-hander and Boston College alum Joe Martinez ranks right up there with the brightest ballplayers I’ve encountered. He dropped some standard deviation on me during a chat about statistics yesterday."
He was always Jponry's favorite because of the BC connection, but he may have just become Xanthan's. Standard Deviations!!!
Giants 2010 defense
This article from the Chron today got me thinking about the overall team defense of the Giants heading in to 2010. Not that the article is particularly well written or thought provoking, but it did ask the question.
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Whither Dr. B?
In case anyone was wondering what ever happened to Dr. B after he threw himself down the stairs because the Giants drafted Madison Bumgarner in 2007, well, he is alive an well.
And blogging, apparently. Always has good takes on prospects and follows the farm very closely.
Fangraphs on Bay
Turns out, over the course of the last 3 years, he hasn't been the worst defender in all of baseball. There have been 4 worse.
I used to kind of like Scott...
"This season is a perfect example of how pitching and defense win baseball games," center fielder Aaron Rowand said. "Our offense obviously is not the greatest, but it's not terrible, either."
Wow. Just... wow.
Discuss.
More evidence of Grant's expanding influence
Quoted by Broshius. Wow. Just wow. How about some of those quotes that didn't make it into the article?
Opinions on Bumgarner
Has Bumgarner's status fallen this year a bit?
Eastern League All Stars
Pill and Bond make it at 1B and 2B respectively. Bumgarner gets ignored. NO STRIKEOUT STUFF!!!! Hopefully this provides some of that "you-dissed-me" motivation that athletes find so... well... motivating... and MadBum comes back to post a K% of over 30% in the PCL next year.
Giants Organizational Philosophy
This is pretty much speculation based on some selective quotes (which I don't have the inclination to look up right now) and my own ruminations- so take this for what it's worth. It's prompted by the recent Shawon Dunston quote in the SI article about Kung Fu Panda.
On Trading Alderson
It seems that many people around here want to trade Alderson. And there are a ton of legitimate reasons for wanting to do so (including injury risk, which is always a concern). But among them is not the idea that he's a back of the rotation starter at best (AT BEST I TELL YOU!).
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Giants' Fan - Trade Inquiry
Given the fact that the Giants have lots of quality pitching and no hitting; and the Nats have quality hitting but no pitching, they are logical trade partners. I know the value of the Giant's arms, but want to know more about what Nats fans think about their bats. Specifically, I want to know the value of two: 1) Nick Johnson and 2) Ryan Zimmerman.
Why is everyone surprised?
The vitriol over Brian Wilson is, to me, quite honestly, shocking.
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Deeper Prospectin'
Though I appreciate the optimism surrounding our hitting prospects (I did, after all, author the fanpost trying to cheer everyone up a few weeks back), I wonder if it is sustainable. Thus, I decided to look a bit deeper at the stats. Yes, yes - I know - small sample size. But I thought I'd take a look and see if there was anything interesting.
Now I am, by no means, a super-stat guy. For that, go to Chris (aka, Xanthan - or 00110101110111000101010101001 among friends). But I do know a little bit and thought I'd share what I found out. I got the stats from www.firstinning.com. If you know that these stats are unreliable or know of a better site for getting these stats, please let me know.
Would someone please give guidelines for what is average in each of these stats? Here is what I general look for (although you have to look at all the stats in conjunction with one another):
K% > 20% is bad.
BB% > 10% is good.
LD% > 20% is good.
BABIP = .12 + LD% (roughly)
ISO > .200 is good.
Here are the stats:
Name (BB% K% ISO BABIP LD%)
Angel Villalona (2.3% / 14% / .244 / .438 / 18%)
Nick Noonan (9.6% / 28.8% / .209 / .500 / 17%)
Buster Posey (17.9% / 16.1% / .283 / .441 / 20%)
Conor Gillaspie (20% / 16.4% / .091 / .353 / 14%)
Roger Kieschnick (6.1% / 24.5% / .066 / .344 / 24%)
Brandon Crawford (9.8% / 23.5% / .279 / .464 / 7%)
Thomas Neal (9.1% / 36.4% / .108 / .450 / 24%)
Ehire Adrianza (8.6% / 14.3% / .096 / .200 / 8%)
Wendell Fairley (14.8% / 33.3% / .087 / .143 / n/a)
Jackson Williams (20% / 23.3% / .083 / .412 / 19%)
John Bowker (17.4% / 15.2% / .079 / .355 / 24%)
What jumped out at me:
- Pretty much all of the above hitters have been lucky with balls put into play. The only exceptions are Kieschnick, Adrianza, (probably) Fairley, and Bowker.
- Kieschnick is hitting the ball hard. He has contact issues (high K%) but is drawing a few walks (although I expected more). I think the power will come. I'm surprised, because I wasn't very high on him.
- I was high on Thomas Neal, but he's been luck with balls in play (although he has at least hit the ball hard when he makes contact), is striking out a ton, not hitting for power, but drawing a few walks. Pick it up, Tommy.
- Bowker is in the same boat as Kieschnick, but is drawing a lot more walks and striking out way less than he has in the past. Long live Bowkermania!
- Brandon Crawford is getting absurdly lucky on balls put into play. He's not making solid contact and is striking out a bit too much - although his walk rate is decent. Noonan and Villalona are also getting luck in balls put into play, although they are at least making pretty consistently good contact. On the plus side, all of them are showing excellent power, and Noonan is drawing way more walks than he has in the past (although his is striking out a lot more as well)
- Buster Posey is awesome, but a tad lucky.
- If Jackson Williams keeps it up, he'll be a very good backup catcher to Posey for the next decade.
Fight the Pessimism
I'm not the most optimistic guy in the world, and when it comes to the Giants, I habitually see the worst. But after yesterday's collective freak out of epic proportions regarding the 25 man roster, I was genuinely surprised at the general attitude.
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Giants release Dave Roberts
From Baggs. Surprising that it came this early.
Most talented affiliate
I was wondering what teams will have clusters of minor league talent this year.
As a Giants fan, I'm extremely excited to see how the collection of prospect in San Jose in the Cal League perform in April/May. It seems that the Giants brass doesn't like sending top prospects to AA Connecticut in the Eastern League due to the cold weather. Thus, word is that the following prospects will start off in single A San Jose:
C Buster Posey
1B Angel Villalona
2B Nick Noonan
3B Conor Gillaspie
OF Roger Kieschnick
OF Thomas Neal
SP Madison Bumgarner
SP Tim Alderson
Probably short stays for Posey, Bumgarner and Alderson, and possibly for Noonan and Gilaspie if they start off well.
There are another bunch of interesting prospects that could be assigned there as well, including:
SP/RP Henry Sosa
SP/RP Waldis Juaquin
SP Scott Barnes
SS Brandon Crawford
If you're anywhere near a Cal League affiliate, get out to see San Jose when they come to town early in the season. By June, I have a feeling Connecticut will be a hot ticket.
Fans of other teams - which affiliate has the most talent in a single place? Which teams will be most interesting to follow, especially early in the season?
Who's the #1 prospect?
Buster Posey or Angel Villalona?
Buster Posey
Pro: He's extremely athletic, and profiles as a GG defender at a premium defensive position. He was ranked as one of the top 5 overall hitters in college this year. He profiles as perhaps a bit better than Jason Kendall in his prime. Has good plate discipline and some pop. Upside is perennial all star.
Con: His bat, while above league average, isn't going to be a cornerstone bat for a championship lineup - more of a #5 or 6 hitter than a #3 or 4. Although athletic, is raw defensively at the most demanding defensive position - has to learn how to call games and handle pitching staffs.
Angel Villalona
Pro: Bat is described as "special". Terms like "ungodly" and "immense" used to describe his power. Is putting up fairly good numbers (especially power numbers) as the youngest player in the Sally League playing against people an average of 4-5 years older than him. A true clean-up hitter. Signed w/ the Giants for $2.1M, but other teams offered more than that. Athletic for such a big kid. Profiles as Andres Galaraga in his prime. Upside is multiple all-star appearances.
Con: Limited defensively, probably to 1B and will never be a superior defender. Unknown (simply due to his age and lack of experience) if he will develop sufficient plate discipline or cut down on his K numbers sufficiently to post high averages.
Would love to get your thoughts on who should be ranked #1. Feel free to add to and/or disagree with any of the pro/con assessments above. Fire away...
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Paradox
As the Gigantes and their pitching staff leading the league in walks gets ready to face Pedro Feliz and his swing at anything style, we're left to wonder...what will happen when a Giants pitcher faces Pete Happy? Which is the greater force at work here?
To get more specific, what will happen when Zito pitches to Feliz? Will the world explode? A portal to hell open up in Philadelphia? Demons fly back into hell as fans throw batteries and beer bottles at them?
Any theories you all might have would be greatly appreciated.
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