clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

NASCAR's Season-to-Date Driver Rating Shows Bad News For Mark Martin

New, comment

With two races before the Chase cutoff, can Mark Martin overcome a 101-point deficit to make NASCAR's playoff?

Not if you trust NASCAR's driver rating stat.

Martin, according to the numbers, is having a very mediocre season – 19th in the driver rating. The fact that he's 14th in points means he's overachieved considering his average running position during races, his average speed and some of the other factors the formula uses.

Clint Bowyer sits 12th in points, but is 10th in the driver rating, meaning he likely belongs in the top 12 and will stay there.

The most surprising underachiever is Juan Pablo Montoya, who is seventh among all drivers – ahead of even Denny Hamlin – but is only 19th in points.

Another underachiever – which is a relative term for him – is Jimmie Johnson, who is tops in driver rating but ninth in points. That indicates he's had some strong runs that turned into poor finishes.

Matt Kenseth is the biggest overachiever, sitting eighth in points while only running 16th in the driver rating.

Will the driver rating be able to predict this year's champion? We'll know if Johnson wins his fifth straight title in a few months.

Driver Rating
Formula combining the following categories: Win, Finish, Top-15 Finish, Average Running Position While on Lead Lap, Average Speed Under Green, Fastest Lap, Led Most Laps, Lead-Lap Finish. Maximum: 150 points per race. Must have raced in 75 percent of scheduled point-paying races.
Rank   Car      Driver	   Points Pos.	Driver Rating
1	48	Jimmie Johnson	9	106.5
2	24	Jeff Gordon	2	104.4
3	31	Jeff Burton	7	100.3
4	18	Kyle Busch	3	97.3
5	29	Kevin Harvick	1	96.6
6	2	Kurt Busch	10	96.4
7	42	Juan Montoya	19	94.6
8	11	Denny Hamlin	5	91.8
9	14	Tony Stewart	6	90.9
10	33	Clint Bowyer	12	90.1
11	16	Greg Biffle	11	88.3
12	9	Kasey Kahne	16	87.0
13	99	Carl Edwards	4	86.9
14	1	Jamie McMurray	13	86.2
15	00	David Reutimann	17	84.1
16	17	Matt Kenseth	8	83.4
17	56	M Truex Jr.	20	81.1
18	39	Ryan Newman	15	80.8
19	5	Mark Martin	14	80.4
20	88	D Earnhardt Jr.	18	78.3
21	43	AJ Allmendinger	22	76.9
22	20	Joey Logano	21	76.9
23	47	Marcos Ambrose	26	69.3
24	98	Paul Menard	23	68.4
25	12	Brad Keselowski	25	66.3
26	6	David Ragan	24	65.3
27	77	Sam Hornish Jr.	28	63.0
28	82	Scott Speed	27	58.2
29	19	Elliott Sadler	29	57.3
30	78	Regan Smith	30	55.0
31	07	Robby Gordon	34	47.1
32	09	Bobby Labonte	31	46.8
33	34	Travis Kvapil	32	44.5
34	38	David Gilliland	33	43.3
35	13	Max Papis	38	34.4
36	7	Kevin Conway	35	33.5
37	87	Joe Nemechek	37	32.9