You can't go wrong with Busch at Bristol...at least according to NASCAR's driver rating formula.
Kyle Busch, who won the Truck race on Wednesday night at the "World's Fastest Half-Mile," is the No. 1 selection; brother Kurt, a multi-time Bristol winner, is fifth.
Drivers who you may not have considered? Look at Matt Kenseth (third) or Marcos Ambrose (eighth) .
If you trust the formula, some big names to avoid this week include AJ Allmendinger (31st) and Jamie McMurray (23rd).
Irwin Tools Night Race Pre-Race For point-paying races in current and past four years, at this track. Bristol Motor Speedway Saturday, August 21, 2010 Driver Rating Formula combining the following categories: Wins, Finishes, Top-15 Finishes, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race. Number of Races: 11
Rank Car Driver Avg Finish High AVG DRIVER RATING 1 18 Kyle Busch 10.1 149.2 103.0 2 16 Greg Biffle 10.5 119.7 101.2 3 24 Jeff Gordon 11.5 116.4 99.4 4 17 Matt Kenseth 12.5 149.8 97.5 5 2 Kurt Busch 15.1 140.3 96.1 6 14 Tony Stewart 14.4 130.2 95.9 7 11 Denny Hamlin 12.4 119.6 95.0 8 47 Marcos Ambrose 15.3 108.4 93.4 9 29 Kevin Harvick 14.2 127.4 91.5 10 5 Mark Martin 17.7 139.6 89.9 11 88 D Earnhardt Jr. 8.4 114.0 89.1 12 12 Brad Keselowski 13.0 88.7 88.7 13 31 Jeff Burton 15.8 132.1 88.3 14 99 Carl Edwards 11.6 134.2 88.2 15 48 Jimmie Johnson 16.5 132.4 87.0 16 39 Ryan Newman 18.2 112.5 85.8 17 9 Kasey Kahne 19.4 141.1 84.6 18 33 Clint Bowyer 18.0 121.0 79.9 19 00 David Reutimann 22.4 97.4 78.9 20 19 Elliott Sadler 21.8 120.1 78.1 21 42 Juan Montoya 20.4 95.2 76.0 22 56 M Truex Jr. 23.6 91.5 72.5 23 1 Jamie McMurray 23.6 108.9 70.5 24 71 Bobby Labonte 21.9 102.1 66.5 25 66 Scott Riggs 24.1 104.4 65.2 26 6 David Ragan 24.0 80.7 61.7 27 83 Brian Vickers 23.2 80.4 60.6 28 21 Bill Elliott 25.5 71.5 60.4 29 98 Paul Menard 23.2 83.6 60.3 30 96 J.J. Yeley 27.6 82.1 60.2 31 43 AJ Allmendinger 29.8 85.9 60.1 32 49 Mike Bliss 20.3 71.1 59.8 33 78 Regan Smith 25.6 83.7 58.0 34 82 Scott Speed 24.7 68.5 57.8 35 26 David Stremme 23.0 79.0 56.8 36 09 Aric Almirola 26.2 90.6 56.2 37 34 Travis Kvapil 22.5 79.9 56.0 38 55 Michael Waltrip 26.2 81.8 55.6 39 90 Casey Mears 27.4 75.0 54.5 40 43 Reed Sorenson 28.1 65.3 54.4 41 4 Mike Wallace 25.5 55.6 53.8 42 66 Dave Blaney 30.4 81.7 53.7 43 38 David Gilliland 30.0 80.9 52.2 44 20 Joey Logano 33.0 74.7 51.5 45 7 Robby Gordon 28.2 63.9 49.2 46 77 Sam Hornish Jr. 32.8 56.0 47.7 47 37 Tony Raines 27.2 61.0 47.2 48 64 Todd Bodine 42.0 45.4 45.4 49 70 Johnny Sauter 42.0 44.9 44.9 50 87 Joe Nemechek 32.0 59.3 38.1 51 37 Kevin Conway 28.0 35.8 35.8 52 34 John Andretti 34.7 36.1 30.8 53 46 Terry Cook 37.0 30.0 30.0 54 74 Derrike Cope 43.0 24.8 24.8