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Around SBN: Notre Dame's Turnaround: How Have The Irish Done It?

Vincent_with_open_mouth

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Mar 18, 2008 Dec 05, 2010 13 409

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Minor League Ball Pitch Specific Stats

If you go to this website (http://theuniverseas.com/baseball/baseball.html) you'll find stats on every pitcher's pitch last year (that there was enhanced gameday data for last year: 625 pitchers). There are stats like ball speed (v0), the spin put on the pitch (rpm), BABIP, SLGBIP, and contact rates when the pitcher threw the indicated pitch. There are also pitch selection splits in the comma delimited files (.csv files).

Here's a sample:
Pfxconsta_medium

via i34.photobucket.com

 

0 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Pitch Characteristics, Selection, and Outcomes

I've put together this page (http://theuniverseas.com/baseball/conrate.html) to look at a number of different stats for a pitcher's different pitches (e.g. Santana's changeup, Barbaro's curveball). You can see who among the 50 or so I've listed gets the most whiffs on swings or what pitcher's pitch gets a lot of ground outs. There's also a look at situational selection such as in a 2-2 count, vs. lefties, or the 7th inning. There's also BABIP and SLGBIP stats and I was wondering if that would be preferable or not to regular old BA, averaging in when the pitch ends the at bat with a strikeout. There's more I could do with this data like creating pitch charts, seperating contact rates and BA between when facing lefties and righties, or looking at how close to the edges a pitcher pitches, but I ran out of columns in excel. Is there anyway to increase the number of cloumns? Or something like excel with more columns?

It's kind of hard to differentiate between a pitcher's pitches when he throws a splitter, but thankfully only a few do. I'm mainly uncertain about Smoltz's pitches. Is his slider that slow, or is that actually the curve I calculated and the splitter: the slider; changeup: splitter?

Also, what's a good pitcher I left off with a plus-plus offering? There's no data for Lincecum and just one start for Zito, but that should change as it appears the installed the pitch f/x system in San Francisco for the All-Star game.

Please voice any comments, suggestions, or reactions.

Also since this in a minor league blog, there's data from the futures game below. Unfortunately there was only 4 pitches for Deolis Guerra, so I had to ignore him:
http://theuniverseas.com/baseball/futures.html

Now hopefully MLB doesn't gun me down, then make this pitch f/x data unavailable to the public no matter your hacking abilities. I would think Scouting Agencies who sell this information would hate this adventure MLB is doing.

10 comments  | 

Let's Go Tribe C.C.'s breaking ball

Is it a curve ball, slider, or a slurve? Or does it sometimes look more like a curve and then sometimes more like a slider or slurve?

Also what's the range of speed of Westbrook's slider? Does he throw it much?

Answers would be well appreciated.               .                                         .                     .                       .                                            

2 comments  | 

Minor League Ball ML pitch selection

The following chart shows how the pitches of select young MLers compare to each other. I used the enhanced gameday data to come up with this crap. At the least, you can look at the "% thrown" column which tells how often that pitch is used by that pitcher and also the speed of that pitch in the "mph" column then things get a little more difficult to understand. But a relatively small "pfz" value (vertical spin) means the fastball has more of a sinking action. There's more detail here and I also described it in more detail here and if you go to that last link you'll also see a more detailed look at Shields (e.g. what percent of swinging strikes are on changeups for Shields?). Also somebody at the baseballanalysts has written about some of the data as well. So here:

The Peavy data is to be taken with some salt as it was hard to differentiate between his 2 seam fastball, slider, and changeup.

I'll also repeat what I said at the end of the Slowey thread:

Slowey pitch selection: 73 fastballs, 16 sliders, 5 changeups, 5 curveballs

Initial speed of those pitches, respectively according to enhanced gameday:
90.1, 83.2, 78.3, 73.6

And the home run was off a 84.0 mph slider that had the least break of the bunch, but wasn't really an outlier.

He pitches pretty high up in the zone. It looks like  only 2 pitches were below the strike zone, a curve and a fastball.

3 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Long-term: The King or Hamels?

Factoring in injury risk, who will be better? This year? The next several years? Sure both have great stuff, but how will that translate to performance?

Felix was absolutely great in his first two starts, but since coming back from the DL he's been averaging over a hit an inning and a BB/9 over 4.5. He still hasn't allowed a homer so far though. OOPS of .634 and K/9 of 10.6. Is he getting unlucky? Did management tell him to throw a fewer number of a certain pitch? Or has his command just been the problem? His groundball ratio is still great... even better than last year's.

Hamels has been winning games and could be on his way to a 20 win season. His BB/9 is just 2.5 while his K/9 is 10.3. But he's allowed 10 HRs so far and has allowed an isoP of .180 compared to Felix's .077. Why does Hamels allow so many XBHs? His GB/FB ratio is slightly improved over last year, but is still just 1.13. Will his ERA improve as the year goes on and allow fewer XBHs in his first full year starting in the bigs?

Poll
Who is the best for the next 5 years or so....
Felix Hernandez
69 votes
Cole Hamels
51 votes

120 votes | Poll has closed

37 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Some pitch-by-pitch AAA stats

Here are some pitch-by-pitch stats of some AAA prospects (with half being crappy Durham Bulls):

"#P" is the number of pitches thrown to each batter so far this year in AAA. "B" stands for balls, "S" for strikes which includes the following: called strikes (CS), swinging strikes (SW), foul balls (F), and balls hit in play (InP). P/PA is pitches per plate appearance. %S is the percentage of pitches that are strikes. Con% is the percent of swings that make contact with the ball (i.e. foul balls plus pitches hit in play divided by foul balls, balls hit in play, and swinging strikes). SW% is the percentage of pitches that are swinging strikes. And Sw% is the percent of pitches swung at. So an aggressive hitter will have a high Sw%. "Eye" is just really useless and is balls divided by pitches taken (i.e. balls plus called strikes).

Butler's stats show he was ready for the majors. He has a contact rate like Loney has, but he has also hit 6 home runs. Evidence of the 18/12 BB/SO ratio, you can see that pitches were afraid of him with just 55% of pitches being strikes and shows that he can learn more in the majors than AAA at this point.

B and S1 would be what the pitch count goes to in an average plate appearance. It would include ball 4 of a walk or strike 3 of strikeout but it wouldn't consider a ball hit into play as a strike. S2 would be how many strikes are thrown in an average plate appearance and would include the strikes associated with 2-strike fouls and balls hit into play. K% is the percentage of batters faced that are struckout and likewise with BB%. The cutoff "GO/" is GO/FO. LO would be line out and would perhaps mean more if it included line drives that fall for hits.... it relies a lot on the scorekeeper's opinion anyways.

The following are pitching charts. The numbers are the percentage of pitches that are thrown in that portion of the strike zone. The chart is from the view of the catcher. It uses mlb gameday and the xml pages associated with it. It surely has its flaws, but it can paint a general picture. So here:
Hammel:

J.P. Howell:

Niemann:

Sonnanstine:

Talbot:

Lincecum:

Bailey:

Gallardo:

Garza:

Hughes:

Adam Miller:

McGowan:

Slowey:

Everything about Lincecum is absolutely disgusting. The pitch chart shows him keeping balls down in the zone like absolutely no one else is.

17 comments  | 

Brew Crew Ball William Inman

What's up with William Inman? Doesn't he have injury? What kind? Any idea when he'll be back?

He looked pretty dominant with great control up until what I believe was his last start/outing.

Yep.                                                                                                                                                                               Uh, huh.

9 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Morlan vs. Inman

Who do you think will be the better pitcher?
Here are the stats so far this year:
Morlan: 2-2 W-L, 1.45 ERA, .165 BA, ~.505 OPS, 37.1 IP, 21 H, 19 BB, 49 SO, 1 HR, .39 GB/FB
Inman: 3-1 W-L, 1.80 ERA, .242, ~.584 OPS, 35 IP, 31 H, 5 BB, 43 SO, 0 HR, .85 GB/FB
Both are righties. Inman turned 19 in February; Morlan 20 in March. Both for some reason are more dominant over lefties and throw there fastball in the low 90's. Morlan has a curvaball and change-up. Inman has a plus slider. Both strikeout a good number of batters. Inman has great command and because of that am liking him more.

And this is a fantasy-related question.

Poll
Who do you think will be the better ML pitcher?
Eduardo Morlan
25 votes
William Inman
20 votes

45 votes | Poll has closed

2 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Justin Upton already to CF; will miss 1st 2 weeks

http://www.minorleaguebaseball.com/app/news/article.jsp?ymd=20060403&content_id=52304&vkey=n ews_milb&fext=.jsp

He has a shoulder injury (hence the the two weeks), and will still start out in low-A South Bend.

"I just think we all put our heads together and felt like it was best to do it right now," Byrnes said. "We think this is the best thing for him. This could allow him to advance at a faster pace."

Looks like they're prepared to advance him quickly. So now what do they do with the OF situation of Chris Young, Carlos Quentin, Carlos Gonzales, and Justin Upton? Trade one for pitching or watch one bust?

23 comments  | 

Minor League Ball prospect question (sim league)

I'm in a sim league and have to reduce my roster.

Which 6 of the following would you choose to keep?
Elijah Dukes
Javier Herrera
Chuck Tiffany
Wes Bankston
Miguel Montero
Elvis Andrus 
Nick Adenhart
Brad Snyder
Mark Trumbo
Travis Denker
Greg Miller
Chris Nelson
James Loney
Chad Gaudin

7 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Favorite 2005 Draft Picks

Who's everyone's (or anyone's) favorite players that were in what is now last year's amateur draft? Who were the steals? Like who might be this year's Troy Patton? Or Billy Butler? Or Gabby Hernandez? Or Gio Gonzalez? Or 2007's Daric Barton? Or Chad Billingsley? Ect.

blahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblah
blahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblah blahblahblah

15 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Kendrick, Callaspo promoted

The Angels promoted two of their top infield prospects, second baseman Alberto Callaspo from double-A Arkansas to triple-A Salt Lake and second baseman Howie Kendrick from Class-A Rancho Cucamonga to Arkansas. Callaspo hit .294 with nine homers and 48 RBIs in 350 at-bats for Arkansas. Kendrick hit .384 with 12 homers and 47 RBIs and had a .421 on-base percentage in 63 games for Rancho Cucamonga.

http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/la-sp-angrep17jul17,1,347509.story?coll=la-headlines-spor ts-majorbaseb

6 comments  | 

Minor League Ball Kurt Suzuki vs. Miguel Montero

Which is the better prospect? I'd like to know people's opinions.

Both are catchers in the California League and both are 21 (with Montero turning 22 July 9th and Suzuki October 4th).

Montero has hit .351/.406/.639 in 313 ABs and decent plate discipline (23/46 BB/K). He's shown tremendous power with 22 HRs and 22 doubles and a triple. He also has more RBIs than games played (78 to 76). According to Ask BA, the managers ranked him as the best defensive catcher in the Midwest League last year and has thrown out 33% of basestealers (not overwhelmingly good, but I guess good for high-A ball?).

Suzuki has hit .280/.394/.459 in 246 ABs with great plate discipline (41/39 BB/K). His power hasn't been too great with 14 doubles, 3 triples, and 8 homers, but it's good enough for a catcher. I would say he has 20+ home run potential. His defense is pretty good too, but I guess last year they were disappointed by a weak throwing arm. I don't know if he got the above average arm strength back or not this year.

So who looks like they'll be better in the majors and who looks more like a sure thing to be a starter? I'd say Montero for both, but I would like to hear opinions. Montero, from my memory, has not been talked of much.

11 comments  |