tingeyga
Apr 16, 2008 Feb 15, 2012 11 8069
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Roberto Nelson in Macedonia breaking backboards
Draft Red Flags
by tingeyga on Jun 7, 2011 1:08 AM EDT
on Blazer's Edge
"Tweener"
"Still Raw"
"Inconsistent"
"Must Improve: Basketball Ability"
These are a few of the red flags that sometimes get attached to NBA prospects leading up to the draft. While these red flags are some of the more common ones, there are many, many, many more that for whatever reason don't get mentioned by the so-called "experts" on draft websites. Continue after the jump to see more:
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8/2 evening JD
by tingeyga on Aug 3, 2010 1:57 AM EDT
on Blazer's Edge
Somebody needed to start a new JD, and I guess that person is going to be me. More after the jump if that is your thing
No T-shirts PLEASE!
by tingeyga on May 20, 2010 12:52 PM EDT
on Blazer's Edge
I watched almost no college basketball this year. As such I have almost no idea who the Blazers should draft. But I do know that any player that the Blazers should not draft a player who wore a t-shirt under their jersey in college. Why? Find out after the jump.
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JD 01-20-10
by tingeyga on Jan 20, 2010 2:42 AM EST
on Blazer's Edge
So my wife gave birth to baby #3 on Monday.
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12-19-2009 JD
by tingeyga on Dec 19, 2009 3:24 AM EST
on Blazer's Edge
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JD 11-7-2k9: R.A.M.B.O=AWESOME
by tingeyga on Nov 7, 2009 3:01 AM EST
on Blazer's Edge
More after the jump
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NBA All-Stars and their Draft Classes (updated)
by tingeyga on Jul 9, 2009 4:27 AM EDT
on Blazer's Edge
This years NBA draft was supposedly one of the weakest drafts in recent history. After thinking about this for a while, I came to the following questions:
- Do some draft classes produce substainally more All-Stars (and All-Star selections) than others?
- Is there a pattern to the number of All-Stars in draft classes?
With the help of Wikipedia and Basketball-Reference.com, I put together a list all of the All-Stars that were drafted starting with the 1976 draft. Before, I get to the findings, a couple of notes:
- I started with the 1976 draft because I felt that looking at only the post-merger NBA would provide for more consistent data than mixing pre and post-merger data. I also felt that looking at 30+ draft classes would be more than enough to find any patterns that may exist
- The data that I complied can be found here.
- If an undrafted player became an All-Star (Brad Miller, Ben Wallace), I used the draft that they were eligible for as their draft class.
- Obviously the data becomes skewed as we approach the more recent draft classes, pleasTe keep this in mind.
- I wasn't statistically rigourous with my analysis (i.e. I didn't test for normality, etc.). If you wish to do this, please post the results in the comments
The first chart I looked at was the number of different players in the draft class to be selected to an All-Star game. This measure seems to be the most common for ranking draft classes.
Most years produce between 5 and 8 All-Stars. This was a tighter range than I expected. Thus to be a truely "bad" draft class 3 or fewer All-Stars will have to be drafted. An interesting point is that the only instances with fewer than 4 All-Stars in a draft class occured after the round of expansion that added the Raptors and the Grizziles. Will this mean that expansion will cause a recalibration of how many times a player needs to be an All-Star to be considered "great"?
Next the chart of the total # of All-Star selections for each draft class.
Here the 1984, 1985 and 1996 drafts stand head an shoulders above the rest in this measurement. Granted there still is plently of time for the post-2000 classes to rack up All-Star selections, but there does seem to be a define gap between draft classes that rack up large amounts of All-Star selections. Part of this effect is that a only a limited number of spots on the All-Star team are truely up for grabs (barring injury there is no chance that Kobe, LeBron, Wade, CP3, and a couple others aren't going to be All-Stars next season). Once you reach the hollowed ground of being an All-Star lock (often known as being an All-Star starter), then you generally keep that spot for the rest of your career. Meaning that there is one fewer spot for other players from later draft classes, unless you hit that sweet spot of opportunity when there are few spots locked in (as the 1996 and 2003 draft classes appear to have done).
Also the 2000 draft looks really bad in this measurement.
And the final chart, the average # of All-Star appearances by draft class (essentially the values of chart 2 divided by the values of chart 1). Were there a lot of 1 time All-Stars in a class? Was there a great player in a draft? This chart shows that.
The 4 highest peaks on this chart are 1976 (Alex English, Robert Parish, Adrian Dantley, Dennis Johnson), the 1984 draft (MJ, Hakeem, Barkley, Stockton), 1992 (Shaq, Mourning) and 1997 (Duncan, T-Mac). It seems that a high value in this chart corresponds very well with having one or more of the greatest players of their generation in that draft.
As a side note, of the 183 different who have been drafted since 1976 and named to an All-Star game, 62 of them (33.9%) were named to only 1 game, 69 players (37.7%) were named to 2-4 All-Star games, 36 (19.7%) were named to 5-9 All-Star games. Only 16 players have been named to 10+ All-Star games (although there are a couple of active player who seem to be good bets to reach that milestone)
There are a couple of questions that remain unanswered:
- Did the NBA's expansion in the 1990s impact this data? If so, how?
- How large of an impact does being named an All-Star starter have on your likely hood to be named to multiple All-Star teams?
The 3 dots in the upper right corner represent the 1984, 1985, and 1996 drafts. All told, there seems to be a clear trend that the more minutes that the first 15 picks of a draft play, the more All-Star selections that it produces.
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Junk Drawer 1-23/ Killer Robot Edition
by tingeyga on Jan 23, 2009 4:49 AM EST
on Blazer's Edge
So two nights ago I rented "Eagle Eye". It is a good thing that I live in Alaska so that if ever some super-computer in the basement of the Pentagon decides that I am a threat to national security I can just drive a couple hours up the road and be off the grid and out of harms way.
I do have some lingering questions though:
- Did some producer say to himself, "That foul mouthed street kid in I, Robot is a big star now. We should remake that movie and make him the star and not Will Smith" and then made it happen with "Eagle Eye" being the result?
- Why did the computer even need Shia LeBeouf's help? Wouldn't the plan have worked even if he hadn't removed the biometric lock?
- Is the fact that the evil computers in both "Eagle Eye" and "Wall-E" are female a subliminal message of some sort? If so, what?
Discuss:
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Coach Robinson interview on Blazer's Edge
by tingeyga on May 16, 2008 12:40 AM EDT
on Building The Dam
Ben from Blazer's Edge sat down with Coach Robinson for an interesting interview. Check it out:
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Space Filler
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