
timlacy
Mar 17, 2008 Feb 15, 2012 90 2870
I'm basically optimistic as a fan. I don't enjoy the statistical analysis of sports. I prefer qualitative assessments, but also don't pretend (a) that my critiques cover the full range of possibilities or (b) to know every factor behind management's moves. That said, I love the Royals, the Cubs, the Chiefs, the Bears, and Mizzou sports. - TL
RSSUser Blog
George Brett, Logan Morrison, and the Marlins: RR-Related News
From Al Yellon at Bleed Cubbie Blue (go to BCB for links that verify what follows):
"What was supposed to be a nice story about Logan Morrison honoring his father has turned into a big of PR black eye for the Miami Marlins. The outfielder, who sports number 20, requested that he be permitted to wear number 5 in honor of his deceased father (who was a big George Brett fan). The number had previously been retired by the Marlins, as a way of memorializing the team's first president, Carl Barger, who served in that post from July 8, 1991 until his death in December of the following year. The Marlins apparently thought Barger's family was on board with the number un-retirement, but the family says no one ever contacted them about the change. Inadvertently failing to cross all of your T's and dot all of your I's rarely looks quite that ugly. (The Marlins finally reached out yesterday.)"
Well, At Least David Schoenfield Likes Us
There is some interesting intra-division comparative stuff (position-by-position, player-by-player) in this ESPN analysis by David Schoenfield. I'll tease you with Schoenfield's conclusion (in two parts, bolds mine):
Intangibles
1. Royals
2. Indians
3. Tigers
4. White Sox
5. Twins
I like the youthful exuberance of the Royals, plus the likelihood of improvement from the young players and the possibility of some midseason reinforcements from the minors. The depth of the bullpen will help bolster a shaky rotation and this just feels like an organization finally starting to believe in itself. The Indians are riding last year's positive results and enter the season knowing they might get better production from Choo and Sizemore and full seasons from Kipnis and Chisenhall. I'm not knocking the Tigers here, but they do lack depth in the pitching staff and the pressure is on them.
The final tally
1. Tigers, 65 points
2. Royals, 55 points
3. Indians, 54 points
4. White Sox, 46 points
5. Twins, 35 points
No surprise here: The Tigers will be heavy favorites to win the division with a lineup that should score a ton of runs. I don't think it's a lock that they'll win -- Verlander, Avila, Peralta and Valverde will all be hard-pressed to repeat their 2011 campaigns, for example. But the Royals and Indians appear to have too many questions in the rotations, the White Sox have serious lineup issues and the Twins have a beautiful ballpark to play their games in.
I both like Schoenfield's optimism and appreciate his cautions. It does indeed feel like a year where we're about to turn the corner. Will it be this year or next? - TL
Off-topic: "It's the team's at bat."
This is why Boston and NY have been winners, and why the Cubs will be (I believe--eventually). It's also why the Royals won't be---unless there's a change going on behind the scenes that has been unapparent to all of us here at RR. Ironically, I have more confidence in Seitzer's ability to do this with willing young talent than Jaramillo in Chicago. - TL
Least Talented Teams of All Time: How did KC avoid populating this entire list?
Excepting maybe 3-4 years, just about every Royals team from 1994 to the present could be on this list. - TL
Cubs Sign DeJesus
The new stat-friendly team in Chicago decided that DeJesus is their best option in right field. I'm impressed. They clearly think he's a good bet to rebound from last year's less than impressive numbers. - TL
PS: I put up my post, obviously, before seeing the one just below (I looked, but apparently too fast). Nevertheless, my link is to the SBNation BleedCubbieBlue page where there’s lots of partisan discussion and "analysis."
Former Royals News: Jamie Quirk to be Chicago Cubs Bench Coach
Quirk, who spent 11 seasons with KC as a part-time catcher, will be Dale Sveum's bench coach.
I always liked Quirk. He's one of only two players in MLB history with the Quirk-y surname.
Quirk's best season with KC was probably 1988. Here's his stat line for that year:
84 games, 196 ABs, 22 Rs, 47 hits, 80 TB, 7 2Bs, 1 triple, 8 HRs, 25 RBIs, 28 BBs, 2 IBBs (even Quirk could get the occasional intentional), 41 SOs, 1 SB, 5 CS, .240 BA, .333 OBP, .408 SLG, .741 OPS.
I think Quirk may have earned three WS rings---one with KC and two others Oakland. Amazing. - TL
Lubanski the Bargain?
This blog follows the Cubs and suggests Chris Lubanski as the #5 potential minor league deal that represents a market inefficiency.
Agree? I dunno. - TL
Brewers History
There are some interesting reflections on Ted Simmons at the bottom of this interview with Bob McClure. - TL
Royals Trade Cabrera to Giants for Two LHPs
Why does this matter? Lorenzo Cain is finally going to play CF for the Royals. - TL
Confirmed: Dave Eiland Is Our New Pitching Coach
From the article (posted at 11:09 last night):
"I want all of my starters to still be on the mound when they play, ‘Take Me Out to the Ballgame’ for the seventh-inning stretch," Eiland said. "You do watch pitch counts, but we’re going to be of the mind-set that we’re pitching into the seventh and beyond."
...Does this mean we're going all Nolan Ryan/TX Rangers in our pitching philosophy?
"It just felt right," he said. "The conversations we had, we were on the same page with a lot of things. This is a team that’s going to make some noise as we move forward in the next year or two."
...It's nice to have someone around who's excited about our team's future. Whatever that means.
"He answered all the criteria that I was looking for," manager Ned Yost said. "He has a great knowledge of pitching mechanics. He’s very well-prepared in terms of formulating game plans."
Specifically, Yost wanted a pitching coach who had spent extended time in the majors with mediocre stuff — believing such experience sharpened a candidate’s attention to mechanics, preparation and detail.
This is fine---to a point. What does it say about his ability to communicate and inspire? In other words, how exactly does this make him a good coach. Sure, the ability to empathize is implied---as well as perhaps the ability to communicate with mediocre pitchers. But what about communicating with pitchers who have good stuff?
Eiland spent five years as a minor-league pitching coach in the Yankees’ organization before becoming their big-league pitching coach. That followed a 10-year playing career in which he was 12-27 with a 5.74 ERA for the Yankees, Padres and Devil Rays.
...Confirmed on hiring a mediocre former big league pitcher.
Finally, I'm most concerned about getting a coach who preaches pitching to contact. From what I've observed watching the game and thinking about pitching coaches, the best---meaning Dave Duncan, Mike Maddux, Leo Mazzone, etc.---all tell their pitchers to trust their stuff and not be afraid of contact.
Other thoughts? Is this a good hire? Will he bring out the best in guys like Duffy, Hochevar, etc.?
My overall thesis on the Eiland hiring is this: This is the hire that makes or breaks Dayton Moore's term as GM. Despite the great drafts and highly-rated farm system, as well as the on-the-field success of the major league club's offense this season, the job Eiland does determines whether Moore's contract is renewed. You have to have on-the-field success with your drafted pitchers, or your farm system must be judged a failure in the end. - TL
4 months ago
timlacy
29 comments
1 recs
NYT on the "Moneyball Ethic" and Its Universal Importance
This is a nice article. The premise, or thesis, is that the team composition of this year's playoffs proves that "it's all Moneyball now." The Greinke trade is mentioned, but the Royals current status is not referenced. I particularly liked this passage:
Thanks partly to the cultural phenomenon of "Moneyball," which demonstrated that teams didn’t need a big payroll to win, we’re all small-market fans now, no longer rooting for the hapless underdog — sorry, Mets and Cubs — but for the team that is doing more with less.
It’s a subtle but significant distinction and it has unmistakable political overtones, especially during this time of rising class resentment. You didn’t have to spend the day dancing around the drum circle in Zuccotti Park to see Game 5 of the Yankees-Tigers division series in New York — with its constant cutaways to those slick-suited men hunched over their BlackBerrys in the Legends Suites — as more than just a baseball game. (It may be time to update the old cliché that rooting for the Yankees is like rooting for U.S. Steel. Today, it’s more like rooting for Goldman Sachs.)
Discuss. - TL
Is it just me, or has Jim Leyland...
...offered "unsolicited praise" for almost every young Royals player with even the most miniscule amount of promise over the past several years? Did he not once compliment Kyle Davies---or Betancourt or Buck or Teahen? Apparently Leyland enjoys killing the Royals softly. - TL
A Funny One About Last Night's Game
This comes from a tweet observed by Bleedcubbieblue's Al Yellon:
"I'm telling you, this game is like the Cubs playing themselves."
But read the whole thing. Al sums up the Three Stooges nature of last night's game by both teams. - TL
I stand corrected
Yesterday I essentially said that Hamilton blaming the color of his eyes for his day-time hitting woes was, well, a bunch of hooey (#1 comment on the thread). The link above---the basis for this post---refutes my skepticism. Here's the money quote from an optometrist (internal link mine)t:
"Because of the lack of pigment in lighter color eyes -- like blue or green eyes as opposed to brown -- you get a lot more unwanted light and that can create glare problems," said Dr. Richard L. Ison, O.D., an optometrist since 1990 who currently works in Murphy, just northeast of Dallas.
Ison said the phenomenon is called intraocular light scatter, meaning the light scatters as it enters, producing a focal point that isn't as good.
His solution for Hamilton: Find a pair of sunglasses that he's completely comfortable wearing while batting.
So I stand corrected. But seriously, how can this not have been discussed somewhere in regular baseball coverage over the 30 plus years I've been following the sport in Kansas City and Chicago? - TL
1B Kila Ka'aihue Is Now (Likely) Available
Since KC called up super-prospect Eric Hosmer (1B), former underachiever Kila Ka'aihue is now available for trade. Al Yellon advocated that we go after Kila last year. Should we check on Ka'aihue's availability? - TL
But I Thought Relievers Didn't Work On New Pitches?
Mr. McKinney and I argued a bit about this the other day in relation to Aaron Crow. He thinks Crow is now being pigeon-holed by management as a reliever by being left in the bullpen (successful there or no). But this article shows that Jeffress is working on a new pitch, and preparing to unroll it in a game soon. So methinks Crow is also working on other things. Let's trust the process. ;) - TL
Willie Bloomquist POUNDED a Lead-off HR Today
WillieB crushed a Randy Wells offering into the stratosphere today for his new team, the AZ Diamondbacks. As has been the case for most of his career, however, the opposing team won. Still, look what we're missing!- TL
"Little Flowers of Dan Quisenberry"
A good friend of mine, Brett Foster, an English Professor at Wheaton College (IL), has published a book of poems titled The Garbage Eater. In that work is a poem titled "Little Flowers of Dan Quisenberry." Brett is a big Royals fan. Buy the book if you can! - TL
Just Call Me Joakim: Nix The Mexicutioner Nickname
Fine by me. 'Tis a silly nickname. We should shout down everyone at the site, Jacobin style, who tries to perpetuate its use. Sure, it's "just" symbolic. But that's probably what Hitler said about the Reichstag. ...Okay, I just violated Godwin's Law. But you take my meaning. I like the way Soria is thinking. It's nice to see some social responsible, thoughtful commentary from a stud KC player. In Chicago they'd already be modeling a bronze statue for the guy. - TL
Counterpoint: Looks Great! Royals Have The Advantage In The Greinke Trade
The link is to an article by the sometimes maligned Phil Rogers of the Chicago Tribune. While Rogers gets off track sometimes, I think he's spot on with this analysis. The Royals received a great deal of potential from the Brewers. Greinke will most definitely exceed expectations in the National League (his 2009 season would've been top 5 all-time if he'd been in the NL, I'd wager). But Escobar and Cain should mature with good coaching (something I trust Yost with more than Hillman).
In addition, one should always weigh the value of a trade against what the trading team would receive if the free agent chose not to re-sign(two late first round sandwich picks, yes?). It looks like any of these 4 prospects meet or exceed the two-first-round-pick criteria. - TL
Horrible News For Cubs Fans: G-Day
As a dedicated, dual Cubs-KC fan, this trade is horrible news for Cubs fans. Every start he has against Chicago will be G-Day---game over for us and a W or, at worst, no decision for Greinke. He only underperformed last year because he was bored with KC. Expect Greinke to perform circa 2009 with Milw next season. This might be worse news than Mr. Santo's passing for Cubs fans, at least with regard to our prospects for the 2011 season.
I'm sorry to be so down. But my early sense is that our years of dominance over Milw are o-v-e-r---at least until Greinke is hurt, traded, or lost to free agency from the Brew Crew. - TL
PS: At least the Cards and Astros have to face Greinke the same number of times.
about 1 year ago
timlacy
141 comments
1 recs
Off-Topic: Larry Rothschild Leaving Cubs For Yankees
This is interesting news just because. But it's more interesting because Rothschild had exercised a contract option a few months back (I think) to stay in Chicago. He had been with the Cubs for 9 years. - TL
Cubs Blogger Advocates Trading For Ka'aihue
Al Yellon, master blogger at SBNation's Bleed Cubbie Blue site, makes an argument for acquiring Kila Ka'aihue. This comes in the wake of Derrek Lee's trade refusal. The most controversial part of his post is here:
"How to get him? I imagine the Royals would be looking for young pitching. They don't seem real interested in giving him a chance; mired in last place, they're playing Billy Butler at first base. Butler is a decent player, but Ka'aihue is a better hitter right now, and much more of a possibility to be a future star."
Is Kila better than Butler? As a first baseman, probably. As a hitter, maybe. - TL
Martin Manley Nails It: Royals Don't Have The Balls To Walk
The crux of Manley's argument: "If you are making the assumption that taking a walk is less a function of patience and more a function of pitcher fear, I can see where you care coming from. So, I decided to evaluate that question."
You can guess what he finds. The Royals simply do not value taking pitches, walks, and OBP. And you can't blame it on pitchers fearing the Royals obvious lack of power.
Novel? No. Not at all. We've all been arguing this for years here (and elsewhere). But Manley's critique is devastating nonetheless. Why? Because it's coming from the KC Star, which (other than Posnanski) has generally shilled KC success stories or unfounded hope. - TL
Trade Idea: David DeJesus for Zambrano
Let's get Z while his price is low and DeJesus is high. Z can recover his career away from the bright lights of Chicago, and DeJesus can go on to be the star we know he is (and can handle). Am I crazy? - TL
Zambrano Suspended
I can't say he doesn't deserve it. I feel this might be the beginning of the end of his Cubs tenure. What a sad way to go. TL
Brett, Watson, and...Limbaugh?
This lowers my esteem for the Royals legend, to be sure. Yikes.
Yost And Milw
This story makes a point in more detail that I made in another post here about Yost's Milw tenure. The difference---made abundantly clear under Macha's leadership--is pitching. This difference gives me the most confidence that Yost, or any other non-Hillman manager, will have a better chance to succeed in KC. - TL
Bullington is (not) it?
Isn't this the big call-up news? A former #1 pick (2002, Pirates), toiling in the minors but now successful, and now 29 years old. - TL
Bring Gordon Back Up
Toward the bottom of this link:
Left fielder Alex Gordon seems to be finding his swing at Class AAA Omaha. He went three for five with two homers Friday night in a 10-7 victory at Reno, which makes him seven for 16 with five walks in his last four games.
Gordon is now batting .324 with five homers in 10 games for the O-Royals. He also carried a .457 on-base percentage and a .784 slugging percentage into Saturday night’s game at Las Vegas.
Ridiculous. I'm wondering, if he's too comfortable in Omaha, should the team send him somewhere else for these assignments? Otherwise, get the kid back in KC. - TL
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