Pythag

vjl110

  • joined Jan 02, 2010
  • last login Jul 30, 2014
  • posts 77
  • comments 14026
User Blog
FanPost
47

2013 Predictions: Atlantic Division

Maybe it is a bit early to start doing this, but I figured the best way for me to get a feel for the 2013 NBA is to run some predictions. I used age adjusted PA100 offensive numbers over the past...

FanPost
114

Way too early projections for the West:

I took players' 2012 PA100 numbers and age-adjusted them to build a simple 2013 projection. In cases where players didn't log meaningful minutes in 2012 but had in the past, I used their 2011...

FanPost
217

How good is Andrei Kirilenko?

One thing I can say with confidence is that the Andrei Kirilenko of 2009/10 and 2010/11 was a great player. Here are his PA100 and RAPM numbers for those seasons: Note that Kirilenko was around...

FanPost
66

Free Agent Wings

I have delayed posting anything about our impending (hopefully) wing signing because I keep assuming the Wolves will make the post irrelevant shortly after. Since they are determined to take their...

FanPost
585

Batum?

Twelve million per year is a ton of money. Resigning Pek is the scariest and most obvious possible impact of that expense, but it will have countless other implications beginning with who else we...

FanPost
43

DO NOT SIGN Jamal Crawford!

Jamal Crawford is a terrible basketball player. I embarrassingly advocated the Ridnour/Beasley-Crawford deal at the deadline because I had legitimate mistakes in my model at the time (as in...

FanPost
189

Projecting the Draft

ver the last few days I finally got around to investigating the NCAA to NBA transition. With the draft coming everyone's favorite question is, "what kind of college players become quality NBA...

FanPost
482

Fix the Wolves 2012

Once again, it is that time of the year. The draft is less than two weeks out, the free agent signing period opens in less than a month, and everyone has an idea for fixing our moribund franchise....

Weiland - Shooting Guards of 2012 draft

18

Includes some concern with Will Barton and some "love" for Evan Fournier

FanPost
90

PA100 Primer

PA 100 is an NBA player evaluation metric that I built during the 2011/12 season. The metric parcels value among players using a priori assumptions about how individual statistics translate into...

Belichick and analytics.. Must read for Kahn and friends

9

Briefly: Much of the New England Patriots' success can be explained by their ability to target the "sweet spot" of the NFL draft. The new NFL agreement shifted the "sweet spot" and sure enough, the Patriots followed it. This kind of analytics can really make the difference between champions and bottom-feeders.

FanPost
36

Age and Expectations

I used my PA100 datasets from 2009/10, 2010/11, and 2011/12 to study how player performance changes with age. This certainly isn't the first study to investigate aging and performance in the NBA,...

FanPost
5

PA100 Pacific Division

KEY PA100.off: Points added per 100 offensive possessions above the average player at his position. Gives credit for creating better offensive situations (i.e. rim or three for...

FanPost
14

PA100 Southwest Division

KEY PA100.off: Points added per 100 offensive possessions above the average player at his position. Gives credit for creating better offensive situations (i.e. rim or three for...

FanPost
14

PA100 Atlantic Division

!!!! WARNING !!!! The numbers for the Raptors and especially the Nets are based on a smaller sample than other teams. For some reason, the files I use to build my dataset did not capture every...

FanPost
56

2011/2012 Rookie Review

You can't truly evaluate the draft until several years down the line. However, that shouldn't stop us from taking a look back at this past season and evaluating the early returns on the 2011...

FanPost
15

PA100 Northwest Division

KEY PA100.off: Points added per 100 offensive possessions above the average player at his position. Gives credit for creating better offensive situations (i.e. rim or three for himself or ...

FanPost
109

Ricky Rubio: Probably not as good as you think...

.. but still really important to the Timberwolves. Ricky Rubio's rookie season seemed to get everyone at the Target Center and on Canis Hoopus pretty damn excited. Ricky is an fun player, and when...

FanPost
12

PA100 Southeastern Division

KEY PA100.off: Points added per 100 offensive possessions above the average player at his position. Gives credit for creating better offensive situations (i.e. rim or three for himself or ...

FanPost
7

PA100 Central Division

I finally have the PA100 metric to a place where I am pretty happy with it. It isn't perfect. I think I need to account for diminishing returns in a few areas, namely shot creation and offensive...

FanPost
102

PA 100 for 2012 wings

The most annoying thing about building this metric, has been constantly changing my opinion on players as I fix bugs in the code and/or add more information into the model. It is always...

FanPost
47

Low Usage Michael Beasley

Michael Beasley was an impossible Williams comparison to avoid before last year's draft. Both were scoring-centric star collegiate bigs with tweener SF/PF bodies and games. Those of us...

FanPost
87

How good is Pek inside?

Really, really, good

Pek second best on team?

30

Pek's WS/48 and PER overtook Rubio's for the first time this season. The gap is closing in terms of WP/48 as well. Pek's 61.4 TS% and 19.2 OReb% are the stuff of legend. If he can just cut back a little bit on TOs and PFs, we may have a legitimate stud C on our hands.

Rubio better than Love?

83

After Saturday's game, Love's WP48 is lower than Rubio's for the first time. I don't think this will last. Love's rating is well below his historical level, but it is still note-worthy.

FanPost
267

The numbers don't lie

Here are Ricky Rubio's Euro numbers during the first 5 years of his professional basketball career: Age Team Pts eFG% Rebs Stls Asts TOs 15 DKV 10.8 57 5.2 3.9 3.9 ...

FanPost
52

Name that forward

This list includes 9 of the best NBA forwards ordered by points per 40 minutes. In addition to scoring totals, I have also included scoring efficiency (TS%), the percentage of team possessions...

FanPost
79

What a difference a coach makes:

The Timberwolves swapped Kurt Rambis for Rick Adelman this offseason. After 10 games, I'm looking at the numbers to see if this seemingly important change really made a difference. via i...

Newer Showing 31 - 60 of 77 Older
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.